Every draft season, ADP tells you where the market thinks a player belongs. It doesn't always tell you where that player actually belongs. That gap between price and true value is where championships get won. Below, we break down the best fantasy football values by round for the 2026 season, spotlighting the players whose ADP undersells their real upside. Pair this with our top 10 fantasy football sleepers for even more late-round upside, and cross-check every pick here against our Superflex Top 200 rankings and 2026 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet as you build out your own board. Treat every one of these fantasy football draft values as a target, not just a name to know.

What Makes a Fantasy Football Value?

A true fantasy football value isn't just a player you like. It's a player whose expected point-per-game output clears the bar for where he is actually being drafted. Some of that comes from role, like a running back who is about to see a workhorse workload for the first time. Some of it comes from opportunity, like a wide receiver whose top target-getting teammate just got traded. And some of it comes from buy-low timing, when a player's ADP is still depressed because of an injury or a disappointing rookie season that never reflected his true talent level.

When you're hunting for fantasy football ADP values, look for three things: expanded target share or touch share heading into the season, a quarterback or scheme upgrade, and a market that hasn't caught up yet to the underlying data. Every player below checks at least two of those three boxes, and most check all three. This is your roadmap for finding fantasy football sleepers and the best fantasy football picks at every stage of your draft.

 

 

 

Round 1 Values

Ashton Jeanty, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

Jeanty is the definition of a buy-low candidate at the back of Round 1. His rookie season looked disappointing on the surface, but the box score lies. He ranked first among qualifying backs in opportunity share and fifth in snap share, finishing with 321 touches and topping 1,300 total yards despite playing behind the worst offensive infrastructure in football. The Raiders ranked 31st in red zone scoring chances and 30th in yards per play, and Jeanty still turned in RB1-caliber volume. He had the second-fewest yards before contact per attempt among 49 qualifying backs, meaning he was doing almost all of his damage after first contact behind an offensive line that gave him nothing.

The offseason overhaul changes the equation. New head coach Klint Kubiak's run-heavy scheme called runs on roughly half of his snaps in Seattle, and he has been vocal about wanting to feed his best player. Add in an improved supporting cast and a full offseason of continuity, and Jeanty profiles as a league-winning value if the Las Vegas offense takes even a modest step forward. Drafters who let last year's rookie letdown scare them off are handing you a top-five running back at a Round 1 discount.

Round 2 Values

Omarion Hampton, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Hampton's rookie season was cut short by a fractured ankle in Week 5, but the four games before the injury were loud. He averaged 15.1 PPR points per game with a 4.4 yards-per-carry mark and 3.1 yards after contact per attempt, all while playing behind a Chargers offensive line that was already battling injuries. He punched in five total touchdowns and drew nearly four targets per game, showing every bit of the three-down profile that made him a first-round pick.

The 2026 setup could not be better. New offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel has a track record of funneling targets to his lead running backs, ranking top-seven in target share to the position in each of his last three seasons as a play-caller. Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt are both projected to be healthy for a full season at tackle, which should clean up the interior push that limited Hampton late last year. He is squarely in the low-end RB1-to-top-five conversation, and his Round 2 price still hasn't fully caught up to that ceiling.

Round 3 Values

Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants

Nabers tore his ACL and meniscus in Week 4 of last season, but not before reminding everyone why he was the sixth overall pick in 2024. He averaged 18.2 PPR points per game as a rookie and hit double-digit fantasy points in 16 of 18 full games he played across his career, all with inconsistent quarterback play throwing him the ball. When healthy, Nabers has the target volume and big-play profile of a true WR1.

The injury history is the only thing keeping Nabers out of Round 1, and the news on that front keeps getting better. He avoided the PUP list, is practicing during training camp, and is on track to be ready for Week 1. This is exactly the kind of situation where the fantasy football market overcorrects on outdated risk. With Nabers now trending toward a clean start to the season, a receiver who has averaged elite per-game production his entire career becomes one of the best fantasy football steals of the year relative to where he's being drafted right now.

 

 

 

Round 4 Values

Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets

Wilson's 2025 season was wiped out by a knee injury that limited him to just seven games, but before he went down, he was commanding an elite 30 percent target share despite some of the worst quarterback play in the league. That target-earning ability doesn't disappear because of an injury. Across three healthy seasons before last year, Wilson never dipped below 80 catches or 1,000 receiving yards, all while catching passes from a rotating cast that included Zach Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, and Justin Fields.

Geno Smith arriving in New York is a real, if unspectacular, upgrade at quarterback. Smith helped Jaxon Smith-Njigba post a 100-catch, 1,130-yard season in Seattle, and there's no reason Wilson can't be the clear beneficiary of that same competence in New York. The Jets used draft capital on pass catchers Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq, but Wilson remains the unquestioned centerpiece of the passing attack. At his current Round 4 price, you're getting a receiver with real WR1 upside for the cost of a No. 2 option.

Round 5 Values

Tyler Warren, TE, Indianapolis Colts

Warren's rookie season was outstanding on paper, a TE10 finish in points per game with 76 catches for 817 yards, but the underlying numbers say he was actually performing like a top-four tight end before Daniel Jones went down with a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 14. Warren ranked sixth among tight ends in target share and led all high-volume tight ends in yards after catch per reception. He was Indianapolis's clear first read in the middle of the field.

The Colts traded away Michael Pittman this offseason and made no significant additions at wide receiver, which only clears more targets for Warren heading into his second season. If Daniel Jones is anywhere close to himself coming off the Achilles recovery, Warren has a legitimate path to a top-three finish at the position. Getting that kind of ceiling in Round 5 is one of the better fantasy football ADP values on the board at tight end.

Round 6 Values

Rome Odunze, WR, Chicago Bears

Odunze looked like a fantasy football star through the first month of last season, ranking as a top-three wide receiver in points before a foot injury sapped his effectiveness and eventually cost him the final five games of the regular season. Before the injury derailed him, he was Chicago's clear first or second read in the red zone and one of Caleb Williams's primary target earners.

The Bears traded away DJ Moore this offseason, who commanded a 14.8 percent target share last year, and also lost slot receiver Olamide Zaccheaus in free agency. That leaves Odunze as the most established veteran in the receiver room, with only second-year players Luther Burden and Colston Loveland standing in his way for targets. Another year of rapport with Williams under second-year head coach Ben Johnson gives Odunze real positive regression upside. This is a post-hype breakout sitting right there for the taking in the middle rounds.

 

 

 

Round 7 Values

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

Herbert quietly turned in his best fantasy season in years in 2025, finishing as the QB9 in points per game while adding a career-high 498 rushing yards, the second-most among all quarterbacks. Much of that rushing production came out of necessity behind an offensive line that ranked among the worst in football after injuries to both starting tackles.

That's exactly why Herbert is such a strong value in Round 7. The Chargers fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman and hired Mike McDaniel, one of the more inventive play designers in the league, while getting Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt back healthy at tackle. Herbert now has a full receiving corps that includes Omarion Hampton, Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, and Tre Harris to throw to, and the Chargers added another proven target by signing tight end David Njoku this offseason to pair with Oronde Gadsden in the middle of the field. A quarterback with real rushing equity who is also in line for a cleaner pocket, a sharper scheme, and a deeper group of pass catchers is a QB1 candidate being drafted like a backup.  

Round 8 Values

Parker Washington, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Washington's finish to the 2025 season was one of the best-kept secrets in fantasy football. Over his final four games, including the playoffs, he caught 26 passes for 454 yards and racked up 22.2 half-PPR points per game, a WR11 pace over that stretch. He led the Jaguars in targets, receptions, and receiving yards down the stretch and was Trevor Lawrence's most trusted target as Jacksonville pushed for a playoff berth.

The concern here is target competition, since Brian Thomas and Travis Hunter both return healthy alongside Jakobi Meyers. But that crowded room is exactly why Washington's price has stayed depressed heading into Round 8. Head coach Liam Coen has praised Washington's slot role and work ethic all offseason, and a receiver with a 5-foot-10, 212-pound frame built for the slot in one of the league's most slot-friendly passing schemes doesn't need to be the clear-cut No. 1 to return value. He's one of the best fantasy football sleepers on the board.

Round 9 Values

Bo Nix, QB, Denver Broncos

Nix has finished as a top-seven fantasy quarterback in each of his first two NFL seasons, thanks in large part to a running floor that has produced 786 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns across 34 career starts. He led the league in pass attempts last season, and while his efficiency numbers took a step back, the volume and rushing equity kept him firmly in the startable range all year.

Nix fractured his ankle late in the playoffs and underwent a follow-up procedure in the spring, but he has been on track for a full-go training camp and is expected to be ready for Week 1. The Broncos also traded for Jaylen Waddle, giving Nix a genuine difference-making target to pair with Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin. Sean Payton remains one of the more respected play-callers in the league. A low-end QB1 with real rushing upside in Round 9 is one of the best fantasy football picks left on the board that late in the draft.

 

 

 

Round 10 and Beyond

Kyler Murray, QB, Minnesota Vikings

Murray's time in Arizona ended after a foot injury limited him to five games in 2025, and the Cardinals moved on this offseason. But a change of scenery to Minnesota puts him in about as good a spot as he could ask for. Murray steps into an offense with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Jauan Jennings at receiver, and he'll be coached by Kevin O'Connell, one of the better offensive minds in the league. Murray is expected to be under center for Week 1 as the favorite over J.J. McCarthy.

The risk is obvious given his recent injury history, and that risk is exactly why Murray is falling into Round 10 and beyond. But when he's been on the field and healthy across his career, Murray has posted finishes as high as QB3 and QB4. A dual-threat quarterback with a top-tier receiving corps at a double-digit round price is a swing worth taking in any format that starts more than one quarterback.

Matthew Golden, WR, Green Bay Packers

Golden's rookie season was a letdown by first-round draft pick standards, with just 29 catches for 361 yards and no touchdowns across 14 games. But the lack of production traced back to inconsistent playing time, not poor efficiency, and he flashed real upside late in the year, including a four-catch, 84-yard, first-career-touchdown performance in the playoffs.

The path to a much bigger role is now wide open. Green Bay let Romeo Doubs walk in free agency and traded Dontayvion Wicks to Philadelphia, clearing well over 100 vacated targets. Golden is the favorite to start opposite Christian Watson on the outside, with Jayden Reed manning the slot, and his elite speed gives him a real chance to hit on the big plays that were missing as a rookie. This is a classic buy-low, post-hype dart throw in the double-digit rounds.

Chig Okonkwo, TE, Washington Commanders

Okonkwo posted a career-high 560 receiving yards on 56 catches for the Titans last season despite playing with some of the league's worst quarterback situations for four straight years. He now signs on with the Commanders and inherits a starting tight end role with a legitimate franchise quarterback in Jayden Daniels, replacing a departed Zach Ertz, who turned in a TE8 finish in this same offense in 2024.

Washington's receiver room beyond Terry McLaurin remains unproven, which opens a real path for Okonkwo to become a secondary target earner in the passing game. He's an easy TE2 stash with legitimate weekly TE1 spike upside, and he's still falling far enough in drafts to be a true afterthought pick with real starter equity.

 

 

 

Biggest Fantasy Football Steals of 2026

If you're looking for the single best fantasy football ADP values on this entire board, circle Omarion Hampton and Malik Nabers first. Hampton has a clear three-down role in a scheme built to feed running backs, and he's still being drafted like a low-end RB1 instead of the top-five back his talent and opportunity suggest. Nabers has produced like a top-five wide receiver every time he's been on the field, and now that he's avoided the PUP list and is practicing on track for Week 1, his Round 3 price looks like a leftover from outdated injury fears rather than any real doubt about his talent.

Parker Washington and Rome Odunze round out the receiver steals. Washington closed last season playing like a top-11 wide receiver and is still being treated like Jacksonville's fourth option. Odunze was a top-three wide receiver for a month before a foot injury buried his box score, and DJ Moore's departure hands him the clearest path to targets he's had in his career. On the tight end side, Chig Okonkwo is quietly one of the safest bets in the league to see his role and efficiency both improve at the exact same time, and he's still going in the double-digit rounds.

The theme across all of these fantasy football values by round is the same. Injuries and crowded depth charts push prices down, and a fresh scheme, quarterback upgrade, or vacated target share pushes real upside back up. Draft the players whose situation has changed for the better, not just the players whose name recognition is highest, and you'll walk away from this draft season with more fantasy football draft values than anyone else in your league.