Last week I mentioned I was at the DFS Players Conference in New York City. This week I thought I’d give a real brief review of what I learned. It’s important to keep in mind that while I take my gameplay seriously, I’m not doing it for a living and am not all that concerned about my return on investment – at least not to the point my focus leans away from writing. To be honest, I’m looking at how to be more efficient with my research so that I can develop a plan that meshes with my work week and also allows me to build a solid bankroll. Don’t get me wrong, I’m ahead. But if you look at it in terms of time invested and money won, I probably should have just applied at the local convenient store and ran the register.
1. My player evaluation skills are fine for both baseball and football. Where I lack is…
2. Bankroll management. I need to track my record on the different games on the different sites and design a plan to maximize my skills. Once I have a handle on this, I need to be better at…
3. Game selection. Presently, I pay no heed to the rake or overlay. I just find an open game and enter a lineup. Which segues into…
4. I need to play more head-to-head contests as presently, my focus is on 50/50s and double-ups. Along those lines, I need to be smart about when I pick up games (and who I pick up) as well as tactical about the H2H games I initiate.
5. Perhaps the single most important lesson was to put my best cash game lineup into tournaments. I rarely do this and it’s a mistake. The idea isn’t that the lineup will take down a tourney, but if I truly am adept at designing strong cash lineups, they should finish above the money line and cash enough in tourneys to add to my bankroll and help my ROI.
On a personal note, much of what I allude to above are skills that are underappreciated or simply ignored by those naïve to the nuances of DFS. There’s a whole lot of misinformed people spreading misinformation out there, a lot of which is on social media. Once the public is educated in this regard, hopefully some of the garbage being spewed will subside. OK, I’ve already said more than I intended on this, it’s time to reveal my favorite cash plays for Week 11. For what it’s worth (I’m about to jinx myself), this is looking my favorite week of the season so far to find great plays, especially on DraftKings.
KEY:
| ARP | Average Ranking by Position |
| StDev | Standard Deviation from ARP |
| Rank | Rank from ARP |
| DFS Rank | Rank from DFS Salary |
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR FANDUEL CASH GAMES
| Quarterback | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Carson Palmer | 4.8 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5 | 8200 | Lots of weapons and uses them all |
| Derek Carr | 5.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9 | 7700 | Getting better before our eyes |
| Matthew Stafford | 8.4 | 2.3 | 9 | 14 | 7000 | Game script suggests lots of scoring |
| Mark Sanchez | 13.2 | 4.1 | 13 | 20 | 6400 | Could be better tourney play |
| Alex Smith | 15.2 | 3.3 | 15 | 22 | 6200 | High floor, low ceiling but good ROI |
| Running Back | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Devonta Freeman | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 9100 | Refreshed after bye |
| Adrian Peterson | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 3 | 8900 | Watch injury reports for hammy update |
| Charcandrick West | 4.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 10 | 7100 | Favorite play of the week |
| Jonathan Stewart | 8.4 | 3.6 | 8 | 11 | 7000 | Ground and pound all day long |
| Latavius Murray | 11.0 | 1.9 | 11 | 14 | 6800 | Great matchup |
| Doug Martin | 13.2 | 3.7 | 14 | 17.5 | 6600 | Facing Eagles means volume |
| Wide Receiver | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Mike Evans | 4.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 6 | 8000 | Physical edge should lead to big day |
| Larry Fitzgerald | 7.6 | 2.6 | 7 | 11 | 7400 | So fun to watch work the middle |
| Amari Cooper | 7.0 | 2.3 | 6 | 13 | 7200 | Looks like a veteran |
| Randall Cobb | 12.8 | 4.3 | 11 | 15 | 7100 | Rodgers looking to rebound |
| Michael Crabtree | 13.6 | 4.9 | 12 | 21 | 6500 | Don't pair with Cooper in cash but nice stack in GPP |
| Jordan Matthews | 20.2 | 3.6 | 19 | 24.5 | 6300 | Had some chemistry with Mark Sanchez last season |
| Danny Amendola | 17.4 | 5.2 | 16 | 28 | 6100 | Second-favorite play of the week |
| Stevie Johnson | 21.8 | 5.5 | 23 | 37.5 | 5600 | Philip Rivers has to throw to someone |
| Tight End | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Travis Kelce | 4.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7 | 5700 | Could be a huge game |
| Jacob Tamme | 12.0 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 12 | 5300 | Great matchup |
| Martellus Bennett | 8.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 15 | 5200 | Denver soft on tight ends |
| Kyle Rudolph | 19.0 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 31 | 4700 | Best punt play on the board |
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR DRAFTKINGS CASH GAMES
| Quarterback | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Carson Palmer | 4.8 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6 | 6700 | Lots of weapons and uses them all |
| Derek Carr | 5.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | 6300 | Getting better before our eyes |
| Matthew Stafford | 8.4 | 2.3 | 9 | 12 | 5400 | Game script suggests lots of scoring |
| Tyrod Taylor | 12.0 | 0.7 | 11 | 15 | 5200 | Pats likely take LeSean McCoy away and make Taylor beat them |
| Mark Sanchez | 13.2 | 4.1 | 13 | 22 | 5000 | Could be better tourney play |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 15.6 | 3.3 | 16 | 22 | 5000 | Solid floor with reliable Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall |
| Running Back | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Devonta Freeman | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 8400 | Refreshed after bye |
| Adrian Peterson | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 3 | 6800 | Watch injury reports for hammy update |
| Charcandrick West | 4.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 21.5 | 4500 | Favorite play of the week |
| Jonathan Stewart | 8.4 | 3.6 | 8 | 23 | 4400 | Ground and pound all day long |
| Wide Receiver | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Mike Evans | 4.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 7300 | Physical edge should lead to big day |
| Calvin Johnson | 4.8 | 2.7 | 5 | 7.5 | 7200 | Expect tons of targets |
| Amari Cooper | 7.0 | 2.3 | 6 | 11.5 | 6800 | Looks like a veteran |
| Michael Crabtree | 13.6 | 4.9 | 12 | 16.5 | 6000 | Don't pair with Cooper in cash but nice stack in GPP |
| Eric Decker | 15.6 | 4.8 | 14 | 18 | 5800 | Chain mover that's finding the end zone too |
| Davante Adams | 21.0 | 2.2 | 21 | 30 | 4600 | Getting it in gear |
| Danny Amendola | 17.4 | 5.2 | 16 | 37.5 | 4000 | Second-favorite play of the week |
| Stevie Johnson | 21.8 | 5.5 | 23 | 39 | 3900 | Rivers has to throw to someone |
| Tight End | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Travis Kelce | 4.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9 | 4700 | Could be a huge game |
| Jordan Cameron | 19.0 | 1.9 | 17.5 | 40 | 2500 | Sure, he's disappointing but he's better than minimum salary |
| Jared Cook | 24.4 | 4.0 | 21.5 | 40 | 2500 | Better GPP play in case Case Keenum locks onto him |
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