NFL Best Bets for Sunday Week 11: Picks, Predictions & Player Props
Now that the second half of the NFL season has fully gotten underway, just about every matchup has playoff implications. We’re also going to have the famous Thanksgiving Day games before we know it, but first, we’ve got a huge slate to break down with only two teams on bye to provide you with our NFL best bets for Week 11.
To help add even more value to any and all NFL picks for this week, you’ll also find a guaranteed Rebet Social Sportsbook promo code bonus below!
NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Week 11 Sunday, 11/16
The NFL Week 11 slate also features both the first-ever game in Spain with Commanders vs. Dolphins, which is also the very last international matchup of this season. What should be an even more epic clash follows shortly thereafter with Buccaneers vs. Bills, especially after Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen jabbed at each other in pressers this week.
While neither of those games made the cut for our NFL best bets for Week 11, they’re exciting ones, no doubt. The early 1 PM ET window also features divisional rivalries of Panthers vs. Falcons, Bengals vs. Steelers, AND Bears vs. Vikings! Not to spoil our top NFL picks, but one of them features one of those rivalries.
Along with the entire NFC West playing one another in the late window, there is so much worth targeting in terms of NFL best bets for Week 11!
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NFL Week 11 Predictions: Sunday, November 16th
Speaking of the late afternoon slate, we also have an AFC West rivalry of Chiefs vs. Broncos, and despite KC at 5-4 and Denver at 8-2, Patrick Mahomes is still a very clear road favorite! We’re staying away from that game in terms of our absolute best NFL predictions, but if anything, we expect a low-scoring game.
To circle back to the NFC West matchups, the one of Seahawks vs. Rams is not only a divisional rivalry, but one that could be an NFC Championship Game preview! Speaking of which, we have special NFL best bets for Week 11 for Lions vs. Eagles on Sunday Night Football as well!
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Packers vs. Giants Best Bet: Green Bay Team Total Over 24.5 Points (-110 at Rebet)
If you’re a fan of epic sound bites, then you’re as excited as we are that Jameis Winston is getting the start for the New York Giants this week. However, he’s not the focus of our NFL best bets for Week 11. Instead, it’s another team that has been in the headlines just as much - the Green Bay Packers.
Everyone is up in arms about what they’re considering to be an anemic offense, so naturally, our NFL picks are directly opposing that. Despite still being one of the biggest threats in the NFC, the most radical of fans are somehow calling for head coach Matt LaFleur’s job. Expect him to do everything to silence the critics.
He has the absolutely ideal scenario to do so, as we’ve picked on the abysmal Giants defense for more than just our NFL best bets for Week 11. After allowing 33 points in just the fourth quarter to a Denver Broncos team not known for offense whatsoever, they’ve allowed 38, 34, and 24 points since then.
They rank dead last in defensive EPA per rush, so consider Josh Jacobs for your NFL predictions as well. For a more overall approach, we’re kicking off our NFL best bets for Week 11 with the Packers team total over 24.5 points (-110 at Rebet).
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Panthers vs Falcons Best Bet: Bijan Robinson Anytime TDÂ (-130 at Rebet)
After discussing an NFC matchup that is projected to be a mismatch on paper, let’s transition to a divisional rivalry. Frankly, the NFC South has been a crapshoot for a few seasons now, and this year, it’s been all about Emeka Egbuka and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In fact, he came through with this exact pick for us last weekend!
Now we’ve got our eyes on a different NFC South team and a different offensive weapon with our NFL best bets for Week 11. Let’s address the elephant in the room regarding all things Bijan Robinson - the vulturing of TDs by fellow Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier. That’s why we’re seeing such a crazy shift in the odds.
This has been a price for Bijan to have TWO TDs, which, truthfully, you could also add to your NFL best bets for Week 11 at around +400 odds. That’s because we expect multiple rushing TDs for Atlanta in this game, hence why we aren’t worried about Allgeier also getting one. When these teams met last season, the Falcons scored 38 points in both games.
That’s why we aren’t overreacting to their abysmal 30-0 loss to Carolina earlier this year, which is also why we’re getting such great odds here. Atlanta will be at home this time around, and in both games against the Panthers last year, Bijan had 95+ yards and two TDs in EACH game. Again, consider some incredible plus-money odds with that as one of your NFL picks.
We’ll stay more conservative regarding our NFL best bets for Week 11 and take Bijan Robinson anytime TD (-130 at Rebet). Â
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Best NFL Player Prop Bets & Other Picks NFL Week 11, 11/16
Add to our top NFL predictions for this week with some of the most popular player props for NFL Week 11 at Rebet Social Sportsbook:
Passing Yards:
- Josh Allen: Over 224.5 (-115) vs. Under 224.5 (-115)
- Patrick Mahomes: Over 257.5 (-115) vs. Under 257.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards:
- Saquon Barkley: Over 69.5 (-115) vs. Under 69.5 (-115)
- De'Von Achane: Over 79.5 (-115) vs. Under 79.5 (-115)
Receiving Yards:
- Justin Jefferson: Over 71.5 (-115) vs. Under 71.5 (-115)
- Davante Adams: Over 63.5 (-115) vs. Under 63.5 (-115)
Anytime TD Scorer:Â
- Derrick Henry: -130
- Kyren Williams: -130
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