Last week was a good one, so let's start with the wins. Jordan Love was the headliner, going 23 of 29 for 372 yards and three touchdowns, including six completions on eight deep throws, in the 45-27 rout of New England, and Dak Prescott, my Play of the Week, threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns in the 27-23 win over Indianapolis. Brock Purdy had two touchdowns through the air and one on the ground, Patrick Mahomes threw two touchdowns in the win over the Jets, and the Gardner Minshew fade landed, as he threw for 166 yards without a touchdown in a 17-3 loss to Seattle. The misses were Jared Goff, who finished with 170 yards and no touchdowns in the 19-9 win over Miami, his first scoreless game since 2024, and Joe Milton, who was sacked seven times and fumbled in his first career start, though he did run for 64 yards in the 19-11 loss to the Giants.
Now on to Week 10, which arrives with the trade deadline in the rearview mirror and quarterback rooms reshuffled around the league, from Kirk Cousins returning to Minnesota to a first-time starter in Las Vegas. Let's get into who deserves your salary.
NFL DFS Week 10 QB Picks
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers - DraftKings: $7,000 | FanDuel: $8,700
Purdy has been steady and efficient, with 17 touchdown passes against 5 interceptions through eight games, and he is adding more with his legs than most people realize: 201 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Last week against Las Vegas, he went 17 of 25 for 232 yards and two touchdowns with an interception, plus seven carries for 40 yards and a score, his best rushing day of the season. Now he goes to Dallas, where the Cowboys' pass defense ranks 30th in pass-defense DVOA, according to FTN. San Francisco is a 4.5-point road favorite in the game with the highest total on the board, 55.5, so there should be plenty of points to go around.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - DraftKings: $7,500 | FanDuel: $9,500
Allen has 2,027 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions through eight games, and the rushing is what separates him: 285 yards and 9 touchdowns on the ground, the most by any quarterback. Last week he went 21 of 31 for 234 yards and a touchdown in the 23-6 win over Minnesota's elite defense, taking pressure all night behind an offensive line that has been shuffled by injuries. Now the Bills go to the Jets, who have lost four straight and rank 26th in pass-defense DVOA. Buffalo is an 8.5-point road favorite with the total at 50.5. The risk is a lead that turns the second half over to James Cook, but with Allen's goal-line role, he is the first quarterback I'd roster.
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - DraftKings: $6,600 | FanDuel: $7,700
Lawrence has been the best story at the position, with 1,932 yards, 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions through eight games, and he entered last week with the league's highest passer rating among qualifiers. In the 33-10 win over Baltimore on Thursday, he went 16 of 26 for 242 yards and a touchdown, and he was 9 of 15 for 197 yards in the first half alone. This week he gets Tennessee, whose pass defense ranks last in the league in DVOA, and Jacksonville is a 10.5-point favorite with the total at 46.5. He also adds a little with his legs, 79 rushing yards on the year.
Best NFL DFS QB Values for Week 10
Best DraftKings QB Value
Geno Smith, New York Jets - DraftKings: $4,800 | FanDuel: $6,600
Smith is priced like a backup at $4,800, and the Jets are going to be throwing. New York has lost four straight and is an 8.5-point home underdog to Buffalo in a game with a 50.5 total, which puts the Jets' implied total around 21 points and likely has them chasing the score. Smith has thrown for 2,078 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions through nine games, but he has been sacked 28 times, and he was held to 165 yards in last week's loss to Kansas City with Garrett Wilson out. Wilson is questionable again, and Buffalo's pass defense ranks 14th in DVOA, so this is a volume and price play more than a matchup play, but at this price, that is enough.
Best FanDuel QB Value
Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints - DraftKings: $5,600 | FanDuel: $7,300
Shough is the quarterback I keep coming back to on FanDuel. He has 1,986 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions, and he adds real value with his legs: 162 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, including 51 yards on 10 carries last week when he also hit Juwan Johnson for the game-winning touchdown in overtime. Carolina's pass defense ranks 25th in DVOA, and New Orleans is a 2.5-point home favorite with the total at 48.5, the third-highest on the board. With no yardage bonuses on FanDuel, the touchdowns and the rushing production are what matter, and he provides both.
Best NFL DFS QB Stacks for Week 10
Best QB/WR Stack
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - DraftKings: $6,600 | FanDuel: $7,700
Stack with:
- Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars - DraftKings: $6,200 | FanDuel: $6,800
- Jakobi Meyers, Jacksonville Jaguars - DraftKings: $4,200 | FanDuel: $5,800
Washington led the Jaguars with seven targets on Thursday, a 27 percent share, and turned two catches into 61 yards and a 50-yard touchdown, while Meyers was the chain-mover, catching four of six targets for 65 yards. Tennessee ranks 32nd in pass-defense DVOA, and with Jacksonville a 10.5-point favorite, there should be plenty of scoring opportunities. Washington is the higher-upside piece, while Meyers is the cheaper floor.
Best QB/TE Stack
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers - DraftKings: $7,000 | FanDuel: $8,700
Stack with:
- George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers - DraftKings: $6,500 | FanDuel: $6,600
Kittle caught four of seven targets for 58 yards last week, and he has recorded 50-plus receiving yards in six of his past seven games, ranking third among tight ends with 483 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Dallas ranks 30th in pass-defense DVOA, and with Mike Evans questionable and Brandon Aiyuk out, Kittle should keep seeing plenty of targets in a game with a 55.5 total. San Francisco is a 4.5-point road favorite.
Best Contrarian Stack
Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints - DraftKings: $5,600 | FanDuel: $7,300
Stack with:
- Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - DraftKings: $7,000 | FanDuel: $7,900
The field is going to be on the Cowboys-49ers and Bills-Jets games, which leaves Saints-Panthers, a 48.5 total, as a lower-owned way to get a piece of a high-scoring game. Olave caught seven of 12 targets for 98 yards last week, and he has 56 catches for 734 yards on the season, though just two touchdowns, so the scores have been the missing piece. Carolina ranks 25th in pass-defense DVOA, and Shough's legs give this stack an extra path to a big day. If Olave finally finds the end zone, you'll have a stack most of the field passed on.
NFL DFS QB Fades for Week 10
Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - DraftKings: $4,600 | FanDuel: $6,300
Mendoza was the No. 1 pick in the draft and was named the Raiders' starter after Kirk Cousins was traded to Minnesota, but this is the toughest possible debut. He has just eight career attempts, six completions for 48 yards, and he faces a Seattle defense that ranks second in overall DVOA and third against the pass, and that held Arizona to three points last week. The Raiders are 6.5-point home underdogs with the total at 40.5, among the lowest on the board. Brock Bowers is a legitimate weapon, and Mendoza's first start will draw plenty of attention, but a rookie making his debut against the defending champions is not a spot I want to pay for. It's a fade for me.
DraftKings vs. FanDuel QB Picks for Week 10
Lawrence shows the biggest gap among the plays I like: the QB3 on DraftKings but the QB6 on FanDuel, so FanDuel is the cheaper site for him. Matthew Stafford shows the same pattern, three spots cheaper on FanDuel, while Mahomes and Bryce Young are each two spots cheaper on DraftKings, and Love, Prescott, and Geno Smith each get a one-spot DraftKings discount. Allen, Purdy, Shough, and Mendoza rank the same on both sites, so they are left out of the table.
| Player | DK Rank | DK Price | FD Rank | FD Price | Cheaper Site (Rank Gap) |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB3 | $6,600 | QB6 | $7,700 | FanDuel (3 spots) |
| Matthew Stafford | QB6 | $6,200 | QB9 | $7,400 | FanDuel (3 spots) |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB7 | $6,000 | QB5 | $7,800 | DraftKings (2 spots) |
| Bryce Young | QB9 | $5,800 | QB7 | $7,600 | DraftKings (2 spots) |
| Jordan Love | QB4 | $6,500 | QB3 | $8,100 | DraftKings (1 spot) |
| Dak Prescott | QB5 | $6,400 | QB4 | $7,900 | DraftKings (1 spot) |
| Geno Smith | QB16 | $4,800 | QB15 | $6,600 | DraftKings (1 spot) |
Ranks cover starting quarterbacks only and include questionable quarterbacks. Quarterbacks who rank the same on both sites are left out.
NFL Week 10 QB Play of the Week
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys - DraftKings: $6,400 | FanDuel: $7,900
Prescott is my play of the week because of the game. San Francisco at Dallas carries the highest total on the board, 55.5, with the Cowboys 4.5-point home underdogs, a game script that should keep Prescott throwing. He is coming off 335 yards and two touchdowns despite 14 team penalties; he has 2,381 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season, and he is priced as the QB5 on DraftKings and the QB4 on FanDuel. The 49ers' pass defense is a real test, ranking 10th in DVOA, and George Pickens is questionable, but with CeeDee Lamb leading the way and this total, I'm comfortable. Dak Prescott is my NFL DFS QB Play of the Week.