Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. Sometimes it feels like I’m in the middle of a Dr. John song with the stolen base picks. I was in the right place, but it must’ve been the wrong guy. You know what I mean? Look at yesterday’s picks. I was in on Jordan Walker but it was Lars Nootbaar who had the day. I was back in on Brayan Rocchio and Travis Bazzana but it was Gabriel Arias, Steven Kwan and some dude named Petey Halpin who all swiped bags. It’ll click again for us. Peaks and valleys, highs and lows. So, lets get to the research and the best stolen base picks for today. 

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs  to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day and all the articles are available to you. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, July 12:

Favorite Bets: 

Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres (+291)

Things are lining up really well for Tatis to swipe his 24th base today as he takes on Kevin Gausman and the Toronto Blue Jays. Gausman has allowed 11 stolen bases this season, second-most on the slate and while I’m not a huge batter vs pitcher (BvP) data guy, Tatis is actually batting .400 against Gausman over 20 at-bats, so you know he can hit him. Tatis has a 72-percent success rate on the bases and a fantastic sprint-speed, but what I love the most is Alejandro Kirk behind the plate with his 13-percent caught-stealing rate. Let’s get it! 

Nico Hoerner, Chicago Cubs (+373)

While PCA has the best odds to steal a base, we’re going with Hoerner for our pick today. Abbott, who has allowed a slate-high 18 stolen bases this season, has a tougher time with righties and Hoerner doesn’t whiff, as evidenced by his 8.7-percent strikeout rate. He’s also got a .338 wOBA against southpaws, so you couple that up with and 82.4-percent success rate on the bases, a near-elite sprint-speed and the fact that Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson has a dreadful 18-percent caught-stealing rate on 55 attempts, we’ve got a winner here.