It’s hard to believe that it’s already the final week of July, but thankfully, we’re here to help you enjoy it with our best MLB home run picks for today, especially since we cashed our +900 longshot last night with an Anthony Seigler leadoff homer! The Saturday slate features a few afternoon games as well, and that includes some young arms we may want to target like Mitch Bratt and Ryan Johnson. Of course, there are some aces like Dylan Cease and Paul Skenes toeing the rubber as well. Don’t worry, we’ll break down the top targets for you as we dive into our best MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Along with the names above, studs like Yoshinobu Yamamoto are also on the mound, so you’ll want to go beyond our top MLB home run picks with our MLB expert picks. While we may not have Coors Field or a windy Wrigley Field on the menu this weekend, that doesn’t mean that there aren’t several spots worth targeting. We say that to note that you can add to our MLB home run predictions with our exclusive MLB home run prop tool as well!

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/25: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

We just noted that there’s no windy Wrigley Field action this weekend, but that certainly isn’t the only ballpark that affects MLB home run picks with its conditions. That’s why our MLB weather report is a must, and after all, the other Chicago team is at home! Rain has also been a factor in the northeast more recently than not, so always stay up to date with yet another one of our tools.

Beyond weather, the pitchers and hitters themselves also determine our targets for MLB home run predictions. We’ll want to avoid the aces like Dylan Cease while attacking the guys struggling like Ryan Feltner, not to mention favorable bullpens for the longball (like Washington). As we break down our top MLB home run picks, you’ll also see all types of hitting metrics from slugging percentages to hard-hit rates and everything in between!

Garrett Mitchell (+488)

To lead things off, we’re going back to the Rockies vs. Brewers game. Admittedly, we had Jake Bauers yesterday, while it was fellow lefties Christian Yelich and Brice Turang (who you could have taken from our parlay) that went yard. Consider any of that trio again for MLB home run picks, as Colorado is starting Ryan Feltner.

We love picking on him almost as much as Tomoyuki Sugano, and of course, we also have the poor Rockies bullpen to enjoy. Feltner doesn’t have drastic splits in terms of righties vs. lefties, so we’re going to hop on this value rather than the guys with shorter odds. After all, the centerfielder has average exit velocities (93rd percentile), barrel rate (89th) and hard-hit-rates (88th) that we love.

It’s more lefty love (Jackson Chourio for a righty), but we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Garrett Mitchell to hit a HR (+488 at Novig).

Kyle Schwarber (+255)

Now comes our chalk pick of the trio, which is featuring the marquee series of Yankees vs. Phillies. We saw a heck of a pitcher’s duel last night with Cam Schlittler’s 12 K’s and Jesus Luzardo’s nine K’s (that cashed a best bet for us), leading to a 1-0 game. Well, we expect a game with more fireworks today, and therefore, MLB home run picks.

Schwarber lost his league lead thanks to Yordan Alvarez, and both guys are always live to go yard. We’re taking this while we’re getting a reasonable price rather than one in the +100’s, and that’s with New York starting Ryan Weathers. Sure, it’s a lefty, but Schwarber actually has a .507 slugging vs. southpaws since June 1.

Weathers also throws his off-speed stuff to righties, so high exit velocities are on the menu against fellow lefties. So, let’s add to our top MLB home run picks today with Kyle Schwarber hitting a HR (+255 at BetMGM).

Shea Langeliers (+365)

Another lefty starter that we’re going to pick on is in Minnesota. Well, at least the Twins look like they could start Connor Prielipp, who has been off the mound since July 8. That would be great news for the A’s catcher, as he needs to carry the team’s lineup void of Nick Kurtz, but even if it’s not Prielipp, we’re still adding Shea to our best MLB home run picks for today.

That’s because Minnesota also has the league’s fourth-worst bullpen ERA, which is also great news if Prielipp or whoever gets the start isn’t able to go deep in this game. They haven’t allowed as many homers as the Nats bullpen, but we’re talking about a hitter with a ridiculous expected slugging of .517 - good for a 95th percentile mark.

Along with his 93rd percentile barrel rate of 15.1%, we love adding to our top MLB home run picks today with Shea Langeliers to hit a HR (+365 at Caesars).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

As if adding to our top MLB home run picks with a bonus newsletter pick wasn’t enough, how about a longshot? Remember, we cashed yesterday’s with Anthony Seigler at +900, and here’s our favorite one on today’s loaded board.

That’s right - we’ve got a clean-up hitter as our longshot! Also, if you consider around +650 a longshot, then lock in the leadoff man instead, Otto Lopez. The pair of middle infielders get to face JP Sears today, which is great for the switch hitter to prove why he gets such a premier spot in the lineup. Let’s cash back-to-back MLB home run longshot pick, this time, with an even higher potential payout!

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

We never run out of approaches to share with you! Rather than relying on an unlikely guy to come through for a big potential payout, let’s trust some guys that are known for MLB home run picks.

Of course, this means that we’ll need each of those guys to come through, but as you can see, it’s the biggest potential payout yet! Use this for-fun parlay however you see fit so that you can enjoy the best MLB home run picks for today!