Welcome back to the DFS Playbook, FA Nation! If you survived the Week 9 chaos, give yourself a pat on the back, because we are right back at it with our NFL DFS Week 10 breakdown. We are back down to just a 10-game Sunday main slate this week. Not only do we lose the early morning international showdown in Munich, Germany between the Detroit Lions and New England Patriots, but we also have four teams sitting at home on a bye: the Denver Broncos, Chicago Bears, Philadelphia Eagles, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

Look at the sheer amount of marquee talent missing from our player pool. On top of losing elite fantasy producers like Drake Maye, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Amon-Ra St. Brown to that Germany matchup, we also lose studs like Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Derrick Henry with all of them locked into prime-time island games. When that much star power gets stripped off the board, it forces us to ask one critical question: which chalk plays are the lineup trains going to blindly jam in, and where do we pivot to separate ourselves from the pack?

We already know the answer to where the crowd is heading first. Mainstream DFS players are going to flock to the San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys showdown thanks to its massive 55.5-point game total. Expect to see game stacks from Arlington flying off the shelves in every contest you enter. Right behind that, we are likely to see heavy lineup investment in the AFC East clash between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets, which boasts a juicy 50.5-point total. Having exposure to both of those environments will be vital for your cash game builds, especially when lean NFL DFS projections highlight their ceiling, but we are going to have to get creative with our GPP tournament constructions so we don't end up splitting pennies with 5,000 duplicate lineups.

QUICK UPDATE: My introduction was written far in advance of the Saturday morning announcements, so I'll just drop this update in right here. With news of Kenneth Walker being officially ruled out, we know we are getting a free square in Emmett Johnson. He will be incredibly chalky, so feel free to lock him into all of your cash lineups and give him a sprinkle in select GPP tournament lineups. You don't want to over-saturate your lineups with him, but you definitely need/want shares. 

Before we dive into the slate, let's do a quick Week 9 autopsy on how the Playbook and Dart Board performed. Our cash lineups crushed it thanks to sharp pivots away from Jahmyr Gibbs and heavy investments in Kenneth Walker and Matthew Golden. Our tournament lineups were just okay, as we hit on some great pay-down darts like AJ Barner and Jordan Watkins who almost nobody rostered, yet overall we finished closer to the middle of the pack than sitting near the top of the leaderboards. This week, we really want to dial in the exact stacks we invest in, making matchup data and DFS ownership projections imperative for our research. Let's get into the DFS NFL picks!

 

 

NFL Week 10 DFS Picks & Preview for DraftKings & FanDuel: Sunday, 11/15

The Week 10 Sunday main slate gives us seven early window kickoffs and three late afternoon games, culminating in that San Francisco-Dallas fireworks display. Whenever a slate shrinks to 10 games, roster construction becomes an exercise in leverage. Most casual players will look at the Vegas board, see the 49ers implied for nearly 30 points against Dallas and the Bills favored by more than a touchdown over the Jets, and lock in the obvious chalk. 

To build winning NFL DFS Week 10 lineups, you have to understand how games correlate. If you are paying up for the expensive pieces in San Francisco or Buffalo, you need to identify the underpriced secondary options or low-owned game environments like Panthers at Saints (48.5 total) or Chiefs at Falcons (47.5 total), games that allow you to afford those studs without sacrificing floor. Use your NFL DFS projections to spot where the raw point-per-dollar value lives, then decide where you want to eat the chalk and where you want to get weird. 

Before we get to our NFL DFS Week 10 picks, let me remind you of everything you need to know about all the information and DFS tools you have at your disposal, especially if you are one of our new subscribers.

Let's begin with our enhancements to the NFL DFS tools. Every single week, we are continuously wrenching behind the scenes so that our NFL DFS projections are the best in the industry and in doing so, has subsequently improved things like our Lineup Generator/DFS Optimizer and our NFL DFS Ownership Projections.  In fact, our lineup generator has gone through some serious week-to-week transformations, so definitely test it out. When you watch the weekly NFL DFS Show, we take you through some of its features so you can see first-hand, what it is capable of doing with regard to lineup construction. Again, everything you need to succeed is right here on our site which we consider a one-stop shop for all your NFL DFS Week 10 picks and beyond.

Now, if you are new to the #FAmily, thank you for joining us. You’re going to be very happy you’ve landed here. All the aforementioned tools are, obviously, at your disposal as well, but please allow me to point you towards more of the content and tools we provide to help you crush your NFL DFS Week 10 picks and every week moving forward. It also makes for a nice introduction to our DFS team.

Along with our positional coaches, you also have plenty of other research content to use like the aforementioned weekly DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a daily-updated list of players I am looking at throughout the week, as well as a review of the previous week’s optimal lineups. You will also find the weekly DFS Dart Board which is filled with the best in DFS bargains and value picks. And, of course, you will also want to watch our weekly NFL DFS Show with me and Jon Impemba as we break down every position, highlight our favorite NFL DFS Week 10 picks, offer a core group of players to build around and then drop an example lineup either at the end of the show or into our NFL DFS channel on Discord. And yes, I will have NFL DFS Example Lineups posted every Sunday morning for you to compare your own builds. In fact, last week’s cash lineups, for the second week in a row, showed you exactly how to beat out some of the lineup trains that still persist.

If all of this sounds good to you and you’re ready to tackle NFL DFS Week 10, then let’s continue with our research for the Sunday Main Slate and help you find the best NFL DFS Week 10 picks for this week.

 

 

NFL Weather: Week 10 DFS Impact

Unlike some November slates where Mother Nature wreaks havoc on passing games, nothing on this Week 10 main slate qualifies as a major weather disaster. In fact, we only four outdoor venues on the main slate this week and none of them have any upcoming weather concerns.

NFL Injuries: What To Know for Week 10 DFS

Staying glued to the Sunday morning inactive reports is non-negotiable for NFL DFS Week 10, especially with several key backfields and secondaries banged up:

NFL DFS Week 10 Picks: Howard Bender's Favorites

Before you start building lineups off of these core plays, understand that this is really just a primer for the full player pool. Scroll further down and you will see the full list of my own personal NFL DFS Week 10 player pool. I’ve spent this entire week studying everything about the upcoming matchups as well as everything we've witnessed over the first eight weeks of the NFL season. I have combed through our NFL DFS projections and put together a list of candidates around which I am building most, and in some cases, all of my lineups. 

Still, people have asked me for my favorites, as if you don't already know reading the DFS Watch List and listening to me on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio as well as both the DFS Show and Alarm Fantasy Football. We’ve had numerous discussions regarding all the value available on this main slate, so I’m willing to bet you already know who some of my favorite NFL DFS Week 10 picks are already. If you don’t already have an idea, then here is where I highlight a few from a variety of categories. 

One caveat – this in no way means that all of my lineups will consist of these players. Don't freak out if I post an example lineup or, even better, a lineup that cashed well, that doesn't include some of these players. Will they be in a lot of them? Absolutely. But in the time between posting this Playbook and the first Sunday kickoff, things can change. Ownership percentages can change. Weather can change. Gut feelings can change. These might be some of my favorite NFL DFS Week 10 picks, but this is a guideline, not the gospel.

NFL DFS Week 10 Picks: Core Plays

These are the foundational building blocks you want anchored in your cash games and high-exposure tournament cores.

NFL DFS Week 10 Picks: Mid-Tier Plays

The mid-tier is where tournaments are won and lost, giving us strong volume plays at discounts that unlock our top studs.

NFL DFS Week 10 Picks: Value Plays

To fit guys like Christian McCaffrey, Cee Dee Lamb, and Josh Allen into the same builds, we need cheap salary savers with guaranteed snaps and routes.

Utilize these top NFL DFS Week 10 insights, stay flexible as final inactive lists drop before 1:00 PM ET lock, and let's go win some cash!

 

 

NFL DFS Player Pool: Week 10

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