Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. And to earn a target, you need to be deemed “open” by the quarterback. It’s one big trickle-down effect. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are near the top of fantasy football ADP: They can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets, but that also trickles down to the fantasy managers drafting those pass-catchers and starting them in their lineups each week.

In this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report, we’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop. Combing the box score stats doesn’t paint a clear picture of the players we should target, roster, and start. Fantasy football rankings can only paint so much of the picture as well.

Everything we’ll be talking about here and this season in this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report will be some of the best statistics and metrics that correlate with fantasy football production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, just the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll be doing with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and saying, “go add this player,” which doesn’t help anybody.

This season, we're adding a video component, so if you want to get some of the juiciest nuggets of the target report in video form, check out the Target Report Bulletpoints for Week 4!





Passes thrown in the direction of a receiver, whether intended or not


Passes caught by a pass-catcher

Rec. Yards

Yards gained from a completed pass by the pass-catcher.


Receiving touchdowns

Air Yards

 The distance between where the pass is thrown from a quarterback to where the intended receiver either catches or doesn’t catch the ball. Caught or not caught, the air yards are recorded regardless.

This statistic is significant for determining the quarterback and coaching staff's predictive value in an offense and their intent.

Air Yards Team Share %

A pass-catcher’s percentage share of a team's air yards in a given week.

Route %

Percentage of routes a pass-catcher runs on a pass play per dropback on their team.

Snap %

Percentage of snaps a pass-catcher plays on an offensive series on their team.

Target Share %

Percentage of targets a pass-catcher receives in a given week on their team.

Yards per Target

Receiving yards a player gets on average per target. YPT is another intent-based metric but more predictive with the more targets a player receives.


Targets per route run (TPRR) is a metric that measures how often a receiver is targeted vs. the amount of routes they run. A higher TPRR means that the player is better at earning targets when he's on the field. A low raw route number or low route % coupled with a high TPRR means that the pass-catcher is efficient at earning targets and could be in line for more routes depending on the team situation.


25%+ TPRRElite

17-18%Close to replacement level

Sub 17%Not fantasy relevant


aDOT is "average depth of target". It’s the average depth of all targets caught or incomplete by a targeted pass-catcher. Shows how a receiver is used in his team’s offense (vertical threat, short area target, etc.)


A metric that contextualizes the efficiency of a pass-catcher with how many receiving yards per route run. It's a much better metric than yards per reception.


WOPR is a weighted average incorporating a player's share of team targets and air yards.


RACR is a ratio dividing receiving yards by total air yards. It measures how many receiving yards a player creates for every air yard thrown at him. The percentage of a team's air yards that a player commands based on his average depth of target and volume of targets. Most RACR numbers for running backs skew wildly by the nature of the running back position, which rarely earns air yards.



Bye Weeks:

  • Week 5: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB
  • Week 6: GB, PIT
  • Week 7: CAR, CIN, DAL, HOU, NYJ, TEN
  • Week 9: DEN, DET, JAX, SF
  • Week 10: KC, LAR, MIA, PHI
  • Week 11: ATL, IND, NE, NO
  • Week 13: BAL, BUF, CHI, LV, MIN, NYG
  • Week 14: ARI, WAS


Always Start Your Studs: These are players you should be starting in all formats, regardless of matchup. Use your judgment in shallower leagues where startable players are plentiful.

Start ‘Em: Players that should be starting most weeks on your fantasy rosters.

Keep Them Rostered: Players that should be rostered in most formats but shouldn't be started unless you’re in a pinch or during bye weeks. Maybe they’re not startable due to various issues like a backup quarterback playing, a player coming back from injury, a contingent running back, or are just unproductive, consistent, or dependable at the moment. League size designations or other designations (bench stash, etc.) will be in parenthesis next to players for deeper leagues. Depending on your league, this is a general recommendation, so use your best judgment.

Example: Parris Campbell (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jerome Ford (bench stash).

Add ‘Em: Players that warrant an add due to circumstances, productivity, or metrics that show they’re being utilized heavily in their offenses. These will usually have a format in which they should be added. 

Listing a player as “12-team leagues” assumes that player also be an addition in deeper 12-team and 14-team formats as well. 

Dump ‘Em: Players that you should be dropping from your rosters. Use your judgment in deeper leagues where players with usefulness on waivers aren’t as plentiful.

Any player not listed in any of these categories for a particular team is assumed to not be rosterable in most fantasy formats.

NFL Target Report
Arizona Cardinals

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Marquise BrownWR756118363.4%100.0%95.1%33.3%8.728.0%11.92.440.9440.7352558
Rondale MooreWR6480139.9%64.0%54.1%28.6%1.337.5%2.20.500.4980.6151633
Zach PascalWR     0.0%16.0%23.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Michael WilsonWR228604433.6%80.0%67.2%9.5%43.010.0%22.04.300.3781.9552041
Zach ErtzTE2260-2-1.5%64.0%59.0%9.5%3.012.5%-1.00.380.132-3.0001636
Trey McBrideTE112010.8%36.0%49.2%4.8%2.011.1%
Geoff SwaimTE     0.0%28.0%52.5%0.0%0.00.0%
James ConnerRB22180-3-2.3%48.0%63.9%9.5%9.016.7%-1.51.500.127-6.0001239
Keaontay IngramRB1180-5-3.8%4.0%14.8%4.8%8.0100.0%-
Emari DemercadoRB     0.0%28.0%18.0%0.0%0.00.0%

I'm not sure anybody saw this one coming, but you have to give the Cardinals some credit: they’ve been pretty competitive in all three games for a team that has zero reason to be. This upset over the Cowboys in Week 3 capped it off.

No surprise here, as James Conner reigns supreme over all running backs in Arizona, with his utilization hitting 70% of all running back opportunities in Week 3.

The Cardinals only threw the ball 21 times, so Zach Ertz (two targets, 2-6) couldn’t “Jason Witten” his way into a bunch of catches for 11 yards. He only received two targets on 64% of routes — a season-low. In fact, Ertz’s routes have fallen each week from a 91% high in Week 1. He’s trending downward big time, and it could be in favor of the much more athletic Trey McBride, who hasn’t quite taken over the routes or production, but he was a second-round pick last season and flashed when Ertz was injured.

The only real wide receiver highlights here were Marquise Brown (team-leading seven targets, 5-61-1) catching a short touchdown late on 100% route participation and Rondale Moore (six targets, 4-8; 45-yard rushing TD) getting a long touchdown on the ground to cap a WR24 finish on the week.

Week 3 Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Marquise Brown, James Conner

Keep Them Rostered: Rondale Moore, Zach Ertz (deeper 12 & 14-team), Michael Wilson (deeper 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Trey McBride (speculative add if you’re in need of tight end production deeper into the season)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Atlanta Falcons

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Drake LondonWR623105217.9%91.5%92.5%15.8%5.214.0%8.70.720.3620.5964362
Mack HollinsWR412306723.0%76.6%71.6%10.5%5.811.1%16.80.640.3190.3433648
KhaDarel HodgeWR11150103.4%14.9%19.4%2.6%15.014.3%
Scott MillerWR     0.0%12.8%14.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Kyle PittsTE9541010736.8%89.4%77.6%23.7%4.621.4%11.90.980.6130.3834252
Jonnu SmithTE853705318.2%68.1%71.6%21.1%4.625.0%
MyCole PruittTE1110041.4%8.5%26.9%2.6%10.025.0%4.02.500.0492.500418
Bijan RobinsonRB6427020.7%74.5%80.6%15.8%4.517.1%0.30.770.24213.5003554
Tyler AllgeierRB32170-4-1.4%25.5%29.9%7.9%5.725.0%-1.31.420.109-4.2501220
Keith SmithFB     0.0%4.3%14.9%0.0%0.00.0%

Arthur Smith’s bad karma from the fantasy football community finally reared its ugly head as Smith’s Falcons could only muster six points on the road against the Detroit Lions.

If this isn’t a microcosm for Kyle Pitts’ NFL career so far, I don’t know what is.

Do tight ends typically burn defensive backs? Pitts (nine targets, 5-41, 89% route participation) led the Falcons in every receiving category in Week 3, but you know, bless their hearts, they actually tried to get Pitts the ball.

Drake London (six targets, 2-31, 92% of routes) had a 28-yard catch, which would be about it for him for Week 3. Jonnu Smith (5-37) earned eight targets for some reason. I legitimately couldn’t tell you why.

Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier combined for 45 rushing and 44 receiving yards as they both were bottled up by the Lions. The split was essentially the same as last week, with Robinson taking 75% of the routes and 80% of the snaps and Allgeier grabbing the rest.

Week 3 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Bijan Robinson

Start ‘Em: Drake London, Kyle Pitts (start if you have no better options)

Keep Them Rostered: Tyler Allgeier (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Baltimore Ravens

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Rashod BatemanWR31603821.3%73.7%69.4%10.0%2.010.7%
Zay FlowersWR1084802815.7%100.0%93.1%33.3%4.826.3%
Nelson AgholorWR443902916.3%86.8%72.2%13.3%9.812.1%
Devin DuvernayWR10002111.8%23.7%25.0%3.3%0.011.1%
Mark AndrewsTE543503620.2%86.8%81.9%16.7%7.015.2%
Isaiah LikelyTE212002514.0%15.8%26.4%6.7%10.033.3%12.53.330.1980.800619
Gus EdwardsRB     0.0%28.9%44.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Melvin GordonRB2223052.8%34.2%40.3%6.7%11.515.4%2.51.770.1204.6001329
Kenyan DrakeRB32310-4-2.2%21.1%15.3%10.0%10.337.5%-1.33.880.134-7.750811
Patrick RicardFB     0.0%5.3%26.4%0.0%0.00.0%

The backfield has turned sour like milk you forgot in the fridge. It’s gotten moldy, just like the running backs who worked in with Gus EdwardsMelvin Gordon and Kenyan Drake both mixed into the rotation, with Gordon playing 40% of the snaps to Edwards’ 44%. Gordon ran the most routes of the trio but took a lot of the early-down work from Edwards as well.

Getting Justice Hill may muddy things up here post-J.K. Dobbins, so I can’t imagine starting any of these running backs unless it’s 1) bye week szn, or 2) the workload consolidates considerably to two of the backs. Otherwise, you can’t trust any of them.

Zay Flowers (8-48, 100% route participation) is Rondale Moore but much quicker, and his team actually uses him consistently. Flowers earned 10 targets at a low 2.8-yard aDOT, so it was mostly line-of-scrimmage looks for him, but hey, the Ravens are making a concerted effort to drum up touches and schemed looks for him, and that’s what we want.

What we DON’T want is Nelson Agholor (four targets, 4-39) seeing more routes (87%) than Rashod Bateman (three targets. 1-6) in a week that Odell Beckham was out. If there is one slight saving grace, it’s that Bateman has increased his routes each week from 57% to this week’s 74%. That’s why he has as long of a leash as he does.

Week 3 Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews

Start ‘Em: Zay Flowers

Keep Them Rostered: Odell Beckham (missed Week 3 - ankle), Gus Edwards, Justice Hill (missed Week 3 - toe; deeper 12 & 14-team), Rashod Bateman (I’d say hold, but he’s much closer to being an outright drop than a hold. One more week.)

Add ‘Em: Melvin Gordon (he’s… cheap?)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Buffalo Bills

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Stefon DiggsWR128111012242.4%91.4%66.2%38.7%9.337.5%10.23.470.8770.9103245
Gabe DavisWR4135110034.7%91.4%76.5%12.9%8.812.5%
Trent SherfieldWR32180248.3%20.0%45.6%9.7%6.042.9%8.02.570.2030.750731
Deonte HartyWR32150165.6%25.7%19.1%9.7%5.033.3%5.31.670.1840.938913
Khalil ShakirWR115031.0%11.4%23.5%3.2%5.025.0%
Dawson KnoxTE21110206.9%68.6%60.3%6.5%5.58.3%10.00.460.1450.5502441
Dalton KincaidTE2230-1-0.3%65.7%51.5%6.5%1.58.7%-
Quintin MorrisTE     0.0%0.0%27.9%0.0%0.00.0%
James CookRB3214031.0%57.1%61.8%9.7%4.715.0%1.00.700.1524.6672042
Damien HarrisRB     0.0%5.7%13.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Latavius MurrayRB116010.3%28.6%25.0%3.2%6.010.0%1.00.600.0516.0001017
Reggie GilliamFB     0.0%2.9%14.7%0.0%0.00.0%

Stefon Diggs dominated the Bills’ passing game with 39% of targets and an 8-111 line on 12 targets. In a blowout, there was really only room for him to earn targets here. Gabe Davis (1-35-1) scored a touchdown with his only reception on four targets.

Both Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid ran routes on 66-69% of dropbacks, and both saw two targets each. That won’t cut it, and the fantasy faithful who were hoping they would get what we’ve seen from Sam LaPorta and, to a lesser degree, Luke Musgrave have to be disappointed. 

James Cook (15 carries, three targets) still has the stranglehold on this offense with Latavius Murray (five carries, one target) working in ahead of Damien Harris. Cook still had 62% of all running back opportunities in a blowout win, which should tell you just who is getting the work in this backfield. 

Week 3 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs

Start ‘Em: James Cook

Keep Them Rostered: Gabe Davis, Dalton Kincaid (borderline 12-team starter), Dawson Knox (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Carolina Panthers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Adam ThielenWR1411145113829.6%90.5%93.7%24.6%10.424.6%9.92.540.5751.0515774
DJ CharkWR11486118840.3%96.8%93.7%19.3%7.818.0%17.11.410.5710.4576174
Jonathan MingoWR63210469.9%28.6%32.9%10.5%3.533.3%
Terrace MarshallWR853506012.8%66.7%59.5%14.0%4.419.0%7.50.830.3000.5834247
Laviska ShenaultWR1100-1-0.2%7.9%12.7%1.8%0.020.0%-
Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWR     0.0%4.8%3.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Hayden HurstTE31110275.8%61.9%60.8%5.3%3.77.7%
Ian ThomasTE1180-1-0.2%11.1%16.5%1.8%8.014.3%-
Tommy TrembleTE11150163.4%22.2%27.8%1.8%15.07.1%
Miles SandersRB95380122.6%57.1%65.8%15.8%4.225.0%
Chuba HubbardRB3220-18-3.9%30.2%32.9%5.3%0.715.8%-

I mean, Andy Dalton had 58 pass attempts and 63 total dropbacks, so you can imagine how this went for some of the pass-catchers here. Four receivers earned six or more targets, with Adam Thielen (14 targets, 11-145-1) and D.J. Chark (11 targets, 4-86-1) earning double-digits and scoring touchdowns. Even Miles Sanders had nine of them! The main thread here is that with Dalton under center, this offense is going to have a ton of volume.

It’s clear Bryce Young is struggling in a way most young quarterbacks do in the NFL and it’s his job as long as he’s healthy. Still, if Young can’t make this offense function, it’s not great for any of the pass-catchers. Thielen is clearly a fading star on a team that’s finding pieces to use for the future, so if a sell-high moment exists for Thielen, it’s right this second.

Miles Sanders (82% of RB opportunities) is still a dead-zone running back, despite what people will tell you about “WORKLOAD” and “VOLUME ONLY MATTERING”. Efficiency matters too, and he’s not been great. Nine targets certainly help, but that’s likely his season high this season by a large margin. Sanders’ not-so-great efficiency isn’t probably enough of a concern to make Chuba Hubbard a real, actual thing in fantasy outside of a contingency basis. Sanders’ workload is safe for now.

Week 3 Carolina Panthers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Miles Sanders, Adam ThielenJonathan Mingo (deeper 12 & 14-team; left Week 3 - concussion), Chuba Hubbard (deeper 12 & 14-team), D.J. Chark (deeper 12 & 14-team), Bryce Young (deeper 12 & 14-team; missed Week 3 - ankle)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Hayden Hurst (it’s Joever.)


Chicago Bears

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DJ MooreWR6341113443.4%100.0%100.0%30.0%6.820.7%22.31.410.7540.3062951
Darnell MooneyWR1000268.4%72.4%70.6%5.0%0.04.8%
Chase ClaypoolWR411509430.4%89.7%86.3%20.0%3.815.4%23.50.580.5130.1602644
Tyler ScottWR31604213.6%20.7%19.6%15.0%2.050.0%
Cole KmetTE22220134.2%72.4%76.5%10.0%11.09.5%
Robert TonyanTE     0.0%13.8%15.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Khalil HerbertRB2240-4-1.3%37.9%54.9%10.0%2.018.2%-2.00.360.141-1.0001128
Roschon JohnsonRB2211041.3%31.0%45.1%10.0%5.522.2%
Travis HomerRB     0.0%6.9%3.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Khari BlasingameFB     0.0%0.0%9.8%0.0%0.00.0%

If I were Bears’ principal owner Virginia McCaskey, I would have tried to set any eligible Chicago Bear up with Taylor Swift for the Karma alone. It’s the only thing that would have been modern about the Bears. Sadly, she was rooting for the other side — the Kansas City Chiefs — and the Chiefs throttled the Bears 41-10. This game, Bears fans will remember it All Too Well.

Justin Fields threw for 99 yards. DJ Moore (3-41-1) caught the only touchdown, took 30% of targets, and accounted for almost half of Fields’ passing yards. He was also the only Bear who caught more than two passes. This team is in shambles.

Roschon Johnson (53% of all RB opportunities) might soon be a thing in this offense, but the offense is bad, so that’s an unfortunate thing to deal with. Still, Khalil Herbert and Johnson are about neck and neck now with Johnson trailing slightly in snaps (55% to 45%) and routes (41% to 31%). Both are low-end flex plays, but the door has been open for a little bit for Johnson to steal more opportunity away.

Week 3 Chicago Bears Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Justin Fields, DJ Moore

Keep Them Rostered: Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson (developing standalone role), Cole Kmet (deeper 12 & 14-team), Darnell Mooney (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Cincinnati Bengals

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Ja'Marr ChaseWR1512141014244.4%100.0%96.1%32.6%9.429.4%9.52.760.8000.9935174
Tee HigginsWR822108727.2%96.1%85.7%17.4%2.616.3%10.90.430.4510.2414966
Tyler BoydWR953905918.4%88.2%76.6%19.6%4.320.0%6.60.870.4230.6614559
Charlie JonesWR216061.9%5.9%3.9%4.3%3.066.7%
Andrei IosivasWR     0.0%3.9%10.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Drew SampleTE1170-4-1.3%17.6%44.2%2.2%7.011.1%-4.00.780.024-1.750934
Mitchell WilcoxTE32100123.8%23.5%41.6%6.5%3.325.0%4.00.830.1240.8331232
Tanner HudsonTE423003310.3%58.8%46.8%8.7%7.513.3%
Joe MixonRB2150-12-3.8%56.9%75.3%4.3%2.56.9%-
Trayveon WilliamsRB2000-3-0.9%13.7%18.2%4.3%0.028.6%-
Chase BrownRB     0.0%2.0%1.3%0.0%0.00.0%

A passing game you can set your watch to: Ja’Marr Chase (15 targets, 12-141, he’s back, folks.), Tee Higgins (eight targets, 2-21) and Tyler Boyd (nine targets, 5-31) accounted for 70% of the Bengals’ targets in Week 3 and all ran at least 88% of routes per dropback. A tale as old as time. 

Joe Burrow still doesn’t look super GREAT, but he looked better here. It’s still an offense that will pass a ton in all game scripts but haven’t been very efficient with it. If the bargain-basement floor is a ton of volume but acting like the Buccaneers last season with Tom Brady, that’s a pretty good floor.

Joe Mixon is solid and dominating the backfield (19 carries, two targets) adding a score in the third quarter.

Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Burrow (still recovering from calf injury, was a GTD for Week 3), Tee Higgins, Joe Mixon

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Tyler BoydIrv Smith (deeper 12 & 14-team, missed Week 3 - hamstring), Trayveon Williams (14-team leagues; contingent back)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Cleveland Browns

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amari CooperWR87116114562.0%94.6%80.3%25.8%14.522.9%18.13.310.8210.8003557
Elijah MooreWR99490104.3%91.9%76.1%29.0%5.426.5%1.11.440.4654.9003454
Donovan Peoples-JonesWR434905322.6%83.8%88.7%12.9%12.312.9%13.31.580.3520.9253163
Cedric TillmanWR     0.0%5.4%15.5%0.0%0.00.0%
David BellWR     0.0%2.7%14.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Marquise GoodwinWR     0.0%10.8%7.0%0.0%0.00.0%
David NjokuTE4420041.7%73.0%73.2%12.9%5.014.8%1.00.740.2065.0002752
Jordan AkinsTE     0.0%8.1%18.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Harrison BryantTE     0.0%24.3%35.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Jerome FordRB32331187.7%59.5%56.3%9.7%11.013.6%6.01.500.1991.8332240
Pierre StrongRB     0.0%5.4%11.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Kareem HuntRB3222041.7%13.5%19.7%9.7%7.360.0%1.34.400.1575.500514

The Browns took a trip down the Tennessee Titans’ pass funnel and Deshaun Watson had his best game as a Cleveland Brown. Only six Browns caught a pass but Amari Cooper (eight targets, 7-116-1, 95% routes) and Elijah Moore (nine targets, 9-49, 92% routes) combined for over half of the Browns’ targets. Moore’s 1.1-yard aDOT was a bit concerning, but the volume made it work in Week 3.

In the post-Nick Chubb era for the Browns, Jerome Ford (50% of all RB opportunities, rushing TD) saw just shy of 60%/60% (routes/snaps) in Week 3, with Kareem Hunt and Pierre Strong getting some throwaway carries later on when the game was well in hand.

Week 3 Cleveland Browns Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Deshaun Watson, Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore, Jerome Ford (first crack at back) 

Keep Them Rostered: David Njoku (just 11 targets and 20 air yards on the season, huh?), Kareem Hunt (deep 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Pierre Strong (saw mostly late-late game work behind Hunt)


Dallas Cowboys

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
CeeDee LambWR745305227.5%93.6%82.7%19.4%7.615.9%
Brandin CooksWR621705227.5%83.0%80.2%16.7%2.815.4%8.70.440.4430.3273965
Michael GallupWR769207137.6%80.9%69.1%19.4%13.118.4%10.12.420.5551.2963856
Jalen TolbertWR     0.0%12.8%17.3%0.0%0.00.0%
KaVontae TurpinWR     0.0%2.1%2.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Jake FergusonTE754802915.3%61.7%69.1%19.4%6.924.1%4.11.660.3991.6552956
Luke SchoonmakerTE100000.0%10.6%23.5%2.8%0.020.0%
Peyton HendershotTE113010.5%38.3%45.7%2.8%3.05.6%
Tony PollardRB33-10-8-4.2%78.7%86.4%8.3%-0.38.1%-2.7-0.030.0950.1253770
Rico DowdleRB33251-11-5.8%14.9%13.6%8.3%8.342.9%-3.73.570.084-2.273711
Hunter LuepkeRB1112031.6%4.3%9.9%2.8%12.050.0%

Just when you think the Cowboys have turned a corner and might be the class of the NFC, they give everybody the biggest rug pull of the season so far by losing to Jonathan Gannon’s Cardinals. To be fair, Gannon is pretty familiar with the Cowboys from his time with the Eagles, but still. This is pretty #bad.

In the trailing script, Dak Prescott got to sling it for 40 pass attempts, but Michael Gallup (seven targets, 6-92, 81% routes) was the only player who really did anything usable with it, and nobody started him. CeeDee Lamb ran a bunch of routes (94%) and went for a so-so 4-53 on seven targets. Just bad all around in the passing game.

Tony Pollard is leading (and dominating) the NFL in high-value touches, as he’s averaging 9.3 HVTs per game and per Rotoviz, leads the NFL by 3.7 per game among running backs who have played in at least two games. The Cowboys offense has been a HVT goldmine through three weeks and it’s going to flow through Pollard. You love to see it.

Week 3 Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: CeeDee Lamb, Tony Pollard

Start ‘Em: Dak Prescott (borderline 12-team starter)

Keep Them Rostered: Brandin Cooks, Michael Gallup (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jake Ferguson (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Denver Broncos

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Jerry JeudyWR7581012231.0%82.5%75.8%19.4%11.621.2%17.42.450.5090.6643347
Courtland SuttonWR11891111028.0%95.0%95.2%30.6%8.328.9%10.02.390.6540.8273859
Marvin MimsWR5373012732.3%27.5%24.2%13.9%14.645.5%25.46.640.4350.5751115
Brandon JohnsonWR32120215.3%57.5%59.7%8.3%4.013.0%7.00.520.1620.5712337
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR     0.0%17.5%21.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Adam TrautmanTE2000-1-0.3%90.0%87.1%5.6%0.05.6%-
Chris ManhertzTE1000123.1%5.0%21.0%2.8%0.050.0%
Nate AdkinsTE1111010.3%10.0%9.7%2.8%11.025.0%1.02.750.04311.00046
Javonte WilliamsRB32230-1-0.3%30.0%41.9%8.3%7.725.0%-0.31.920.123-23.0001226
Samaje PerineRB3215020.5%30.0%30.6%8.3%5.025.0%
Jaleel McLaughlinRB     0.0%17.5%21.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Michael BurtonFB     0.0%10.0%11.3%0.0%0.00.0%

Impeach Sean Payton.

Karmically, the Broncos deserve it for not playing Marvin Mims (11 routes, 12 less than Brandon Johnson)

Courtland Sutton (11 targets, 8-91-1, 95% routes) looks legitimately as good as he’s looked in a long time, thinking before his ACL tear in 2019/2020. He almost had three touchdowns on the day (again, blame Johnson) and has been the preferred target for Russell Wilson so far this season. Jerry Jeudy (seven targets, 5-81) also had his best game of the young season, so maybe there’s some room here for the Broncos to possibly have two fantasy starters and a lid lifter in Mims, but he’s got to get the routes. He’s a hold on benches for now. 

The Broncos’ progression of Javonte Williams (30% routes/42% snaps)is still in a bit of a holding pattern as he’s being worked in pretty slowly. You’ve still got to start him, but the routes and everything else should develop more as we get further into the season.

Week 3 Denver Broncos Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Javonte Williams

Start ‘Em: Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy

Keep Them Rostered: Samaje Perine (contingent play with a little standalone value), Russell Wilson, Marvin Mims

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Detroit Lions

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR129102010136.1%100.0%94.3%38.7%8.535.3%
Kalif RaymondWR645509634.3%52.9%35.7%19.4%9.233.3%
Josh ReynoldsWR     0.0%73.5%77.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Marvin JonesWR     0.0%29.4%41.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Antoine GreenWR     0.0%14.7%20.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Sam LaPortaTE1188418731.1%82.4%74.3%35.5%7.639.3%
Brock WrightTE     0.0%20.6%41.4%0.0%0.00.0%
James MitchellTE     0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Jahmyr GibbsRB2120-4-1.4%50.0%60.0%6.5%1.011.8%-
Craig ReynoldsRB     0.0%23.5%28.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Zonovan KnightRB     0.0%8.8%10.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Jason CabindaFB     0.0%8.8%14.3%0.0%0.00.0%

Only four Lions caught a pass in Week 3, but that’s definitely fine as we still got fantasy goodness from the guys we love, and Kalif Raymond

Amon-Ra St. Brown (12 targets, 9-102, 100% route participation) is #good. 

Sam LaPorta (11 targets, 8-84-1, 82% routes) is awesome. Back in my day, people told us that rookie tight ends didn’t produce in their first year because almost every tight end not named Evan Engram was not good. Well, LaPorta IS good and has the talent PLUS the opportunity to take advantage of here. LaPorta is averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game, has the second-highest target share among tight ends at 22.7%, has the highest yards per route run of any tight end with 10+ targets at 2.19, the fifth-highest targets per route run at 26%, is there anything he can’t do? LaPorta deserves to be in the same breath as the elites at the tight end position. 

For the rest of the season, it goes Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, Darren Waller, then LaPorta. He’s a top-five tight end and a must-start going forward. Lock him in.

Without David MontgomeryJahmyr Gibbs took more of the prototypical running back role, was pretty efficient (4.7 YPC on 19 carries) and took 73% of RB opportunities in Week 3. Craig Reynolds and Zonovan Knight took quite a bit of the low-value touches (33% - 7-of-21) off of Gibbs’ plate. Still, I’m very much bullish here as it did a bit to quell some “Gibbs is a satellite back” talk, which is preposterous.

Week 3 Detroit Lions Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Amon-Ra St. Brown

Start ‘Em: Jahmyr GibbsJared Goff, Sam LaPorta, David Montgomery (missed Week 3 - thigh)

Keep Them Rostered: Josh Reynolds (deeper 12-team leagues), Jameson Williams (suspended for 6 games; stash in deeper 12-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Green Bay Packers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Romeo DoubsWR12573115730.8%86.0%86.1%27.9%6.127.9%13.11.700.6340.4654368
Jayden ReedWR736309719.0%74.0%65.8%16.3%9.018.9%13.91.700.3770.6493752
Samori ToureWR30008416.5%42.0%41.8%7.0%0.014.3%
Dontayvion WicksWR644505711.2%68.0%65.8%14.0%7.517.6%9.51.320.2880.7893452
Malik HeathWR2000295.7%14.0%13.9%4.7%0.028.6%
Luke MusgraveTE864907614.9%86.0%86.1%18.6%6.118.6%
Tucker KraftTE     0.0%10.0%12.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Josiah DeguaraTE     0.0%8.0%21.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Ben SimsTE     0.0%0.0%3.8%0.0%0.00.0%
AJ DillonRB     0.0%42.0%51.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Emanuel WilsonRB4323091.8%46.0%39.2%9.3%5.817.4%
Patrick TaylorRB116010.2%8.0%10.1%2.3%6.025.0%1.01.500.0366.00048

Well, the Packers were legitimately #notgreat for three quarters until they turned everything on in the fourth quarter. Cardiac Pack, anyone?

Romeo Doubs was the clear star here for the Packers as he caught the go-ahead touchdown and added a relatively inefficient (but we’ll take it!) five catches and 83 yards on 12 targets. He also ran routes on 86% of Jordan Love’s dropbacks as one of the trio (including Jayden Reed) that will pair with Christian Watson’s eventual return, which looks like it will be in Week 4 against the Lions. Dontayvion Wicks (six targets, 4-45, 68% routes) is looking like Watson’s direct backup rather than somebody who is going to be contributing heavily to this young receiving corps.

A.J. Dillon’s 3.0 YPC is not doing himself any favors and has really dropped his stock big time with Aaron Jones’ absence. It’s been so bad that Patrick Taylor and Emanuel Wilson even worked him behind Dillon in a competitive game on a team that, when healthy, only uses the third running back on special teams or in blowouts. That’s pretty damning for Dillon.

Week 3 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Aaron Jones (missed Week 3 - hamstring)

Start ‘Em: Christian Watson (missed Week 1-3 - hamstring)

Keep Them Rostered: Romeo Doubs, Jordan LoveLuke Musgrave, Jayden Reed, AJ Dillon

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Houston Texans

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDNamePosRoute %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Robert WoodsWR633406627.0%90.3%76.8%20.7%5.721.4%
Nico CollinsWR32340208.2%77.4%66.1%10.3%11.312.5%6.71.420.2131.7002437
John MetchieWR22130-2-0.8%16.1%26.8%6.9%6.540.0%-1.02.600.098-6.500515
Tank DellWR75145113655.7%83.9%60.7%24.1%20.726.9%19.45.580.7521.0662634
Dalton SchultzTE31902911.9%74.2%67.9%10.3%3.013.0%9.70.390.2380.3102338
Teagan QuitorianoTE100000.0%6.5%33.9%3.4%0.050.0%
Brevin JordanTE2213110.4%16.1%17.9%6.9%6.540.0%0.52.600.10613.000510
Dameon PierceRB3328020.8%38.7%53.6%10.3%9.325.0%0.72.330.16114.0001230
Devin SingletaryRB2240-8-3.3%41.9%39.3%6.9%2.015.4%-4.00.310.080-0.5001322
Mike BooneRB     0.0%6.5%7.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Andrew BeckFB     0.0%22.6%50.0%0.0%0.00.0%

We touched on this the first two weeks of the season, but the Texans are an #exciting offense again! Honestly, the Texans hit on C.J. Stroud in a big way, and he (as well as PFF Bobby Slowik, offensive coordinator) transformed this offense and lifted the boats of Nico Collins (three targets, 2-34), Robert Woods (six targets, 3-34), and most notably, rookie Tank Dell. Dell (seven targets, 5-145-1) looks like a legit future star so far after three weeks.

Dalton Schultz (7-47 in three games COMBINED), what is it you say you do here? He’s been a poor fit, and Stroud doesn’t seem so inclined to target him consistently.

Week 3 Houston Texans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Tank Dell

Keep Them Rostered: C.J. Stroud, Dameon Pierce, Robert Woods, C.J. Stroud, Dalton Schultz (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Indianapolis Colts

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Michael PittmanWR1197706218.1%100.0%100.0%26.2%7.022.4%5.61.570.5191.2424984
Alec PierceWR7343016146.9%93.9%96.4%16.7%6.115.2%23.00.930.5790.2674681
Josh DownsWR1285707221.0%83.7%79.8%28.6%4.829.3%6.01.390.5760.7924167
Isaiah McKenzieWR1130-1-0.3%10.2%10.7%2.4%3.020.0%-1.00.600.034-3.00059
Mo Alie-CoxTE     0.0%10.2%29.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Kylen GransonTE4290226.4%67.3%52.4%9.5%2.312.1%
Andrew OgletreeTE21110185.2%20.4%33.3%4.8%5.520.0%
Zack MossRB32231102.9%44.9%76.2%7.1%7.713.6%
Trey SermonRB2140-1-0.3%18.4%21.4%4.8%2.022.2%-0.50.440.069-4.000918

I just want to say this hurts me too, with quite a bit of exposure to Alec Pierce (seven targets, 3-43, 94% routes). Still, Josh Downs (12 targets, 8-57, 84% routes) is the guy we want here as an actual target earner out of the slot. Downs’ role has expanded bit by bit each week, and Pierce is essentially MVS right now. Not #good.

Michael Pittman (11 targets, 9-77, 100% routes) has been excellent so far, and it making me eat some crow too, which is crazy considering that a lot of these Colts pieces on offense were so cheap in drafts, especially in the passing game. Pittman has earned at least 11 targets in each game, and hey, we can’t scoff at that. Gardner Minshew has been solid for the volume aspect of this passing game, where we didn’t know if that would be present in the Anthony Richardson version of this offense.

Zack Moss saw a whopping 32 touches even with Moss losing about half of his routes, but that’s alright if he’s seeing that kind of volume weekly. The Jonathan Taylor question will be answered after Week 4…

Week 3 Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Michael Pittman

Start ‘Em: Anthony Richardson (missed Week 3 - concussion), Zack Moss

Keep Them Rostered: Jonathan Taylor (PUP until Week 5), Josh Downs

Add ‘Em: Josh Downs (snatched WR2 role from Alec Pierce)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Jacksonville Jaguars

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Calvin RidleyWR7340010839.0%82.6%80.8%17.5%5.718.4%
Christian KirkWR645418430.3%91.3%86.3%15.0%9.014.3%
Jamal AgnewWR544905319.1%65.2%56.2%12.5%9.816.7%10.61.630.3210.9253041
Tim JonesWR32110217.6%30.4%32.9%7.5%3.721.4%7.00.790.1660.5241424
Evan EngramTE87670207.2%84.8%71.2%20.0%8.420.5%2.51.720.3513.3503952
Luke FarrellTE1140-3-1.1%13.0%34.2%2.5%4.016.7%-3.00.670.030-1.333625
Brenton StrangeTE227020.7%15.2%28.8%5.0%3.528.6%
Travis EtienneRB54500-8-2.9%58.7%71.2%12.5%10.018.5%-1.61.850.167-6.2502752
Tank BigsbyRB100010.4%8.7%12.3%2.5%0.025.0%
D'Ernest JohnsonRB2260-1-0.4%19.6%16.4%5.0%3.022.2%-0.50.670.072-6.000912

The thing about Jacksonville: what if they just ran hot at the end of last season? They’re probably still a really good football team and I’m just vamping here. I truly want to believe.

After Calvin Ridley’s Week 1, where we thought he was back, he’s followed that up with five receptions for 72 yards in his next two games combined. The offense really just feels okay but not great, but the steam needs to get picked up here.

Christian Kirk (six targets, 4-54-1) found the end zone on six targets, and Evan Engram (eight targets, 7-67) led the team in most receiving categories, except swag. That went to “Swagnew” himself, Jamal Agnew (five targets, 4-49), who saw 65% of routes with Zay Jones inactive.

Tank Bigsby stole another touchdown on two carries, and I wrote my congressman a strongly-worded letter about how these crimes against Travis Etienne (75% of all RB opportunities) cannot go unpunished.

Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Calvin Ridley, Travis EtienneTrevor Lawrence

Start ‘Em: Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, Zay Jones (deeper 12 & 14-team leagues)

Keep Them Rostered: Tank Bigsby (contingent and apparently a touchdown-stealing play too)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Kansas City Chiefs

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Kadarius ToneyWR11-10-4-1.6%4.9%2.6%2.7%-1.050.0%-4.0-0.500.0290.25022
Skyy MooreWR644205722.9%58.5%64.9%16.2%7.025.0%9.51.750.4030.7372450
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR213704116.5%63.4%53.2%5.4%18.57.7%20.51.420.1960.9022641
Rashee RiceWR755904518.1%51.2%50.6%18.9%8.433.3%6.42.810.4101.3112139
Justyn RossWR100062.4%26.8%37.7%2.7%0.09.1%
Justin WatsonWR325105120.5%53.7%40.3%8.1%17.013.6%17.02.320.2651.0002231
Travis KelceTE876915421.7%70.7%61.0%21.6%8.627.6%6.82.380.4761.2782947
Noah GrayTE2190156.0%61.0%61.0%5.4%4.58.0%7.50.360.1230.6002547
Blake BellTE     0.0%4.9%28.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Isiah PachecoRB32160-8-3.2%39.0%41.6%8.1%5.318.8%-
Jerick McKinnonRB33192-5-2.0%31.7%28.6%8.1%6.323.1%-1.71.460.108-3.8001322
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB1120-3-1.2%19.5%29.9%2.7%2.012.5%-

If bet if Taylor Swift were to Speak Now, we could get some clarity on the Chiefs’ wide receiver room. The only piece of clarity (maybe?) is that Rashee Rice (seven targets, 5-59, 51% routes) might be the best player in that room. He earned the second-most targets next to Travis Kelce (eight targets, 7-59-1, 71% routes - still growing) and had two touchdowns gift-wrapped but was down both times at the 1-yard-line. It's tough stuff, but if there’s anybody with real room to grow in his routes based on his performance, it’s Rice. The rest of the room has been that bad. I’m about done with Skyy Moore (4-42), as he’s hit a season-low 50% routes despite earning six targets. Forgetting him was like tryin' to know somebody you never met.

The running back room is still a gross split, but Jerick McKinnon caught two touchdowns on just 32% routes. He let us know he’s still alive, but McKinnon (32% routes / 29% snaps) is not exactly a player you need to be jamming into lineups with the way Isiah Pacheco (39% / 42%) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (20% / 30%) work into this three-headed backfield.

Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Travis KelcePatrick Mahomes

Start ‘Em: Isiah Pacheco

Keep Them Rostered: Kadarius ToneySkyy Moore, Jerick McKinnon (deeper 12 & 14-team leagues), Rashee Rice (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Rashee Rice (long-term viable Chiefs WR; say no more)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Las Vegas Raiders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Davante AdamsWR1913172224052.6%98.0%97.2%44.2%9.139.6%12.63.581.0310.7174870
Jakobi MeyersWR12785015433.8%83.7%86.1%27.9%7.129.3%
Hunter RenfrowWR22170132.9%57.1%51.4%4.7%8.57.1%6.50.610.0901.3082837
Tre TuckerWR     0.0%18.4%16.7%0.0%0.00.0%
DeAndre CarterWR11160-3-0.7%12.2%11.1%2.3%16.016.7%-3.02.670.030-5.33368
Austin HooperTE     0.0%67.3%77.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Michael MayerTE1000122.6%38.8%47.2%2.3%0.05.3%
Josh JacobsRB53180143.1%63.3%81.9%11.6%3.616.1%2.80.580.1961.2863159
Zamir WhiteRB     0.0%2.0%1.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Ameer AbdullahRB32160265.7%20.4%16.7%7.0%5.330.0%8.71.600.1450.6151012
Jakob JohnsonFB     0.0%8.2%8.3%0.0%0.00.0%

72% of the team’s targets went to Davante Adams (19 targets, 13-172-2) and the returning Jakobi Meyers (12 targets, 7-85). That’s pretty good.

I’m willing to capitulate a bit on the Davante Adams concern; I had Adams as a fade in the first round and was steadfast in that Jimmy Garoppolo was a bad match for Adams’ skillset. Clearly, that hasn’t been the case, and I get to eat the crow of those decisions for the rest of the season. But hey, at least I have Garrett Wilson, right?

This offense is so concentrated that nobody else really matters. Josh Jacobs (82% snaps, 63% routes) SHOULD matter but really hasn’t in three weeks. Could his 2022 be an extreme outlier? I’d say Jacobs (83 total yards, 22-of-25 running back opportunities in Week 3) is better than he’s shown but not as good to sustain his 2022 production into 2023, but the truth is somewhere in the middle. I do like him as a buy-low for fantasy managers looking to pick up a big regression candidate for pennies on the dollar.

Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs

Start ‘Em: Jakobi Meyers

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Los Angeles Chargers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Keenan AllenWR2018215012436.4%92.0%89.4%41.7%10.843.5%6.24.670.8801.7344659
Mike WilliamsWR87121110530.8%74.0%66.7%16.7%15.121.6%
Quentin JohnstonWR3210020.6%26.0%24.2%6.3%3.323.1%0.70.770.0985.0001316
Joshua PalmerWR7466110731.4%68.0%60.6%14.6%9.420.6%15.31.940.4380.6173440
Derius DavisWR1130-5-1.5%8.0%9.1%2.1%3.025.0%-5.00.750.021-0.60046
Gerald EverettTE6630072.1%48.0%57.6%12.5%5.025.0%
Donald ParhamTE224220.6%34.0%51.5%4.2%2.011.8%
Tre' McKittyTE     0.0%6.0%15.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Stone SmarttTE     0.0%20.0%25.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Joshua KelleyRB1150-1-0.3%26.0%74.2%2.1%5.07.7%-1.00.380.029-5.0001349
Isaiah SpillerRB     0.0%12.0%24.2%0.0%0.00.0%

With Mike Williams going down to an ACL tear that will sit him down for the rest of 2023, our next question revolves around the next man up for the Chargers: Joshua Palmer or Quentin Johnston?

Palmer has run routes on 68% of Justin Herbert’s dropbacks this season, and before his Week 3, Palmer had a grand total of three targets and two receptions for 11 yards. Once Williams left, Palmer ran 100% of the routes, and the Chargers used much more 12 personnel, with Donald Parham getting on the field more, which is certainly suboptimal if you’ve got shares of Johnston. Palmer will get the immediate routes spike in this offense as more of the short to intermediate route player. Johnston has only run a route on 28% of Herbert’s dropbacks this season but has the best chance of filling the Mike Williams role in this Chargers offense as a deeper average depth of target boundary-type wide receiver. We’re wondering if his routes will jump up and get on the field more for fantasy goodness. To answer that, I’ll quote Axl Rose, “All we need is just a little patience.”

Palmer will have the immediate target-earning role in Los Angeles, and both Palmer and Johnston should be added if they’re available. The Chargers are top-10 in three-WR sets at 59%, so with the passing volume definitely there, there’s room for both Palmer and Johnston in the target tree for the Chargers, but don’t be surprised if it’s more Palmer in the short-term and Johnston getting the routes spike and being the long-term Chargers WR play later on in the season.

At least Keenan Allen — the WR1 through three weeks who earned a whopping 20 targets and put up an 18-215 line in Week 3— is a full-blown stud.

Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Keenan Allen, Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler (missed Week 2-3 - ankle)

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Joshua Kelley, Joshua Palmer, Quentin Johnson

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Mike Williams (out for season - torn ACL)


Los Angeles Rams

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Van JeffersonWR314608727.5%95.0%94.5%9.4%15.37.9%
Tutu AtwellWR9450111034.8%92.5%87.3%28.1%5.624.3%12.21.350.6660.4553748
Puka NacuaWR757207624.1%97.5%96.4%21.9%10.317.9%10.91.850.4960.9473953
Ben SkowronekWR1130-2-0.6%12.5%21.8%3.1%3.020.0%-2.00.600.042-1.500512
Tyler HigbeeTE557104614.6%92.5%96.4%15.6%14.213.5%9.21.920.3361.5433753
Brycen HopkinsTE     0.0%0.0%3.6%0.0%0.00.0%
Kyren WilliamsRB72270-1-0.3%82.5%100.0%21.9%3.921.2%-0.10.820.326-27.0003355

When a defense wants to scheme against your best offensive player (Puka Nacua) and he STILL puts up 5-72 on seven targets, I’d say that’s pretty bullish. 

Scoring the lone touchdown in Week 3 for the Rams was Tutu Atwell (nine targets, 4-50-1) — the torch-bearer of Short King Summer. Besides Atwell, Tyler Higbee (5-71) earned five targets in his best game of 2023. If this offense can be Nacua, Atwell, and Cooper Kupp once he returns, anybody would take that.

Sean McVay has said he does want another running back to mix in with Kyren Williams, but he was the only running back who earned a snap in Week 3 for the Rams. Ride the wave, even if Williams was a bit normal (10 carries, 38 yards; seven targets, 2-27) this week.

Week 3 Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Cooper Kupp (IR - hamstring; eligible to return in Week 5), Puca Nacua

Start ‘Em: Kyren Williams

Keep Them Rostered: Tutu Atwell, Matthew StaffordTyler Higbee

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Van Jefferson (He stinks and you can do better. Will be vaporized once Kupp returns)


Miami Dolphins

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Tyreek HillWR119157112668.1%75.9%53.4%39.3%14.350.0%
Braxton BerriosWR22330179.2%48.3%50.7%7.1%16.514.3%8.52.360.1711.9411437
Cedrick WilsonWR     0.0%31.0%46.6%0.0%0.00.0%
River CracraftWR11130105.4%44.8%34.2%3.6%13.07.7%
Robbie ChosenWR116814122.2%51.7%57.5%3.6%68.06.7%41.04.530.2091.6591542
Durham SmytheTE11150105.4%24.1%35.6%3.6%15.014.3%
Julian HillTE100052.7%72.4%78.1%3.6%0.04.8%
Raheem MostertRB77601-11-5.9%62.1%50.7%25.0%8.638.9%-1.63.330.333-5.4551837
De'Von AchaneRB44302-13-7.0%37.9%41.1%14.3%7.536.4%-3.32.730.165-2.3081130
Chris BrooksRB     0.0%6.9%17.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Alec IngoldFB     0.0%24.1%37.0%0.0%0.00.0%

So unless you’ve been living under a rock, the Miami Dolphins put up 70 points on the Denver Broncos and essentially did anything they wanted to do. Mike McDaniel has the fastest collection of weapons in the NFL, one of them being De’Von Achane. Achane put up 203 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards, and four total touchdowns. His backfield mate Raheem Mostert also put up four total touchdowns on the day, so our job here is to dissect what this means going forward for Achane for fantasy purposes.

Looking at this in black and white is probably the wrong way to look at it. I’m not thinking of this entire backfield as “what specific role will each player have”, as it’s pretty evident that a head coach will utilize the speed and explosiveness of Achane and scheme touches and opportunities for him each week. You can’t put the genie back in the bottle. To quote Ben Gretch, “you can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube”.

Achane obviously isn’t going to be putting up 200 yards and four touchdowns each week, but we know the upside here because we’ve SEEN it. Mostert has been the workhorse so far this season. Jeff Wilson is coming back in Week 5. Normally, I’d be worried about a pie being split multiple ways, but this isn’t any run-of-the-mill offense we’re talking about. No offense has more upside than this one and you want a piece or multiple pieces of THE most explosive offense in football.

Oh, and Tyreek Hill (11 targets, 9-157-1) is pretty good too. The scariest part? The Dolphins scored 70 points without Jaylen Waddle.

Week 3 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle (missed Week 3 - concussion), Tua Tagovailoa

Start ‘Em: Raheem Mostert, DeVon Achane

Keep Them Rostered: Jeff Wilson (IR - rib/finger)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Durham Smythe (flipped snaps/routes with UDFA Julian Hill)


Minnesota Vikings

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Justin JeffersonWR137149116242.4%96.4%94.0%27.1%11.524.5%12.52.810.7030.9205378
Jordan AddisonWR865207419.4%80.0%71.1%16.7%6.518.2%
K.J. OsbornWR31361389.9%94.5%92.8%6.3%12.05.8%12.70.690.1630.9475277
Trishton JacksonWR     0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Brandon PowellWR115051.3%7.3%6.0%2.1%5.025.0%
T.J. HockensonTE1187808722.8%92.7%90.4%22.9%7.121.6%7.91.530.5030.8975175
Josh OliverTE224141.0%14.5%31.3%4.2%2.025.0%2.00.500.0701.000826
Johnny MundtTE     0.0%5.5%8.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Alexander MattisonRB7532051.3%61.8%80.7%14.6%4.620.6%0.70.940.2286.4003467
Ty ChandlerRB214071.8%12.7%14.5%4.2%2.028.6%3.50.570.0750.571712
C.J. HamFB1170 0.0%7.3%9.6%2.1%7.025.0%0.01.750.0310.00048

Justin Jefferson (13 targets, 7-149-1); a #good football player.

66% of targets went to Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson (11 targets, 8-78), and Jordan Addison (eight targets, 6-52). Addison saw most of his targets later on when the game was see-sawing back and forth. His routes also continue to rise up to 80% in Week 3, so the Addison thesis is still very much developing, but he’s looked every bit the receiver that could eventually help break fantasy later on in the season when he’s running 95%+ routes next to Jefferson, Planet Earth’s alpha wide receiver.

K.J. Osborn’s (five targets, 1-36-1) routes continue to hover around the ~94% range, and he scored a touchdown here too. He’s a semi-distant fourth target in this passing offense. He should get there sporadically as the guy the defense forgets about when awesome pass-catchers are pulling coverage and attention away.

Still retaining his role “by default” is Alexander Mattison, and I say that because he had a pretty good week this week with 4.7 YPC, 125 total yards and seven targets. Cam Akers still looms, and we’ll see if he can make enough dent in this rushing attack to make any kind of difference.

Week 3 Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson

Start ‘Em: Kirk Cousins, Jordan Addison, Alexander Mattison (deeper 12-team)

Keep Them Rostered: K.J. Osborn (deeper 12 and 14-team), Cam Akers (hold until we see how his role develops)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

New England Patriots

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
JuJu Smith-SchusterWR31504014.5%66.7%76.1%11.1%1.715.0%
DeVante ParkerWR321904817.4%86.7%73.2%11.1%6.311.5%16.00.730.2880.3962652
Kendrick BourneWR544605018.1%70.0%53.5%18.5%9.223.8%
Demario DouglasWR311507125.7%43.3%26.8%11.1%5.023.1%
Hunter HenryTE521703111.2%73.3%85.9%18.5%3.422.7%6.20.770.3560.5482261
Mike GesickiTE11180134.7%46.7%46.5%3.7%18.07.1%
Pharaoh BrownTE22711228.0%13.3%35.2%7.4%35.550.0%11.017.750.1673.227425
Rhamondre StevensonRB413000.0%73.3%64.8%14.8%0.818.2%
Ezekiel ElliottRB117010.4%26.7%38.0%3.7%7.012.5%1.00.880.0587.000827

They make me write about each team in this article, which confirms that this team played the Jets in Week 3, and the game did indeed happen.

Nobody has ever started Pharoah Brown in a fantasy league, but of course, with all the tight end talk revolving around Hunter Henry (five targets, 2-17) and Mike Gesicki (one target, 1-18), Brown scores a 58-yard touchdown. The only other touchdown in this game by either side was by a fullback, just like we drew it up.

The Patriots have the lowest pass rate over expected (PROE) of any team this season (-16.3%) through three weeks, and boy, did it show. Kendrick Bourne (five targets, 4-46, 70%) had the only other line over 20 receiving yards for the Patriots. Yikes.

Even if the production hasn't followed through three weeks, Rhamondre Stevenson still sees a ton of volume (73% routes / 65% snaps). Ezekiel Elliott had his most efficient day as a runner by far (16 carries, 80 yards, 5.0 YPC), but only one of his 17 total touches was a high-value touch (one reception). 

Week 3 New England Patriots Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Rhamondre Stevenson

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Hunter Henry, Kendrick Bourne (deeper 12-team), Ezekiel Elliott (deeper 12 & 14-team), JuJu Smith-Schuster (deeper 12 & 14-team), Mike Gesicki (deeper 12 & 14-team). Mac Jones (deeper 12 &14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


New Orleans Saints

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Chris OlaveWR118104010837.4%92.1%80.3%32.4%9.531.4%9.82.970.7470.9633549
Michael ThomasWR965005218.0%89.5%75.4%26.5%5.626.5%5.81.470.5230.9623446
Rashid ShaheedWR20009131.5%84.2%72.1%5.9%0.06.3%
Keith KirkwoodWR100082.8%5.3%27.9%2.9%0.050.0%
Lynn BowdenWR     0.0%7.9%8.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Juwan JohnsonTE42120134.5%65.8%70.5%11.8%3.016.0%3.30.480.2080.9232543
Taysom HillTE1190144.8%21.1%29.5%2.9%9.012.5%
Jimmy GrahamTE118182.8%23.7%27.9%2.9%8.011.1%8.00.890.0631.000917
Kendre MillerRB1100-4-1.4%26.3%34.4%2.9%0.010.0%-
Tony JonesRB44210-1-0.3%44.7%49.2%11.8%5.323.5%-
Adam PrenticeFB     0.0%5.3%18.0%0.0%0.00.0%

Neither Kendre Miller nor Tony Jones looked that good against the Packers, so Alvin Kamara, I guess you’re up next after your three-game suspension.

Jimmy Graham landed the plane and scored a touchdown in the year 2023. Chris Olave (11 targets, 8-104) was #good, and Michael Thomas (eight targets, 6-50) combined for 59% of targets with Olave. Rashid Shaheed didn’t do anything on offense (two catchless targets) but had a punt return for a touchdown. There wasn’t much on offense before or after Derek Carr left the game with a shoulder injury. 

Week 3 New Orleans Saints Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Chris Olave

Start ‘Em: Michael Thomas, Derek Carr (left Week 3 - shoulder), Alvin Kamara (returning Week 4), Juwan Johnson

Keep Them Rostered: Rashid Shaheed, Kendre Miller, Jamaal Williams (on IR - hamstring)

Add ‘Em: Jameis Winston (streamer if Carr can’t go in Week 4)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


New York Giants

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Darius SlaytonWR633207235.5%83.3%84.0%18.8%5.320.0%
Isaiah HodginsWR1000167.9%61.1%66.0%3.1%0.04.5%
Parris CampbellWR66240199.4%38.9%42.0%18.8%4.042.9%3.21.710.3471.2631421
Jalin HyattWR     0.0%36.1%32.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR542102110.3%25.0%22.0%15.6%4.255.6%4.22.330.3071.000911
Sterling ShepardWR     0.0%2.8%4.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Darren WallerTE732006833.5%75.0%82.0%21.9%2.925.9%9.70.740.5630.2942741
Daniel BellingerTE118021.0%30.6%60.0%3.1%8.09.1%2.00.730.0544.0001130
Matt BreidaRB3310-5-2.5%61.1%82.0%9.4%0.313.6%-
Gary BrightwellRB32310104.9%13.9%18.0%9.4%10.360.0%

The Giants ran 46 plays and were held very much in check by a superior 49ers team. That showed in the stat sheet as no Giant totaled more than 32 receiving yards, and only Matt Breida ran in a touchdown.

This passing game — aside from Darren Waller (team-leading seven targets, 3-20) — has no juice and a bunch of guys. Wan’Dale Robinson made his debut and earned five targets (4-21) on just 25%, so maybe there’s some room here to earn more going forward as he gets integrated into the offense more. Still, it’s very ugly. 

Week 3 New York Giants Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Saquon Barkley (missed Week 3 - ankle), Darren Waller

Start ‘Em: Daniel Jones (borderline 12-team starter)

Keep Them Rostered: Jalin Hyatt (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: Wan’Dale Robinson (speculative add)

Dump ‘Em: N/A


New York Jets

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Garrett WilsonWR954804930.8%100.0%96.8%33.3%5.322.5%
Allen LazardWR533906239.0%100.0%96.8%18.5%7.812.5%12.40.980.5510.6294061
Mecole HardmanWR     0.0%5.0%3.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Randall CobbWR2112063.8%85.0%73.0%7.4%6.05.9%3.00.350.1382.0003446
Tyler ConklinWR     0.0%67.5%76.2%0.0%0.00.0%
C.J. UzomahTE532603823.9%27.5%44.4%18.5%5.245.5%7.62.360.4450.6841128
Jeremy RuckertTE119074.4%0.0%1.6%3.7%9.00.0%
Breece HallTE     0.0%32.5%49.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Dalvin CookRB219021.3%17.5%25.4%7.4%4.528.6%
Michael CarterRB33110-5-3.1%20.0%23.8%11.1%3.737.5%-1.71.380.145-2.200815
Nick BawdenFB     0.0%0.0%7.9%0.0%0.00.0%

The Jets signed Trevor Siemian as if he’s some huge upgrade to Zach Wilson… I mean, he probably is, but I’m being dramatic. 

Anything that can help get Garrett Wilson (nine targets, 5-48, 100% routes) and Breece Hall (20-of-26 running back opportunities, 27 total yards) going. We’re pot committed here with Wilson, so we’ve got to at least bet on the talent shining through here. Same with Hall. If you have better options, start them by all means. There’s always a line where we think, “yeah, we should be starting Wilson/Hall”, but that line has sunk so far down that it churns my stomach.

Week 3 New York Jets Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Garrett Wilson (we’re pot-committed)

Keep Them Rostered: Breece HallDalvin Cook (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Allen Lazard (we can barely get the good WR relevant, do we think there’s room for two?)


Philadelphia Eagles

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
A.J. BrownWR149131012138.5%85.0%82.5%40.0%9.441.2%8.63.850.8701.0833466
DeVonta SmithWR542805818.5%100.0%98.8%14.3%5.612.5%11.60.700.3440.4834079
Olamide ZaccheausWR325815718.2%67.5%55.0%8.6%19.311.1%
Britain CoveyWR     0.0%7.5%5.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Dallas GoedertTE754103210.2%90.0%92.5%20.0%5.919.4%
Jack StollTE2160123.8%32.5%51.3%5.7%3.015.4%6.00.460.1120.5001341
Grant CalcaterraTE     0.0%10.0%15.0%0.0%0.00.0%
D'Andre SwiftRB218020.6%50.0%53.8%5.7%4.010.0%1.00.400.0904.0002043
Kenneth GainwellRB21503210.2%40.0%46.3%5.7%2.512.5%16.00.310.1570.1561637

A.J. Brown (14 targets, 9-131) is pretty, pretty #good. He got 40% of targets in this one, with his two running mates DeVonta Smith (five targets, 4-28) and Dallas Goedert (seven targets, 5-41) playing second and third fiddle here. All three players in his condensed target tree aren’t going to hit each week, especially in a week where the Eagles had 40 rushing attempts. Unfortunately, the touchdown went to Olamide Zaccheaus (three targets, 2-58-1, 68% routes), which helped .5% of best ball teams and virtually 0% of managed leagues.

D’Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell pretty much split down the middle here, with Swift having a 50/40 split in routes, a slight edge in snaps, and 18 total running back opportunities to Gainwell’s 16. Swift was awesome yet again (138 total yards) and bears the question: why is there a split in the first place? Gainwell ended up with 14 carries, but as far as the dreaded “eye test”, Swift is passing with flying colors here in comparison and seems like a much better fit in Philadelphia for what they want to do.

Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith

Start ‘Em: Dallas Goedert, D’Andre Swift

Keep Them Rostered: Kenneth Gainwell 

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Pittsburgh Steelers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
George PickensWR647505123.3%100.0%88.7%22.2%12.520.0%8.52.500.4961.4713055
Allen RobinsonWR44240177.8%80.0%80.6%14.8%6.016.7%
Calvin AustinWR627219543.4%86.7%72.6%22.2%12.023.1%15.82.770.6370.7582645
Miles BoykinWR     0.0%3.3%12.9%0.0%0.00.0%
Pat FreiermuthTE434114821.9%76.7%79.0%14.8%10.317.4%12.01.780.3760.8542349
Darnell WashingtonTE     0.0%26.7%46.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Najee HarrisRB100083.7%30.0%50.0%3.7%0.011.1%
Jaylen WarrenRB4323000.0%46.7%45.2%14.8%5.828.6%0.01.640.2220.0001428
Connor HeywardFB200000.0%10.0%21.0%7.4%0.066.7%

The Najee Harris/Jaylen Warren soap opera continues on with Cris Collinsworth and Mike Tirico on Sunday Night Football, mentioning almost ad nauseum about (paraphrasing) getting more plays in the playbook for Warren. Harris’ routes dropped down to 30% from Week 1 & 2’s 47% and Warren is seeing his route and snap percentages climb a little bit each week as our generation’s Tony Pollard to Harris’ Ezekiel Elliott. Dare I say Warren is a startable flex going forward? The offense hasn’t been world-beating by any means, but Kenny Pickett was at least solid enough to string up some solid plays and keep the pressure on the Raiders here.

Calvin Austin (six targets, 2-72-1, 87% routes) got a deep bomb touchdown in the first quarter, Pat Freiermuth (four targets, 3-41-1, 77% routes) caught a short touchdown in the fourth quarter, and George Pickens (six targets, 4-75, 100% route participation) was solid enough. It certainly could have been worse, but it’s a rapport that can serve as a foundation for the health of the total offense when Diontae Johnson returns.

Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Diontae Johnson (placed on IR - hamstring; eligible to return in Week 6)

Start ‘Em: Najee Harris, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth

Keep Them Rostered: Kenny Pickett, Jaylen Warren (standalone play as well as a priority contingent play), Calvin Austin (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


San Francisco 49ers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Deebo SamuelWR12612917044.0%92.3%81.9%35.3%10.833.3%5.83.580.8381.8433668
Jauan JenningsWR323102113.2%46.2%37.3%8.8%10.316.7%7.01.720.2251.4761831
Ronnie BellWR222412314.5%28.2%37.3%5.9%12.018.2%
Ray-Ray McCloudWR     0.0%53.8%45.8%0.0%0.00.0%
George KittleTE979006842.8%87.2%83.1%26.5%10.026.5%7.62.650.6961.3243469
Charlie WoernerTE     0.0%17.9%32.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Ross DwelleyTE     0.0%7.7%14.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Brayden WillisTE     0.0%0.0%6.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Christian McCaffreyRB55340-11-6.9%51.3%61.4%14.7%6.825.0%-2.21.700.172-3.0912051
Elijah MitchellRB3320-12-7.5%25.6%33.7%8.8%0.730.0%-
Jordan MasonRB     0.0%0.0%4.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Kyle JuszczykFB     0.0%41.0%50.6%0.0%0.00.0%

Without Brandon Aiyuk on Thursday night, it shortened up the target tree to where we felt a little better about starting George Kittle (nine targets, 7-90) and he didn’t disappoint. Neither did Deebo Samuel, who crushed (12 targets, 6-129-1) on a shorter (5.8-yard) aDOT and also earned a rushing attempt.

Christian McCaffrey (119 total yards, five targets, TD) did McCaffrey things, and even Elijah Mitchell saw 14 touches on the night too, in a game that was well in hand. Good players doing good things in a good matchup. Fantasy football isn’t hard.

Week 3 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk (missed Week 3 - shoulder)

Start ‘Em: Deebo Samuel, George Kittle

Keep Them Rostered: Elijah Mitchell (contingent play), Brock Purdy (safe “break glass in case of emergency” fantasy QB)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Seattle Seahawks

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DK MetcalfWR86112011838.9%84.2%72.0%23.5%14.025.0%14.83.500.6260.9493254
Tyler LockettWR733409230.4%92.1%81.3%20.6%4.920.0%13.10.970.5210.3703561
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR21100134.3%63.2%44.0%5.9%5.08.3%6.50.420.1180.7692433
Jake BoboWR215193.0%28.9%41.3%5.9%2.518.2%4.50.450.1090.5561131
Cody ThompsonWR     0.0%2.6%9.3%0.0%0.00.0%
Noah FantTE544103110.2%50.0%62.7%14.7%8.226.3%
Colby ParkinsonTE43380309.9%52.6%70.7%11.8%9.520.0%7.51.900.2461.2672053
Brady RussellTE     0.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%0.00.0%
Kenneth WalkerRB33590175.6%26.3%50.7%8.8%19.730.0%5.75.900.1723.4711038
Zach CharbonnetRB21-10-5-1.7%42.1%42.7%5.9%-0.512.5%-2.5-0.060.0770.2001632
DeeJay DallasRB11-20-2-0.7%10.5%13.3%2.9%-2.025.0%-2.0-0.500.0391.000410

Not much surprise here with the Seahawks; DK Metcalf (eight targets, 6-112) and Tyler Lockett (seven targets, 3-34) dominated Geno Smith’s looks to the tune of 44% of the available targets. Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s (two targets, 1-10, 63% routes) time will come. You cannot call him anything close to a bust; JSN was never a Week 1 play. 

Zach Charbonnet’s role (22% routes / 27% snaps to 42% / 43% in Week 3) keeps growing little by little in Seattle, but Kenneth Walker keeps producing, so we certainly can’t turn our noses against it. Walker scored two touchdowns for the second straight week and put up 156 total yards. Walker actually lost about 25% of his routes from last week but was so efficient on what he DID get that it didn’t really even matter that he lost them.

Week 3 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Kenneth Walker

Start ‘Em: Geno Smith, Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Keep Them Rostered: Zach Charbonnet (contingent play)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Mike EvansWR10560114956.4%82.1%80.9%40.0%6.043.5%14.92.610.9950.4032338
Chris GodwinWR533204818.2%89.3%87.2%20.0%6.420.0%
Trey PalmerWR118083.0%85.7%72.3%4.0%8.04.2%8.00.330.0811.0002434
Deven ThompkinsWR42604918.6%21.4%21.3%16.0%1.566.7%
Rakim JarrettWR     0.0%10.7%12.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Cade OttonTE21160134.9%82.1%93.6%8.0%8.08.7%6.50.700.1541.2312344
Ko KieftTE     0.0%3.6%21.3%0.0%0.00.0%
David WellsTE     0.0%7.1%8.5%0.0%0.00.0%
Rachaad WhiteRB33240-3-1.1%92.9%91.5%12.0%8.011.5%-1.00.920.172-8.0002643
Sean TuckerRB     0.0%7.1%8.5%0.0%0.00.0%

The Eagles stymied the Buccaneers and Tampa only ran 44 plays, so looking for anything of value is difficult, except Mike Evans is Mike Evans, so his 5-50-1 on 10 targets definitely qualifies. Evans should have had more than his receiving line suggests, namely an end-zone shot that I was arguing with JB Barry in our group chat that Baker Mayfields first-quarter ball to him should have been a touchdown has “Mayfield thrown his fastball instead of his changeup”.

No other Buccaneer besides Chris Godwin (five targets, 3-32, 89% routes) earned more than 24 receiving yards and while this passing game has been a bit better than anticipated through three weeks, the Eagles are a buzzsaw and cut through Tampa pretty easily.

Rachaad White had 92% routes / 92% snaps — both season highs — which is great for White to get 17-of-19 running back opportunities; he just wasn’t efficient with anything yet again. It’s a common theme here, and we know White is going to need to compile to put up even high-end RB2 numbers in fantasy. It’s just who he is. It’s why we tout Sean Tucker as somebody who could benefit if the Buccaneers decide to get somebody else more involved, but it’s not like Tucker has been taking advantage of his opportunities either.

Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Mike Evans, Chris Godwin

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Rachaad WhiteSean Tucker (clear contingent play), Cade Otton (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Tennessee Titans

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DeAndre HopkinsWR7348010340.6%83.3%72.3%29.2%6.928.0%14.71.920.7210.4662534
Treylon BurksWR615012649.6%76.7%74.5%25.0%0.826.1%
Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR     0.0%93.3%85.1%0.0%0.00.0%
Chris MooreWR324103212.6%33.3%38.3%12.5%13.730.0%
Chigoziem OkonkwoTE4370-1-0.4%76.7%83.0%16.7%1.817.4%-0.30.300.247-7.0002339
Trevon WescoTE     0.0%10.0%40.4%0.0%0.00.0%
Josh WhyleTE     0.0%6.7%12.8%0.0%0.00.0%
Derrick HenryRB     0.0%20.0%36.2%0.0%0.00.0%
Tyjae SpearsRB4430-6-2.4%60.0%57.4%16.7%0.822.2%-

The Titans scored three points against the Browns in Week 3 and only had 45 plays — second-lowest to Tampa Bay in Week 3. That’s not good for anything. Only two Titans had more than seven receiving yards. This offense just stinks, and Ryan Tannehill has legitimately been bad through three games. DeAndre Hopkins (seven targets, 3-48) is the only passing game option worth a damn, but even he is not a comfy click right now.

Derrick Henry (36% snaps) was game-scripted out of this game for a good part of the second half, so Tyjae Spears saw eight RB opportunities to Henry’s 11 on the game. It’s gross out here, and this is always the fear when the Titans aren’t competitive. 

Week 3 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Derrick Henry

Start ‘Em: DeAndre Hopkins

Keep Them Rostered: Treylon BurksChigoziem Okonkwo (deeper 12 & 14-team), Tyjae Spears (elite contingent play)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Washington Commanders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Terry McLaurinWR664104019.5%76.9%81.5%20.7%6.820.0%6.71.370.4471.0253044
Jahan DotsonWR422102713.2%97.4%94.4%13.8%5.310.5%6.80.550.2990.7783851
Curtis SamuelWR425406431.2%82.1%77.8%13.8%13.512.5%16.01.690.4250.8443242
Dyami BrownWR1000188.8%28.2%22.2%3.4%0.09.1%
John BatesTE22120104.9%48.7%57.4%6.9%6.010.5%5.00.630.1381.2001931
Cole TurnerTE743505225.4%56.4%57.4%24.1%5.031.8%7.41.590.5400.6732231
Brian RobinsonRB     0.0%15.4%37.0%0.0%0.00.0%
Antonio GibsonRB5370-6-2.9%71.8%61.1%17.2%1.417.9%-
Chris RodriguezRB     0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%0.00.0%

Give the Commanders some credit: with the team trailing big time, they’re letting Sam Howell pass through it. He did throw four interceptions and took nine sacks on the day, but the only way to get reps with your guys is to throw to your guys.

Cole Turner (seven targets, 4-35, 56% routes) and John Bates split snaps with some two-TE looks, but Turner was the clear receiving option as he led the Commanders in targets in Week 3.

What is worrying is Howell’s lack of connection with Jahan Dotson (four targets, 2-21, 97% routes), who has 16 targets, 83 yards and has run routes on 94% of Washington’s dropbacks. He’s been a bit “All-Exercise” so far, but the connection may need time to develop. Still, it’s a bit disappointing, but we’ll have to be patient here. Until then, it’s much harder to start him going forward.

Brian Robinson’s routes have cratered from 43% in Week 1 to just 15% in Week 3, with Antonio Gibson’s routes and snaps growing. Gibson’s fantasy production hasn’t really grown that much in conjunction with the increased opportunities, but if he’s going to see 72% routes and 61% snaps, I mean… it’s going to. 

Week 3 Washington Commanders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Terry McLaurin, Brian Robinson

Keep Them Rostered: Antonio Gibson, Jahan DotsonLogan Thomas (missed Week 3 - concussion), Sam Howell (deeper 12 & 14-team leagues)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


Stat Credits:

Fantasy Life (All running back short down and distance, long down and distance, and two-minute snaps data)