Hope you didn’t fill up on Thanksgiving Day football, because we have another week at Thrive Fantasy?

NFL Week 12 is looking like it could be a fun week, so let’s add to it with some more money won in prop game contests!

If you missed the introductory piece and are not familiar with Thrive Fantasy or their prop games, you should take a quick look at my introductory piece from last week for a real quick tutorial. It’s not complicated at all, but just in case you’re new to the space, it’s always good to brush up.

Now that you’re up to speed, let’s take a deeper dive into the contests this week. To keep it simple, we will again focus on the NFL $5 Rush. They have 20 props which I will list for you below with my thoughts on each one and you just need to pick 10 you like. Again, it helps to take some chances sometimes so you can maximize your points for the contests.

Remember, go to fantasyalarm.com./thrive to register and as an added incentive, Thrive Fantasy has graciously offered to immediately match your first deposit up to $250 if you use the promo code ALARM.

Jump in the $5 Rush to play against me or find another contest that may suit your preferences more. Either way, let’s make some money, #FANation. It’s right there for the taking!

Philip Rivers – 275.5 passing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

While one defensive player does not a defense make, the loss of DeForest Buckner on the defensive line is going to create problems for the Colts defense. That will spill into the box score for Derrick Henry and the Titans which should put Rivers into more of a passing mode. He’s only hit the over in four games this season, but two of them have been in the last two weeks. Even with the toe issue, I’m leaning on the OVER.

Derrick Henry – 90.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

As I just said with Buckner being out, there will be issues containing Henry who rushed for over 100 yards against the Colts even when they were healthy. Take the OVER.

Stefon Diggs – 82.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

He’s hit the over seven times this season, including his last three games. The Bills are coming off a bye and should be able to carve up the Chargers secondary. Take the OVER.

Keenan Allen – 5.5 receptions

  • Over = 80 pts
  • Under = 120 pts

Based on the number of targets Allen sees each week, this one should be a no-brainer. Not much value in taking the over, but it’s an easy 80 points. Take the OVER.

Justin Herbert – 24.5 completions

  • Over = 105 pts
  • Under = 95 pts

Even if Austin Ekeler comes back, this is still Herbert’s team and his offense. He’s hit the over in four of his last five games and the Bills are going to score some points here. Take the OVER.

Derek Carr – 1.5 passing touchdowns

  • Over = 90 pts
  • Under = 110 pts

He’s only gone under three times this season and he’s facing Atlanta. Yep. Take that OVER.

Matt Ryan – 0.5 interceptions

  • Over = 75 pts
  • Under = 125 pts

Ryan has thrown at least one pick in his last three games, but the Raiders secondary doesn’t have a bunch of ball-hawks, logging just eight interceptions all year. Look for Ryan to be more protective of his throws and expect to see more Todd Gurley in this one. Take the UNDER.

Giovani Bernard – 0.5 rushing touchdowns

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

He’s currently dealing with a concussion suffered during practice and is still awaiting clearance. Even if he gets it, his workload could be limited. Take the UNDER.

DeAndre Hopkins – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

While every-other-week patterns aren’t really analysis, that’s what we’ve seen from Hopkins since Week 5. It may sound silly, but even with Stephon Gilmore guarding him, he’s due! I’ll take the OVER.

Cam Newton – 260.5 passing + rushing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

That’s a lot of yards to total, even for Newton. But he’s passed for fewer than 200 yards in five of the last seven and he’s topped 60 yards rushing just twice all year. Take the UNDER.

Dalvin Cook – 135.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

Everyone runs on Carolina. It’s as simple as that. Even if they sell-out to stop the run, they won’t be able to contain Cook. Take the OVER.

D.J. Chark – 59.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

Not sure if Thrive is going to change this prop because people have already entered the contest and made their selections, but Chark was just ruled out for Sunday’s game. If they leave it, it’s a freebie. Take the UNDER.

Michael Thomas – 6.5 receptions

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

He was fed 12 targets from Taysom Hill last week. Does it happen again or does Denver clamp down? If this game were in New Orleans, I’d take the over, but it’s in the thin, thin air of Denver. Take the UNDER.

Jared Goff – 2.5 passing touchdowns + interceptions

  • Over = 85 pts
  • Under = 115 pts

He’s hit the under just four times this season and he went over the last time the Rams played the 49ers which was Week 6. He;s only gone without an interception three times this season, so you can almost bank on another pick this game. For that reason, I’ll take the OVER.

Patrick Mahomes – 24.5 completions

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

The 56 total on this game screams shootout and after Tom Brady was embarrassed by the Rams, he’s looking to bounce back. We’ve seen it before and it’s why we’re likely to take the over on his prop (spoiler alert). That means Mahomes should end up slinging the rock heavily as well, so for the completions here, I like the OVER.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – 0.5 rushing touchdowns + receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 90 pts
  • Under = 110 pts

We are bullish on the passing game and lukewarm on the rushing attack. Could CEH catch a touchdown pass? Anything is possible, but the Bucs rank second in DVOA against running back pass-plays so the lean here is the UNDER.

Aaron Jones – 88.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

This is a tough one, because the Bears defense is solid against the run, but Jones is heavily used in the passing attack. He’s been under in three of his last four games and we’re going to stick with that trend. Take the UNDER.

Tom Brady – 277.5 passing yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

I spoiled it earlier with the Mahomes prop, so easy peasy, right? Right. Brady should be slinging the rock heavily in this one so take the OVER.

Ronald Jones – 65.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

Shootout, right? That’s what we’re saying. This is an easy one then. Take the UNDER.

Allen Robinson – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

Mitchell Trubisky is making his return for this game and we know how much he likes to target ARob. The Packers will have Jaire Alexander back for this game, but that’s not going to be enough to keep Robinson out of the end zone. Take the OVER.

One more note: Thrive Fantasy understands the situation with COVID-19 can cause games to be postponed. As a result, they will ask you to choose two ICE (In Case of Emergency) props before you submit your entry just to keep you covered. They will be labeled as such so don’t worry about any confusion. Your 10 are your 10 should all games play.

Good luck and I’ll see you all in the money!