MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best Home Run Predictions for June 23rd, 2026
Whether it’s the Great American Ball Park, Coors Field or otherwise, it’s never a bad day to enjoy some MLB home run picks. While there are some recognizable starters on the mound like Shane McClanahan and Carlos Rodon, we certainly don’t have to deal with those lefties. Of course, some southpaws are amazing targets for MLB home run predictions, and we’ll break down so much more for you below!
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Our best MLB home run picks for today may also get you excited for more approaches to today’s 15-game slate, which is why our MLB expert picks are a must. Similarly, more targets for dingers can also be discovered courtesy of our MLB home run prop tool. As for the ones that we feel are the best MLB home run picks for today…
- Pete Alonso: +303 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Wilyer Abreu: +400 at bet365 Sportsbook
- Sal Stewart: +414 at Novig Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/23: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
As promised, it’s more than just noting righties and lefties when it comes to locking in the top MLB home run predictions. For starters, yet another tool that we have for you is our MLB weather report. Beyond that, we’ve done the work in terms of diving into more nuanced metrics like hitter barrel rates and hard-hit rates, pitcher splits and pitch-type performances, and more. You’ll see some of that “more” below as we fully break down our best MLB home run picks for today.
Pete Alonso (+303)
The Baltimore Orioles have enjoyed their time out west with wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels by a combined score of 18-1 over the past two nights alone. With the Angels starting Ryan Johnson tonight, Baltimore is again set up for success. The righty couldn’t be better for multiple MLB home run picks to cash in at Angel Stadium.
Both lefties and righties absolutely smash him - they have .714 and .542 slugging percentages, respectively, over his career. As for this year specifically, it’s righties that have a colossal .786 slugging, and with the underlying numbers like his average exit velocities, expected slugging, barrel rate and more, we absolutely have to add Pete Alonso hitting a HR (+303 at DraftKings) to our best MLB home run picks for today.
Wilyer Abreu (+400)
Ryan Johnson was an easy target to pick on, and there is another one in Colorado tonight. There was shockingly not a single home run hit at Coors Field in a low-scoring affair, and while the Boston Red Sox lineup isn’t the most feared, the matchup is too good to pass up for MLB home run picks. Rockies lefty Sean Sullivan is getting his third career start.
He allowed two homers in his most recent outing, and this will be his first-ever start at home in Coors Field. Like Johnson above, both lefties and righties have smoked him - .667 and .727 slugging, respectively. We’re going with the lefty on lefty crime with the right fielder hitting .383 against southpaws this season and .333 over the past month.
Look out for Willson Contreras after not cashing last night, but we’ll lock in Wilyer Abreu hitting a HR (+400 at bet365) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today.
Sal Stewart (+414)
With the Milwaukee Brewers making Brady Singer look like a Cy Young candidate last night, you already know that their entire lineup will be going yard tonight. Thankfully, the Great American Ball Park is great for both teams, which is why we’ll swap to the Cincinnati lineup. The Reds will be taking on Brandon Sproat for some MLB home run picks.
The righty looks like he may have to deal with the return of Elly De La Cruz, but to be safe and until we see how he looks first, we’ll make this a true righty on righty crime. That’s also the approach when it comes to attacking Sproat, as he throws his curveball at a lower rate to righties, hence why he’s allowed more homers to them with fewer batters faced.
Even if Elly goes yard as well, the environment can also help us cash in with our best MLB home run picks for today, with Sal Stewart hitting a HR (+414 at Novig).
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
With those top three targets under your belt, how about an even juicier payout? We can enjoy just that by adding to our best MLB home run picks for today above with a nice longshot…
By no means can we say that this lefty is known for mashing, but with the matchup against the aforementioned Sullivan and Coors Field in play, it’s a fantastic combo for an MLB home run longshot pick!
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
Ok, now we’re just as tempted as you given those awesome odds. Let’s go beyond both our best MLB home run picks for today AND that longshot with a for-fun parlay…
While that’s our best MLB home run parlay for today, you can also just snag one of those names out of it as an individual play for you if it looks good. Just be sure to capitalize on anything and everything above to make it as valuable a slate as possible!
