Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/16
After being featured on Thursday Night Football last week, the Denver Broncos have another divisional rivalry ahead of them. Games against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are essentially prime-time games, and with them coming off their bye week, we’ve got two rested teams to break down for our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions.
You’ll even be able to add to our Chiefs vs. Broncos picks with a guaranteed Chalkboard Fantasy promo code offer for two guaranteed welcome bonuses, perfect for a matchup that features some household names.
Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions for NFL Week 11, Sunday 11/16
When we last saw the Chiefs (unless you watched College Gameday with Patrick Mahomes as the guest picker), they had what has become a perennial battle with the Buffalo Bills. As they seem to always do, they lost the regular season matchup, and while they end up beating them in the playoffs, are they even going to get there?
The loss to Buffalo sent them to 5-4 on the season, so Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions could prove to be the most important ones of the season thus far. After all, Denver is sitting comfortably ahead of KC in the AFC West with an impressive 8-2 record! Along with being at home, surely they’re expected to win, right?
Not so fast - the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds actually favor Kansas City, and quite clearly. Their championship pedigree has fans and oddsmakers alike not giving up on them, but if they fall to .500 after this Sunday, that tune may change. To help figure out if that’s going to be the case, let’s get into the best bet from our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions.
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Chiefs vs. Broncos Best Bet: Under 44.5 Points (Use Chalkboard Player Picks As Well)
When we last saw these AFC West rivals clash, Denver slapped KC to the tune of a 38-0 beatdown! Ok, don’t base your Chiefs vs. Broncos picks on that result; that was Week 18 of last season when Andy Reid played virtually zero important players - Carson Wentz got the start.
As for their first meeting last year, which was around this same time, Denver still gave Patrick Mahomes and company all they could handle in a 16-14 Chiefs victory. Along with what was arguably the most boring game of the season thus far on TNF last week in a 10-7 victory for the Broncos, the best bet from our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions shouldn’t surprise you.
It may seem like taking the low-hanging fruit, but truthfully, we expected this total to be even lower. Therefore, we see value in the standard markets of the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, and it goes even further than the scores that you’ve already seen. In the two games prior between these rivals, they totaled just 33 and 27 points.
Those results aren’t even close to sniffing this total, and the Broncos' defense has only gotten stronger, even with an injured Patrick Surtain right now. Even KC has allowed just 17.7 points per game this season, and with Denver allowing 17.3 per game, they rank fourth and third, respectively, in the NFL right now.Â
We may still see some miraculous Patrick Mahomes plays individually, but ultimately, we expect a lower-scoring game. Therefore, the best bet from our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions is under 44.5 points (add Chalkboard DFS lineups to the mix).
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How To Watch Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL Week 11
The NFL always wants more eyes on KC, so they’re again in the late afternoon slate with fewer games going on; here’s how to watch Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL Week 11:
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- When: 4:25 PM ET on 11/16
- Watch on TV: CBS
- Where to stream: YouTubeTV, Fubo, Hulu + Live TV, Paramount+
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Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As we pointed out earlier, despite being on the road and having a worse record in Week 11, the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds for Sunday favor Patrick Mahomes and KC:
- Point Spread:Â Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110) vs. Denver Broncos +3.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Kansas City Chiefs (-205) vs. Denver Broncos (+170)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 44.5 (-105) vs. Under 44.5 (-120)
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Chiefs vs. Broncos Injury Report & Latest News
Although there hasn’t been a ton of Chiefs vs. Broncos injury news in KC, the bye week was a welcome one, not only following a loss, but also to allow Jawaan Taylor more time to get healthy, as he suffered an ankle injury in that loss. Isiah Pacheco also missed that game.
As for Chiefs vs. Broncos injury news in Denver, the biggest is still the pectoral issue that has reigning Defensive Player of the Year Patrick Surtain sidelined. We also need to keep an eye on Marvin Mims, Jr., and JK Dobbins. Do exactly that and monitor much more with the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report!
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How To Make Chiefs vs. Broncos Picks at Chalkboard Fantasy & Claim Your $100+ Bonus w/ Promo Code ALARM
A matchup that features Patrick Mahomes and other fantasy studs is perfect for player pick ‘em lineups, so we’ve shared how to add to our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions with today’s guaranteed two-part Chalkboard Fantasy promo code bonus:
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In addition to both of your welcome rewards, Chalkboard offers DAILY free player picks! So, whether you use Chiefs vs. Broncos picks or not, there is always value to be had once you activate our exclusive Chalkboard NFL promo code ALARM today using this link!
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