It was a great week on ThriveFantasy with our NFL Week 4 top picks and player props. The picks I included in the article went 3-1, and those four were included in my entry that took down the $2 NFL Week 4 Sunday Kickoff! We are going to look to build upon a successful Week 4, and there are some NFL player picks that are ready for us to use to rack up some points and win some money on ThriveFantasy! Here are some juicy NFL player picks that you must target this week on Thrive. these players will also likely generate some interest for your Week 5 NFL DFS lineups. Be sure to check out our NFL weekly projections and our fantasy football weekly rankings for more help with NFL DFS lineups. Plus, use the NFL Week 5 odds for your ThriveFantasy picks and NFL best bets. It’s now time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy!

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Last week: 3-1

2022 Season: 7-5 (58.3%)

NFL ThriveFantasy Top Picks Week 5

Tom Brady – OVER 270.5 Passing Yards 

There are numerous concerns along the offensive line for Tampa Bay, but Atlanta has the second-lowest pass rush grade in the NFL this season, per Pro Football Focus, and Brady has picked apart this Falcons team for most of his career, but most notably since coming to Tampa Bay. As a Buc, in four games against Atlanta, here are Brady’s total passing yards: 390, 399, 276, and 368. Atlanta wants to run the football, but if they can’t run it, and are forced to throw, they can’t bleed the clock, and after a primetime loss to the Chiefs, you know that Brady is coming for blood.

Matthew Stafford – OVER 2.5 Passing TDs + INT

Dallas may only have allowed three passing touchdowns so far on the season, but they do have four interceptions, and with a lack of a running game for L.A, it will be on the back of Stafford to get this team to victory. Stafford has surpassed this mark in half of his games this season, but if we look back to last year, including the playoffs, here is what we find:

  • Including the playoffs, Stafford has eclipsed this mark in four of his last six games
  • Excluding the playoffs, he’s eclipsed this mark in 14 of his last 16 games
  • Since the start of 2021, in 21 regular season games with Sean McVay, Stafford has eclipsed this mark in 18 of 21 games

Stafford has enough weapons to be a threat for multiple scores, but he’s not afraid to push the boundaries, which increases his likelihood for an interception or two.

Mark Andrews – OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards

Yes, Andrews disappointed against Buffalo, but prior to that game, he was averaging 7.3 receptions and 81.7 yards per game! This game against Cincinnati should be high scoring, and quite a good game to watch. Last year, Cincinnati handled Baltimore by 20 or more points in each contest, so if that’s the case again, the game script will be in his favor. He posted 48, and 125 yards against Cincinnati last year, and the Bengals have allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to tight ends this season.

Joe Burrow – OVER 24.5 Completions

Cincinnati is desperately trying to get Joe Mixon and the ground game established, but it just hasn’t been there this season. Through the first four weeks of the season, Mixon is averaging just 2.7 yards per carry this season, and his numbers on the ground against the Ravens for the majority of his career aren’t particularly exceptional. Last year, he accumulated just 124 yards on 30 carries, good for 4.1 yards per carry. It’s hard to run on Baltimore, but you can throw all over this defense, as they have allowed the most passing yards in all of the NFL. Burrow went 60-for-84 with 941 yards and seven touchdowns against this team last season. I expect Cincy to essentially scrap the run game at some point, and just let Burrow sling it all around the yard. Short passes will likely serve as the more potent part of the run game, and Burrow will complete over 24.5 passes, given that he’ll throw the ball 35+ times like he has in three of four games this season.

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