We’re back - we’re back to going for three straight days cashing MLB home run picks after Nick Kurtz and Brandon Lowe hit round-trippers the past two nights. Also, don’t look now, but the Wednesday MLB slate is already about to start! That’s because we’ve got very early afternoon games, and with several of them, there is no time to waste locking in some MLB home run picks. Aces like Shane McClanahan and Shohei Ohtani (in the same game!) may hinder some spots, but there is no shortage of targets today. As always, we’ve also got a longshot and a HR parlay to pair with our top MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

While we know that you’re here for MLB home run picks, it never hurts to check out our MLB expert picks for even more markets to target. As for dingers specifically, our new MLB home run prop tool is also here to help you find even more guys to roll with beyond the ones you’ll see below…

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/17: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Time and time again, we’ve seen how weather conditions can affect MLB home run predictions, so the first stop should always be our very own MLB weather report. We’ll be pairing those factors with some lefty/right splits, how hitters fare against specific pitch types, how bullpens are performing, and much more. So, let’s fully break down our best MLB home run picks for today!

JJ Bleday (+399)

It’s been Sutter Health Park in Sacramento that has come through for us each of the past two nights, but we’re going to get started with another location that you’ve seen us fall in love with - the Great American Ball Park. The Cincinnati Reds had both Sal Stewart and Spencer Steer go yard last night, while the New York Mets cashed MLB home run picks with Mark Vientos.

Soto has a lefty vs. lefty matchup and will almost certainly hit one over the fence after not doing so last night, but we’ll go with another lefty that has also cashed for us. While it’s a name that you’ve seen a few times, the former A’s hitter has treated us well. He hits righty sinkers well, which is exactly what he’s going to see with Mets starter Nolan McLean.

Perhaps even more importantly, lefties have far better numbers against him. So, let’s start our best MLB home run picks for today with JJ Bleday to hit a HR (+399 at Novig).

Carter Jensen (+345)

You’re going to see that Carter Jensen has just eight homers this year, and that’s likely to cause some hesitation with this play. Fair enough. However, you’ll also see that he has the second-shortest odds to home in Washington today. In other words, the matchup is simply too juicy to pass up for MLB home run picks.

Nationals starter Zack Littell has some of the worst underlying metrics of any pitcher right now - even KC’s Luinder Avila, who allowed eight runs in less than an inning last time out! That speaks volumes itself, and we’re going with the catcher rather than Bobby Witt, Jr. due to Littell’s struggles against southpaws.

Lefties are obliterating him to the tune of a .601 slugging percentage courtesy of 13 homers. It’s not the name that will be on a ton of fans’ radar, but we’re adding to our top MLB home run picks today with Carter Jensen hitting a HR (+345 at FanDuel).

Wilyer Abreu (+365)

We know that everyone is going to want a target in Sacramento, and if that’s you, then you’ll see one that you can pluck out of our HR parlay for today coming up. As for who made the cut for our top three, our eyes are on a guy that we haven’t targeted all season. He’s on the menu of our best MLB home run picks for today with Toronto starting Max Scherzer.

Last time out, we backed the Philadelphia Phillies team total in the first five innings and cashed with ease. The aging righty is getting absolutely shelled right now by righties, lefties, switch-hitters, and maybe even minor leaguers if we threw them out there. After Jarren Duran’s homer last night, we’re back on another lefty.

Let’s get the southpaw to pull one to avoid the Green Monster and cash one of our MLB home run picks by locking in Wilyer Abreu to hit a HR (+365 at BetMGM).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Our top three targets are always followed by an extreme value play. So, here is our best MLB home run longshot pick for today…

We’ve been cashing HRR props with this Miami Marlin all season, and the one time we targeted him as our longshot, he homered the NEXT day. That came against Andrew Painter, whom he’ll be facing today. He’s still a contact hitter, but we’re going to lock him in as our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

The longball action always wraps up with the biggest potential payout yet. That would be with our best MLB home run parlay for today…

Given that we switched things up, you now have seven different names to really make the most of an all-day slate! Lock in some or all of our MLB home run picks however you feel most comfortable!