Looking for the best NFL TNF player prop picks for Week 6? The defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks visit the Broncos in a matchup of 3-2 teams, with Seattle favored by about three points and a low total of roughly 41. Below, we break down our top Seahawks vs. Broncos player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.
Best NFL Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks
Both teams are coming off Sunday games, so neither side has a rest advantage on a short week. Seattle fell to San Francisco after turning the ball over four times, while Denver beat the Chargers despite totaling just 224 yards in Sean Payton's first game back as the play-caller. Injuries on both sides, including Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain and Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, will shape the matchup. Here are the props we like best for Thursday night.
Seahawks vs. Broncos Player Props: J.K. Dobbins Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts
Dobbins has carried 64 times through five games, including 17 and 18 in two of the last three, and he led all Denver backs in snaps and touches last week with 18 carries for 68 yards and a touchdown in Sean Payton's first game back as the play-caller. RJ Harvey carried just three times in that game, and rookie Jonah Coleman remains on injured reserve, which leaves Dobbins as the clear early-down option for an offense that ranks 28th and totaled only 224 yards in Week 5. The total is a low one at roughly 41, and the forecast for Mile High carries a chance of rain and wind, which points toward a lower-possession game in which Denver wants to run. The Broncos are home underdogs, and trailing could cut into carries, but a back with double-digit carries in four straight games clearing 13.5 looks like a good bet.
Seahawks vs. Broncos Player Prop Bets: Emanuel Wilson Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Wilson has been Seattle's lead back with Jadarian Price on injured reserve and Zach Charbonnet still on the PUP list, and the workload has been heavy, with 21, 21, and 20 carries in three of his last four games. He has rushed for 92, 81, and 61 yards in those games, clearing this number each time, and last week he ran 20 times for 61 yards and a touchdown with 22 total touches. Mike Macdonald said Charbonnet is not expected to be activated this week, though he left some wiggle room, and George Holani has just 77 yards on 26 carries all season. Wilson did lose a fumble, and the backfield averaged only 2.8 yards per carry, so efficiency is a concern, but Seattle is a three-point road favorite, and a lead would keep Wilson on the field for clock-killing carries. Clearing 59.5 yards on another 20-carry workload looks like a good bet.
Thursday Night Football Player Props: RJ Harvey Over 3.5 Receptions
Harvey has been one of the most productive pass-catching backs in the league, catching four, six, and 10 passes in the three games he played before last week, and he ranked first among qualifying running backs in target share and yards per route run entering Week 5. Last week was a dud, with three carries and one target in Payton's first game as the play-caller, but the Broncos were not forced into pass-heavy situations, and he has found his role when Denver has been playing from behind. Denver is a home underdog, Seattle is favored by about three points, and the Broncos' 28th-ranked offense has few better options than checking down to Harvey. The risk is that Payton's play-calling has moved Harvey's role down, but a return to his earlier usage would put 3.5 receptions well within reach.
Seahawks vs. Broncos Player Prop Bets: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 6.5 Receptions
Smith-Njigba has 37 catches for 583 yards and seven touchdowns through five games, and he has reached seven or more receptions in three of them (eight, nine, and 10), having been targeted on better than a third of Seattle's throws early in the season. The last two weeks were quieter at five catches each, though he drew eight targets against San Francisco and scored a touchdown while playing through an ankle injury. Denver's secondary is banged up, with cornerback Pat Surtain (ankle sprain) missing Week 5 and listed as a non-participant Monday, along with safety Talanoa Hufanga. Smith-Njigba was limited Monday with his own ankle issue but finished Sunday's game, and with seven catches, a number he has hit in three of five games, a bounce-back toward his season average of 7.4 looks very possible.
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