Hello and welcome to Friday! It is Friday in November, and that means all matches are In-Season Tournament games! The best part is the games begin at 2:30 PM ET today, and there are four nationally televised games! There are ten games today in total, and several low-odds bets are being offered. The nationally televised games are the Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic, Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat at New York Knicks, and San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors

Today’s Fantasy Alarm Best Bets focuses on games away from the national spotlight. The game of the night, without question, is the Sacramento Kings at Minnesota Timberwolves with an 8:00 PM ET tip-off. There is also a bet in the Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks match, as a favorable prop at near even odds, takes center stage. The last bet is a prop bet on a team that has lost four of its last six games, including a loss to their opponent tonight. However betting on the statistical leader of a category is rarely a bad idea, and Nikola Jokic will stand and deliver. 


Bet of the Night

Minnesota Timberwolves Spread -4 (-110 at DraftKings)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are the hottest November team in the NBA. They have only lost one game this month, and have not lost a game at home all season. They are also in first place in the Western Conference. The Target Center does not welcome opponents with arms wide open. In fact, they haven’t allowed a game to be within four points at the Target Center this year. The first place Boston Celtics have been the closest to striking a victory, and they lost by five. 

The bookies algorithm does not account for how great the Timberwolves are playing, and truthfully these home games are generally over before the fourth quarter begins. Sacramento is a worthy opponent, and both of these teams are 2-0 in West Group C, but Minnesota can clinch a spot in the In-Season Tournament with a win tonight. Trust the best defensive team to keep doing their thing, look for Rudy Gobert to shut down Domantas Sabonis, and look for Anthony Edwards to display that he is the best young American basketball player of this decade. 

Prop Bets of the Night

Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 12.5 Rebounds (-110 at BetMGM) 

Giannis The Great has been just that, great. The Milwaukee Bucks have been playing in better rhythm as of late, and it’s been rewarded with wins in five of their last six games. G. Antetokounmpo has recorded 13 or more rebounds in his last three games, including at Washington less than a week ago. He has also played thirty-three or more minutes in the last three games, giving him enough time to cover the high rebounding lines. Giannis is aggressive on the floor too, he has an aggressive mindset to his game right now.  

It was not there at the beginning of the season, and perhaps that was because of new teammate Damian Lillard. Either way, this prop should not be this low, as the Washington Wizards allow the most rebounds in the NBA, averaging 58.7 rebounds per game. The Wizards seem as though they are already in the month of May and have given up on the season. That is the only concern for this line, that it will become a complete blowout and Giannis gets pulled early. Expect G. Antetokounmpo to start fast, for if the Bucks win this game they will be 3-0 during the In-Season Tournament. 

Nikola Jokic OVER 12.5  Rebounds (-150 at BetMGM)

Yes another rebounding prop, but this one does not have as favorable odds. Not to worry as Fantasy Alarm is about being a profitable bettor, not a risky bettor. The Denver Nuggets have been falling apart late in the fourth quarter, and it is apparent that Jamal Murray is the closer of this team. However, the Nuggets do not have to win this game for this prop to hit, in fact, it is probably better served that this game is close, and it will be. 

The Houston Rockets are a tough, young, and well-coached team. The Rockets destroyed the Nuggets in their previous meeting on November 12th, and the Nuggets are looking gassed on this two-week road trip. However, Nikola Jokic is the leading rebounder in the NBA… the best. He makes it look effortless, and if the Rockets have a bad shooting night, Nikola Jokic will cover this easily. He earned 21 in their previous meeting and Houston’s starting center, Alperen Sengun plays several offensive minutes outside of the paint. N. Jokic should have a great game, and if the Nuggets lose this, they will be officially out of the In-Season Tournament… Expect great effort from their captain, and expect him to cover this prop.

Remember to check out Fantasy Alarm for all your NBA fantasy needs. Basketball stats, rankings, DFS picks, tools to help your lineups, and of course the NBA DFS show with Jon and James.

Thank you for reading.
Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy


*All Bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise