Looking for the best NFL SNF player prop picks for Week 5? The Falcons, winners of two straight since Michael Penix returned, host a Ravens team that will be without Lamar Jackson, with Atlanta favored by about three points and the total near 43.5. Below, we break down our top Ravens vs. Falcons player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.

 

 

 

Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks

Baltimore turns to Tyler Huntley at quarterback after Jackson was ruled out with an ankle injury, which should put even more of the offense on Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews. Atlanta, meanwhile, has scored 80 points in its last two games behind Penix and a dominant ground game, and it brings one of the league's best run defenses into this matchup. Here are the props we like best for this Sunday night showdown.

Ravens vs. Falcons Player Props:

Mark Andrews Over 3.5 Receptions

Andrews has been the Ravens' most consistent target, with 18 catches on 24 targets through four games, and he has reached four or more catches in three of them (four, six, and five), including five catches and a touchdown against Tennessee. With Lamar Jackson ruled out and Tyler Huntley starting, Baltimore figures to lean on short, quick throws, and Andrews has been a favorite option for Huntley, averaging 5.2 receptions and 7.8 targets per game across 13 games with him as the starting quarterback since 2021. Atlanta is generating pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL, which makes a tight end working the middle of the field the natural outlet. Clearing 3.5 receptions looks like a very reasonable bar.

Ravens vs. Falcons Player Prop Bets:

Brian Robinson Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts

Brian Robinson has been a steady part of Atlanta's ground game, carrying nine, 11, 10, and 14 times through four games, which means he has cleared this number every week, and he has scored four rushing touchdowns over the last two games, including three against the Saints. The Falcons ran for 205 yards in that Monday night win and have scored 80 points in their last two games, and they now face a Baltimore defense that ranks 24th in opponent rush EPA and is missing pass rusher Trey Hendrickson. With Atlanta favored at home by about three points, the Falcons should have the chance to keep feeding both backs. Clearing 8.5 carries looks very attainable.

Sunday Night Football Player Props:

Derrick Henry Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts

Henry is averaging 22.3 carries per game this season, with 24 against Indianapolis and 23 against Tennessee last week, and he has scored seven rushing touchdowns. With Jackson ruled out and Huntley starting at quarterback, the Ravens have even more reason to lean on their workhorse back. Atlanta has one of the league's best run defenses, which could hold down his yardage, but this prop is about volume, and Baltimore has few better ways to move the ball. The risk is game script, as the Ravens are about three-point underdogs and a lead for Atlanta could cut into the carries, but a back averaging more than 22 carries per game clearing 19.5 looks like a good bet.

Ravens vs. Falcons Player Prop Bets:

Michael Penix Under 28.5 Pass Attempts

Penix has attempted just 18 and 20 passes in his two starts since returning from a torn ACL, completing 31 of 38 for 479 yards and two touchdowns while Atlanta's ground game has done the heavy lifting. Bijan Robinson has run for more than 300 yards and four touchdowns across those two games; Brian Robinson has added four touchdowns of his own, and the Falcons have scored 80 points while rushing for 205 yards in their last outing. Baltimore ranks 24th in opponent rush EPA and is without Hendrickson, so Atlanta has every reason to stick with the formula that has worked, particularly against a Ravens offense led by Huntley. If Baltimore keeps it close, Penix could throw a bit more, but staying under 28.5 attempts looks like the likely outcome.

 

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