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While those playing seasonal fantasy football leagues are sweating the playoffs here in Week 13, the DFS world rolls on, business as usual. This week is no more or less important than last week, the week before or the week before that. It’s about making the right decisions, playing the right games and winning boatloads of money. The wide receiver position is rich with talent and savory match-ups, so while I always recommend one of the elite plays, especially in cash games, there are plenty of options at the lower-priced tiers from which to choose. Here’s the data, followed by my recommendations.
| Def Pts | Opp Pa | Opp Ov | Opp Pa | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Tm | H/A | Opp | G | Snaps | Tar | Tar% | Tar/G | Rec | Rec/G | Catch% | ReYds | ReTD | YPC | Allow | Def Rk | Def Rk | Yds/G | O/U | $Line | $FD | $DK | $FA |
| Odell Beckham | NYG | A | PIT | 11 | 680 | 109 | 26.4% | 9.9 | 65 | 5.9 | 59.6% | 915 | 8 | 14.1 | 25.3 | 13 | 11 | 263.5 | 48 | -260 | $9000 | $8500 | $6500 |
| Antonio Brown | PIT | H | NYG | 11 | 699 | 120 | 28.5% | 10.9 | 82 | 7.5 | 68.3% | 998 | 10 | 12.2 | 28.6 | 7 | 7 | 264.7 | 48 | -260 | $9000 | $9100 | $6600 |
| Mike Evans | TB | A | SD | 11 | 678 | 132 | 32.0% | 12.0 | 73 | 6.6 | 55.3% | 1,020 | 10 | 14.0 | 29.5 | 9 | 9 | 271.3 | 47.5 | -190 | $8500 | $8600 | $6200 |
| Julio Jones | ATL | H | KC | 11 | 578 | 104 | 27.7% | 9.5 | 65 | 5.9 | 62.5% | 1,140 | 5 | 16.0 | 32.8 | 11 | 13 | 260.5 | 49 | -200 | $8300 | $8700 | $6400 |
| Amari Cooper | OAK | H | BUF | 11 | 705 | 100 | 23.9% | 9.1 | 66 | 6.0 | 66.0% | 922 | 3 | 14.0 | 26.2 | 19 | 19 | 227.7 | 49 | -165 | $7800 | $7300 | $4950 |
| Dez Bryant | DAL | A | MIN | 8 | 467 | 65 | 19.2% | 8.1 | 33 | 4.1 | 50.8% | 550 | 5 | 16.7 | 20.6 | 4 | 6 | 206.8 | 44 | 155 | $7700 | $6900 | $5350 |
| T.Y. Hilton | IND | A | NYJ | 11 | 658 | 104 | 25.8% | 9.5 | 60 | 5.5 | 57.7% | 942 | 5 | 15.7 | 28.6 | 29 | 23 | 262.8 | 49 | 110 | $7600 | $7600 | $5000 |
| Jordy Nelson | GB | H | HOU | 11 | 719 | 108 | 24.0% | 9.8 | 61 | 5.5 | 56.5% | 754 | 9 | 12.4 | 22.4 | 12 | 14 | 209.2 | 45.5 | -300 | $7400 | $7000 | $5500 |
| Brandon Marshall | NYJ | H | IND | 11 | 673 | 100 | 26.7% | 9.1 | 49 | 4.5 | 49.0% | 668 | 3 | 13.6 | 30.1 | 30 | 32 | 278.7 | 49 | 110 | $7200 | $6900 | $4900 |
| Demaryius Thomas | DEN | A | JAC | 11 | 629 | 93 | 24.9% | 8.5 | 60 | 5.5 | 64.5% | 738 | 5 | 12.3 | 26.1 | 14 | 16 | 204.3 | 40.5 | 170 | $7100 | $6600 | $4900 |
| Larry Fitzgerald | ARI | H | WAS | 11 | 753 | 110 | 24.4% | 10.0 | 78 | 7.1 | 70.9% | 802 | 5 | 10.3 | 29.6 | 18 | 25 | 252.9 | 49.5 | -145 | $7000 | $7100 | $4850 |
| Allen Robinson | JAC | H | DEN | 11 | 722 | 106 | 24.2% | 9.6 | 53 | 4.8 | 50.0% | 591 | 6 | 11.2 | 18.7 | 1 | 2 | 193.9 | 40.5 | 170 | $7000 | $5800 | $4650 |
| Michael Thomas | NO | H | DET | 11 | 620 | 84 | 18.7% | 7.6 | 65 | 5.9 | 77.4% | 789 | 7 | 12.1 | 26.7 | 32 | 31 | 250.9 | 53.5 | -260 | $6900 | $6900 | $5600 |
| Kenny Britt | LA | A | NE | 11 | 610 | 81 | 21.9% | 7.4 | 54 | 4.9 | 66.7% | 788 | 4 | 14.6 | 27.8 | 28 | 21 | 253.6 | 44.5 | -750 | $6900 | $5000 | $4650 |
| Doug Baldwin | SEA | H | CAR | 11 | 609 | 78 | 21.3% | 7.1 | 61 | 5.5 | 78.2% | 767 | 5 | 12.6 | 31.3 | 15 | 10 | 275.2 | 44.5 | -300 | $6900 | $6700 | $4900 |
| Brandin Cooks | NO | H | DET | 11 | 563 | 75 | 16.7% | 6.8 | 51 | 4.6 | 68.0% | 736 | 6 | 14.4 | 26.7 | 32 | 31 | 250.9 | 53.5 | -260 | $6800 | $6400 | $5100 |
| Davante Adams | GB | H | HOU | 11 | 619 | 86 | 19.1% | 7.8 | 58 | 5.3 | 67.4% | 776 | 8 | 13.4 | 22.4 | 12 | 14 | 209.2 | 45.5 | -300 | $6800 | $6300 | $4700 |
| Kelvin Benjamin | CAR | A | SEA | 11 | 562 | 86 | 22.3% | 7.8 | 48 | 4.4 | 55.8% | 736 | 5 | 15.3 | 26.8 | 5 | 4 | 235.5 | 44.5 | -300 | $6800 | $6200 | $4700 |
| Donte Moncrief | IND | A | NYJ | 6 | 322 | 43 | 10.7% | 7.2 | 24 | 4.0 | 55.8% | 251 | 5 | 10.5 | 28.6 | 29 | 23 | 262.8 | 49 | 110 | $6700 | $6600 | $4650 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | HOU | A | GB | 11 | 746 | 105 | 26.5% | 9.5 | 55 | 5.0 | 52.4% | 610 | 3 | 11.1 | 31.0 | 23 | 17 | 260.6 | 45.5 | -300 | $6700 | $6000 | $4900 |
| Julian Edelman | NE | H | LA | 11 | 633 | 99 | 26.8% | 9.0 | 64 | 5.8 | 64.6% | 617 | 2 | 9.6 | 30.9 | 16 | 15 | 227.5 | 44.5 | -750 | $6600 | $6800 | $5000 |
| Tyrell Williams | SD | H | TB | 11 | 608 | 85 | 21.6% | 7.7 | 51 | 4.6 | 60.0% | 790 | 5 | 15.5 | 28.5 | 10 | 12 | 253.5 | 47.5 | -190 | $6600 | $6100 | $4500 |
| Jamison Crowder | WAS | A | ARI | 11 | 529 | 76 | 17.6% | 6.9 | 55 | 5.0 | 72.4% | 725 | 6 | 13.2 | 28.1 | 3 | 5 | 195.1 | 49.5 | -145 | $6600 | $5800 | $4650 |
| Willie Snead | NO | H | DET | 10 | 495 | 70 | 15.6% | 7.0 | 51 | 5.1 | 72.9% | 593 | 4 | 11.6 | 26.7 | 32 | 31 | 250.9 | 53.5 | -260 | $6500 | $5100 | $4800 |
| Stefon Diggs | MIN | H | DAL | 9 | 491 | 88 | 23.3% | 9.8 | 67 | 7.4 | 76.1% | 747 | 2 | 11.1 | 29.1 | 27 | 27 | 280.4 | 44 | 155 | $6500 | $6700 | $4650 |
| DeVante Parker | MIA | A | BAL | 10 | 489 | 64 | 19.8% | 6.4 | 41 | 4.1 | 64.1% | 549 | 2 | 13.4 | 30.8 | 8 | 1 | 222.9 | 40.5 | -170 | $6500 | $5600 | $4400 |
| Mike Wallace | BAL | H | MIA | 11 | 600 | 85 | 19.2% | 7.7 | 51 | 4.6 | 60.0% | 792 | 4 | 15.5 | 30.0 | 6 | 8 | 229.7 | 40.5 | -170 | $6500 | $5000 | $4400 |
| Michael Crabtree | OAK | H | BUF | 11 | 594 | 101 | 24.2% | 9.2 | 60 | 5.5 | 59.4% | 711 | 6 | 11.9 | 26.2 | 19 | 19 | 227.7 | 49 | -165 | $6400 | $6000 | $4900 |
| Emmanuel Sanders | DEN | A | JAC | 11 | 650 | 105 | 28.1% | 9.5 | 61 | 5.5 | 58.1% | 830 | 4 | 13.6 | 26.1 | 14 | 16 | 204.3 | 40.5 | 170 | $6400 | $5900 | $5000 |
| Jarvis Landry | MIA | A | BAL | 11 | 604 | 89 | 27.6% | 8.1 | 64 | 5.8 | 71.9% | 733 | 2 | 11.5 | 30.8 | 8 | 1 | 222.9 | 40.5 | -170 | $6400 | $5400 | $4700 |
| Sammy Watkins | BUF | A | OAK | 3 | 107 | 14 | 4.6% | 4.7 | 9 | 3.0 | 64.3% | 143 | 0 | 15.9 | 31.3 | 22 | 26 | 273.5 | 49 | -165 | $6300 | $5500 | $4750 |
| Randall Cobb | GB | H | HOU | 10 | 556 | 77 | 17.1% | 7.7 | 54 | 5.4 | 70.1% | 558 | 3 | 10.3 | 22.4 | 12 | 14 | 209.2 | 45.5 | -300 | $6300 | $5400 | $4800 |
| Cole Beasley | DAL | A | MIN | 11 | 424 | 73 | 21.5% | 6.6 | 58 | 5.3 | 79.5% | 647 | 5 | 11.2 | 20.6 | 4 | 6 | 206.8 | 44 | 155 | $6200 | $5500 | $4400 |
| Steve Smith | BAL | H | MIA | 9 | 443 | 66 | 14.9% | 7.3 | 48 | 5.3 | 72.7% | 536 | 3 | 11.2 | 30.0 | 6 | 8 | 229.7 | 40.5 | -170 | $6100 | $5700 | $4200 |
| Adam Thielen | MIN | H | DAL | 11 | 525 | 61 | 16.1% | 5.5 | 45 | 4.1 | 73.8% | 571 | 3 | 12.7 | 29.1 | 27 | 27 | 280.4 | 44 | 155 | $6000 | $4900 | $4000 |
| DeSean Jackson | WAS | A | ARI | 10 | 489 | 70 | 16.2% | 7.0 | 38 | 3.8 | 54.3% | 585 | 3 | 15.4 | 28.1 | 3 | 5 | 195.1 | 49.5 | -145 | $6000 | $5000 | $4400 |
| Golden Tate | DET | A | NO | 11 | 568 | 85 | 22.3% | 7.7 | 57 | 5.2 | 67.1% | 617 | 2 | 10.8 | 29.6 | 25 | 22 | 271.4 | 53.5 | -260 | $5900 | $6200 | $5000 |
| Jeremy Maclin | KC | A | ATL | 8 | 424 | 56 | 14.3% | 7.0 | 30 | 3.8 | 53.6% | 376 | 2 | 12.5 | 31.3 | 21 | 24 | 282.2 | 49 | -200 | $5800 | $5300 | $4750 |
| Tyreek Hill | KC | A | ATL | 11 | 270 | 56 | 14.3% | 5.1 | 45 | 4.1 | 80.4% | 428 | 5 | 9.5 | 31.3 | 21 | 24 | 282.2 | 49 | -200 | $5800 | $4600 | $4500 |
| Sterling Shepard | NYG | A | PIT | 11 | 674 | 72 | 17.4% | 6.5 | 44 | 4.0 | 61.1% | 476 | 5 | 10.8 | 25.3 | 13 | 11 | 263.5 | 48 | -260 | $5800 | $4900 | $4300 |
| Jordan Matthews | PHI | A | CIN | 11 | 653 | 90 | 23.1% | 8.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 63.3% | 686 | 3 | 12.0 | 25.3 | 17 | 18 | 246.0 | 42 | 100 | $5700 | $5700 | $4600 |
| Mohamed Sanu | ATL | H | KC | 11 | 557 | 67 | 17.9% | 6.1 | 47 | 4.3 | 70.1% | 495 | 3 | 10.5 | 32.8 | 11 | 13 | 260.5 | 49 | -200 | $5700 | $4400 | $4450 |
| Taylor Gabriel | ATL | H | KC | 9 | 211 | 28 | 7.5% | 3.1 | 21 | 2.3 | 75.0% | 378 | 4 | 18.0 | 32.8 | 11 | 13 | 260.5 | 49 | -200 | $5700 | $4000 | $4100 |
| Marvin Jones | DET | A | NO | 11 | 650 | 77 | 20.2% | 7.0 | 42 | 3.8 | 54.5% | 730 | 4 | 17.4 | 29.6 | 25 | 22 | 271.4 | 53.5 | -260 | $5600 | $4400 | $4850 |
| Cameron Meredith | CHI | H | SF | 9 | 443 | 54 | 13.6% | 6.0 | 35 | 3.9 | 64.8% | 449 | 2 | 12.8 | 34.5 | 24 | 29 | 252.6 | 43.5 | -120 | $5600 | $4100 | $4300 |
| Will Fuller | HOU | A | GB | 9 | 517 | 61 | 15.4% | 6.8 | 30 | 3.3 | 49.2% | 449 | 2 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 23 | 17 | 260.6 | 45.5 | -300 | $5600 | $4700 | $4300 |
| Malcolm Mitchell | NE | H | LA | 10 | 261 | 27 | 7.3% | 2.7 | 16 | 1.6 | 59.3% | 235 | 3 | 14.7 | 30.9 | 16 | 15 | 227.5 | 44.5 | -750 | $5600 | $3600 | $4200 |
| Kenny Stills | MIA | A | BAL | 11 | 536 | 51 | 15.8% | 4.6 | 26 | 2.4 | 51.0% | 480 | 5 | 18.5 | 30.8 | 8 | 1 | 222.9 | 40.5 | -170 | $5600 | $3900 | $4100 |
| Marqise Lee | JAC | H | DEN | 11 | 529 | 69 | 15.8% | 6.3 | 46 | 4.2 | 66.7% | 581 | 2 | 12.6 | 18.7 | 1 | 2 | 193.9 | 40.5 | 170 | $5600 | $4000 | $4100 |
| Chris Hogan | NE | H | LA | 10 | 524 | 35 | 9.5% | 3.5 | 23 | 2.3 | 65.7% | 461 | 2 | 20.0 | 30.9 | 16 | 15 | 227.5 | 44.5 | -750 | $5500 | $4400 | $4100 |
| Pierre Garcon | WAS | A | ARI | 11 | 583 | 76 | 17.6% | 6.9 | 52 | 4.7 | 68.4% | 636 | 2 | 12.2 | 28.1 | 3 | 5 | 195.1 | 49.5 | -145 | $5500 | $4200 | $4200 |
| Marquess Wilson | CHI | H | SF | 2 | 76 | 15 | 3.8% | 7.5 | 9 | 4.5 | 60.0% | 160 | 1 | 17.8 | 34.5 | 24 | 29 | 252.6 | 43.5 | -120 | $5400 | $4000 | $4250 |
| John Brown | ARI | H | WAS | 10 | 446 | 60 | 13.3% | 6.0 | 31 | 3.1 | 51.7% | 399 | 1 | 12.9 | 29.6 | 18 | 25 | 252.9 | 49.5 | -145 | $5400 | $3800 | $4100 |
| Tyler Boyd | CIN | H | PHI | 11 | 565 | 59 | 14.9% | 5.4 | 38 | 3.5 | 64.4% | 411 | 1 | 10.8 | 29.6 | 2 | 3 | 236.5 | 42 | 100 | $5400 | $4800 | $4450 |
| Jeremy Kerley | SF | A | CHI | 11 | 554 | 81 | 22.9% | 7.4 | 42 | 3.8 | 51.9% | 448 | 3 | 10.7 | 32.5 | 20 | 20 | 239.8 | 43.5 | -120 | $5300 | $3300 | $3900 |
| Marquise Goodwin | BUF | A | OAK | 10 | 409 | 44 | 14.5% | 4.4 | 20 | 2.0 | 45.5% | 329 | 3 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 22 | 26 | 273.5 | 49 | -165 | $5200 | $3400 | $4000 |
| Travis Benjamin | SD | H | TB | 10 | 382 | 61 | 15.5% | 6.1 | 40 | 4.0 | 65.6% | 522 | 3 | 13.1 | 28.5 | 10 | 12 | 253.5 | 47.5 | -190 | $5200 | $4600 | $4200 |
| Dontrelle Inman | SD | H | TB | 11 | 687 | 62 | 15.7% | 5.6 | 38 | 3.5 | 61.3% | 527 | 2 | 13.9 | 28.5 | 10 | 12 | 253.5 | 47.5 | -190 | $5200 | $5200 | $4400 |
| Eli Rogers | PIT | H | NYG | 8 | 322 | 43 | 10.2% | 5.4 | 29 | 3.6 | 67.4% | 336 | 2 | 11.6 | 28.6 | 7 | 7 | 264.7 | 48 | -260 | $5200 | $3900 | $4000 |
| Eddie Royal | CHI | H | SF | 9 | 311 | 43 | 10.8% | 4.8 | 33 | 3.7 | 76.7% | 369 | 2 | 11.2 | 34.5 | 24 | 29 | 252.6 | 43.5 | -120 | $5100 | $3400 | $4000 |
| J.J. Nelson | ARI | H | WAS | 10 | 286 | 40 | 8.9% | 4.0 | 20 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 273 | 2 | 13.7 | 29.6 | 18 | 25 | 252.9 | 49.5 | -145 | $5100 | $3900 | $3800 |
| Tavon Austin | LA | A | NE | 11 | 546 | 79 | 21.4% | 7.2 | 44 | 4.0 | 55.7% | 401 | 3 | 9.1 | 27.8 | 28 | 21 | 253.6 | 44.5 | -750 | $5000 | $3900 | $4300 |
| Anquan Boldin | DET | A | NO | 11 | 526 | 66 | 17.3% | 6.0 | 48 | 4.4 | 72.7% | 392 | 6 | 8.2 | 29.6 | 25 | 22 | 271.4 | 53.5 | -260 | $5000 | $4100 | $4500 |
| Allen Hurns | JAC | H | DEN | 11 | 637 | 76 | 17.4% | 6.9 | 35 | 3.2 | 46.1% | 477 | 3 | 13.6 | 18.7 | 1 | 2 | 193.9 | 40.5 | 170 | $5000 | $3500 | $4150 |
| Michael Floyd | ARI | H | WAS | 11 | 511 | 59 | 13.1% | 5.4 | 28 | 2.5 | 47.5% | 410 | 3 | 14.6 | 29.6 | 18 | 25 | 252.9 | 49.5 | -145 | $4900 | $4200 | $4000 |
| Victor Cruz | NYG | A | PIT | 10 | 537 | 49 | 11.9% | 4.9 | 27 | 2.7 | 55.1% | 462 | 1 | 17.1 | 25.3 | 13 | 11 | 263.5 | 48 | -260 | $4900 | $3300 | $4100 |
| Adam Humphries | TB | A | SD | 11 | 523 | 61 | 14.8% | 5.5 | 40 | 3.6 | 65.6% | 448 | 1 | 11.2 | 29.5 | 9 | 9 | 271.3 | 47.5 | -190 | $4900 | $3600 | $3800 |
| Ted Ginn | CAR | A | SEA | 11 | 466 | 61 | 15.8% | 5.5 | 36 | 3.3 | 59.0% | 489 | 2 | 13.6 | 26.8 | 5 | 4 | 235.5 | 44.5 | -300 | $4900 | $4000 | $3900 |
| Brandon LaFell | CIN | H | PHI | 11 | 705 | 64 | 16.2% | 5.8 | 36 | 3.3 | 56.3% | 457 | 4 | 12.7 | 29.6 | 2 | 3 | 236.5 | 42 | 100 | $4900 | $4300 | $4300 |
| Torrey Smith | SF | A | CHI | 10 | 577 | 46 | 13.0% | 4.6 | 20 | 2.0 | 43.5% | 267 | 3 | 13.4 | 32.5 | 20 | 20 | 239.8 | 43.5 | -120 | $4800 | $3500 | $3800 |
| Seth Roberts | OAK | H | BUF | 11 | 504 | 54 | 12.9% | 4.9 | 29 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 314 | 5 | 10.8 | 26.2 | 19 | 19 | 227.7 | 49 | -165 | $4800 | $3000 | $3700 |
| Quincy Enunwa | NYJ | H | IND | 11 | 584 | 74 | 19.7% | 6.7 | 43 | 3.9 | 58.1% | 643 | 4 | 15.0 | 30.1 | 30 | 32 | 278.7 | 49 | 110 | $4700 | $4500 | $4800 |
| Devin Funchess | CAR | A | SEA | 11 | 364 | 41 | 10.7% | 3.7 | 18 | 1.6 | 43.9% | 285 | 3 | 15.8 | 26.8 | 5 | 4 | 235.5 | 44.5 | -300 | $4700 | $3300 | $3800 |
| Jermaine Kearse | SEA | H | CAR | 11 | 573 | 56 | 15.3% | 5.1 | 29 | 2.6 | 51.8% | 354 | 0 | 12.2 | 31.3 | 15 | 10 | 275.2 | 44.5 | -300 | $4600 | $3000 | $3900 |
| Braxton Miller | HOU | A | GB | 9 | 347 | 26 | 6.6% | 2.9 | 15 | 1.7 | 57.7% | 99 | 1 | 6.6 | 31.0 | 23 | 17 | 260.6 | 45.5 | -300 | $4500 | $3000 | $3300 |
| Quinton Patton | SF | A | CHI | 11 | 605 | 55 | 15.5% | 5.0 | 31 | 2.8 | 56.4% | 374 | 0 | 12.1 | 32.5 | 20 | 20 | 239.8 | 43.5 | -120 | $4500 | $3200 | $3700 |
| Nelson Agholor | PHI | A | CIN | 10 | 589 | 51 | 13.1% | 5.1 | 27 | 2.7 | 52.9% | 264 | 1 | 9.8 | 25.3 | 17 | 18 | 246.0 | 42 | 100 | $4500 | $3000 | $3800 |
| Dorial Green-Beckham | PHI | A | CIN | 11 | 401 | 54 | 13.9% | 4.9 | 29 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 330 | 2 | 11.4 | 25.3 | 17 | 18 | 246.0 | 42 | 100 | $4500 | $3000 | $4000 |
Elite Plays
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Odell Beckham, NYG – Steelers rank 30th against opposing WR1 and are allowing an average of 88.8 yards per game to them. Beckham is off the injury report and has eight touchdowns in his last seven games.
Mike Evans, TB – Volume, volume, volume! The match-ups are almost irrelevant as Jameis Winston always finds a way to get his guy the ball.
Julio Jones, ATL – Despite the presence of Marcus Peters, the Chiefs still rank 21st against opposing WR1 and have given up 20 touchdowns through the air this season.
Pricey but Affordable
Amari Cooper, OAK – Buffalo’s 19th-ranked pass defense ranks 24th against opposing WR1 and have allowed an average of 72.5 yards per game to them this season.
T.Y. Hilton, IND – Andrew Luck is back and the Jets pass defense blows. Opposing top wideouts are averaging 78 yards per game against them and the Jets have coughed up 18 passing touchdowns this season. There is no such thing as Revis Island anymore. Well, there is, but it’s old and desolate these days.
Brandon Marshall, NYJ – The Jets have very little going for them, so expect Ryan Fitzpatrick to be chucking the ball around the keep pace with Luck. The Colts rank 31st against opposing WR1, give up an average of 92 yards per game to them and have allowed 22 passing touchdowns this season.
Larry Fitzgerald, ARI -- You’d like to think Bruce Arians would wise up and let David Johnson do all the work, but he’s got Carson Palmer throwing the ball an average of 41 times per game. It seems unlikely that Josh Norman will shadow and Fitz, so I look to the fact that the Skins rank 25the against opposing WR1 and have allowed an average of 88.6 yards per game to them.
Solid Values
Michael Thomas, NO – He’s Drew Brees’ favorite target, the Saints are at home and they face the Lions’ 32nd-ranked pass defense which has allowed 22 passing touchdowns this season.
Doug Baldwin, SEA – Carolina’s pass defense is terrible. They allow an average of 275 passing yards per game and have served up 21 touchdowns through the air this season. Not to mention they rank 23rd against opposing top receivers and have allowed an average of 80.8 yards per game to them.
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Brandin Cooks, NO – The squeaky wheel gets the grease so expect Brees to find Cooks early and often here to keep the wideout from any more public grumbling. Oh yeah, and see what I just wrote for Thomas above.
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU – At this price and facing a porous Green Bay secondary, I’m going back to this well again. I just can’t see Nuk getting shut down here as the Packers rank dead last against opposing WR1 and have allowed an average of 85.2 yards per game to them. Even Brock Osweiler can’t screw this up, can he?
Jamison Crowder, WAS – While Patrick Peterson handles D-Jax and Marcus Cooper sticks to Pierre Garcon, Crowder should be left alone in mismatched single coverage throughout the game. He’ll line up on the outside and in the slot all day and while he may not see a world of targets, his big-play ability is certainly worth a look.
Stefon Diggs, MIN – He missed last week with a knee injury but he put in a full practice Wednesday and is ready to resume his duty as Sam Bradford’s target machine. Dallas gives up the fourth-most passing yards and have given up 19 touchdowns through the air this season.
Bargain Hunting
Golden Tate, DET – The Saints have given up the eighth-most passing yards this season and 17 passing touchdowns. They also rank 21st against WR2 and Tate shouldn’t have any trouble with Sterling Moore this week.
Malcolm Mitchell, NE – So no Gronk, Chris Hogan is still banged-up and Tom Brady is looking his way inside the red zone these days. He’s got three touchdowns in his last two games and using him allows you to spend up elsewhere.
Dontrelle Inman, SD – With Travis Benjamin falling out of favor, Inman has stepped up and has seen close to eight targets per game over the last three. He’s got big-play ability and the Bucs rank 24th against opposing WR2.
Anquan Boldin, DET – Don’t expect big yards, but against the Saints who rank 25th against WR3/slot receivers, you can bank on a touchdown.
Braxton Miller, HOU – Throw that dart, baby! The Packers secondary is that bad!