Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. And to earn a target, you need to be deemed “open” by the quarterback. It’s one big trickle-down effect. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are near the top of fantasy football ADP: They can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets, but that also trickles down to the fantasy managers drafting those pass-catchers and starting them in their lineups each week.

In this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report, we’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop. Combing the box score stats doesn’t paint a clear picture of the players we should target, roster, and start. Fantasy football rankings can only paint so much of the picture as well.

Everything we’ll be talking about here and this season in this season’s Fantasy Football Target Report will be some of the best statistics and metrics that correlate with fantasy football production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, just the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll be doing with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and saying, “go add this player,” which doesn’t help anybody.

 

This season, we're adding a video component, so if you want to get some of the juiciest nuggets of the target report in video form, check out the Target Report Bulletpoints for the upcoming Week 8!

 

LEGEND

Targets

Passes thrown in the direction of a receiver, whether intended or not

Receptions

Passes caught by a pass-catcher

Rec. Yards

Yards gained from a completed pass by the pass-catcher.

TD

Receiving touchdowns

Air Yards

 The distance between where the pass is thrown from a quarterback to where the intended receiver either catches or doesn’t catch the ball. Caught or not caught, the air yards are recorded regardless.

This statistic is significant for determining the quarterback and coaching staff's predictive value in an offense and their intent.

Air Yards Team Share %

A pass-catcher’s percentage share of a team's air yards in a given week.

Route %

Percentage of routes a pass-catcher runs on a pass play per dropback on their team.

Snap %

Percentage of snaps a pass-catcher plays on an offensive series on their team.

Target Share %

Percentage of targets a pass-catcher receives in a given week on their team.

Yards per Target

Receiving yards a player gets on average per target. YPT is another intent-based metric but more predictive with the more targets a player receives.

TPRR

Targets per route run (TPRR) is a metric that measures how often a receiver is targeted vs. the amount of routes they run. A higher TPRR means that the player is better at earning targets when he's on the field. A low raw route number or low route % coupled with a high TPRR means that the pass-catcher is efficient at earning targets and could be in line for more routes depending on the team situation.


 

25%+ TPRRElite

17-18%Close to replacement level

Sub 17%Not fantasy relevant

aDOT

aDOT is "average depth of target". It’s the average depth of all targets caught or incomplete by a targeted pass-catcher. Shows how a receiver is used in his team’s offense (vertical threat, short area target, etc.)

YPRR

A metric that contextualizes the efficiency of a pass-catcher with how many receiving yards per route run. It's a much better metric than yards per reception.

WOPR

WOPR is a weighted average incorporating a player's share of team targets and air yards.

RACR

RACR is a ratio dividing receiving yards by total air yards. It measures how many receiving yards a player creates for every air yard thrown at him. The percentage of a team's air yards that a player commands based on his average depth of target and volume of targets. Most RACR numbers for running backs skew wildly by the nature of the running back position, which rarely earns air yards.


 

Bye Weeks:

  • Week 5: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB
  • Week 6: GB, PIT
  • Week 7: CAR, CIN, DAL, HOU, NYJ, TEN
  • Week 9: DEN, DET, JAX, SF
  • Week 10: KC, LAR, MIA, PHI
  • Week 11: ATL, IND, NE, NO
  • Week 13: BAL, BUF, CHI, LV, MIN, NYG
  • Week 14: ARI, WAS

NOTE:

  • Always Start Your Studs: These are players you should be starting in all formats, regardless of matchup. Use your judgment in shallower leagues where startable players are plentiful.
  • Start ‘Em: Players that should be starting most weeks on your fantasy rosters.
  • Keep Them Rostered: Players that should be rostered in most formats but shouldn't be started unless you’re in a pinch or during bye weeks. Maybe they’re not startable due to various issues like a backup quarterback playing, a player coming back from injury, a contingent running back, or are just unproductive, consistent, or dependable at the moment. League size designations or other designations (bench stash, etc.) will be in parenthesis next to players for deeper leagues. Depending on your league, this is a general recommendation, so use your best judgment.
  • Example: Robert Woods (deeper 12 & 14-team), Royce Freeman (bench stash).
  • Add ‘Em: Players that warrant an add due to circumstances, productivity, or metrics that show they’re being utilized heavily in their offenses. These will usually have a format that they should be added in. 
  • Listing a player as “12-team leagues” assumes that player also be an addition in deeper 12-team and 14-team formats as well. 
  • Dump ‘Em: Players that you should be dropping from your rosters. Use your judgment in deeper leagues where players with usefulness on waivers aren’t as plentiful.
  • Any player not listed in any of these categories for a particular team is assumed to not be rosterable in most fantasy formats.
     

All statistics below are listed in the following format:

  • WR/TE as:
    • (10-4-100-2) Targets - Receptions - Rec. Yds. - TD
  • RB as:
    • (18-75-1; 10-4-100-2) Rush Att. - Rush Yds. - TD; Targets - Receptions - Rec. Yds. - TD
 

NFL Target Report

Arizona Cardinals

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Marquise BrownWR734907138.0%94.7%92.4%21.2%7.019.4%10.11.360.5840.6903661
Rondale MooreWR422042.1%76.3%66.7%12.1%0.513.8%1.00.070.1970.5002944
Michael WilsonWR532605428.9%89.5%83.3%15.2%5.214.7%10.80.760.4290.4813455
Greg DortchWR     0.0%5.3%6.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00024
Zach ErtzTE431902412.8%52.6%53.0%12.1%4.820.0%6.00.950.2720.7922035
Trey McBrideTE632902613.9%50.0%53.0%18.2%4.831.6%4.31.530.3701.1151935
Geoff SwaimTE118052.7%26.3%37.9%3.0%8.010.0%5.00.800.0641.6001025
Elijah HigginsTE110000.0%5.3%9.1%3.0%0.050.0%0.00.000.0450.00026
Emari DemercadoRB5417031.6%73.7%80.3%15.2%3.417.9%0.60.610.2395.6672853
Damien WilliamsRB     0.0%15.8%18.2%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000612

After James Conner left the game in Week 5 with a knee injury, Emari Demercado (13-58; 5-4-17) filled in solidly for the rest of the game with 10 carries, 45 yards and a touchdown. Conner was placed on IR before Week 6, and in that week, Demercado still got the lion’s share of snaps and routes but only saw 2-of-20 carries and 1-of-4 targets, splitting with Keaontay Ingram (no offensive snaps in Week 7) and Damien Williams (1-2; 18% snaps). We thought that this backfield would be pretty murky until Conner got back into the lineup.

Then, Week 7 happened.

Demercado saw a whopping 80% of snaps and 74% of routes, 13-of-14 running back carries, and five targets in Week 7 as he dominated utilization for the Cardinals. Ingram was active but did not play one single offensive snap, as he only saw time on special teams. Demercado looks locked into most running back opportunities, with Williams spelling him going forward until Conner returns.

While Demercado is likely a high-end RB3 with matchups against Baltimore and Cleveland on deck, Demercado will still get between 12-15 carries each week and a handful of targets. For now, you can bet that type of utilization from Demercado in your flex spot.

Joshua Dobbs has regressed a bit over the last couple of weeks, and just in time for the Kyler Murray come up as his window to return from IR opened this past week. A healthy and solid Murray should help some of the efficiency woes on this team, as Marquise Brown (7-3-49) has been languishing with just 15 receptions on 31 targets in his last three games. Brown’s still probably a WR3 option and a decent start, but with his next two games vs. Baltimore and Cleveland, the lean weeks may continue into November.

Week 7 Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Marquise Brown

Keep Them Rostered:  James Conner (on IR), Emari Demercado (deeper 12 & 14-team) Joshua Dobbs (14 team), Michael Wilson (14 team), Rondale Moore (14 team)

Add ‘Em: Kyler Murray (if he’s hanging around on waivers and you need a QB, grab him here)

Dump ‘Em: Keaontay Ingram (played no offensive snaps last week)

 

Atlanta Falcons

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Drake LondonWR765403620.6%92.9%84.6%31.8%7.726.9%5.12.080.6211.5002655
Mack HollinsWR     0.0%10.7%35.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000323
KhaDarel HodgeWR11190126.9%21.4%18.5%4.5%19.016.7%12.03.170.1161.583612
Scott MillerWR114604525.7%14.3%23.1%4.5%46.025.0%45.011.500.2481.022415
Van JeffersonWR2150169.1%57.1%49.2%9.1%2.512.5%8.00.310.2000.3131632
Kyle PittsTE434702916.6%75.0%52.3%18.2%11.819.0%7.32.240.3891.6212134
Jonnu SmithTE332702112.0%64.3%55.4%13.6%9.016.7%7.01.500.2891.2861836
MyCole PruittTE     0.0%14.3%38.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000425
Tucker FiskTE     0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00002
Bijan RobinsonRB     0.0%28.6%16.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000811
Tyler AllgeierRB335302011.4%28.6%50.8%13.6%17.737.5%6.76.630.2852.650833
Cordarrelle PattersonRB     0.0%39.3%40.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001126
Keith SmithFB11-10-4-2.3%14.3%32.3%4.5%-1.025.0%-4.0-0.250.0520.250421

After the Bijan Robinson (1-3) slash Arthur Smith “MigraineGate2023” saga that unfolded in the early slate and brought everybody together in one unifying force on social media, we will have the squeakiest wheel in the history of squeakiest wheels with Bijan up against the Titans in the dreaded but seldom-seen “Arthur Smith revenge narrative” spot. Too much has been said (by me) about how much I don’t care for Arthur Smith from his fly-by-night usage of top-eight draft picks in favor of Mack Hollins and Jonnu Smith (3-3-27), but this is just Exhibit Q in the laundry list of things proving that maybe the trust-fund son of a shipping magnate just isn’t fit to be the head coach of one of the 32 member clubs of the NFL.

Per Smith, the Falcons “rode the hot hand” with the running backs in Week 7, which means we had to get Tyler Allgeier (21-59; 3-3-53) 21 carries for under 3.0 yards per carry. Exemplary. Cordarrelle Patterson (10-56) saw extra run with Bijan sidelined as well, and the elder statesman of the Falcons looked markedly better than Allgeier, so that could be something to watch, especially knowing how Arthur Smith loves to operate in the face of anybody who dares criticize him.

Drake London (7-6-54; 93%) and Kyle Pitts (4-3-47; 75% routes) led the Falcons in targets in Week 7, but Pitts’ routes over the last three have been sub-80%, which is concerning but not a surprise.

Week 7 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Bijan Robinson

Start ‘Em: Drake London, Kyle Pitts

Keep Them Rostered: Jonnu Smith, Tyler Allgeier (14-team)

Add ‘Em: Cordarrelle Patterson (worked his way into some more touches; with the way Atlanta runs the ball, he’s a cheap workload-based stash)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Baltimore Ravens

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Rashod BatemanWR323605221.1%42.4%48.3%10.7%12.021.4%17.32.570.3080.6921429
Odell BeckhamWR754908333.6%63.6%56.7%25.0%7.033.3%11.92.330.6100.5902134
Zay FlowersWR647505321.5%81.8%71.7%21.4%12.522.2%8.82.780.4721.4152743
Nelson AgholorWR11121124.9%36.4%36.7%3.6%12.08.3%12.01.000.0881.0001222
Devin DuvernayWR     0.0%12.1%15.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00049
Mark AndrewsTE646323915.8%78.8%73.3%21.4%10.523.1%6.52.420.4321.6152644
Isaiah LikelyTE     0.0%36.4%35.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001221
Charlie KolarTE     0.0%3.0%18.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000111
Gus EdwardsRB1180041.6%24.2%50.0%3.6%80.012.5%4.010.000.06520.000830
Justice HillRB112000.0%66.7%50.0%3.6%2.04.5%0.00.090.0540.0002230
Keaton MitchellRB1190-5-2.0%3.0%3.3%3.6%9.0100.0%-5.09.000.039-1.80012
Patrick RicardFB2231093.6%27.3%40.0%7.1%15.522.2%4.53.440.1333.444924

The Ravens put their foot on the throat of the Lions and never relented as they throttled the Lions 38-6. Lamar Jackson was hyper-efficient, where the team only had 33 dropbacks and Jackson threw for 357 yards and three touchdowns.

Two of the touchdowns went to Mark Andrews (6-4-63-2), and the other touchdown was a throwaway (for fantasy purposes) to Nelson Agholor (1-1-12-1) on his only target. The Ravens use a ton of secondary and ancillary players, so those players are always going to take from the WR2/3 types, like Odell Beckham (7-5-49; 64% routes), who still led the Ravens in targets and receptions. The two players that Baltimore’s mixing and matching of personnel doesn’t affect are Andrews and Zay Flowers (6-4-78; 82% routes) — any coincidence that those are the two consistent pass-catchers and every-week starters in fantasy?

Gus Edwards (14-64-1; 1-1-80) and Justice Hill (4-46; 1-1-2) both had 50% of snaps in Week 7, but Edwards had 15 touches, and Hill had just five despite running 67% of Baltimore routes to just 24% for Edwards. Also, the fact that Edwards also had an 80-yard reception (no joke) that, A) accounted for 28% of his ENTIRE CAREER RECEIVING YARDAGE, and B) didn’t go for a touchdown, are both wild in and of themselves.

Week 7 Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, Zay Flowers

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Gus Edwards, Justice Hill (deeper 12 & 14-team), Odell Beckham (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Buffalo Bills

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Stefon DiggsWR12658121950.9%91.3%87.3%30.8%4.828.6%18.31.380.8180.2654262
Gabe DavisWR51607818.1%93.5%95.8%12.8%1.211.6%15.60.140.3190.0774368
Trent SherfieldWR115051.2%21.7%22.5%2.6%5.010.0%5.00.500.0471.0001016
Deonte HartyWR1110040.9%21.7%26.8%2.6%10.010.0%4.01.000.0452.5001019
Khalil ShakirWR44350286.5%43.5%33.8%10.3%8.820.0%7.01.750.1991.2502024
Dawson KnoxTE31100317.2%47.8%63.4%7.7%3.313.6%10.30.450.1660.3232245
Dalton KincaidTE88750378.6%63.0%60.6%20.5%9.427.6%4.62.590.3682.0272943
James CookRB33461235.3%45.7%52.1%7.7%15.314.3%7.72.190.1532.0002137
Latavius MurrayRB2220051.2%41.3%45.1%5.1%10.010.5%2.51.050.0854.0001932
Ty JohnsonRB     0.0%2.2%1.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00011
Reggie GilliamFB     0.0%2.2%5.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00014

A pretty eventful week for the Buffalo Bills as not only did they drop a winnable game to the New England Patriots, but Dawson Knox (3-1-10) is set to have wrist surgery which could knock him out up to four weeks.

This means Dalton Kincaid (8-8-75; 63% routes) gets a bit of a bump in the target hierarchy and could set in motion his ascension to what we thought he could be in the preseason — the possible second target in an elite Buffalo Bills offense.

Stefon Diggs (12-6-58-1; 219 air yards - most in Week 7) is still awesome. Any second target that can work their way in and be consistent will be even more of a plus for Diggs. It’s probably not Gabe Davis (5-1-6; 94% routes). 

James Cook (13-56; 3-3-46-1) did come back up to 51% routes, and Latavius Murray (4-8; 2-2-20) saw his carries cut from 12 last week to just four this week. Some good signs, but Murray remains a barnacle in this offense for Cook’s upside.

Week 7 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs

Start ‘Em: James Cook, Dalton Kincaid

Keep Them Rostered: Gabe Davis, Latavius Murray (contingent play; deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Carolina Panthers

BYE WEEK

Week 7 Carolina Panthers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Adam Thielen

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Miles Sanders (missed Week 6 - shoulder), Chuba HubbardJonathan Mingo (deeper 12 & 14-team), D.J. Chark (deeper 12 & 14-team), Bryce Young (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Chicago Bears

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DJ MooreWR985403053.6%90.9%88.7%32.1%6.030.0%3.31.800.8571.8003063
Darnell MooneyWR443202646.4%90.9%67.6%14.3%8.013.3%6.51.070.5391.2313048
Tyler ScottWR321902951.8%66.7%56.3%10.7%6.313.6%9.70.860.5230.6552240
Velus JonesWR1100-7-12.5%9.1%11.3%3.6%0.033.3%-7.00.00-0.0340.00038
Trent TaylorWR     0.0%6.1%8.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00026
Cole KmetTE     0.0%78.8%88.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0002663
Robert TonyanTE     0.0%12.1%31.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000422
Marcedes LewisTE1116058.9%12.1%32.4%3.6%16.025.0%5.04.000.1163.200423
D'Onta ForemanRB53311-7-12.5%42.4%46.5%17.9%6.235.7%-1.42.210.180-4.4291433
Travis HomerRB1000-5-8.9%3.0%4.2%3.6%0.0100.0%-5.00.00-0.0090.00013
Darrynton EvansRB3160-14-25.0%39.4%47.9%10.7%2.023.1%-4.70.46-0.014-0.4291334
Khari BlasingameFB1140-1-1.8%12.1%16.9%3.6%4.025.0%-1.01.000.041-4.000412

With no Justin Fields, we were treated (in a way) to Tyson Bagent at quarterback and he was 21-of-29 for just 162 yards, a 2.0-yard aDOT and 56 total air yards. It was a heavy run gameplan with D’Onta Foreman (16-89-2; 5-3-31-1) and Darrynton Evans (14-48; 3-1-6) with both Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson out for Week 7. Even if Johnson returns for Week 8, expect Foreman to at least retain a role in this offense, unlike earlier in the season when Foreman was a healthy scratch.

Anytime you have a season-low 56 air yards — a season-low for every NFL team through seven weeks, not just for the Bears — the production is going to be limited. Still, DJ Moore (9-8-54; 91% routes) was far and away the top target earner and still put up 13.4 fantasy points. Cole Kmet (no stats; 79% routes) ran some cardio but wasn’t targeted. Darnell Mooney (4-4-32) ran 91% of routes as well and earned a few targets, but his disappointing 2023 continues.

Week 7 Chicago Bears Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: DJ Moore

Start ‘Em: Justin Fields (missed Week 6/7 - thumb)

Keep Them Rostered: D’Onta Foreman, Cole Kmet, Khalil Herbert (Missed Week 6/7 - ankle), Roschon Johnson (Missed Week 6/7 - concussion)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Cincinnati Bengals

BYE WEEK

Week 7 Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Ja'Marr Chase

Start ‘Em: Joe BurrowTee HigginsJoe Mixon

Keep Them Rostered: Tyler Boyd

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Cleveland Browns

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amari CooperWR8222012345.2%97.5%90.7%22.9%2.820.5%15.40.560.6590.1793968
Elijah MooreWR745906323.2%90.0%78.7%20.0%8.419.4%9.01.640.4620.9373659
Donovan Peoples-JonesWR322203914.3%55.0%62.7%8.6%7.313.6%13.01.000.2290.5642247
David BellWR     0.0%5.0%2.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00022
Marquise GoodwinWR2160279.9%32.5%22.7%5.7%3.015.4%13.50.460.1550.2221317
David NjokuTE95540238.5%95.0%96.0%25.7%6.023.7%2.61.420.4452.3483872
Jordan AkinsTE     0.0%7.5%8.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00036
Harrison BryantTE1000-1-0.4%12.5%22.7%2.9%0.020.0%-1.00.000.0400.000517
Jerome FordRB4220000.0%40.0%42.7%11.4%5.025.0%0.01.250.1710.0001632
Pierre StrongRB     0.0%22.5%29.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000922
Kareem HuntRB1000-2-0.7%17.5%26.7%2.9%0.014.3%-2.00.000.0380.000720

Cleveland wins 39-38, but what did they win? On the surface, you’d think there had to be some offensive firepower, but, of course, this is the Cleveland Browns, so no. Their defense, despite giving up 38 points, was massive as they forced Gardner Minshew into three lost fumbles (one for a touchdown), four sacks, and an interception. Myles Garrett is a freak of nature.

Deshaun Watson left the game after just five attempts and an interception, ceding the rest of the quarterbacking to P.J. Walker, who had a completion percentage under 50% and threw an interception himself. Naturally, the receiving options weren’t very efficient at all, with Amari Cooper (8-2-22) catching just two balls, David Njoku (9-5-54) having the best overall efficiency and production day, and Elijah Moore (7-4-59) hanging around and compiling. All three ran routes on 90%+ dropbacks. Clearly with Walker at the helm in Week 8, the Browns’ pass-catchers will be downgraded as fantasy options.

The high-ankle epidemic sweeping our nation’s football fields claimed yet another victim, with Jerome Ford (11-74-1; 4-2-20) leaving the game and not returning, though he did get a super nice 69-yard touchdown run in before his exit. Kareem Hunt (10-31-2; 1-0-0) got a couple of scores in Ford’s stead and deciphering Hunt vs. Pierre Strong (8-25) to nab the 60%+ workload will be tough, considering Strong handled over 60% of rushing attempts on the final four drives of the game minus Ford.

Week 7 Cleveland Browns Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Deshaun Watson (left Week 7 - shoulder), Amari Cooper, Jerome Ford (left Week 7 - ankle), Kareem Hunt 

Keep Them Rostered: Elijah Moore, David Njoku

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Dallas Cowboys

BYE WEEK

Week 7 Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: CeeDee LambTony Pollard

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Dak PrescottBrandin CooksJake Ferguson (deeper 12 & 14-team), Michael Gallup (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Denver Broncos

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Jerry JeudyWR556404831.2%83.9%67.8%20.8%12.819.2%9.62.460.5311.3332640
Courtland SuttonWR667616642.9%96.8%86.4%25.0%12.720.0%11.02.530.6751.1523051
Marvin MimsWR10002415.6%45.2%30.5%4.2%0.07.1%24.00.000.1720.0001418
Brandon JohnsonWR     0.0%35.5%37.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001122
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR     0.0%32.3%33.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001020
Adam TrautmanTE21503422.1%74.2%72.9%8.3%2.58.7%17.00.220.2800.1472343
Chris ManhertzTE     0.0%6.5%30.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000218
Nate AdkinsTE1130-3-1.9%3.2%10.2%4.2%3.0100.0%-3.03.000.049-1.00016
Javonte WilliamsRB43140-6-3.9%41.9%52.5%16.7%3.530.8%-1.51.080.223-2.3331331
Samaje PerineRB3331042.6%32.3%25.4%12.5%10.330.0%1.33.100.2067.7501015
Jaleel McLaughlinRB2110-13-8.4%12.9%16.9%8.3%0.550.0%-6.50.250.066-0.077410
Michael BurtonFB     0.0%16.1%20.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000512

Despite this win at home against the Packers, the Broncos haven’t been very fruitful on offense; especially for fantasy. New Sean Payton “slant boy” Courtland Sutton (6-6-76-1; 97% routes) scored a touchdown and Jerry Jeudy (5-5-64) was solid enough. Most of the other targets were split almost evenly by the running backs as no tight ends matter here and Payton steadfastly refuses to use one of his best players, Marvin Mims (1-0-0; 45% routes).

Looking like more of the flag-bearing running back than we’ve seen this season, Javonte Williams (15-82; 4-3-14) took 53% of snaps to the detriment of Jaleel McLaughlin (5-45; 2-1-1; 17% snaps). He’s looking more like a clear top back in this offense with McLaughlin and Samaje Perine (2-10; 3-3-31) jockeying for position behind him.

Week 7 Denver Broncos Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Courtland Sutton, Javonte Williams

Keep Them Rostered: Jerry Jeudy, Jaleel McLaughlin, Samaje Perine (deeper 12 & 14-team), Russell Wilson (deeper 12 & 14-team), Marvin Mims (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Detroit Lions

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR1913102012233.6%96.6%97.3%38.8%5.433.9%6.41.820.8170.8365673
Jameson WilliamsWR600014339.4%44.8%44.0%12.2%0.023.1%23.80.000.4590.0002633
Kalif RaymondWR22200-5-1.4%39.7%36.0%4.1%10.08.7%-2.50.870.052-4.0002327
Josh ReynoldsWR324304111.3%72.4%73.3%6.1%14.37.1%13.71.020.1711.0494255
Antoine GreenWR1000102.8%46.6%44.0%2.0%0.03.7%10.00.000.0500.0002733
Sam LaPortaTE765205114.0%74.1%73.3%14.3%7.416.3%7.31.210.3131.0204355
Brock WrightTE     0.0%19.0%33.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001125
Jahmyr GibbsRB10958041.1%79.3%86.7%20.4%5.821.7%0.41.260.31414.5004665
Craig ReynoldsRB1190-3-0.8%3.4%9.3%2.0%9.050.0%-3.04.500.025-3.00027

The Detroit Lions — America’s kneecap-biting sweethearts so far this season — took a clean shot to the chin at the hand of the Baltimore Ravens. The Lions 100% got outworked, but I don’t think it changes too much, as good teams just have these games.

No David Montgomery and a banged-up through the week Craig Reynolds (3-16; 1-1-9) meant Jahmyr Gibbs (11-68-1; 10-9-58) absolutely thriving in all facets of the game, including the only Lions touchdown and only points. The Lions did abandon the run with 53 pass attempts to just 14 rush attempts, so there was a ton for the receivers, including Gibbs’ 10 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (19-13-102) continues to feast and absolutely be a man among boys. What else is there to say at this point? Yes, that 19 is correct. 19 targets. I guess there is something to say about Sam LaPorta (7-6-52) being such a top-5 locked-in tight end that he still pretty much got there on a week where the two higher target-earners had 29 combined targets. That’s something! Also something? Jameson Williams’ six catchless targets on 45% of routes. That 45% is still his season-high, and he’s getting downfield targets (143 air yards - 23.8-yard aDOT), so if you can keep him stashed away, I’m doing so.

Week 7 Detroit Lions Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, David Montgomery (Missed Week 7 - rib)

Start ‘Em: Jahmyr Gibbs, Jared Goff

Keep Them Rostered: Jameson Williams, Josh Reynolds (14-team), Craig Reynolds (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Green Bay Packers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Christian WatsonWR532703515.8%88.2%87.5%15.6%5.416.7%7.00.900.3450.7713056
Romeo DoubsWR523016931.1%79.4%81.3%15.6%6.018.5%13.81.110.4520.4352752
Jayden ReedWR432113515.8%52.9%48.4%12.5%5.322.2%8.81.170.2980.6001831
Samori ToureWR21304520.3%11.8%10.9%6.3%1.550.0%22.50.750.2360.06747
Dontayvion WicksWR1117094.1%14.7%21.9%3.1%17.020.0%9.03.400.0751.889514
Luke MusgraveTE54300188.1%67.6%67.2%15.6%6.021.7%3.61.300.2911.6672343
Tucker KraftTE     0.0%35.3%50.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001232
Josiah DeguaraTE     0.0%29.4%26.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001017
Ben SimsTE112000.0%8.8%6.3%3.1%2.033.3%0.00.670.0470.00034
Aaron JonesRB53220156.8%38.2%37.5%15.6%4.438.5%3.01.690.2821.4671324
AJ DillonRB2234031.4%44.1%54.7%6.3%17.013.3%1.52.270.10311.3331535
Emanuel WilsonRB2280-7-3.2%8.8%7.8%6.3%4.066.7%-3.52.670.072-1.14335

The Packers just plain stink and there’s no two ways about it. This was a get-right spot if there was one, against the Denver Broncos defense, and they made them look competent.

Christian Watson (5-3-27; 88% routes) and Romeo Doubs (5-2-30-1) were the primary route-running receivers, yet not much production due to only 180 yards passing from Jordan Love. Doubs missed a second touchdown that actually took a fortuitous carom, and Jayden Reed (4-3-21-1; 52% routes) caught that in the end zone.

Luke Musgrave (5-4-30; 68% routes) left the game and was seen in a walking boot afterward, so that may not be the best sign for Week 8, but we’ll see what transpires.

I know Aaron Jones (8-35; 5-3-22; 38% snaps) wants to be on the field to help the Packers, but he’s clearly not 100%, so I don’t know what good it does the team if he’s running 60% of his typical workload. AJ Dillon (15-61; 2-2-34; 55% snaps) was typical AJ Dillon, which just isn’t very good.

Week 7 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Aaron Jones (clearly isn’t 100% right now), Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Luke Musgrave (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jordan Love (14-team), Jayden Reed (14-team), AJ Dillon (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

Houston Texans

BYE WEEK

Week 7 Houston Texans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Nico CollinsTank Dell (missed Week 6 - concussion), C.J. Stroud

Keep Them Rostered: Dameon Pierce, Devin SingletaryDalton SchultzRobert Woods (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Indianapolis Colts

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Michael PittmanWR528317132.7%96.8%97.1%22.7%16.616.7%14.22.770.5701.1693068
Alec PierceWR335304822.1%100.0%100.0%13.6%17.79.7%16.01.710.3591.1043170
Josh DownsWR6512519744.7%80.6%71.4%27.3%20.824.0%16.25.000.7221.2892550
Isaiah McKenzieWR     0.0%9.7%12.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00039
Mo Alie-CoxTE11-60-6-2.8%19.4%45.7%4.5%-6.016.7%-6.0-1.000.0491.000632
Andrew OgletreeTE     0.0%54.8%60.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001742
Will MalloryTE100062.8%25.8%12.9%4.5%0.012.5%6.00.000.0880.00089
Jonathan TaylorRB4345083.7%48.4%50.0%18.2%11.326.7%2.03.000.2995.6251535
Zack MossRB2150-7-3.2%32.3%50.0%9.1%2.520.0%-3.50.500.114-0.7141035

Colts vs. Browns was a fun, weird, crazy affair that wasn’t just a pass-first offensive shootout. In fact, Gardner Minshew had only 23 pass attempts to 40 runs. Even on 23 pass attempts, he still got over the 300-yard mark and tossed two touchdowns.

It’s been several seasons since we’ve been able to start multiple Colts pass-catchers in fantasy as weekly starts, but we’re at that point now with Michael Pittman (5-2-83-1) and Josh Downs (6-5-125-1).

There’s some concern about Downs being a primary slot guy, as he’s played exactly zero snaps in two-WR sets this season (per PFF), but the Colts play 11-personnel on at least 75% of their offensive snaps, making it much more comfortable to start him going forward. Downs has eclipsed 80% routes per dropback five weeks in a row, and has scored 13+ fantasy points in his last three games, and the only two games where Downs has three or fewer receptions were games Anthony Richardson started.

Make no mistake, you can lock Downs in as a weekly fantasy starter and is looking like a solid bet at the current time to be a top-24 wide receiver in fantasy this season. He gets cornerback Alontae Taylor in Week 8, who has been a turnstile in the slot for the Saints.

Jonathan Taylor (18-75-1; 4-3-45; 50% snaps) continues to split snaps evenly with Zack Moss (18-57; 2-1-5; 50% snaps), but it’s going to go in Taylor’s direction very soon. Still, Moss has probably earned another start in Week 8 for fantasy managers.

Week 7 Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Michael Pittman

Start ‘Em: Zack Moss, Jonathan Taylor

Keep Them Rostered: Josh Downs, Gardner Minshew (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A


 

Jacksonville Jaguars

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Calvin RidleyWR41507539.3%94.1%87.5%13.3%1.312.5%18.80.160.4750.0673249
Christian KirkWR669014523.6%88.2%80.4%20.0%15.020.0%7.53.000.4652.0003045
Jamal AgnewWR643604825.1%61.8%51.8%20.0%6.028.6%8.01.710.4760.7502129
Tim JonesWR2217084.2%17.6%25.0%6.7%8.533.3%4.02.830.1292.125614
Elijah CooksWR     0.0%2.9%8.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00015
Evan EngramTE754503417.8%97.1%82.1%23.3%6.421.2%4.91.360.4751.3243346
Luke FarrellTE     0.0%17.6%35.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000620
Brenton StrangeTE     0.0%14.7%23.2%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000513
Travis EtienneRB53240-19-9.9%70.6%87.5%16.7%4.820.8%-3.81.000.180-1.2632449
Tank BigsbyRB     0.0%2.9%14.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00018
D'Ernest JohnsonRB     0.0%5.9%3.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00022

We got an island game worth watching on Thursday Night — what did we do to deserve this?

Calvin Ridley (4-1-45) got “Marshon Lattimore’d” and continued his fantasy fall from grace over the past few weeks. He’s not unstartable by any means, but I put Christian Kirk (6-6-90-1) and Ridley on an even playing field right now. All three of Kirk, Ridley, and Evan Engram (7-5-45) ran at least 88% of routes and after Jamal Agnew (6-4-36) — who saw more work because of Zay Jones not being in the lineup — no other Jaguar pass-catcher ran more than 18% of routes.

Travis Etienne (14-53-2; 5-3-24) is pretty #good and kept up his massive role where he’s seeing 19 carries per game in his last three, with two rushing touchdowns in EACH game. He’s also alternated five and three targets in each game this season, so it looks like Week 8 against Pittsburgh will be a three-target week. Etienne also saw a season-high 88% snap rate and his second-highest route rate of 71%. He’s cooking.

Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Travis EtienneTrevor Lawrence, Christian Kirk

Start ‘Em: Evan Engram, Calvin Ridley

Keep Them Rostered: Zay Jones (missed Week 6/7 - knee)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Kansas City Chiefs

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Kadarius ToneyWR11130113.4%17.4%19.1%2.5%13.012.5%11.01.630.0611.182813
Skyy MooreWR321504513.8%60.9%60.3%7.5%5.010.7%15.00.540.2090.3332841
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR538416921.2%76.1%69.1%12.5%16.814.3%13.82.400.3361.2173547
Rashee RiceWR656013912.0%65.2%58.8%15.0%10.020.0%6.52.000.3091.5383040
Justyn RossWR     0.0%21.7%25.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001017
Mecole HardmanWR31604614.2%17.4%16.2%7.5%2.037.5%15.30.750.2120.130811
Travis KelceTE1312179113040.0%78.3%75.0%32.5%13.836.1%10.04.970.7681.3773651
Noah GrayTE118072.2%43.5%51.5%2.5%8.05.0%7.00.400.0531.1432035
Blake BellTE117061.8%15.2%25.0%2.5%7.014.3%6.01.000.0501.167717
Isiah PachecoRB44281-13-4.0%43.5%52.9%10.0%7.020.0%-3.31.400.122-2.1542036
Jerick McKinnonRB22240-12-3.7%32.6%36.8%5.0%12.013.3%-6.01.600.049-2.0001525
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB1000-3-0.9%10.9%10.3%2.5%0.020.0%-3.00.000.0310.00057

Travis Kelce (13-12-179-1) is a monster. This weekly article will ALWAYS be a safe space to celebrate Kelce and Taylor Swift. Where:

You already know my disdain for the Kansas City Chiefs’ wide receiver carouse that’s really just spinning round and round. In a massive rotation for the Chiefs that has spanned EIGHT players, one receiver stands out above the rest through seven weeks: Rashee Rice (6-5-60-1). Some injuries to players like Justin Watson and Kadarius Toney (1-1-13; 17% routes) have opened up pockets of time on the fields, and while some others like Justyn Ross (no stats; 22% routes; looming legal trouble) have seen increases in routes per dropback, nobody has done more or deserved more routes per game than Rice. He’s also been THE most consistent of all the Chiefs’ receivers.

In Week 7, Rice had a season-high 65% route participation and put up his third-straight double-digit fantasy point performance in a row. Paired with his consistency, Rice has been by far the most efficient Chiefs receiver on a per-route basis, with a season-long 2.58 yards per route run and an elite 29% targets per route run rate. With middling performances by Skyy Moore (3-2-15; 61% routes), Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s (5-3-84-1; 76% routes) disappointing start (except Week 7, which may be the one or two good games he has all season) that you could have set your watch to, and Toney’s inability to stay on the field and be anything more than a line-of-scrimmage, gadgety player that’s now competing with those targets with new/old Chief Mecole Hardman (3-1-6; 17% routes), Rice has the inside track to be a huge factor in fantasy with his trajectory. This offense needs SOME kind of stability at WR to play off of Kelce with the best quarterback on planet Earth, Patrick Mahomes. Rice has the best chance to be that for 2023. I’m happy with him as my WR3 in fantasy, knowing he’s going to be targeted when he’s on the field with upside for much more down the line.

There's nothing new to report with the running backs for Kansas City. Isiah Pacheco (13-32; 4-4-28-1) still carries the bell, Jerick McKinnon (2-2; 2-2-24) gets a couple of targets and carries each game, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (2-5; 1-0-0) is a barnacle that clings to the hull of this ship.

Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Travis KelcePatrick Mahomes

Start ‘Em: Isiah Pacheco

Keep Them Rostered: Rashee RiceJerick McKinnon (deeper 12 & 14-team leagues) Rashee Rice 

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Las Vegas Raiders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Davante AdamsWR1175708527.0%71.7%75.4%25.0%5.233.3%7.71.730.5640.6713349
Jakobi MeyersWR13750113542.9%95.7%93.8%29.5%3.829.5%10.41.140.7430.3704461
Hunter RenfrowWR32140237.3%45.7%36.9%6.8%4.714.3%7.70.670.1530.6092124
Tre TuckerWR32160216.7%56.5%49.2%6.8%5.311.5%7.00.620.1490.7622632
DeAndre CarterWR     0.0%4.3%4.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00023
Austin HooperTE2218041.3%30.4%33.8%4.5%9.014.3%2.01.290.0774.5001422
Michael MayerTE42130278.6%54.3%70.8%9.1%3.316.0%6.80.520.1960.4812546
Jesper HorstedTE114020.6%10.9%7.7%2.3%4.020.0%2.00.800.0392.00055
Josh JacobsRB4160113.5%39.1%66.2%9.1%1.522.2%2.80.330.1610.5451843
Zamir WhiteRB3326072.2%19.6%21.5%6.8%8.733.3%2.32.890.1183.714914
Ameer AbdullahRB     0.0%13.0%15.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000610
Jakob JohnsonFB     0.0%13.0%24.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000616

With a lot of moving parts in Week 7 with backup quarterbacks and all that, Brian Hoyer and Aidan O’Connell both saw action, but ultimately, it didn’t matter as the Chicago Fighting D’Onta Foremans easily dispatched the Raiders 30-12.

The Raiders, in most weeks, consolidate their touches to the trio of Davante Adams (11-7-57), Jakobi Meyers (13-7-50-1), and Josh Jacobs (11-35; 4-1-6) and even in a trailing script that saw Adams only run routes on 72% of dropbacks, that was still the case. Michael Mayer’s (4-2-13) ascension may take a week or two as a trailing script with multiple backup quarterbacks didn’t seem super ideal to begin with, but Mayer saw his routes dip to 54%, and his snaps took a slight dip to 71%, but still played well above Austin Hooper (2-2-18; 30% routes, 34% snaps), so no worries on that front.

Week 7 Las Vegas Raiders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs

Start ‘Em: Jakobi Meyers

Keep Them Rostered: Michael Mayer

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Los Angeles Chargers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Keenan AllenWR945509529.3%100.0%93.7%30.0%6.125.0%10.61.530.6550.5793659
Quentin JohnstonWR212005517.0%69.4%54.0%6.7%10.08.0%27.50.800.2190.3642534
Joshua PalmerWR75133010432.1%100.0%98.4%23.3%19.019.4%14.93.690.5751.2793662
Derius DavisWR21100113.4%13.9%17.5%6.7%5.040.0%5.52.000.1240.909511
Keelan DossWR     0.0%2.8%4.8%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00013
Gerald EverettTE43261237.1%25.0%47.6%13.3%6.544.4%5.82.890.2501.130930
Donald ParhamTE3190299.0%33.3%39.7%10.0%3.025.0%9.70.750.2130.3101225
Stone SmarttTE115041.2%44.4%44.4%3.3%5.06.3%4.00.310.0591.2501628
Austin EkelerRB211030.9%58.3%63.5%6.7%0.59.5%1.50.050.1060.3332140
Joshua KelleyRB     0.0%30.6%36.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001123

The Chargers were much more run-heavy than they typically are (-8.3% PROE, their lowest of the season), but it didn’t help them with guys like Austin Ekeler (14-45; 2-1-1), who has been hampered a bit by the Justin Herbert deep ball stuff.

We know with the coordinator change from Joe Lombardi to Kellen Moore there would be less emphasis on the shorter dump-offs and more on getting the ball downfield to guys like Mike Williams before his season-ending injury, Keenan Allen (9-4-55) and Joshua Palmer (7-5-133). Is that taking stuff off the table for Ekeler; throws from Herbert that should be there, but ignoring them for the deeper, riskier chances downfield? 

Quentin Johnson (2-1-20; 69% routes) is not looking good and honestly, as much of a ”noted ageist” as I am, I can’t be allocating roster spots to guys like Johnston who haven’t just shown any ability to make a difference. That’s even more damning with the Williams injury earlier in the season, as Palmer has actually shown a lot more than we thought was there with him.

Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Keenan Allen, Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler

Start ‘Em: Joshua Palmer

Keep Them Rostered: Gerald Everett (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Quentin Johnson (it might just be JOEVER.)

 

Los Angeles Rams

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Cooper KuppWR722904922.5%100.0%100.0%25.9%4.121.9%7.00.910.5460.5923268
Tutu AtwellWR213114018.3%65.6%73.5%7.4%15.59.5%20.01.480.2400.7752150
Puka NacuaWR128154011653.2%93.8%92.6%44.4%12.840.0%9.75.131.0391.3283063
Ben SkowronekWR     0.0%25.0%19.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000813
Austin TrammellWR     0.0%3.1%2.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00012
Tyler HigbeeTE31702411.0%75.0%89.7%11.1%2.312.5%8.00.290.2440.2922461
Brycen HopkinsTE115010.5%6.3%2.9%3.7%5.050.0%1.02.500.0595.00022
Davis AllenTE     0.0%12.5%19.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000413
Darrell HendersonRB2150-12-5.5%40.6%57.4%7.4%2.515.4%-6.00.380.073-0.4171339
Royce FreemanRB     0.0%25.0%42.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000829

No surprise here; the passing game hinges on Cooper Kupp (7-2-29; 100% routes) and Puka Nacua (12-8-154; 94% routes), who combined for over 70% of the targets in Week 7. Tutu Atwell (2-1-31-1; 66% routes) did snag a touchdown on his two targets, but it’s getting increasingly harder to start him each week, knowing that the targets from Matthew Stafford are clearly funneled to two players.

The running game utilization would be the key story here with the Rams as Darrell Henderson (18-61-1; 2-1-5) jumped out of bed and into a sizable role for the Rams in Week 7. Henderson had 57% of snaps to Royce Freeman’s (12-66) 43%, and Zach Evans logged exactly zero snaps. With Sean McVay typically rolling with one running back and not a committee in most instances, Henderson looks primed to get even more work going forward.

Week 7 Los Angeles Rams Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Cooper Kupp, Puca Nacua

Start ‘Em: Darrell Henderson

Keep Them Rostered: Matthew StaffordTyler Higbee (deeper 12 & 14-team), Royce Freeman (deeper 12 & 14-team), Tutu Atwell (14-team), Kyren Williams (on IR - ankle)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Zach EvansMyles Gaskin

 

Miami Dolphins

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Tyreek HillWR15118819938.2%88.9%77.6%48.4%5.946.9%6.62.750.9930.8893238
Jaylen WaddleWR666304818.5%44.4%44.9%19.4%10.537.5%8.03.940.4201.3131622
Braxton BerriosWR217072.7%66.7%59.2%6.5%3.58.3%3.50.290.1161.0002429
Cedrick WilsonWR324806424.7%55.6%59.2%9.7%16.015.0%21.32.400.3180.7502029
Chase ClaypoolWR     0.0%2.8%8.2%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00014
Durham SmytheTE     0.0%69.4%91.8%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0002545
Julian HillTE     0.0%13.9%28.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000514
Tanner ConnerTE     0.0%2.8%2.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00011
Raheem MostertRB2160197.3%36.1%53.1%6.5%3.015.4%9.50.460.1480.3161326
Jeff WilsonRB114041.5%19.4%14.3%3.2%4.014.3%4.00.570.0591.00077
Salvon AhmedRB2100186.9%36.1%36.7%6.5%0.015.4%9.00.000.1450.0001318
Alec IngoldFB     0.0%13.9%24.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000512

In a wild turn of events, the Philadelphia Eagles’ front is so good that the Dolphins only ran the ball 12 times to 32 pass attempts. Because of the lack of a run game, obviously, that affected Raheem Mostert’s (9-45; 3-1-6) bottom line. Jeff Wilson (no carries; 1-1-4) and Salvon Ahmed (2-3; 2-1-0) weren’t factors but should be against teams without stout defensive fronts that literally change the team’s game plans like the Eagles did to the Dolphins.

Tyreek Hill (15-11-88-1) is a damn superstar. Jaylen Waddle (6-6-63) clearly plays second fiddle this season instead of putting up the regular monster games that he did last season, so it’s hard to say he’s been a disappointment, but he was also banged up here with a back injury that may knock him out of Week 8. It’s noted that Waddle did return to the game, however.

Week 7 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen WaddleTua Tagovailoa, Raheem Mostert

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: DeVon Achane (on IR - knee), Jeff Wilson

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Minnesota Vikings

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Jordan AddisonWR10712329938.8%73.3%74.3%23.3%12.330.3%9.93.730.6211.2423352
K.J. OsbornWR654706726.3%95.6%92.9%14.0%7.814.0%11.21.090.3930.7014365
Trishton JacksonWR117041.6%22.2%15.7%2.3%7.010.0%4.00.700.0461.7501011
Brandon PowellWR546404417.3%71.1%61.4%11.6%12.815.6%8.82.000.2951.4553243
N'Keal HarryWR     0.0%2.2%5.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00014
T.J. HockensonTE12118605220.4%82.2%84.3%27.9%7.232.4%4.32.320.5611.6543759
Josh OliverTE226020.8%24.4%42.9%4.7%3.018.2%1.00.550.0753.0001130
Johnny MundtTE     0.0%6.7%11.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00038
Alexander MattisonRB3230-1-0.4%46.7%52.9%7.0%1.014.3%-0.30.140.102-3.0002137
Ty ChandlerRB11120-4-1.6%2.2%4.3%2.3%12.0100.0%-4.012.000.024-3.00013
Cam AkersRB32300-8-3.1%26.7%38.6%7.0%10.025.0%-2.72.500.083-3.7501227
C.J. HamFB     0.0%4.4%15.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000211

Jordan Addison (10-7-123-2), come on down. What a performance, and we always knew you had that dog in you. Despite my professed love for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, I’ve been talking about Addison since the NFL Draft and then doubled down when I had to make a “Sophie’s Choice” of Addison or JSN in fantasy football drafts. Minus Justin Jefferson, Addison ran only 73% of routes but did a ton of damage. It could have been more; Addison almost had a THIRD touchdown if Kirk Cousins hadn’t sailed a ball over him.

Next to Addison’s monster night, T.J. Hockenson (12-11-86; 82% routes) led the Vikings in most receiving categories, while K.J. Osborn (6-5-47; 96% routes) was the clear third target. Even Brandon Powell (5-4-64) was pretty involved at 72% of routes.

Alexander Mattison (8-39; 3-2-3; 53% snaps) has to be feeling some crunch from Cam Akers (10-31; 3-2-30) as Akers earned more work in the backfield than ever since he’s been a Viking.

Week 7 Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: T.J. Hockenson

Start ‘Em: Jordan Addison, Kirk Cousins

Keep Them Rostered: Alexander Mattison, K.J. Osborn, Cam Akers, Justin Jefferson (on IR - hamstring)

Add ‘Em: Brandon Powell (seeing ~70% of routes each week; in a pinch, he could be useful with byes)

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

New England Patriots

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
DeVante ParkerWR118077.0%57.6%58.3%3.3%8.05.3%7.00.420.0991.1431935
Kendrick BourneWR766311313.0%93.9%95.0%23.3%9.022.6%1.92.030.4414.8463157
Demario DouglasWR645402121.0%75.8%61.7%20.0%9.024.0%3.52.160.4472.5712537
Tyquan ThorntonWR1120-4-4.0%9.1%5.0%3.3%2.033.3%-4.00.670.022-0.50033
Jalen ReagorWR1111099.0%42.4%41.7%3.3%11.07.1%9.00.790.1131.2221425
Hunter HenryTE322702929.0%45.5%50.0%10.0%9.020.0%9.71.800.3530.9311530
Mike GesickiTE225133.0%48.5%50.0%6.7%2.512.5%1.50.310.1211.6671630
Pharaoh BrownTE225101919.0%15.2%38.3%6.7%25.540.0%9.510.200.2332.684523
Rhamondre StevensonRB6651000.0%60.6%65.0%20.0%8.530.0%0.02.550.3000.0002039
Ezekiel ElliottRB100033.0%12.1%35.0%3.3%0.025.0%3.00.000.0710.000421

Continuing the theme of “you can’t predict ball”, the Patriots, of course, beat the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots love to spread the ball around to a bunch of (old, unathletic) receivers, but Mac Jones was surprisingly efficient (25-of-30, 272 yds., two TD) and kept them afloat.

Leading the charge for New England was Kendrick Bourne (7-6-63-1), who has been a regular thing as of late, with 18 targets and 16 receptions in his last two games. Not many other options have stepped up to help him out, but doing his best was Demario “Pop” Douglas (6-4-54; 1-20). I typically abstain from calling him “Pop” because it furthers the stereotype of old, dusty Patriots receivers and that’s not fair to him as somebody with actual youth on his side. Douglas ran a season-high 76% routes per dropback and could be working his way into more with such an ambiguous wide receiver room. The Patriots need all the youth and athleticism they can get, so featuring Douglas vs. guys like DeVante Parker (1-1-8; 58% routes) makes sense.

Hunter Henry (3-2-27; 46% routes) was the only other Patriots receiver/tight end mentioned here who had more than two targets, but he’s been playing through an ankle injury, so that’s the likely reason his routes have decreased.

The split between Rhamondre Stevenson (9-34; 6-6-51) and Ezekiel Elliott (11-31-1; 1-0-0) gets uglier by the day as Elliott saw each green-zone touch, but Stevenson maintains some of the early-down work and most of the receiving work. Stevenson is still the back we want in New England, but ceding work doesn’t exactly instill a ton of confidence in him going forward as anything more than a low-end RB2.

Week 7 New England Patriots Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Rhamondre Stevenson, Kendrick Bourne, Hunter Henry (deeper 12 & 14-team), Ezekiel Elliott (deeper 12 & 14-team), JuJu Smith-Schuster (deeper 12 & 14-team), Mike Gesicki (deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

New Orleans Saints

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Chris OlaveWR15757011835.5%94.9%81.1%28.3%3.826.8%7.91.020.6730.4835673
Michael ThomasWR734216519.6%91.5%83.3%13.2%6.013.0%9.30.780.3350.6465475
Rashid ShaheedWR842807622.9%84.7%70.0%15.1%3.516.0%9.50.560.3870.3685063
Keith KirkwoodWR     0.0%10.2%15.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000614
Lynn BowdenWR     0.0%5.1%14.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000313
Foster MoreauTE43330247.2%18.6%47.8%7.5%8.336.4%6.03.000.1641.3751143
Taysom HillTE545004313.0%74.6%60.0%9.4%10.011.4%8.61.140.2321.1634454
Jimmy GrahamTE     0.0%6.8%20.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000418
Alvin KamaraRB141291061.8%66.1%73.3%26.4%6.535.9%0.42.330.40915.1673966
Jamaal WilliamsRB     0.0%13.6%22.2%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000820
Kendre MillerRB     0.0%3.4%3.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00023

Anytime you can make Alvin Kamara (17-62; 14-12-91) our generation’s Leonard Fournette, you’ve got to do it. 

It’s not as though that’s a bad thing, as we’ve seen with the sweet saccharine of two 14-target games pumping up the PPR points (21.2 fantasy points per game in his four games)

Kamara seeing 73% of the snaps obviously puts a pretty sizable crunch on Jamaal Williams (5-14; 22% snaps) and Kendre Miller (no stats; 3% snaps) to the point where they’re just not startable and borderline droppable (droppable in Miller’s case — as one of my highest exposures in best ball, this hurts).

Derek Carr threw the ball 55 times and condensed those attempts to six players. We already talked about Kamara’s whopping 14 targets, but it was pretty inefficient otherwise, with Chris Olave (15-7-57), Michael Thomas (7-3-42-1), and Rashid Shaheed (8-4-28) all seeing at least seven targets and 85%+ routes on the evening.

Taysom Hill (5-4-50; 5-18-1; 75% routes) being used like a real boy instead of the “hand in every pot” player we’ve grown accustomed to makes us actually want to roster and start him (which you should be!)

Week 7 New Orleans Saints Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave

Start ‘Em: Michael Thomas

Keep Them Rostered: Derek Carr, Taysom Hill, Rashid Shaheed (14-team), Jamaal Williams (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: Kendre Miller (hold in super deep leagues, but where roster spots are at a premium, cut bait)

 

New York Giants

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Darius SlaytonWR21220206.9%80.6%83.8%7.4%11.06.9%10.00.760.1591.1002957
Isaiah HodginsWR42130165.5%33.3%29.4%14.8%3.333.3%4.01.080.2610.8131220
Parris CampbellWR     0.0%5.6%5.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00024
Jalin HyattWR5275016857.9%66.7%70.6%18.5%15.020.8%33.63.130.6830.4462448
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR2122062.1%61.1%60.3%7.4%11.09.1%3.01.000.1263.6672241
Sterling ShepardWR113031.0%16.7%14.7%3.7%3.016.7%3.00.500.0631.000610
Darren WallerTE879817626.2%80.6%82.4%29.6%12.327.6%9.53.380.6281.2892956
Daniel BellingerTE     0.0%38.9%52.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001436
Saquon BarkleyRB4341162.1%52.8%83.8%14.8%10.321.1%1.52.160.2376.8331957
Matt BreidaRB1150-5-1.7%22.2%16.2%3.7%5.012.5%-5.00.630.043-1.000811

The New York Giants only scored 14 points against the Commanders in a game where both teams combined for 21 points. The offense was at a premium and even more so with Tyrod Taylor in at quarterback in an ugly game from a weather standpoint (windy) and a talent one. 

The Giants are also figuring out their wide receiver rotation as it’s now Darius Slayton (2-1-22; 81% routes) and Jalin Hyatt (5-2-75; 168 air yards, 33.5-yard aDOT) on the outside with Wan’Dale Robinson (2-1-22; 61% routes) inside, and of course, Darren Waller (8-7-98-1) as their featured weapon, which was the case in Week 7. Figuring out who would run the most routes is step one; the next is to work schemes with these players in mind, and it’s going to be murky in that department for a while. 

Saquon Barkley (21-77; 4-3-41-1) took 84% of snaps in Week 7 and was pretty much what you can expect from a healthy Barkley, so that’s great.

Week 7 New York Giants Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Saquon Barkley, Darren Waller

Start ‘Em: N/A

Keep Them Rostered: Wan’Dale Robinson (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jalin Hyatt (deeper 12 & 14-team), Daniel Jones (on IR - neck)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

New York Jets

BYE WEEK

Week 7 New York Jets Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Garrett WilsonBreece Hall

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Philadelphia Eagles

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
A.J. BrownWR1510137114666.4%88.9%84.7%50.0%9.146.9%9.74.281.2150.9383261
DeVonta SmithWR544905424.5%100.0%95.8%16.7%9.813.9%10.81.360.4220.9073669
Olamide ZaccheausWR100094.1%61.1%52.8%3.3%0.04.5%9.00.000.0790.0002238
Britain CoveyWR     0.0%5.6%9.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00027
Julio JonesWR113020.9%33.3%23.6%3.3%3.08.3%2.00.250.0561.5001217
Dallas GoedertTE557712210.0%80.6%77.8%16.7%15.417.2%4.42.660.3203.5002956
Jack StollTE     0.0%11.1%34.7%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000425
Grant CalcaterraTE     0.0%5.6%20.8%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000215
D'Andre SwiftRB33130-13-5.9%66.7%69.4%10.0%4.312.5%-4.30.540.109-1.0002450
Kenneth GainwellRB     0.0%19.4%30.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000722

A.J. Brown (15-10-137-1) is a massive, massive supernova of a star. Dallas Goedert (5-5-77-1) has looked more like the preferred second option in recent weeks and added a touchdown in Week 7, while DeVonta Smith (5-4-49) has put together a bunch of middling performances. Still, the offense is highly concentrated (84% of targets in Week 7 between Brown, Smith, and Goedert) and Smith represents a buy-low opportunity for fantasy managers because of that.

D’Andre Swift (15-62; 3-3-13; 69% snaps) keeps on chugging along but loses a touchdown to Jalen Hurts and the “Brotherly Shove” each week. Even Kenneth Gainwell (8-16-1) got into the end zone, so a bad runout but Swift is the clear breadwinner here in Philadelphia.

Julio Jones (1-1-3) made his Eagles’ debut but rotated in on 33% of routes. Likely not a fantasy-relevant factor going forward, but cool to see Jones added here to the Ea 

Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith

Start ‘Em: D’Andre Swift, Dallas Goedert 

Keep Them Rostered: N/A

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Diontae JohnsonWR657905928.8%85.7%67.2%26.1%13.225.0%9.83.290.5931.3392439
George PickensWR85107013163.9%100.0%89.7%34.8%13.428.6%16.43.820.9690.8172852
Allen RobinsonWR117073.4%53.6%63.8%4.3%7.06.7%7.00.470.0891.0001537
Calvin AustinWR     0.0%17.9%12.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00057
Darnell WashingtonTE     0.0%21.4%53.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000631
Rodney WilliamsTE     0.0%14.3%19.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000411
Najee HarrisRB33150-12-5.9%35.7%56.9%13.0%5.030.0%-4.01.500.155-1.2501033
Jaylen WarrenRB21-10-5-2.4%17.9%48.3%8.7%-0.540.0%-2.5-0.200.1130.200528
Connor HeywardFB322302512.2%96.4%86.2%13.0%7.711.1%8.30.850.2810.9202750

Only 25 pass attempts for the Steelers, who scored 14 points in the fourth quarter to steal a win from the Rams in the afternoon window of Week 7. Diontae Johnson (6-5-79) returned to his first action since Week 1 with a solid line on 86% routes, but it’s looking like we got a “flippening” here with George Pickens (8-5-107) as the WR1 for Pittsburgh. He’s had a few huge games without Johnson in the lineup, but having Johnson back can only help the offense from a top-down perspective. Pickens is clearly the more prolific downfield option here in the Steelers' passing game, so those two have flipped considerably for me going forward in 2023.

Both Najee Harris (14-53; 3-3-15) and Jaylen Warren (6-32-1; 2-1-(-1)) saw touchdowns against the Rams, but despite Warren being the better option in the receiving game amongst the running backs, he saw only 18% of routes out of the bye. Perhaps a blip, but it wouldn’t shock me if he had to work his way back up for some inexplicable reason.

With Pat Freiermuth hitting IR for his hamstring injury, Connor Heyward (3-2-23) saw a whopping 97% of routes, but he’s only a speculative add and not one with much upside. I’m not spending anything to get him on rosters, but he is on the field a ton and over Darnell Washington (no stats; 21% routes)

Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: George Pickens

Start ‘Em: Diontae Johnson

Keep Them Rostered: Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren, Kenny Pickett (deeper 12 & 14-team), Pat Freiermuth (placed on IR - hamstring)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

San Francisco 49ers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Brandon AiyukWR655705221.6%100.0%98.1%20.7%9.518.2%8.71.730.4611.0963352
Jauan JenningsWR955407029.0%78.8%73.6%31.0%6.034.6%7.82.080.6690.7712639
Ray-Ray McCloudWR322003414.1%42.4%35.8%10.3%6.721.4%11.31.430.2540.5881419
Chris ConleyWR     0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00001
George KittleTE757808635.7%84.8%96.2%24.1%11.125.0%12.32.790.6120.9072851
Charlie WoernerTE     0.0%9.1%39.6%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000321
Ross DwelleyTE1112000.0%6.1%5.7%3.4%12.050.0%0.06.000.0520.00023
Christian McCaffreyRB33511-1-0.4%84.8%100.0%10.3%17.010.7%-0.31.820.152-51.0002853
Elijah MitchellRB     0.0%9.1%7.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00034
Kyle JuszczykFB     0.0%39.4%41.5%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.0001322

You can set your watch to Christian McCaffrey (15-45-1; 3-3-51-1) scoring a touchdown each week, but he got two on Monday night while fighting through his oblique injury. He’s an iron man, as he played 100% of snaps despite being hampered.

Brock Purdy reported concussion symptoms on the plane back to San Francisco after the game, so he’s likely out in Week 8, which would set the 49ers back even further. They already were without Deebo Samuel on Monday night and got solid, not spectacular games from Brandon Aiyuk (6-5-57) and George Kittle (7-5-78). Jauan Jennings (9-5-54) led the 49ers in targets, which isn’t going to be a regular thing whatsoever.

Week 7 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Christian McCaffrey (left Week 6 - oblique/rib), Brandon Aiyuk

Start ‘Em: Deebo Samuel (left Week 6 - shoulder), George Kittle, Brock Purdy

Keep Them Rostered: Jordan Mason (deeper 12 & 14-team), Elijah Mitchell (missed Week 4-6 - knee)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Seattle Seahawks

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Tyler LockettWR543805928.6%82.1%69.5%22.7%7.621.7%11.81.650.5410.6442341
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR746317034.0%85.7%66.1%31.8%9.029.2%10.02.630.7150.9002439
Jake BoboWR546116732.5%85.7%76.3%22.7%12.220.8%13.42.540.5690.9102445
Cody ThompsonWR     0.0%3.6%5.1%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00013
Easop WinstonWR     0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00002
Noah FantTE112502512.1%60.7%61.0%4.5%25.05.9%25.01.470.1531.0001736
Will DisslyTE     0.0%32.1%54.2%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000932
Brady RussellTE     0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00002
Kenneth WalkerRB3260-10-4.9%60.7%79.7%13.6%2.017.6%-3.30.350.171-0.6001747
DeeJay DallasRB1100-5-2.4%28.6%22.0%4.5%0.012.5%-5.00.000.0510.000813
SaRodorick ThompsonRB     0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00002
Nick BelloreFB     0.0%0.0%3.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00002

It’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba (7-4-63-1) season. Let’s GO. We ball!

With JSN’s 10-yard aDOT and 86% routes (80% for a second-straight week), it wasn’t really directly correlated to DK Metcalf being out, as Jake Bobo (5-4-61-1; 86% routes) was essentially the one-for-one replacement in terms of role and routes. This likely would have happened if Metcalf was in, so we can take this to the bank here. The post-bye utilization bump hits for another rookie wide receiver, and now, we’ve got some serious momentum. Of course, Tyler Lockett (5-4-38) is involved, but his Week 7  was rather modest on a day Seattle had just 24 pass attempts.

Seeing a season-high in snaps, Kenneth Walker (26-105; 3-2-6) was a true bellcow without Zach Charbonnet taking some work here and there. 

Week 7 Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: DK Metcalf (missed Week 7 - ribs), Tyler Lockett, Kenneth Walker

Start ‘Em: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Keep Them Rostered: Geno Smith, Zach Charbonnet (missed Week 7 - hamstring; deeper 12 & 14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Mike EvansWR868218728.5%78.3%78.1%19.5%10.322.2%10.92.280.4920.9433657
Chris GodwinWR1266609731.8%82.6%69.9%29.3%5.531.6%8.11.740.6620.6803851
Trey PalmerWR215072.3%67.4%64.4%4.9%2.56.5%3.50.160.0890.7143147
Deven ThompkinsWR3314000.0%28.3%26.0%7.3%4.723.1%0.01.080.1100.0001319
Rakim JarrettWR20006320.7%17.4%28.8%4.9%0.025.0%31.50.000.2180.000821
Cade OttonTE654304213.8%82.6%95.9%14.6%7.215.8%7.01.130.3161.0243870
Ko KieftTE     0.0%4.3%16.4%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000212
Payne DurhamTE100051.6%15.2%20.5%2.4%0.014.3%5.00.000.0480.000715
Rachaad WhiteRB6665020.7%80.4%75.3%14.6%10.816.2%0.31.760.22432.5003755
Ke'Shawn VaughnRB100020.7%15.2%24.7%2.4%0.014.3%2.00.000.0410.000718

Mike Evans (8-6-82-1) continues to defy logic, space, and time with his production with Baker Mayfield. I’ll admit I was wrong here on a macro, season-long level here. Evans is crushing with four touchdowns and 4-of-6 games with eight or more targets. Chris Godwin (12-6-66) led the team in targets but was a bit more inefficient than Evans was on half the aDOT (5.5 for Godwin, 10.3 for Evans). 

Rachaad White’s (13-34; 6-6-65) inefficient rushing journey also continues as week by week; he’s profiling as not quite as good as a James White, but somebody that should be used to catch passes. He’s J.D. McKissic adjacent. When the Buccanneers bring in another running back next season, that could be something to watch if White were to hop into a similar role, as his receiving work has always been pretty good, but the rushing component hasn’t always come along for the ride. Perhaps a returning Chase Edmonds from IR could lessen the rushing workload of White? He’s probably better than Ke’Shawn Vaughn (4-7; 1-0-0), though that’s not exactly the highest of bars to clear.

Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: Mike Evans

Start ‘Em: Chris Godwin

Keep Them Rostered: Rachaad WhiteCade Otton (deep 12 & 14-team), Trey Palmer (14-team), Baker Mayfield (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Tennessee Titans

BYE WEEK

Week 7 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: DeAndre Hopkins

Start ‘Em: Derrick Henry

Keep Them Rostered: Tyjae SpearsChigoziem Okonkwo (deeper 12 & 14-team), Treylon Burks (missed Week 4-6 - knee; back to practice for a Week 8 return?)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Washington Commanders

NamePosTargetsRec.Rec. YardsTDAir YardsAir Yards %Route %Snap %Target Share %Yards per TargetTPRRaDOTYPRRWOPRRACRPlayer RoutesPlayer Snaps
Terry McLaurinWR9690010937.6%85.7%88.4%25.0%10.021.4%12.12.140.6380.8264261
Jahan DotsonWR854307525.9%85.7%84.1%22.2%5.419.0%9.41.020.5140.5734258
Curtis SamuelWR842505719.7%53.1%55.1%22.2%3.130.8%7.10.960.4710.4392638
Dyami BrownWR     0.0%18.4%15.9%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000911
Byron PringleWR11160165.5%6.1%5.8%2.8%16.033.3%16.05.330.0801.00034
Logan ThomasTE645104314.8%65.3%68.1%16.7%8.518.8%7.21.590.3541.1863247
John BatesTE100041.4%18.4%59.4%2.8%0.011.1%4.00.000.0510.000941
Cole TurnerTE     0.0%16.3%20.3%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.000814
Brian RobinsonRB1000-6-2.1%38.8%49.3%2.8%0.05.3%-6.00.000.0270.0001934
Antonio GibsonRB22240-8-2.8%38.8%37.7%5.6%12.010.5%-4.01.260.064-3.0001926
Chris RodriguezRB     0.0%2.0%13.0%0.0%0.00.0%0.00.000.0000.00019

The typically condensed targets that head to the Commanders’ pass-catchers were more of the same in Week 7, despite just one touchdown (of the rushing variety) on the day. Between Terry McLaurin (9-6-90), Jahan Dotson (8-5-43), Curtis Samuel (8-4-25), and Logan Thomas (6-4-51), they accounted for 86% of Washington’s targets.

Brian Robinson’s (8-23-1) early-down rushing work was cut into a little bit by Chris Rodriguez (7-31), which is a bit concerning as Rodriguez solely ate into that portion of the running back workload and not into Antonio Gibson’s (2-7; 2-2-24) work. No matter how you slice this pie, having multiple players take slices into the pie isn’t exactly fruitful going forward; especially not when Robinson was so productive early on and his lackluster play after forced his decreased usage and the addition of Rodriguez to the equation.

Week 7 Washington Commanders Fantasy Takeaways:

Start Your Studs: N/A

Start ‘Em: Terry McLaurin

Keep Them Rostered: Brian Robinson, Logan Thomas (deeper 12 & 14-team), Antonio Gibson (deeper 12 & 14-team), Jahan Dotson (14-team), Sam Howell (14-team)

Add ‘Em: N/A

Dump ‘Em: N/A

 

Stat Credits:

Fantasy Life (All running back short down and distance, long down and distance, and two-minute snaps data)