Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. And to earn a target, you need to be deemed “open” by the quarterback. It’s one big trickle-down effect. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are near the top of fantasy football ADP: They can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets, but that also trickles down to the fantasy managers drafting those pass-catchers and starting them in their lineups each week.

In this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report, we’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop. Combing the box score stats doesn’t paint a clear picture of the players we should target, roster, and start. Fantasy football rankings can only paint so much of the picture as well.

Everything we’ll be talking about here and this season in this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report will be some of the best statistics and metrics that correlate with fantasy football production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, just the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll be doing with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and saying, “go add this player,” which doesn’t help anybody.

This season, we're adding a video component, so if you want to get some of the juiciest nuggets of the target report in video form, check out the Target Report Bulletpoints for Week 1!





Passes thrown in the direction of a receiver, whether intended or not


Passes caught by a pass-catcher

Rec. Yards

Yards gained from a completed pass by the pass-catcher.


Receiving touchdowns

Air Yards

 The distance between where the pass is thrown from a quarterback to where the intended receiver either catches or doesn’t catch the ball. Caught or not caught, the air yards are recorded regardless.

This statistic is significant for determining the quarterback and coaching staff's predictive value in an offense and their intent.

Air Yards Team Share %

A pass-catcher’s percentage share of a team's air yards in a given week.

Route %

Percentage of routes a pass-catcher runs on a pass play per dropback on their team.

Snap %

Percentage of snaps a pass-catcher plays on an offensive series on their team.

Target Share %

Percentage of targets a pass-catcher receives in a given week on their team.

Yards per Target

Receiving yards a player gets on average per target. YPT is another intent-based metric but more predictive with the more targets a player receives.


Targets per route run (TPRR) is a metric that measures how often a receiver is targeted vs. the amount of routes they run. A higher TPRR means that the player is better at earning targets when he's on the field. A low raw route number or low route % coupled with a high TPRR means that the pass-catcher is efficient at earning targets and could be in line for more routes depending on the team situation.


25%+ TPRRElite

17-18%Close to replacement level

Sub 17%Not fantasy relevant


aDOT is "average depth of target". It’s the average depth of all targets caught or incomplete by a targeted pass-catcher. Shows how a receiver is used in his team’s offense (vertical threat, short area target, etc.)


A metric that contextualizes the efficiency of a pass-catcher with how many receiving yards per route run. It's a much better metric than yards per reception.


WOPR is a weighted average incorporating a player's share of team targets and air yards.


RACR is a ratio dividing receiving yards by total air yards. It measures how many receiving yards a player creates for every air yard thrown at him. The percentage of a team's air yards that a player commands based on his average depth of target and volume of targets. Most RACR numbers for running backs skew wildly by the nature of the running back position, which rarely earns air yards.


Bye Weeks:

  • Week 5: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB
  • Week 6: GB, PIT
  • Week 7: CAR, CIN, DAL, HOU, NYJ, TEN
  • Week 9: DEN, DET, JAX, SF
  • Week 10: KC, LAR, MIA, PHI
  • Week 11: ATL, IND, NE, NO
  • Week 13: BAL, BUF, CHI, LV, MIN, NYG
  • Week 14: ARI, WAS


Always Start Your Studs: These are players you should be starting in all formats, regardless of matchup. Use your judgment in shallower leagues where startable players are plentiful.

Start ‘Em: Players that should be starting most weeks on your fantasy rosters.

Keep Them Rostered: Players that should be rostered in most formats but shouldn't be started unless you’re in a pinch or during bye weeks. Maybe they’re not startable due to various issues like a backup quarterback playing, a player coming back from injury, a contingent running back, or are just unproductive, consistent, or dependable at the moment. League size designations or other designations (bench stash, etc.) will be in parenthesis next to players for deeper leagues. Depending on your league, this is a general recommendation, so use your best judgment.

Example: Parris Campbell (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jerome Ford (bench stash).

Add ‘Em: Players that warrant an add due to circumstances, productivity, or metrics that show they’re being utilized heavily in their offenses. These will usually have a format that they should be added in. 

Listing a player as “12-team leagues” assumes that player also be an addition in deeper 12-team and 14-team formats as well. 

Dump ‘Em: Players that you should be dropping from your rosters. Use your judgment in deeper leagues where players with usefulness on waivers aren’t as plentiful.

Any player not listed in any of these categories for a particular team is assumed to not be rosterable in most fantasy formats.

NFL Target Report

Arizona Cardinals

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Marquise BrownWR532804825.0%91.4%83.9%16.7%5.615.6%9.60.880.4250.5833252
Rondale MooreWR3333084.2%74.3%67.7%10.0%11.011.5%
Zach PascalWR100084.2%8.6%8.1%3.3%0.033.3%
Michael WilsonWR422006433.3%91.4%90.3%13.3%5.012.5%16.00.630.4330.3133256
Zach ErtzTE1062105629.2%91.4%77.4%33.3%2.131.3%5.60.660.7040.3753248
Trey McBrideTE22230147.3%28.6%37.1%6.7%11.520.0%7.02.300.1511.6431023
James ConnerRB5580-6-3.1%82.9%83.9%16.7%1.617.2%-
Keaontay IngramRB     0.0%5.7%11.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Emari DemercadoRB     0.0%5.7%4.8%0.0%0.00.0%

The Cardinals, who have branded their 2023 selves as an unserious team, are, indeed, #not good. Joshua Dobbs is the starting quarterback. He had 30 pass attempts for 132 yards. If you’re into the volume thing, Zach Ertz — henceforth known as Zach Ertzgerald for his propensity to catch and fall at this stage of his career — earned 10 targets for a hilarious 6-21 line. On a bad tight end week as a whole, Ertz stuck out in a good and bad way. Trey McBride is droppable right now, as he ran only 29% of routes as a clear backup.

No other pass catcher really did anything of note with any of their targets, but Marquise Brown and Michael Wilson ran 90%+ routes with Rondale Moore at 74% — sort of enough to matter, but in a more realistic way considering the team we’re talking about, not really.

James Conner has all the utilization metrics (84% of snaps, 83% routes, 58% of running back carries) that you want; he just plays for an atrocious team that may not win more than three games.

Week 1 Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Marquise Brown, James Conner

Keep Them Rostered: Rondale Moore, Michael Wilson (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Zach Ertz (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Dump ‘Em: Trey McBride (12-team)


Atlanta Falcons

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Drake LondonWR100068.7%90.9%90.2%5.9%0.05.0%
Mack HollinsWR433103246.4%77.3%62.7%23.5%7.823.5%8.01.820.6780.9691732
KhaDarel HodgeWR     0.0%4.5%13.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Scott MillerWR     0.0%22.7%19.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Kyle PittsTE324405275.4%90.9%60.8%17.6%14.715.0%
Jonnu SmithTE     0.0%31.8%51.0%0.0%0.00.0%
MyCole PruittTE     0.0%4.5%49.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Parker HesseTE     0.0%0.0%13.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Bijan RobinsonRB66271-24-34.8%81.8%62.7%35.3%4.533.3%-4.01.500.286-1.1251832
Tyler AllgeierRB3319034.3%45.5%54.9%17.6%6.330.0%1.01.900.2956.3331028
Godwin IgwebuikeRB     0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Keith SmithFB     0.0%4.5%19.6%0.0%0.00.0%

From the unserious (Arizona) to the UNBELIEVABLE, the Falcons rug pulled us yet again.

Remember when we (I) would say that there’s no way the Falcons can continue not to pass the ball? Well, in Week 1, they turned our boys Drake London (one target) and Kyle Pitts (three targets, 2-44) into decoys for Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. The Falcons had the Week 1 low in pass rate over expected (-12.2%), which is definitely no surprise. Only nine of the targets went to players that weren’t running backs. Send Arthur Smith to Fantasy Football Jail.

But yes, let us make sure we DON’T get this guy the ball:

At least at the position they care about — running back — they fed Robinson and Allgeier. Robinson ran 82% of routes and earned six targets, including his first career touchdown, while Allgeier trotted in two rushing touchdowns, took all four green-zone touchdowns, and took 15 carries to Bijan’s 10. That should flip in short order, which is great for Robinson’s fantasy managers who drafted him in the first or early second round. Allgeier will still be fantasy-relevant in this ridiculous run-heavy offense.

Week 1 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Bijan Robinson

Start ‘Em: Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Tyler Allgeier (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Desmond Ridder (12-team)


Baltimore Ravens

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Rashod BatemanWR333502423.1%56.7%39.1%14.3%11.717.6%
Odell BeckhamWR323703937.5%100.0%92.2%14.3%12.310.0%
Zay FlowersWR1097802826.9%93.3%84.4%47.6%7.835.7%2.82.790.9032.7862854
Nelson AgholorWR     0.0%26.7%37.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Devin DuvernayWR     0.0%6.7%10.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Isaiah LikelyTE1140-2-1.9%76.7%71.9%4.8%4.04.3%-
Charlie KolarTE10001211.5%16.7%20.3%4.8%0.020.0%
J.K. DobbinsRB3215032.9%46.7%46.9%14.3%5.021.4%
Gus EdwardsRB     0.0%16.7%23.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Justice HillRB     0.0%23.3%29.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Patrick RicardFB     0.0%6.7%43.8%0.0%0.00.0%

It’s awful that we have to talk about a season-ending injury to a young, dynamic running back, but here we are with J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins is likely to miss part of next season as well as the entirety of 2023.

For the running backs, Justice Hill did get the one non-Dobbins touch before Dobbins left the game and scored a touchdown right after. Hill tacked on a second touchdown, and while we’re not exactly touchdown chasing here, Hill (3 HVT) earned the most high-value touches through the rest of the game over Gus Edwards (1). So even if Hill wasn’t super productive outside of finding the end zone, he’s my pick in this backfield over Edwards, who is more suited for between the 20’s touches and has not caught a pass since the Reagan administration.

The ballyhooed new-look Ravens’ offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken had some hiccups at the beginning of Week 1, but at the end of the day, there were only 22 pass attempts to go around. Earning 10 of those targets from Lamar Jackson was rookie first-round pick Zay Flowers, who turned those 10 targets into nine catches for 78 yards.

I don’t want to be THAT GUY, but 6-of-10 targets were RPOs, screens and pop passes, so there wasn’t much downfield target earning going on by Flowers, as evidenced by his 2.8-yard aDOT. It was a very 2021 Deebo Samuel-esque showing for Flowers. It was VERY encouraging to see Flowers being the focal point of the Ravens' offensive game plan without Mark Andrews in Week 1. We typically see rookie wide receivers start with a modest route rate and go up from there as the season progresses. It’s very bullish that Flowers started at 93%, got a ton of designed looks, and tacked on two rush attempts as well. 

Odell Beckham had 100% route participation but only earned three targets. Rashod Bateman’s routes were only 57%, earning just three targets while rotating in with Nelson Agholor. It’s possible Bateman’s foot issues were the reason, but his utilization is something to monitor in Week 2.

Isaiah Likely (just one target, 1-4) was a non-factor in his game as the starter despite running 77% of routes. Andrews will likely suit up for Baltimore in Week 2, so Likely goes back to the waiver wire.

Week 1 Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews (missed Week 1 - quad)

Start ‘Em: Zay Flowers, Odell Beckham, Rashod Bateman (deeper 12-team leagues)

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: Justice Hill (deeper 12 & 14-team), Gus Edwards (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Dump ‘Em: J.K. Dobbins (Torn Achilles in Week 1, out for season), Isaiah Likely (if Andrews returns in Week 2)


Buffalo Bills

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Stefon DiggsWR1310102113542.7%92.0%84.1%33.3%7.828.3%
Gabe DavisWR423207022.2%94.0%94.2%10.3%8.08.5%17.50.680.3090.4574765
Trent SherfieldWR     0.0%12.0%15.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Deonte HartyWR43904915.5%26.0%21.7%10.3%2.330.8%12.30.690.2620.1841315
Khalil ShakirWR     0.0%12.0%10.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Dawson KnoxTE43250288.9%78.0%84.1%10.3%6.310.3%7.00.640.2160.8933958
Dalton KincaidTE4426051.6%76.0%79.7%10.3%6.510.5%1.30.680.1655.2003855
Quintin MorrisTE     0.0%6.0%8.7%0.0%0.00.0%
James CookRB64170257.9%50.0%59.4%15.4%2.824.0%4.20.680.2860.6802541
Damien HarrisRB2216000.0%14.0%13.0%5.1%8.028.6%
Latavius MurrayRB219041.3%24.0%23.2%5.1%4.516.7%2.00.750.0862.2501216
Reggie GilliamFB     0.0%2.0%5.8%0.0%0.00.0%

The Bills didn’t look particularly good on Monday Night Football in a game they absolutely should have taken advantage of the unfortunate Aaron Rodgers injury. They (Josh Allen) let the Jets hang around, and it bit them big time. Stefon Diggs was the monster and not at all the reason they lost, with 13 targets and a 10-102 line and some sideline love:

After Diggs, it was a hodge-podge of a handful of targets for a bunch of guys. Gabe Davis ran 94% of routes but only earned four targets. Deonte Harty received a bunch of schemed looks and a couple of deep balls but only ran 26% of routes. Both Dawson Knox (78% routes, 3-25) and Dalton Kincaid (76% routes, 4-26) earned four targets, making them both startable options given the lack of strength at tight end in fantasy.

As for the backs, James Cook got 67% of the rush attempts, was the second-highest target earner (six targets) on 50% of routes, and dominated this backfield in Week 1. The production should be more plentiful going forward for him. At this point, Damien Harris is pretty droppable after earning one carry and two targets mixing in with Latavius Murray.

Week 1 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs

Start ‘Em: James Cook

Keep Them Rostered: Gabe Davis (borderline 12-team starter), Dalton Kincaid (borderline 12-team starter)

Add ‘Em: Dawson Knox (tight end is ROUGH)

Dump ‘Em: Damien Harris (13% snaps, one carry)



Carolina Panthers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Adam ThielenWR2212093.9%90.5%90.9%6.5%6.05.3%4.50.320.1241.3333870
Jonathan MingoWR521708738.2%92.9%87.0%16.1%3.412.8%17.40.440.5090.1953967
Terrace MarshallWR622309541.7%95.2%89.6%19.4%3.815.0%15.80.580.5820.2424069
Laviska ShenaultWR22160-11-4.8%26.2%32.5%6.5%8.018.2%-5.51.450.063-1.4551125
Hayden HurstTE754115725.0%64.3%53.2%22.6%5.925.9%8.11.520.5140.7192741
Ian ThomasTE     0.0%7.1%19.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Tommy TrembleTE     0.0%19.0%23.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Giovanni RicciTE1120-1-0.4%11.9%10.4%3.2%2.020.0%-1.00.400.045-2.00058
Miles SandersRB64260-4-1.8%50.0%57.1%19.4%4.328.6%-
Chuba HubbardRB2290-4-1.8%31.0%36.4%6.5%4.515.4%-2.00.690.084-2.2501328

Adam Thielen, Jonathan Mingo, and Terrace Marshall all ran at least 90% of routes, but it didn’t matter. That’s not the supporting cast you want to depend on with a rookie quarterback like Bryce Young making his first career start. Only Hayden Hurst (64% routes, seven targets, 5-41-1) and Miles Sanders (50% routes, 57% snaps, six targets, 4-26) had more than two targets in Week 1.

Also, the Miles Sanders Truther Coalition (MSTC) better watch its heels for the Chuba Hubbard Efficiency Force (CHEF) as Hubbard continues his brand of efficiency on lower volume. Sanders did get 72% of the two-minute snaps, but Hubbard saw the majority of short-yardage snaps (71%) and 83% of short down and distance.  I don’t think there’s any immediate danger to Sanders’ role, but it bears monitoring on a team that could be not very good this season.

Week 1 Carolina Panthers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Miles Sanders

Keep Them Rostered: Adam Thielen, Jonathan Mingo, Hayden Hurst (deeper 12 & 14-team), Chuba Hubbard (deeper 12 & 14-team), D.J. Chark (missed Week 1 - hamstring), Bryce Young (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Chicago Bears

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DJ MooreWR222501311.7%93.9%91.9%5.6%12.54.3%6.50.540.1651.9234668
Darnell MooneyWR745315751.4%87.8%83.8%19.4%7.616.3%
Chase ClaypoolWR200021.8%75.5%78.4%5.6%0.05.4%
Tyler ScottWR2214043.6%20.4%17.6%5.6%7.020.0%2.01.400.1093.5001013
Trent TaylorWR     0.0%8.2%5.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Cole KmetTE754402320.7%93.9%97.3%19.4%6.315.2%3.30.960.4371.9134672
Robert TonyanTE     0.0%6.1%5.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Marcedes LewisTE     0.0%0.0%6.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Khalil HerbertRB53370-1-0.9%26.5%36.5%13.9%7.438.5%-0.22.850.202-37.0001327
D'Onta ForemanRB328010.9%32.7%28.4%8.3%2.718.8%0.30.500.1318.0001621
Roschon JohnsonRB7635098.1%36.7%39.2%19.4%5.038.9%1.31.940.3483.8891829
Khari BlasingameFB100032.7%6.1%9.5%2.8%0.033.3%

The Bears’ passing game looked sub-optimal largely because Justin Fields just couldn’t get the ball down the field. Chicago’s 108 air yards were the fourth-lowest total in Week 1, and that ripple effect was felt throughout the pass-catchers.

We’ll have to put the “Fields-to-DJ Moore is the new Jalen Hurts-to-AJ Brown” narrative on ice for a bit, as Moore could only earn two targets on 94% of routes. Darnell Mooney (88% routes, 4-53-1 on seven targets) caught the lone passing-game touchdown for the Bears. Nobody else really did anything of note outside of seven Cole Kmet targets and a 5-44 line, which was good enough for TE6 in PPR.

The Roschon Johnson seven-target outburst is very late in the game but bears SOME monitoring. Khalil Herbert is the lead dog here in the backfield (43% of rush attempts, 36% of snaps) and looked good at times when the Bears were in the game, but Johnson clearly has some high-value touch-earning ability and actually tied for the lead with 8 high-value touches (HVT) in Week 1.

Week 1 Chicago Bears Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Justin Fields

Start ‘Em: DJ Moore

Keep Them Rostered: Darnell Mooney, Cole Kmet, Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson (priority contingent back), D’Onta Foreman (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Roschon Johnson (all leagues)

Dump ‘Em: Chase Claypool (two targets, no stats, lambasted on Twitter/X for showing little effort while doing so)


Cincinnati Bengals

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Ja'Marr ChaseWR953908937.7%100.0%94.6%29.0%4.326.5%
Tee HigginsWR800015164.0%100.0%96.4%25.8%0.023.5%
Tyler BoydWR3210083.4%94.1%83.9%9.7%3.39.4%2.70.310.1691.2503247
Trenton IrwinWR     0.0%14.7%21.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Andrei IosivasWR     0.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Irv SmithTE5317020.8%70.6%53.6%16.1%3.420.8%0.40.710.2488.5002430
Drew SampleTE     0.0%8.8%32.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Mitchell WilcoxTE     0.0%5.9%12.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Joe MixonRB53170-13-5.5%50.0%62.5%16.1%3.429.4%-
Trayveon WilliamsRB     0.0%23.5%28.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Chris EvansRB11-10-1-0.4%8.8%12.5%3.2%-1.033.3%-1.0-0.330.0451.00037

The Bengals did not look very #good in this one, which could have been attributed to Joe Burrow’s calf, the rainy conditions, the Browns having the dog in them, and/or the Browns just knowing ball; who knows? What we do know is that Cleveland outclassed Cincinnati in Week 1.

This offense is as condensed as ever, with Ja’Marr Chase (six targets, 5-39) and Tee Higgins (eight targets, no catches, 151 air yards) both having 100% route participation, Tyler Boyd (three targets, 2-10) running 94% of routes as clear WR3, and Irv Smith (five targets, 3-10) chipping in with 70% of routes. 

Joe Mixon was solid enough in the loss, but better days are ahead for the Bengals. Just wasn’t in the cards today. I’m not making any sort of rash decisions with any of these players after this game.

Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins, Joe Mixon

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Tyler Boyd, Irv Smith (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Trayveon Williams (14-team leagues, clear contingent back and played ahead of Chris Evans)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Cleveland Browns

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amari CooperWR7337010834.3%62.9%60.8%24.1%5.331.8%15.41.680.6020.3432245
Elijah MooreWR734306420.3%80.0%70.3%24.1%6.125.0%9.11.540.5040.6722852
Donovan Peoples-JonesWR21120319.8%80.0%89.2%6.9%6.07.1%15.50.430.1720.3872866
Cedric TillmanWR     0.0%14.3%14.9%0.0%0.00.0%
David BellWR1000134.1%11.4%13.5%3.4%0.025.0%
Marquise GoodwinWR20008627.3%22.9%13.5%6.9%0.025.0%
David NjokuTE3224072.2%74.3%75.7%10.3%8.011.5%2.30.920.1713.4292656
Jordan AkinsTE1112010.3%17.1%28.4%3.4%12.016.7%
Harrison BryantTE225141.3%22.9%36.5%6.9%2.525.0%2.00.630.1121.250827
Nick ChubbRB4421010.3%34.3%48.6%13.8%5.333.3%0.31.750.20921.0001236
Jerome FordRB     0.0%34.3%40.5%0.0%0.00.0%

The Browns thoroughly dominated the Bengals in Week 1 with little resistance from the Bengals. Of course, there was some weather concerns, Joe Burrow being a little bit rusty, or a combo of the two to pair with Cleveland just outclassing Cincinnati on the defensive end.

Nick Chubb had over 100 rushing yards in this game with four targets and essentially had a split role when all was said and done. Jerome Ford played a bit of the Kareem Hunt “closer” role that Hunt had over the last couple of seasons, and matched Chubb’s routes (34.3%) while still maintaining a 40% snap share to Chubb’s 49%. Ford was always going to have a bit of a role, but it’s very unlikely to be anything meaningful for fantasy unless Ford takes the lion’s share of routes from Chubb. Any uptick in routes from Chubb helps, but it’s unlikely he sees 60-70 targets.

Only Chubb had over three receptions amongst all the pass-catchers only Elijah Moore had over 40 yards receiving. It was not the greatest fantasy day for anybody in the Browns offense but there was some encouraging stuff here. Amari Cooper (seven targets, 3-37, 63% routes) missed some time in Week 1, Moore (seven targets, 3-43) saw 80% of routes and two rushing attempts, and David Njoku’s 2-24 saw just three targets on 74% routes. 

Week 1 Cleveland Browns Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Nick Chubb

Start ‘Em: Deshaun Watson, Amari Cooper, David Njoku, Elijah Moore 

Keep Them Rostered: Jerome Ford (priority contingent back)

Add ‘Em: Jerome Ford (all leagues)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Dallas Cowboys

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
CeeDee LambWR447703720.4%95.8%80.7%16.0%19.317.4%9.33.350.3832.0812346
Brandin CooksWR422204022.1%79.2%59.6%16.0%5.521.1%
Michael GallupWR211003619.9%79.2%68.4%8.0%5.010.5%18.00.530.2590.2781939
Jalen TolbertWR10002011.0%12.5%26.3%4.0%0.033.3%
KaVontae TurpinWR3211052.8%16.7%19.3%12.0%3.775.0%1.72.750.1992.200411
Jake FergusonTE721102815.5%54.2%71.9%28.0%1.653.8%4.00.850.5280.3931341
Luke SchoonmakerTE     0.0%4.2%26.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Peyton HendershotTE1000179.4%45.8%47.4%4.0%0.09.1%
Tony PollardRB32120-2-1.1%66.7%64.9%12.0%4.018.8%-0.70.750.172-6.0001637
Rico DowdleRB     0.0%8.3%15.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Deuce VaughnRB     0.0%4.2%12.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Hunter LuepkeRB     0.0%4.2%7.0%0.0%0.00.0%

We talk about thoroughly dominating from the Browns above, but the Cowboys went scorched earth on the Giants in their own building on national television in Week 1. So much so that the passing game really didn’t need to do much. Only Jake Ferguson (2-11, 54% routes) earned more than four targets, and only CeeDee Lamb (four targets, 4-77, 96% routes) had more than 22 receiving yards.

Tony Pollard (14-70-2; three targets, 2-12) did the heavy lifting on the ground with 5.0 yards per carry and two touchdowns. Rico Dowdle and Deuce Vaughn saw backup carries to salt this game away, but this is Pollard’s backfield through and through. I’d say the Cowboys should get some more offensive variety in Week 2, but they have the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets coming into AT&T Stadium for the Cowboys’ home opener. Yikes.

Week 1 Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: CeeDee Lamb, Tony Pollard

Start ‘Em: Brandin CooksDak Prescott (borderline 12-team starter)

Keep Them Rostered: Jake FergusonMichael Gallup (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Denver Broncos

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Courtland SuttonWR543213829.5%86.5%85.9%16.1%6.415.6%
Marvin MimsWR229032.3%27.0%26.6%6.5%4.520.0%1.50.900.1133.0001017
Brandon JohnsonWR323103325.6%56.8%50.0%9.7%10.314.3%11.01.480.3240.9392132
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR2211197.0%67.6%70.3%6.5%5.58.0%4.50.440.1461.2222545
Phillip DorsettWR10002116.3%13.5%9.4%3.2%0.020.0%
Greg DulcichTE222201914.7%32.4%32.8%6.5%11.016.7%9.51.830.2001.1581221
Adam TrautmanTE553401814.0%62.2%71.9%16.1%6.821.7%3.61.480.3401.8892346
Chris ManhertzTE     0.0%21.6%39.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Javonte WilliamsRB6450-9-7.0%32.4%45.3%19.4%0.850.0%-1.50.420.241-0.5561229
Samaje PerineRB4437043.1%45.9%45.3%12.9%9.323.5%
Jaleel McLaughlinRB11-70-7-5.4%8.1%7.8%3.2%-7.033.3%-7.0-2.330.0101.00035
Michael BurtonFB     0.0%8.1%9.4%0.0%0.00.0%

Courtland Sutton was the only Bronco to run over 68% of routes and he saved his day with a touchdown grab on a subpar 4-32 day on a five targets. Of course, that next highest wasn’t the second-round pick Marvin Mims (two targets, 2-9, 27% routes), because that would make sense. It was Lil’Jordan Humphrey (who we’re definitely not adding). He ran 68% of routes, caught a touchdown and it’s so weird and gross to see Sean Payton play his New Orleans buddies over actually talented players like Greg Dulcich (two targets, 2-22, 32% routes) and Mims. Adam Trautman ran 62% routes and was tied for second in targets (five) to put up a 5-34 line. We’re not adding him in anything but super deep leagues.

If you had asked me in the offseason who would be the likely leader in carries amongst running backs for Denver in Week 1, the answer would quickly have been Samaje Perine. How wrong we were and how quickly things change. The fact that Javonte Williams (13 carries, 52 yards; team-leading six targets, 4-5) did this 10 months from an ACL injury is wild. He’s only going to get better and that removes SOME of the thesis behind Perine getting early work, though he did get quite a bit here with eight carries and four targets. Perine is still usable, but the work might be on the backslide over the next month or so.

Week 1 Denver Broncos Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Javonte Williams

Start ‘Em: Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy (missed Week 1 - hamstring)

Keep Them Rostered: Greg Dulcich (left Week 1 - leg), Samaje PerineRussell Wilson (matchups-based borderline 12-team starter), Marvin Mims

Add ‘Em: Adam Trautman (14-team leagues)

Dump ‘Em: Jaleel McLaughlin (all leagues)


Detroit Lions

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR967116027.6%100.0%94.3%28.1%7.925.0%6.71.970.6151.1833666
Kalif RaymondWR11200177.8%25.0%27.1%3.1%20.011.1%
Josh ReynoldsWR748007032.3%80.6%70.0%21.9%11.424.1%10.02.760.5541.1432949
Marvin JonesWR62805023.0%58.3%55.7%18.8%1.328.6%8.30.380.4430.1602139
Sam LaPortaTE55390209.2%72.2%82.9%15.6%7.819.2%4.01.500.2991.9502658
Brock WrightTE2217062.8%13.9%38.6%6.3%8.540.0%3.03.400.1132.833527
James MitchellTE000000.0%2.8%8.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Jahmyr GibbsRB22180-6-2.8%25.0%27.1%6.3%9.022.2%-
David MontgomeryRB000000.0%55.6%78.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Jason CabindaFB000000.0%8.3%15.7%0.0%0.00.0%

While it wasn’t the prettiest win, a win is a win for the Lions. We wanted to see if Amon-Ra St. Brown would be utilized deeper than last season’s 6.5-yard aDOT, and, well, St. Brown was at 6.7 yards in Week 1. He scored the first touchdown of the NFL season and led the team with nine targets and 100% route participation. Lock him in as a stud WR1.

The Lions’ WR2 was going to come down to Marvin Jones and Josh Reynolds in the absence of Jameson Williams for the next six games, and when all was said and done, Reynolds (80.6%) held off Jones (58.3%) in routes. Reynolds was much more productive with his seven targets (4-80-0) than Jones (2-8-0) was with his, so if you’re in a pinch with all the wide receiver injuries we’ve had over the last couple of weeks, Reynolds may be a solid add as a back-end flex play while Williams serves his suspension.

The thesis behind drafting rookie tight end Sam LaPorta was that he was going to find immediate utilization in front of Brock Wright, and he certainly did. LaPorta played 83% of the snaps and ran 72% of the routes while catching all five targets for 39 yards. Wright’s 39% snap share was mostly blocking snaps, so LaPorta is all systems go as a fantasy starting tight end.

The Lions’ backfield featured just David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, with Gibbs taking a backseat to Montgomery in most situations. Montgomery (annoyingly) ran 56% of the pass routes in Week 1 to GIbbs’ 25%. As far as rushing work, Montgomery out-touched Gibbs 3:1 on the ground and punched in an eight-yard touchdown.

For those Gibbs fantasy managers out there, this is going to be a work in progress. Gibbs looked GREAT and passed the “eye test”, but we’re going to have to be patient with any kind of workload increase. He can pop off at any time, though, so he should be started universally with the third-round price spent on Gibbs in fantasy leagues.

Week 1 Detroit Lions Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Amon-Ra St. Brown

Start ‘Em: David Montgomery, Jahmyr GibbsJared Goff

Keep Them Rostered: Jameson Williams (deeper 12-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: Sam LaPorta (ALL leagues), Josh Reynolds (deeper 12-team leagues)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Green Bay Packers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Romeo DoubsWR54262279.8%66.7%48.3%18.5%5.225.0%5.41.300.3470.9632029
Jayden ReedWR524809333.8%66.7%53.3%18.5%9.625.0%18.62.400.5150.5162032
Samori ToureWR321806222.5%40.0%35.0%11.1%6.025.0%20.71.500.3240.2901221
Dontayvion WicksWR2000207.3%63.3%61.7%7.4%0.010.5%
Malik HeathWR1000114.0%30.0%48.3%3.7%0.011.1%
Luke MusgraveTE435007226.2%76.7%75.0%14.8%12.517.4%
Tucker KraftTE     0.0%6.7%21.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Josiah DeguaraTE     0.0%13.3%31.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Ben SimsTE     0.0%0.0%15.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Aaron JonesRB42861-4-1.5%53.3%46.7%14.8%21.525.0%-1.05.380.212-21.5001628
AJ DillonRB32170-6-2.2%33.3%48.3%11.1%5.730.0%-2.01.700.151-2.8331029
Patrick TaylorRB     0.0%3.3%11.7%0.0%0.00.0%

The Packers on offense had almost no right to be as good as they were in Week 1 without Christian Watson, but they had the Bears’ sorry defense helping them out a ton. Luke Musgrave actually led the Packers in routes (77%) and snaps (75%) across all positions, so we know his job is secure and boosts him into a borderline 12-team starting territory with a 3-50 line on four targets. 

The wide receivers were all mixed and matched as the Packers value scheme versatility with players that can play all three wide receiver positions. No receiver played over 67% of routes, but Jayden Reed (2-48) and Romeo Doubs (4-26-2) both did match that route total, both led the Packers in targets (5), and Doubs scored twice. 

The backfield was mixed between Aaron Jones (47% snaps) and AJ Dillon (48% snaps) as it’s always been but Jones was awesome with two total touchdowns and a team-leading 86 receiving yards. If Jones misses Week 2 with his hamstring injury, Dillon would carry most of the rushing work in this offense in what figures to be a leather helmet game against the Falcons with running game vs. running game. 

Week 1 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Aaron Jones (hamstring injury, likely questionable for Week 2)

Start ‘Em: Christian Watson (missed Week 1 - hamstring)

Keep Them Rostered: Romeo Doubs, Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed, AJ Dillon

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Houston Texans

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Robert WoodsWR1068007528.7%74.1%75.3%23.8%8.025.0%
Nico CollinsWR11657015860.5%72.2%71.4%26.2%5.228.2%14.41.460.8170.3613955
Noah BrownWR43200-13-5.0%77.8%67.5%9.5%5.09.5%-3.30.480.108-1.5384252
Xavier HutchinsonWR119072.7%13.0%9.1%2.4%9.014.3%
Tank DellWR433403413.0%46.3%48.1%9.5%8.516.0%8.51.360.2341.0002537
Dalton SchultzTE424062.3%90.7%80.5%9.5%1.08.2%
Teagan QuitorianoTE1111010.4%11.1%28.6%2.4%11.016.7%1.01.830.03811.000622
Dameon PierceRB329000.0%40.7%46.8%7.1%3.013.6%0.00.410.1070.0002236
Devin SingletaryRB     0.0%9.3%20.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Mike BooneRB43180-7-2.7%35.2%32.5%9.5%4.521.1%-1.80.950.124-2.5711925
Andrew BeckFB     0.0%7.4%19.5%0.0%0.00.0%

If the Texans are going to let C.J. Stroud pass through his rookie season like they did in Week 1 (44 pass attempts; 54 dropbacks — second-most in Week 1), then we’re going to have some fantasy value on our hands here in Houston. It’s weird typing that because we haven’t had that in quite a while with the Texans. They had a positive 0.5% pass rate over expected in Week 1, which doesn’t seem like a lot, but it was good for ninth in the NFL in Week 1. Any sort of aggressiveness while leading or trailing in throwing the ball is going to trickle down to some fantasy goodness.

Both Nico Collins (6-80, 72% routes) and Robert Woods (6-57, 74% routes) consolidated targets with both earning 11 and 10 targets respectively, and that accounted for almost half of the targets available for Houston. With Noah Brown hitting IR, that should boost some routes a bit for Collins and Woods with makes them both a little more viable. We’re not expecting double-digit targets each week from both guys, but this Collins week with 158 air yards (third-most in Week 1) bodes very well for future fantasy production. Collins has been a guy that has always had the receiving profile but never had a quarterback or offense that could get him the ball consistently. Maybe we’ve turned a corner a bit here, but I don’t mind Collins and Woods as flex plays with so many injuries to the wide receiver position lately.

Dalton Schultz (four targets, 2-4, 91% routes) was on the field a ton and the clear receiving target, but was third in the pecking order in Week 1. He has the ability to overachieve but the routes share is very good. Better weeks are ahead.

The preseason utilization for Dameon Pierce screamed three-down profile, but that couldn’t be further from the case, at least in Week 1. Pierce ceded entire drives and some receiving work to Devin Singletary and Mike Boone. Pierce was only on the field for 47% of snaps with Boone (33%) and Singletary (21%) also contributing. That is NOT what we want if we’re trying to squeeze any value out of Pierce. I’m a bit concerned if Pierce gets squeezed out when the Texans are trailing, which is going to be quite a bit. 

Week 1 Houston Texans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Dameon Pierce

Keep Them Rostered: Nico Collins, Robert Woods, C.J. Stroud (deep 12 and 14-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Noah Brown (placed on IR - groin)

Indianapolis Colts

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Michael PittmanWR1189717333.5%97.9%95.8%28.2%8.823.9%
Alec PierceWR31502210.1%87.2%91.7%7.7%1.77.3%
Josh DownsWR73300209.2%76.6%79.2%17.9%4.319.4%2.90.830.3331.5003657
Isaiah McKenzieWR     0.0%2.1%1.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Juwann WinfreeWR     0.0%10.6%6.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Mo Alie-CoxTE20003917.9%66.0%22.2%5.1%0.06.5%
Kylen GransonTE643903917.9%72.3%61.1%15.4%6.517.6%
Andrew OgletreeTE212002812.8%14.9%20.8%5.1%10.028.6%14.02.860.1670.714715
Deon JacksonRB65140-6-2.8%61.7%70.8%15.4%2.320.7%-1.00.480.212-2.3332951
Evan HullRB116031.4%10.6%11.1%2.6%6.020.0%
Jake FunkRB1112000.0%17.0%18.1%2.6%12.012.5%0.01.500.0380.000813

There wasn’t too much in the way of fantasy goodness besides two key components of the Colts’ offense: Michael Pittman and Anthony Richardson.

Richardson threw for a touchdown to Pittman (8-97-1 on 11 targets) and rushed in a touchdown too. He’s only going to get better as the season progresses, and let’s remember that Shane Steichen was one of the architects behind the rise of Jalen Hurts in Philadelphia, so we have to be a bit patient here. Still, the talent and opportunity (37 pass attempts!) are going to be there for Richardson to grow and thrive in Year 1. The framework is definitely there.

Pittman was the only pass-catcher worth a damn in this one, as Alec Pierce (three targets on 87% of routes) was an All-Exercise 1st Team player in Week 1. Josh Downs (seven targets, 3-30, 77% routes) saw a lot of short-area targets, with seven of them at a 2.9 aDOT. Downs operated as the primary slot man (35 slot snaps to 3 wide), so Downs will come off the field once the formation condenses, but it’s a good sign to see him targeted so much, and that connection is sure to grow as we progress through 2023.

This running back room, minus Jonathan Taylor, is pretty gross, as Deon Jackson’s terribly inefficient game of 13 carries for 14 yards isn’t going to cut it. He chipped in with six targets (5-14), but that’s not going to keep your job. Zack Moss may be back for Week 2 and seems very likely to take a ton of the RB1 role for the Colts going forward when he returns from his arm injury. 

Evan Hull will hit IR with a knee injury and that leaves Jackson and Jake Funk as the lone backs besides a returning Moss. It’s gross out here, but Moss is somebody to roster if you want anybody out of this hodge-podge backfield.

Week 1 Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Michael Pittman, Anthony Richardson

Keep Them Rostered: Jonathan Taylor (PUP until Week 5), Deon Jackson (deep 12 and 14-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: Zack Moss (potentially coming back to lead the Colts RB in Week 2)

Dump ‘Em: kkk

Jacksonville Jaguars

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Calvin RidleyWR118101110045.0%97.1%81.4%34.4%9.232.4%9.12.970.8311.0103457
Christian KirkWR3190209.0%65.7%61.4%9.4%3.013.0%6.70.390.2040.4502343
Zay JonesWR755517433.3%91.4%87.1%21.9%7.921.9%10.61.720.5610.7433261
Jamal AgnewWR     0.0%0.0%4.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Tim JonesWR     0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Evan EngramTE554902611.7%88.6%72.9%15.6%9.816.1%5.21.580.3161.8853151
Luke FarrellTE     0.0%25.7%47.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Brenton StrangeTE     0.0%14.3%38.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Travis EtienneRB5527010.5%85.7%80.0%15.6%5.416.7%0.20.900.23827.0003056
Tank BigsbyRB100010.5%14.3%21.4%3.1%0.020.0%
D'Ernest JohnsonRB     0.0%0.0%1.4%0.0%0.00.0%

Calvin Ridley, welcome to Studville. If we had this data point and ran our drafts again starting for Week 2, he’d easily be a first-round pick. Ridley put up 8-101-1 on 11 targets while getting 45% of air yards, a full 97% routes, and a robust 2.97 yards per route run. Elite stuff. He’s a WR1 going forward

Christian Kirk’s utilization in the preseason was a bit concerning as he was coming off the field in two-WR sets, giving way to Ridley and Zay Jones. That continued into Week 1 as Kirk played 37 of snaps in 11 personnel but gave way in 12 personnel to play only 6 of 21 snaps there; shoutout to Nathan Jahnke of Pro Football Focus for those stats. 

Kirk only ran 66% of routes in Week 1 and put up a disappointing one-catch, nine-yard line off of three targets. Kirk ran 23 total routes compared to Ridley’s 34 and Jones’ 32 on 35 total dropbacks, so the ceiling for Kirk going forward is much lower than last season when Kirk WAS playing in two-WR sets. The slot receivers we want and prioritize in fantasy are the Cooper Kupp and Chris Godwin types, who play in the slot in three-receiver sets but then go outside when the formation condenses to two-WR. That’s not happening here, so while Kirk is part of an ascending offense that will get many opportunities to score, he will be seeing less time on the field than Ridley, Jones, Travis Etienne, and Evan Engram. That doesn’t bode well for his future prospects outside of an injury to Ridley or Jones, so because of that, we’re downgrading Kirk from a WR2 to a mid-range WR3 or flex territory. Not great, Bob.

Speaking of Etienne, besides two green-zone touches for Tank Bigsby one of which resulted in a touchdown, Etienne dominated the backfield touches and time on the field with a nice 69% of running back carries, 86% routes, and 80% of snaps plus five targets. No worries here, and we love to see this kind of backfield dominance, though Bigsby taking some touchdowns like how JaMycal Hasty was annoying last season is certainly something to keep in the back of our minds.

Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Calvin Ridley, Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence

Start ‘Em: Evan Engram, Zay Jones (deeper 12 and 14-team)

Keep Them Rostered: Christian Kirk, Tank Bigsby (priority contingent play)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Kansas City Chiefs

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Kadarius ToneyWR51104112.0%24.4%24.6%13.5%0.245.5%
Skyy MooreWR3000288.2%64.4%69.2%8.1%0.010.3%
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR224804613.4%73.3%63.1%5.4%24.06.1%23.01.450.1751.0433341
Rashee RiceWR532913811.1%26.7%30.8%13.5%5.841.7%7.62.420.2800.7631220
Richie JamesWR21604312.5%40.0%35.4%5.4%3.011.1%21.50.330.1690.1401823
Justyn RossWR116061.7%11.1%9.2%2.7%6.020.0%
Justin WatsonWR4245010229.7%35.6%29.2%10.8%11.325.0%25.52.810.3700.4411619
Noah GrayTE533103610.5%82.2%87.7%13.5%6.213.5%7.20.840.2760.8613757
Blake BellTE32121133.8%24.4%40.0%8.1%4.027.3%
Matt BushmanTE000000.0%4.4%10.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Isiah PachecoRB44310-15-4.4%42.2%47.7%10.8%7.821.1%-3.81.630.132-2.0671931
Jerick McKinnonRB2110051.5%37.8%30.8%5.4%5.011.8%2.50.590.0912.0001720
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB117000.0%17.8%21.5%2.7%7.012.5%0.00.880.0410.000814

If Travis Kelce is out for much longer, it could get ugly. It's good that he may have Taylor Swift to help him in his recuperation.

The Chiefs put up 20 points in their surprising home loss against the Lions, and as we all predicted, Rashee Rice and Blake Bell scored the two touchdowns. All seven Chiefs wide receivers rotated in and out, with only Marquez Valdes-Scantling receiving over 70% of routes (73.3%), Skyy Moore getting 64.4%, and nobody else getting over 40% of routes among the receivers.

Kadarius Toney’s night was marred by many drops and miscues, but he ran 11 routes and was targeted on five of them. Of course, if he’s not going to make plays, he won’t receive that opportunity, but he also is coming back from a torn meniscus and subsequent surgery to clean up some cartilage in his knee. Still, between Toney and Moore, it was very disappointing.

Rice could earn more rotational work after arguably looking the best of any of the Chiefs’ receivers, scoring a first-half touchdown and tying for the team lead with five targets. As the team’s deep threat in Week 1, Justin Watson looked pretty good, too, with a team-leading 102 air yards and a 25.5-yard aDOT. He did only run 35% of routes, so let’s not go add him.

Noah Gray earned five targets in place of Kelce, but Gray goes right back into sporadic usage once Kelce returns.

As for the running backs, it was a committee through and through, with Isiah Pacheco (8) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (6) essentially splitting the rushing work while Jerick McKinnon (17) mixed in with Pacheco (19) on pass routes. McKinnon got most of the third-down work, short-yardage, and two-minute drill work. In raw volume, Pacheco leads this trio as he (47%) out-snapped McKinnon (31%) and Edwards-Helaire (21.5%) on the week. The Chiefs will be up in most games, so Pacheco didn’t have a lead to salt away in this win. He’ll have his.

Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Takeaways:

Always Play Your Studs: Travis Kelce (DNP Week 1), Patrick Mahomes

Start ‘Em: Isiah Pacheco, Jerick McKinnon (deeper)

Keep Them Rostered: Kadarius Toney, Skyy Moore, Rashee Rice, Justyn Ross (deeper 12 & 14-team leagues), Richie James (deeper 14-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Las Vegas Raiders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Davante AdamsWR966609551.9%100.0%88.1%34.6%7.331.0%
Jakobi MeyersWR1098126937.7%82.8%79.7%38.5%8.141.7%6.93.380.8411.1742447
Hunter RenfrowWR     0.0%31.0%22.0%0.0%0.00.0%
DeAndre CarterWR1150-2-1.1%10.3%18.6%3.8%5.033.3%-2.01.670.050-2.500311
Kristian WilkersonWR     0.0%31.0%22.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Austin HooperTE112001910.4%51.7%52.5%3.8%20.06.7%19.01.330.1301.0531531
Michael MayerTE     0.0%31.0%49.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Josh JacobsRB32230-3-1.6%48.3%79.7%11.5%7.721.4%-1.01.640.162-7.6671447
Zamir WhiteRB1150-1-0.5%10.3%8.5%3.8%5.033.3%-1.01.670.054-5.00035
Ameer AbdullahRB100063.3%17.2%11.9%3.8%0.020.0%
Jakob JohnsonFB     0.0%34.5%45.8%0.0%0.00.0%

This game was pretty ugly versus the Denver Broncos, but Davante Adams (nine targets, 6-66, 100% routes) and Jakobi Meyers (10 targets, 9-81-2, 93% routes) both combined for 72% of the Raiders targets on the afternoon. Meyers left the game with concussion symptoms and is now in the concussion protocol for Week 2. 

Only Josh Jacobs had more than one target amongst the rest of the pass-catchers and he played a robust 80% routes share to middling production, but his days will come. Zamir White had the only non-Jacobs carry of the running backs so we’re yet again locked into a potential massive workload yet again for Jacobs.

Week 1 Las Vegas Raiders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs

Start ‘Em: Jakobi Meyers (in concussion protocol; Week 2 up in the air)

Keep Them Rostered: Michael Mayer (TE stash in deeper 12 & 14-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Los Angeles Chargers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Keenan AllenWR9676010545.5%97.6%92.5%29.0%8.422.0%11.71.850.7540.7244174
Mike WilliamsWR544504218.2%73.8%77.5%16.1%9.016.1%8.41.450.3691.0713162
Quentin JohnstonWR32903716.0%38.1%27.5%9.7%3.018.8%12.30.560.2570.2431622
Joshua PalmerWR114031.3%73.8%65.0%3.2%4.03.2%
Derius DavisWR1150-4-1.7%0.0%3.8%3.2%5.00.0%-
Gerald EverettTE3221083.5%59.5%67.5%9.7%7.012.0%2.70.840.1692.6252554
Donald ParhamTE33211125.2%40.5%48.8%9.7%7.017.6%
Tre' McKittyTE     0.0%0.0%6.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Stone SmarttTE     0.0%4.8%7.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Austin EkelerRB544702310.0%57.1%51.3%16.1%9.420.8%4.61.960.3122.0432441
Joshua KelleyRB100052.2%40.5%47.5%3.2%0.05.9%
Elijah DotsonRB     0.0%2.4%1.3%0.0%0.00.0%

For the Chargers, Keenan Allen dominated the passing game weapons for the Chargers as only two other pass-catchers earned more than four targets; Austin Ekeler (five targets, 4-47; 16-117-1) and Mike Williams (five targets, 4-45, 74% routes).

Quentin Johnson (three targets, 2-9, 38% routes) mixed in with some of the depth pieces after Allen and Williams, but it is interesting that in just half the routes of Joshua Palmer (74% routes, one target, 1-4), Johnston tripled Palmer’s targets. Let’s get that flip here Kellen Moore with Johnston and ride the lightning (pun totally intended) as Chargers’ WR3.

Ekeler and Joshua Kelley both had 16 carries in this one and with Ekeler reportedly nursing an ankle injury and in danger of missing Week 2, that should vault Kelley into a massive role. Even if Ekeler does play, Kelley looks to be locked into work here with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore’s scheme where he plays multiple running backs. There’s a lot of meat on the bone with this high-powered offense led by Moore and quarterback Justin Herbert and we want pieces of this offense in particular.

Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen

Start ‘Em: Mike Williams

Keep Them Rostered: Joshua Kelley, Quentin Johnson, Gerald Everett

Add ‘Em: Joshua Kelley (all formats)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Los Angeles Rams

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Van JeffersonWR542405713.7%89.7%92.6%14.3%4.814.3%11.40.690.3100.4213575
Tutu AtwellWR86119012630.2%89.7%79.0%22.9%14.922.9%15.83.400.5540.9443564
Puka NacuaWR1510119014434.5%89.7%77.8%42.9%7.942.9%9.63.400.8850.8263563
Ben SkowronekWR2000184.3%12.8%25.9%5.7%0.040.0%
Demarcus RobinsonWR     0.0%5.1%3.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Tyler HigbeeTE33490378.9%84.6%91.4%8.6%16.39.1%12.31.480.1911.3243374
Brycen HopkinsTE21210112.6%17.9%28.4%5.7%10.528.6%
Davis AllenTE     0.0%2.6%1.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Cam AkersRB     0.0%10.3%34.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Kyren WilliamsRB0020245.8%74.4%65.4%0.0%0.00.0%

Let’s start with one of the biggest surprises in Week 1, Puka Nacua. With Cooper Kupp out, we knew who the Rams were going to trot out as their wide receivers against the Seattle Seahawks, but I don’t think anybody expected what happened in Week 1. 15 targets, 10 catches, 119 yards. Nacua ran 90% of routes per dropback on the day and gobbled up 43% of the team’s targets.

Tutu Atwell, who had 119 yards receiving himself with a 90% routes share, was targeted deeper with a much longer 15.8-yard aDOT. Both Nacua and Atwell had excellent games, and both will be starting for the next several weeks with Kupp sidelined. We don’t know what’s going to happen with Kupp going forward after coming off of IR, but at the very least, Nacua and Atwell have shown that they’re players in this league. For Nacua specifically, not everybody can just go out and get 15 targets. You have to be good, and we’ve got a data point that says Nacua is good. We’re not talking about a player that hit on 3 catches for 158 yards and 3 touchdowns because that would be red flag city.

Van Jefferson was also present and accounted for as he ran 90% of routes and did typical Van Jefferson things (nada — five targets, 4-24). Tyler Higbee (three targets, 3-49, 85% routes) was a mild disappointment against one of the softer defenses against tight ends, but they preferred to attack the middle with Nacua than Higbee.

Cam Akers put up one of the most stunning rushing lines in recent memory, with a 22-carry, 29-yard performance. That’s 1.3 YPC, folks. But he got the touchdown, right? Terrible. Kyren Williams got himself two touches and looked like the next coming of Jamaal Charles with his 15-carry, 52-yard line (3.5 YPC). Williams was in on virtually ever pass down (74% routes) and Akers was the Jordan Howard-esque rushing down back.

At least the pass game is interesting now.

Week 1 Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Cooper Kupp (on IR)

Start ‘Em: Puca Nacua

Keep Them Rostered: Kyren Williams, Tutu Atwell, Matthew Stafford, Cam Akers, Tyler Higbee, Van Jefferson (deeper 12 and 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Kyren Williams

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Miami Dolphins

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Tyreek HillWR1511215222745.4%73.2%62.9%34.1%14.350.0%
Jaylen WaddleWR547807014.0%73.2%64.5%11.4%15.616.7%14.02.600.2681.1143040
Braxton BerriosWR534208617.2%61.0%50.0%11.4%8.420.0%17.21.680.2910.4882531
Erik EzukanmaWR     0.0%19.5%29.0%0.0%0.00.0%
River CracraftWR53401459.0%34.1%41.9%11.4%8.035.7%9.02.860.2330.8891426
Durham SmytheTE734405911.8%80.5%100.0%15.9%6.321.2%8.41.330.3210.7463362
Tyler KroftTE     0.0%0.0%3.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Raheem MostertRB2213010.2%68.3%74.2%4.5%6.57.1%0.50.460.07013.0002846
Salvon AhmedRB300000.0%26.8%27.4%6.8%0.027.3%
Alec IngoldFB22340122.4%29.3%46.8%4.5%17.016.7%6.02.830.0852.8331229

Tyreek Hill (15 targets, 11-215-2) is pretty good. 

The Dolphins’ passing game with 500 air yards (league-high in Week 1) is going to be among the league’s most explosive and condensed. The condensed nature of the targets didn’t really ring true as besides Hill, three other pass-catchers earned five or more targets, including tight end Durham Smythe (seven targets, 3-44, 81% routes), who could be worthy of a pickup in deep leagues where tight end is a wasteland. 

Jaylen Waddle (five targets, 4-78, 73% routes) did get squeezed a bit on the target side thanks to Hill’s monster game, but he’s going to definitely have his through the season, so no worries at all here.

Raheem Mostert (10 carries, 74% snaps) was the bellcow back here without DeVon Achane (healthy scratch) and Jeff Wilson (IR), but now Mostert is banged up (knee injury) and could potentially miss Week 2. That would elevate Achane and some combo of him and Salvon Ahmed would get the majority of work in the backfield.

I’m picking up Ahmed as a stash in case Mostert misses this week as the high-value touch component of such an explosive offense is too tantalizing. I want pieces of this offense that are going to be used. Mike McDaniel knows what he’s doing here in Miami considering the last time the Dolphins played the Chargers, they had his number. I’m in.

Week 1 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Warren, Tua Tagovailoa

Start ‘Em: Raheem Mostert (when healthy)

Keep Them Rostered: Durham Smythe (deeper 12 and 14-team leagues), Jeff Wilson (IR - rib/finger), DeVon Achane

Add ‘Em: Durham Smythe (tight end is a wasteland)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Minnesota Vikings

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Justin JeffersonWR129150011538.6%100.0%98.4%27.3%12.525.5%
Jordan AddisonWR646117324.5%66.0%56.3%13.6%10.219.4%12.21.970.3760.8363136
K.J. OsbornWR633105919.8%93.6%90.6%13.6%5.213.6%9.80.700.3430.5254458
T.J. HockensonTE983503210.7%76.6%75.0%20.5%3.925.0%3.60.970.3821.0943648
Josh OliverTE33320134.4%27.7%46.9%6.8%10.723.1%4.32.460.1332.4621330
Johnny MundtTE     0.0%4.3%7.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Alexander MattisonRB4310193.0%55.3%73.4%9.1%2.515.4%2.30.380.1581.1112647
Ty ChandlerRB11180-4-1.3%14.9%17.2%2.3%18.014.3%-4.02.570.025-4.500711
C.J. HamFB327010.3%25.5%34.4%6.8%2.325.0%0.30.580.1057.0001222

Justin Jefferson (9-150, 12 targets) is a stud. Let’s just get that one out of the way.

Alexander Mattison was pretty inefficient (11-34, 3.1 YPC) but looked amazing compared to how bad Rachaad White was on the other side of this game.

One note that we’ll be monitoring is Jordan Addison and K.J. Osborn as the WR2 in this offense. Both players earned six targets, but Osborn ran 94% of routes and only had a 3-31 line. On the flip side, Addison (4-61-1, 66% routes) scored and looked excellent while doing so. It’s only a matter of time before Addison is the one running 85%+ routes, but we’ll get there.

The Vikings are who they are: thoroughly condensed in their offense and they do not play many depth pieces, if any. Only three receivers even played a snap, two tight ends, two running backs, and the fullback C.J. Ham. It will be like this all season unless injuries strike or a blowout happens where the Vikings have to salt away games. 

Week 1 Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Justin Jefferson (duh), T.J. Hockenson

Start ‘Em: Kirk Cousins, Jordan Addison, Alexander Mattison 

Keep Them Rostered: K.J. Osborn (deeper 12 and 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

New England Patriots

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
JuJu Smith-SchusterWR74330297.5%46.6%53.8%13.0%4.725.9%
Kendrick BourneWR11664212933.3%93.1%91.3%20.4%5.820.4%
Demario DouglasWR744008321.4%46.6%41.3%13.0%5.725.9%11.91.480.3450.4822733
Kayshon BoutteWR40008421.7%74.1%68.8%7.4%0.09.3%
Hunter HenryTE655616216.0%72.4%78.8%11.1%9.314.3%10.31.330.2790.9034263
Mike GesickiTE33360123.1%41.4%41.3%5.6%12.012.5%4.01.500.1053.0002433
Pharaoh BrownTE     0.0%5.2%7.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Rhamondre StevensonRB66640-5-1.3%60.3%72.5%11.1%10.717.1%-0.81.830.158-12.8003558
Ezekiel ElliottRB75140-25-6.5%31.0%35.0%13.0%2.038.9%-3.60.780.149-0.5601828
Ty MontgomeryRB3290184.7%8.6%8.8%5.6%3.060.0%6.01.800.1160.50057

Did anybody have Mac Jones and the Patriots with 78 plays and 54 pass attempts on their Week 1 bingo card? No? Me neither. Both of those play and pass attempt totals led the NFL in Week 1, but his isn’t going to be the norm every week. We got some solid volume for some of these New England pieces, however, it was spread throughout the passing game so not many of the pieces in this offense that we want for fantasy got to take advantage.

The main beneficiary was Kendrick Bourne, who earned a team-high 11 targets and 93% routes, and put up a 6-64-2 line. On a passing game that definitely lacks any sort of juice. The Hunter Henry call at the end of drafts looks pretty good here with a 5-56-1 line that led the entire tight end position in Week 1 in fantasy points.

Besides Bourne and Henry, we’ve got rotating pieces through the passing game with guys like Kayshon Boutte (four targets, no catches, 74% routes) and Demario Douglas (seven targets, 4-40, 47% routes) who played a heavy slot role in Week 1.

Rhamondre Stevenson had a not-so-great game in terms of efficiency, but caught all six targets and boosted his floor on a day where he ran for 2.1 yards per carry. Ezekiel Elliott chipped in with seven carries and is the change of pace here, but every single one of his carries were low-value touches; always the thesis of the play.

Week 1 New England Patriots Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Rhamondre Stevenson

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Hunter Henry, Ezekiel Elliott (deeper 12 and 14-team), JuJu Smith-Schuster (deeper 12 and 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Kendrick Bourne (deeper 12 and 14-team)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

New Orleans Saints

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Chris OlaveWR108112012933.3%84.2%78.5%30.3%11.231.3%12.93.500.6880.8683251
Michael ThomasWR856107820.2%89.5%78.5%24.2%7.623.5%9.81.790.5050.7823451
Rashid ShaheedWR658919825.3%65.8%53.8%18.2%14.824.0%16.33.560.4500.9082535
Keith KirkwoodWR1000194.9%21.1%33.8%3.0%0.012.5%
Juwan JohnsonTE533604511.6%84.2%76.9%15.2%7.215.6%
Foster MoreauTE     0.0%28.9%49.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Taysom HillTE1000235.9%7.9%13.8%3.0%0.033.3%
Jimmy GrahamTE     0.0%5.3%13.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Jamaal WilliamsRB2270-5-1.3%63.2%75.4%6.1%3.58.3%-
Kirk MerrittRB     0.0%5.3%3.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Tony JonesRB     0.0%13.2%10.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Adam PrenticeFB     0.0%23.7%16.9%0.0%0.00.0%

Blake Grupe kicked three field goals and you’ll have to pardon me for typing this sentence and then having to Google just who that was, because I’ve never heard of him before this. That goes to show you what kind of day it was for the Saints as they edged out the Titans 16-15.

The only touchdown on the day was from Rashid Shaheed (5-89-1, 66% routes), who continues his overachieving ways from 2022. Even with Chris Olave (8-112, 10 targets, 84% of routes) and Michael Thomas (5-61, eight targets, 90% routes) as the top two receivers, Derek Carr is going to get all three of the receivers involved in most weeks; even in gross offensive environments like this one where field goals won the day.

Juwan Johnson (3-36, five targets) ran 84% of the routes and even with Foster Moreau and Taysom Hill getting some run behind Johnson, there wasn’t a lot of funny business with Johnson’s routes which we love to see. Johnson is a borderline top-12 guy going forward as a matchup play.

We saw Jamaal Williams (18-45) get a bunch of volume albeit inefficient volume, but the Titans clamped down. The defense in Week 2 should be a lot looser in Carolina against the Panthers, so I do like Williams in that particular game with not much besides Tony Jones behind him to siphon any carries.

Week 1 New Orleans Saints Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Chris Olave

Start ‘Em: Michael Thomas, Jamaal Williams (until Kamara returns in Week 4), Derek Carr (borderline top-12 matchup play at QB), Alvin Kamara (when he returns in Week 4)

Keep Them Rostered: Rashid Shaheed

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Taysom Hill (we’re not doing this again)

New York Giants

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Darius SlaytonWR531503524.8%75.0%70.0%17.2%3.015.2%7.00.450.4320.4293349
Isaiah HodginsWR312402819.9%54.5%60.0%10.3%8.012.5%
Parris CampbellWR41201913.5%75.0%67.1%13.8%0.512.1%
Jalin HyattWR1000149.9%38.6%35.7%3.4%0.05.9%
Sterling ShepardWR1000117.8%20.5%20.0%3.4%0.011.1%
Darren WallerTE533604028.4%52.3%54.3%17.2%7.221.7%8.01.570.4570.9002338
Daniel BellingerTE111010.7%43.2%62.9%3.4%1.05.3%
Lawrence CagerTE2217021.4%20.5%25.7%6.9%8.522.2%1.01.890.1138.500918
Saquon BarkleyRB4312064.3%47.7%64.3%13.8%3.019.0%1.50.570.2372.0002145
Matt BreidaRB11-30-5-3.5%22.7%22.9%3.4%-3.010.0%-5.0-0.300.0270.6001016
Gary BrightwellRB2260-10-7.1%15.9%15.7%6.9%3.028.6%-5.00.860.054-0.600711

The Giants had their doors blown off by the Cowboys 49-0 on a rainy muck of a Sunday night; not ideal.

The starters were pulled in this one except Daniel Jones who stayed out there like a relief pitcher who needed to eat some innings to save the pitching staff. That resulted in no pass-catcher earning more than five targets, four receptions, and 36 yards. Darren Waller was pulled from this blowout on 52% of routes as Darius Slayton and Parris Campbell led the charge with 75% routes. It’s difficult to really get some sort of read on this team when these guys are all being pulled in a one-sided outcome. We’ll get a better read in Week 2 when the Giants head west to play the Cardinals.

Week 1 New York Giants Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Saquon Barkley, Darren Waller

Start ‘Em: Daniel Jones (borderline 12-team starter)

Keep Them Rostered: Jalin Hyatt (deep 12 and 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

New York Jets

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Garrett WilsonWR553413141.3%100.0%92.6%27.8%6.819.2%6.21.310.7061.0972650
Allen LazardWR424603749.3%100.0%77.8%22.2%11.515.4%9.31.770.6791.2432642
Randall CobbWR10001013.3%57.7%40.7%5.6%0.06.7%
Xavier GipsonWR     0.0%3.8%0.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Tyler ConklinTE1120-2-2.7%73.1%79.6%5.6%2.05.3%-
C.J. UzomahTE     0.0%38.5%55.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Jeremy RuckertTE     0.0%7.7%33.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Breece HallRB21200-1-1.3%23.1%33.3%11.1%10.033.3%-0.53.330.157-20.000618
Dalvin CookRB33260-5-6.7%50.0%50.0%16.7%8.723.1%-
Michael CarterRB2212056.7%30.8%20.4%11.1%6.025.0%2.51.500.2132.400811
Nick BawdenFB     0.0%7.7%14.8%0.0%0.00.0%

Aaron Rodgers going down for the season with an Achilles’ tear on just four snaps is such an unbelievably bad beat considering the media blitz, Hard Knocks, and everything that the team put into Rodgers as the guy who would lift this team and its weapons. Now they go back to the well with Zach Wilson, who if you squinted, looked a tiny bit better than he did last season. He was still pretty bad, but there’s really no choice going forward unless the team wants to bring in a retread quarterback like Matt Ryan out of the FOX booth or Joe Flacco.

This crushes the passing game upside and definitely destroys the high-end range of outcomes for Garrett Wilson (team-leading five targets, 5-34-1, 100% routes) in 2023. With Rodgers, you could for sure make the overall WR1 argument with Wilson; now we might be staring down the barrel of mid-range WR2 with him. A part of me dies inside when Z. Wilson scrambles 20 yards behind him to either side and launches a 25 yard throw that makes it to the line of scrimmage for a 2-3 yard gain. It’s bad. This is Zach Wilson. This is our life now. And sometimes, you have no choice but to lean into the skid in a Superflex league where there is no negative scoring.

In other news, Breece Hall is HIM.

He should have had a touchdown on what ended up being an 83-yard run where he lost some gas at end of it. To be fair, running side to side probably made that a 100-yard run in total. Still, Hall should be able to ramp up his workload from Dalvin Cook (13 carries, 33 yards), who looked okay at times.

Week 1 New York Jets Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Dalvin Cook, Allen Lazard (deep 12 and 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Aaron Rodgers (Achilles’ tear - out for the season)

Philadelphia Eagles

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
A.J. BrownWR10779017158.8%92.1%90.9%33.3%7.928.6%
DeVonta SmithWR10747110034.4%97.4%98.5%33.3%4.727.0%
Quez WatkinsWR2217031.0%76.3%78.8%6.7%8.56.9%1.50.590.1075.6672952
Olamide ZaccheausWR     0.0%18.4%10.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Dallas GoedertTE1000155.2%94.7%92.4%3.3%0.02.8%
Jack StollTE     0.0%10.5%19.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Grant CalcaterraTE     0.0%2.6%6.1%0.0%0.00.0%
D'Andre SwiftRB210000.0%34.2%28.8%6.7%0.015.4%
Kenneth GainwellRB44200-1-0.3%42.1%62.1%13.3%5.025.0%-
Boston ScottRB117031.0%10.5%12.1%3.3%7.025.0%3.01.750.0572.33348

Just like we get the roulette wheel out for the Kansas City Chiefs’ wide receivers to see which one will hit for fantasy in a given week, we might have to start doing that for the Eagles’ running backs here. The preseason news that Kenneth Gainwell (14-54; four targets, 4-20) was going to be the guy turned out to be actually true in Week 1.

I don’t think anybody else had Rashaad Penny being a healthy scratch and D’Andre Swift getting just one carry and two targets either. How weird. Gainwell is nursing a rib injury and will be out for this Thursday. Swift likely steps up here as the presumed starter, but who knows at this point. It could hilariously be Boston Scott.

As for the receivers, it was the same story as last season — consolidation to the top target-earners. A.J. Brown (7-79, 92% routes) and DeVonta Smith (7-47-1, 97% routes) both earned 10 targets and combined for 66.6% of the team’s targets. Only Quez Watkins (two targets, 2-17, 76% routes) and Dallas Goedert (one target, no catches, 95% routes) even earned a target of the receivers and tight ends.

Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith

Start ‘Em: Dallas Goedert

Keep Them Rostered: Kenneth Gainwell, D’Andre Swift

Add ‘Em: Kenneth Gainwell (if available)

Dump ‘Em: Rashaad Penny (in shallow 12-team leagues)


Pittsburgh Steelers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Diontae JohnsonWR634807823.9%44.2%42.9%13.3%8.026.1%
George PickensWR753608526.0%92.3%88.9%15.6%5.114.6%12.10.750.4150.4244856
Allen RobinsonWR856405717.4%88.5%88.9%17.8%8.017.4%7.11.390.3891.1234656
Calvin AustinWR66370216.4%53.8%55.6%13.3%6.221.4%3.51.320.2451.7622835
Miles BoykinWR     0.0%9.6%7.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Pat FreiermuthTE41313410.4%50.0%50.8%8.9%0.815.4%
Darnell WashingtonTE     0.0%32.7%38.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Najee HarrisRB222000.0%46.2%52.4%4.4%1.08.3%
Jaylen WarrenRB65120-9-2.8%36.5%39.7%13.3%2.031.6%-1.50.630.181-1.3331925
Anthony McFarlandRB2211041.2%7.7%7.9%4.4%5.550.0%2.02.750.0752.75045
Connor HeywardFB421905717.4%25.0%27.0%8.9%4.830.8%14.31.460.2550.3331317

It’s hard to not overreact to one game against the 49ers with a blanket statement about how 2023 is going to go for the Steelers, but Kenny Pickett did #not look great. He was harassed all day by a dominant 49ers defense and to top it all off, the Steelers will lose Diontae Johnson (six targets, 3-48) for several weeks with a hamstring injury. Yikes.

The Steelers literally passed all game. Their pass rate of 85.5% was tops in the NFL for Week 1 and there was no volume to be had by either Najee Harris (six carries, 31 yards; two targets, 2-2) or Jaylen Warren (three carries, six yards; six targets, 5-12).

The passing volume was spread out by a bunch of guys, like George Pickens (seven targets, 5-36, 92% routes), Calvin Austin (six targets, 6-37) — who mostly played with Johnson out of the game and seemed to be a direct backup — and Allen Robinson (team-leading eight targets, 5-64, 89% routes), who felt like he had his best game this decade. Pat Freiermuth (one target, 1-3-1) had a chest injury and left for a portion of the game and came back, which explains his 51% routes in Week 1 but at least he scored a touchdown to salvage his fantasy day.

This Steelers’ passing game is going to be hit or miss, but it’s going to be tough without Johnson for a few weeks. Still, they’re not going to be passing 85% of the time and they won’t play the 49ers every time either.

Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Diontae Johnson (left Week 1, out several weeks - hamstring)

Start ‘Em: Najee Harris, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth (left and came back in Week 1 - chest)

Keep Them Rostered: Kenny Pickett, Jaylen Warren (priority contingent play)

Add ‘Em: Calvin Austin (should get routes bump without Johnson — roster in deeper leagues)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

San Francisco 49ers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Brandon AiyukWR88129210947.4%88.2%85.3%28.6%16.126.7%13.64.300.7601.1833058
Deebo SamuelWR755507331.7%100.0%86.8%25.0%7.920.6%10.41.620.5970.7533459
Jauan JenningsWR1000135.7%50.0%32.4%3.6%0.05.9%
Ronnie BellWR     0.0%11.8%11.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Ray-Ray McCloudWR     0.0%2.9%4.4%0.0%0.00.0%
George KittleTE631903113.5%76.5%69.1%21.4%3.223.1%5.20.730.4160.6132647
Charlie WoernerTE     0.0%5.9%30.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Ross DwelleyTE     0.0%11.8%17.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Christian McCaffreyRB53170125.2%85.3%85.3%17.9%3.417.2%2.40.590.3041.4172958
Elijah MitchellRB1000-8-3.5%5.9%14.7%3.6%0.050.0%-
Kyle JuszczykFB     0.0%41.2%61.8%0.0%0.00.0%

Brandon Aiyuk (eight targets, 8-129-2, 88% routes) was one of the big, big stories for Week 1, as he was electric and caught two touchdowns. What a stud. Aiyuk is a must-start and needs to be in every fantasy lineup going forward. Same with Christian McCaffrey after a 152-yard outburst and a touchdown plus adding three receptions for 17 yards on five targets.

Seeing Deebo Samuel continue to earn two rushing attempts while providing a less-schemed approach to his passing-game work (seven targets, 5-55, 10.4-yard aDOT) is incredibly bullish for his prospects this season. 

Samuel’s 4.2-yard aDOT was really a hindrance to the upside he can provide weekly, so if he’s getting more downfield looks in addition to those schemed touches, we could see something much closer to his monster 2021 season versus last season.

At tight end, George Kittle was alright as he earned six targets for only a paltry 3-19 line on 77% routes. He’s certainly startable and the spike weeks will come, but he’s always been a lower-floor/massive ceiling player and we know that.

Week 1 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk

Start ‘Em: Deebo Samuel, George Kittle

Keep Them Rostered: Elijah Mitchell (contingent play), Brock Purdy (safe “break glass in case of emergency” fantasy QB)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Seattle Seahawks

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DK MetcalfWR534717662.3%93.1%94.0%20.8%9.418.5%15.21.740.7490.6182747
Tyler LockettWR421004839.3%93.1%90.0%16.7%2.514.8%12.00.370.5250.2082745
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR53130108.2%65.5%58.0%20.8%2.626.3%2.00.680.3701.3001929
Jake BoboWR     0.0%20.7%22.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Cody ThompsonWR     0.0%3.4%4.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Noah FantTE     0.0%48.3%50.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Will DisslyTE2217043.3%31.0%32.0%8.3%8.522.2%2.01.890.1484.250916
Colby ParkinsonTE218054.1%37.9%42.0%8.3%4.018.2%2.50.730.1541.6001121
Kenneth WalkerRB5430-26-21.3%58.6%64.0%20.8%0.629.4%-
Zach CharbonnetRB     0.0%24.1%22.0%0.0%0.00.0%
DeeJay DallasRB1114054.1%10.3%22.0%4.2%14.033.3%5.04.670.0912.800311

What a weird game. I don’t think anybody really expected Geno Smith to throw for 112 yards and a touchdown on just 26 pass attempts, but here we are. Seattle just didn’t run very many plays and got only 20:37 in time of possession. This is an extreme outlier and won’t be the case.

With such limited plays and work to go around, DK MetcalfJaxon Smith-Njigba (3-13), and Kenneth Walker (4-3; 12-64) all led the Seahawks at five targets apiece with Metcalf scoring the lone touchdown and leading Seattle with 47 receiving yards. Both Metcalf and Tyler Lockett ran 93% of routes while Smith-Njigba came in at 66% routes in his debut. 

Walker had 70% of running back carries on the day and had a stranglehold with 64% snaps. The RB1 job is his for the time being with Zach Charbonnet and DeeJay Dallas mixing in to spell. 

Week 1 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Kenneth Walker

Start ‘Em: Geno Smith, Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Mike EvansWR10666112050.0%94.7%83.8%31.3%6.627.8%12.01.830.8190.5503657
Chris GodwinWR655103615.0%92.1%85.3%18.8%8.517.1%6.01.460.3861.4173558
Trey PalmerWR3281135.4%42.1%33.8%9.4%2.718.8%4.30.500.1790.6151623
Deven ThompkinsWR32100197.9%26.3%26.5%9.4%3.330.0%
Rakim JarrettWR     0.0%5.3%8.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Cade OttonTE32190177.1%76.3%97.1%9.4%6.310.3%5.70.660.1901.1182966
Ko KieftTE30005121.3%23.7%47.1%9.4%0.033.3%
David WellsTE     0.0%0.0%11.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Rachaad WhiteRB22100-13-5.4%55.3%79.4%6.3%5.09.5%-6.50.480.056-0.7692154
Sean TuckerRB2290-3-1.3%10.5%14.7%6.3%4.550.0%-
Chase EdmondsRB     0.0%13.2%11.8%0.0%0.00.0%

Even in victory against the Minnesota Vikings, there’s a lot to fix here. We’ll start with the good:

Mike Evans sold his soul on a 6-66-1 line on 95% of routes where he dominated downfield targets from Baker Mayfield. At least a good sign that Mayfield eventually knew which players to target, considering he started the game with two straight targets to Ko Kieft.

Chris Godwin (six targets, 5-51, 92% routes) was pedestrian and no other Buccaneer had more than three targets, through Trey Palmer (2-8-1, three targets) caught the other touchdown.

Over to the running backs, where Rachaad White (17-39, 2.3 YPC; two targets, 2-10) continued his 2022 inefficiency with a pretty loud stinker that has to be throwing smoke signals to get Sean Tucker some run here. There’s room for work to be taken away from White if he keeps this up

Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Mike Evans, Chris Godwin

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Rachaad White (tenuous hold on the RB1 job), Sean Tucker (priority contingent play)

Add ‘Em: Sean Tucker

Dump ‘Em: Cade Otton (76% routes, difficulties earning volume in this below-average passing game)

Tennessee Titans

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DeAndre HopkinsWR13765013043.8%90.0%77.8%39.4%5.036.1%10.01.810.8970.5003649
Treylon BurksWR32180248.1%92.5%90.5%9.1%6.08.1%8.00.490.1930.7503757
Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR745803511.8%85.0%81.0%21.2%8.320.6%5.01.710.4011.6573451
Chris MooreWR10004615.5%7.5%14.3%3.0%0.033.3%
Chigoziem OkonkwoTE20003411.4%75.0%82.5%6.1%0.06.7%
Trevon WescoTE     0.0%12.5%39.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Josh WhyleTE     0.0%2.5%3.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Derrick HenryRB32560-17-5.7%25.0%47.6%9.1%18.730.0%-5.75.600.096-3.2941030
Tyjae SpearsRB41104515.2%50.0%54.0%12.1%0.320.0%
Julius ChestnutRB     0.0%7.5%9.5%0.0%0.00.0%

The entire scoring output for the Titans in Week 1 was Nick Folk’s five field goals. Look, they traded for the guy, they might as well use him, right?

After signing DeAndre Hopkins, he was installed as the top option and at least in his first regular season game, he did DeAndre Hopkins things. He earned 13 targets and caught just more than half of them for 65 yards. He was targeted in all areas (10-yard aDOT) and accounted for 44% of the team’s air yards. Hopkins looks the part of a high-end WR2 with WR1 in his range of outcomes each week. If only Ryan Tannehill could be a little bit better (three interceptions in Week 1).

The rest of the pass-catchers came along for the ride, as Treylon Burks (2-18, three targets, 93% routes) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (two targets, no stats, 75% routes) were the main route runners here that we care about in fantasy. Okonkwo had a missed opportunity with a flea flicker in the fourth quarter but Tannehill overthrew him. Sad times.

Tyjae Spears (four targets, 1-1, 54% snaps) somehow out-snapped Derrick Henry (47% snaps, 15-63) and carved out 50% of routes, providing the most workload in tandem with Henry since Dontrell Hilliard or even Dion Lewis. That means Spears looks like THE contingent play here in Tennessee should something happen to Henry. That said, we’re not worried at all about the Big Dog at all. It could actually be very good for Henry to be managed a little bit to up his efficiency through a long season.

Week 1 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Derrick Henry, DeAndre Hopkins

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Treylon Burks, Chigoziem Okonkwo, Tyjae Spears (elite contingent play)

Add ‘Em: Tyjae Spears

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Washington Commanders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Terry McLaurinWR423104420.9%85.7%88.7%13.8%7.811.1%11.00.860.3530.7053663
Jahan DotsonWR754006430.3%95.2%87.3%24.1%5.717.5%
Curtis SamuelWR555402712.8%78.6%64.8%17.2%10.815.2%5.41.640.3482.0003346
Dyami BrownWR     0.0%26.2%26.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Logan ThomasTE844304722.3%76.2%81.7%27.6%5.425.0%5.91.340.5700.9153258
John BatesTE     0.0%11.9%36.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Cole TurnerTE211703014.2%9.5%14.1%6.9%8.550.0%
Brian RobinsonRB217131.4%42.9%60.6%6.9%3.511.1%1.50.390.1132.3331843
Antonio GibsonRB11100-4-1.9%40.5%35.2%3.4%10.05.9%-4.00.590.038-2.5001725
Chris RodriguezRB     0.0%0.0%4.2%0.0%0.00.0%

Even in a “more narrow than it should’ve been” win against the hapless Arizona Cardinals, nobody really stuck out in the passing game; they all were just kind of there.

Logan Thomas (eight targets, 4-43, 76% routes) and Jahan Dotson (seven targets, 5-40) led the Commanders in targets. The routes were pretty consolidated to Thomas at tight end, Dotson, Terry McLaurin (four targets, 2-31, 86%), and Curtis Samuel (five targets, 5-54, 79%).

Running back Brian Robinson (two targets, 1-7-1; 19-59) caught the only touchdown from Sam Howell and dominated running back touches as he had 76% of all running back carries on the day. Antonio Gibson fumbled a key red-zone opportunity away and didn’t provide much in the passing game with one target on 41% of routes, so that didn’t exactly help Gibson’s cause to earn more work. It’s Robinson clearly ahead of Gibson in all facets right now.

Week 1 Washington Commanders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Jahan Dotson, Terry McLaurin, Brian Robinson

Keep Them Rostered: Antonio Gibson

Add ‘Em: Logan Thomas (if you’re needing tight end help)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Stat Credits: