Fifty games have been decided by seven or fewer points through six weeks, tied for the most in history (1999).
Thirty-four of the previous 36 teams to go 6-0 made the playoffs while 82.4 percent of the last 91 teams to go 5-1 have made it.
Seven games have been won when they entered the 4th quarter trailing by 10 or more points, tied for the second most through six weeks (there were eight such games in 1999).
Here's a link to the Fantasy Alarm WEEKLY PLAYER RANKINGS.
Here’s a link to the DFS NFL PLAYBOOK PRO.
** Game recaps are from NFL Media.
** All times listed are EDT.
*** All references to points are in regards to a PPR setup.
BYE WEEK: Carolina, Dallas
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Sam Shields (concussion) is on the I.R. Packers HC Mike McCarthy said that Damarious Randall (groin) and Quinten Rollins (groin) will not be unavailable this week. That’s the top-3 corners of the Packers being unavailable.
Ka’Deem Carey is still missing practice time with a hamstring issue, but he is fully expected to play. He had his first solid game this season last week with nine carries for 50 yards. He saw 31 snaps last week to 55 for Howard.
Jay Cutler continues to sit with his hand issue. Brian Hoyer has thrown for 300-yards without an interception in 4-straight games. Hoyer has also thrown the ball 92 times the last two weeks, behind only Joe Flacco, in all of football.
Alshon Jeffery went for seven grabs and 90 yards in the last meeting. He caught 7-of-13 passes last week for 93 yards. He still hasn’t score this season but has gone for at least 5-75 the last two games.
Jordan Howard has run for 100 yards in 2-of-3 games and he scored last week. He’s also averaged 112 yards from scrimmage in those three starts. The Packers looked terrible against Dallas last week on the ground, but they have still allowed only one rushing score and 72.4 yards a game on the ground.
Cameron Meredith has seen a massive 27 targets the last two weeks. He’s caught 20 balls for 243 yards and a score. The Packers are ranked 3rd from the bottom in pass coverage according to PFF and everyone is hurt.
Zach Miller, and Greg Olsen, are the only two tight ends in football with 30 catches and no drops. Miller scored in the last matchup. Miller is also the third most targeted tight end in football the last four weeks (30 targets).
Eddie Royal has been ruled out with the toe injury he suffered last week.
Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams has scored in 2/3 games at home. However, he was missing practice early in the week and is suffering from a concussion putting his availability in the uncertain column this week. He has one game this season with more than three catches and 50 yards.
Randall Cobb scored last week and he has six touchdowns his last five games against the Bears. He has seen 22 targets the last two games catching 16 passes for 161 yards.
Eddie Lacy (ankle) won’t play this week. Lacy has four runs of 15+ yards, the same total as DeMarco Murray. He also leads PFF in Elusive Rating. Lacy also has 5.1 YPC, the same mark as Ezekiel Elliott. James Starks is out after having knee surgery and the Packers brought in Knile Davis to support Lacy this week in a deal with the Chiefs. Lacy ran for 105 yards in the last matchup. The Packers will use the recently signed Davis, will likely promote Don Jackson from the practice squad, and then Cobb/Montgomery out of the backfield as well. The Bears are allowing the 8th fewest points a week to runners.
Ty Montgomery caught all 10 of his targets last week. He also carried the ball three times and figures to see more time out of the backfield this week as well. He’s shaping up as a WR3 option this week. See this VIDEO.
Jordy Nelson is tied for the NFL season with five scores, he’s scored four times in the last three matchups, but he’s also on pace to fall short of 1,000 yards this season. All five scores are inside the red zone with four inside the 10. See this Daily Dive Video.
SUNDAY OCTOBER 23, 2016
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams (London)
New York Giants
Victor Cruz hasn’t scored in five games. He has just three grabs for 31 yards the last two weeks.
Larry Donnell returned from concussion last week to catch six passes for 34 yards. He still hasn’t scored this season or reached 35 yards. Will Tye hasn’t scored this season though he has hit 35-yards in 2/3 games.
Rashaad Jennings (thumb) is finally healthy. Pretty much. He only touched the ball 13 times in his first game back, though he did catch four passes. The Rams are allowing 4.2 YPC and 116 yards a game on the ground (five rushing scores).
Eli Manning has averaged 41 pass attempts his last five games. In that time he has thrown for at least 350-yards three times. The Rams are allowing 246 passing yards a week and have permitted 11 passing scores with only four picks.
Paul Perkins has six carries this season. Orleans Darkwa didn’t play a snap last week. Bobby Rainey has 15 receptions the last three games, but he only caught two passes last week in the return of Jennings.
Sterling Shepard has caught four passes in in 4/5 games. He hasn’t scored in three games and has produced a total of 69 yards in those three games.
Los Angeles Rams
Tayvon Austin has one receiving score and no rushing scores this season. He’s yet to run for 30 yards. He’s had one game of 60 receiving yards. Even with his QB throwing for 300+ yards last week he caught three passes for 24 yards.
Kenny Britt went 7-136-2 last week. Those were his first two scores this season. He’s caught at least four passes each game and through six outings his average effort is 5-82-0.33.
Todd Gurley has 100 percent of the carries inside the five-yard line for the Rams. He has scored three times in four games. Gurley has averaged four receptions a game the last three outings with an average of 41 yards a contest to augment his rushing game.
Lance Kendricks scored last week, his first of the season. He’s failed to reach 35-yards in ¾ games. The Giants have allowed one score to tight ends this season.
Case Keenum completed 19-straight passes at one-point last week on his way to 321 yards and three scores. He has posted a QB Rating of 100 in 2/3 games. He’s not that guy though as he entered the game with four passing scores in five games. The Giants have only picked off two passes but they have also allowed just six passing scores.
Brian Quick has scored three times in four games. He’s also gone over 50-yards in 4-straight games. He’s only caught more than three passes once in that time; five last week.
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Gary Barnidge hasn’t scored this season. He’s been on the field for 99 percent of the snaps and he is tied for 6th at the position in targets. The Bengals are allowing the 7th most points to ends including four scores in six games.
Isaiah Crowell has produced 265 yards from scrimmage in his last three in the division. He has six rushing scores his last 10 games but just one in four games. However, he has carried the ball 22 times the last two weeks for a mere 38 yards. The Bengals allow 4.2 YPC and 108 yards a game.
Duke Johnson had a TD catch in the last matchup. He had a rushing score last week. He has 85 grabs since the start of last season, the 4th most by a RB, and he’s caught at least four passes in 4/5 games. The Bengals have allowed the 6th most receptions to runners.
Cody Kessler will take on the Bengals who are allowing the 7th most points a week to QBs. He threw for 336 yards and two scores last game. In four outings that was his first game with more than one score. This was also his first game with more than 245 passing yards. He hasn’t beat himself with just one pick in four games. The Bengals have allowed 14 passing scores, second most in football.
Terrelle Pryor scored twice last week. He also picked up a hamstring issue that is being monitored, and he is not practicing early in the week. Pryor has produced four scores and 94.3 yards from scrimmage on average his last three games on the road. The Bengals are allowing the 6th fewest points a week to wideouts.
Giovani Bernard has produced an average of 86 yards from scrimmage the last two games at home versus the Browns. Bernard has caught 10 passes the last two weeks. In that time he’s also carried the ball 24 times for 99 yards. The Browns have allowed the 4th fewest receptions to runners.
Tyler Boyd has caught seven balls for 112 yards the last two weeks. He’s still searching for a score and has been held to less than 35 yards in ¾ games.
Andy Dalton takes on the Browns who allow the second most points a game to quarterbacks and that includes a league worst 16 passing scores. His last two games in the matchup he’s thrown for five scores and no picks.
Tyler Eifert (back) scored three times in the last meeting. He’s not likely to play, yet again, this week even though he is back out on the practice field early in the week. Maybe he will play after all. C.J. Uzomah had nine catches in Weeks 4/5 but was held down to one last week. He hasn’t scored this season. Tyler Kroft has caught five balls for 48 yards the last two games. The Browns have allowed the most points a week to ends.
A.J. Green went 5-128-1 in the last meeting. He has scored seven times his last eight games versus the division (playoffs included). He has scored six times his last six games at home (playoffs included).
Jeremy Hill hasn’t scored in 3-straight games. He’s still scored 10 times in his last 14 games (playoffs included). Since the start of 2014 his 23 rushing scores are first in football. He has scored three times in the past three meetings. See this Daily Dive Video.
Brandon LaFell has scored three times his last two games. He didn’t score the first four games. He’s also been held to less than 50-yards in 4/5 games. He’s completely TD dependent for fantasy value. The Browns have allowed eight scores to wideouts.
Washington at Detroit Lions
Kirk Cousins went 263/2 last week though DJax dropped a TD pass that was right in his hands. Kirk has a QB Rating of 100+ in 4/5 on the road. Last week the Lions allowed Case Keenum to throw for 321 yards and three scores.
Jamison Crowder has scored once in the red zone but he’s tied for second in the league with nine red zone looks. He scored last week and has four scores in five games (one on a punt return). The last three weeks he caught eight passes for 108 yards.
Josh Doctson continues to be sidelined with his Achilles issue.
Matt Jones takes on a Lions team that has allowed just one rushing score. However, they also allow a large 4.7 YPC and 108 yards a game on the ground. Jones has run for 115 yards and a touchdown in 2/3 games, and in 4/5 he’s run for 60+ yards while scoring three times. See this Big-3 Video. Rob Kelley carried the ball five times last week for 59 yards. It was his first game of five carries or 20-yards. He’s merely a handcuff at this point.
Pierre Garcon leads the team’s wide receivers in snaps (76 percent), targets (23), red zone targets (five) and yards (172). He caught eight balls for 73 yards in the last matchup.
DeSean Jackson has seen at least seven targets in ¾ games. He has produced a mere eight receptions for 90 yards and no score this last three games (including a dropped TD last week). Detroit allows a 71.9 percent catch rate to wideouts and 9.56 yards per target, a bit number.
Jordan Reed (concussion) seems unlikely to play this week though he was going through individual drills early in the week. Vernon Davis caught two of four targets last week for 50 yards and a score. Niles Paul didn’t see a target last week. The Lions have allowed the 4th most points to tight ends. That includes seven scores.
Chris Thompson takes on the Lions who have allowed the 4th most receptions to running backs. Thompson has caught four passes in a game just one time and has carried the ball 26 times this season while catching 15 passes. He’s scored twice.
Anquan Boldin has scored eight times his last five games in the matchup. Boldin scored last week and has three scores his last five games overall. With Ebron out, Boldin has really stepped forward. He has at least six receptions in 2/3 games and is averaging six grabs a game in that time. He’s yet to top 65 yards.
Eric Ebron (ankle, knee) seems likely to miss another game. The Redskins allow the third most points a week.
Marvin Jones has scour scores his last four games including one in each of the last two games. Unfortunately, he’s only hauled in six passes for 47 yards the last two weeks as he has seen just 11 targets. The ‘Skins allow the 7th fewest points a week to wideouts.
Theo Riddick (ankle) didn’t play last week. His availability this week is unknown as of this writing. The ‘Skins are tied for 6th in most receptions allowed to runners. Dwayne Washington (ankle) could return this week after not playing last week. Justin Forsett saw 12 snaps compare to 48 for Zach Zenner. Forsett should see some more work this week now that he is familiar with the offense. Zenner and his mates face the Redskins who have allowed eight rushing scores. They are also allowing 124 yards on the ground, 5th most in football, and 5.0 YPC.
Andre Roberts scored last week. He has four receptions for 29 yards this season.
Matthew Stafford threw for 260 yards and four scores last week. He has a 130 QB Rating in 2-straight. He has a 100 QB Rating in 7/9 at home. He has seven touchdowns the last two games and he’s thrown three scores in four of six games. The Redskins are allowing the 10th fewest points a week to signal callers.
Golden Tate produced 165 yards last week. He had just 134 yards coming into the game. He saw 10 targets last week after being thrown the ball 15 times the previous three games. He has one touchdown all season and his 3.9 YAC mark is well below his 6.4 career mark.
Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars
Derek Carr has 12 scores and three picks this season, and on the road it’s six scores and one interception. He has been picked in 2-straight games and in 2/3 games he failed to reach 230 yards. The jags are allowing just 218 yards a week though signal callers are completing 65 percent of their passes while only being picked off three times.
Amari Cooper that last two games: 16 receptions, 267 yards and a score on 25 targets. He’s obviously gone for 100-yards in each of those games (more than 125 in each actually). He has just one score this season.
Michael Crabtree the last three on the road (average): seven receptions, 92 yards, one score. Crabtree has scored four times his last three games. However, he’s only caught five of 11 targets for 57 yards the last two games.
Khalil Mack has 12 sacks his last 12 games.
Latavius Murray has scored in three of four games. He’s dealing with a toe injury and might miss another game though he did return to practice early in the week which is a really good sign. In his absence last week, here are the snap counts: Jalen Richard 14, DeAndre Washington 32 and Taiwan Jones one (Jamize Olawale didn’t see a snap). The Jaguars are the ninth best run defense according to PFF and they allow the 7th fewest fantasy points. It’s a bad week to start Raiders backs.
Clive Walford has one score and has reached 30-yards one time. The Jags have allowed one score to tight ends this season.
Blake Bortles has eight scores to seven picks. He’s also fumbled the ball twice. He has thrown just one pick the last two games, but he’s also failed to reach 210 passing yards in 2/3 games. The Raiders allow the 5th most points a game to quarterbacks.
Allen Hurns caught 5-of-11 passes last week for 74 yards. That’s 74 yards or a score the last two games. He has scored 11 times his last 18 games. The Raiders have allowed the most receiving yards to wideouts this season in football.
Chris Ivory is the goaline back for the Jaguars (he scored last week). He had 13 touches last week while T.J. Yeldon had seven. This Yeldon talk as the lead dog stuff is foolish. Yeldon is averaging 3.3 YPC this season, and just one has he reached 40 rushing yards. Once. He hasn’t scored in four games. Ivory is averaging a terrible 2.4 YPC, the o-line hasn’t helped each back at all, but he is the goaline back who scored last week. The Raiders are dreadful against the run as they allow 4.8 YPC, 132 yards a game and have permitted seven rushing scores.
Marqise Lee has seen 25 targets the last four games, and at least six each game. He’s caught 20 passes the last four games as well. He hasn’t scored yet.
Allen Robinson has scored 15 times in 17 games including three the last three games. He has 10 scores his last 10 games at home. Despite all the scoring, Robinson has yet to reach 75-yards in a game and he’s been under 60-yards in each of his last four games.
Julius Thomas has scored three times his last four games against the Raiders. He’s gone three games without a score this season, and his last two games he’s caught four passes for 41 yards. He’s always hurt, and rarely productive.
New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans Saints
Drew Brees threw for 465 and four last week. He has seven passing scores inside the 10-yard line, tops in the NFC. Four times in five games he’s thrown two scores, and 3/5 he’s had at least three scores. He’s also been picked off four times in six games.
Brandon Coleman has three receptions for 23 yards the last two games. He hasn’t scored this season.
Brandin Cooks is the first player with two touchdown grabs of at least 85 yards in the first five games of a season. He went 7-173-1 last week, his second game of at least 6-143-1 this season. However, in the three games in the middle between those two outings he was able to catch 12 passes for 111 yards.
Coby Fleener played a poor game last week but he scored twice, one rushing, and caught six balls for 74 yards. That’s 2/3 games of 74 yards and a score. Fleener has still been held under 30-yards in 2/4 games. The Chiefs allow just three receptions a week to tight ends and just one touchdown this season.
Mark Ingram, the last six versus the AFC, has averaged 109 yards from scrimmage. Ingram has averaged 16 carries a game the last three outings though he’s averaged just 61 yards. He’s gained just one rushing score this season and one as a pass catcher. He’s averaged four receptions a game the last four.
Willie Snead (toe) saw action on 51 snaps last week, just five fewer than Cooks. He caught four of seven targets for 47 yards. That’s five receptions for 70 yards and no scores his last two games.
Michael Thomas has scored in 3-straight games. He’s caught at least four passes each game this season and he’s on pace for 83 receptions and 982 yards in his rookie season.
Kansas City Chiefs
Jamaal Charles / Spencer Ware get to take on a Saints team that is flipping awful against the run. They’ve allowed a league worst 11 rushing scores, the only team in double-digits. Ware has produced 358 yards from scrimmage with two scores his last three at home. He is 3rd in the NFL with an average of 129 yards from scrimmage per game. He produced 163 yards last week as the game was in hand and the club chose to protect Charles. That should change as we move forward, though it sounds like Charles isn’t quite ready to take over. Don’t forget that, in limited work, Charles did score last week. Ware led last week 24 to 9 in the touch column. Expect the numbers to be closer to 50/50 this week.
Chris Conley is averaging three receptions for 40 yards a game. In 2/3 games he’s reached both those marks. He hasn’t scored this season. Tyreek Hill has failed to reach 30 yards in a game this season. He has caught 10 passes the last three games.
Travis Kelce has caught 12 passes for 163 yards and a score his last two games at home. He’s scored in 2/3 games overall. However, he’s also gone for just 55 yards the last two games. The Texans have allowed one score to tight ends this season.
Jeremy Maclin has seven targets in 4/5 games, and his 7.6 mark per game is 21st at WR. The Saints rank 4th from the bottom in pass coverage according to PFF. He’s scored in ¾ at home. The Saint have allowed only four scores to wideouts but they have allowed wide receivers to post 502 yards in two road games.
Alex Smith is on pace to throw 600-passes this season. He’s never thrown more than 508 in any season. Yet he’s tossed three scores in four games and has failed to reach 240 yards in ¾ games. He’s just such a moderate option week-to-week.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
The Bills are averaging 212 rushing yards a game the past four.
The Dolphins will be without Reshad Jones who is out for the rest of the year with a shoulder issue. Jones is PFF’s #3 safety this season and was the #1 safety against the run last year.
Charles Clay has caught five passes in 3-striaght games. He’s caught five passes in 4/5 games. He’s yet to score this season. The Dolphins are allowing the 15th most points a week to tight ends but that includes just two scores.
Mike Gillislee carried the ball six times for 60 yards and a score last week. That’s a touchdown in 2-striaght for Mike G. despite carrying the ball just eight times. Great matchup this week for continued success and needs to be looked at heavily as a start if McCoy is out...
LeSean McCoy ran for 140 yards last week and has run for 290 yards his last two games. He also has seven scores, six rushing, to tie for second in the NFL. He’s scored six times his last four games. The Dolphins are allowing an AFC worst 147 yards a game on the ground. They have permitted four rushing scores. McCoy was unable to finish practice Wednesday with a hamstring issue.
Tyrod Taylor has four scores and no picks in two games against the Dolphins. He’s thrown for four scores his last two games. He hasn’t been picked in 3-straight games. He’s failed to throw for 180 yards in 4-of-6 games but he’s also averaging 39 yards a game on the ground, worth 3.9 points, or akin to roughly 80 passing yards if your league is a point for 20 passing yards.
Sammy Watkins continues to miss time. He hopes to return late in the year.
Robert Woods scored last week. He’s caught five passes in ¾ games. He’s also produced just 70 yards the last two games. The Dolphins are allowing the 9th most points a week to wideouts including seven scores.
Jay Ajayi produced 204 yards and two scores last week. He has three scores in two games. However, he produced 40 percent of his career yards last week (14 games), and the Dolphins are only averaging 97 yards a game on the ground. The Bills are the sixth best run defense according to PFF.
Arian Foster (groin, hamstring) was activated last week but only saw five touches. Another week should help, and he’s still a very good football player when healthy.
Jarvis Landry is tied for second in the NFL with 41 catches. He has 151 catches since the start of last season, the third most in the league. Landry has just one score this season but he’s also seen at least nine targets in 5/6 games. He caught 19 passes in two meetings last season with the Bills.
DeVante Parker has scored twice in the last three divisional games. Parker hasn’t scored in 3-straight. In 2/3 games he’s failed to reach 30-yards. In 2/3 games he seen just three targets. The Bills have allowed just three scores to wideouts.
Ryan Tannehill has thrown for 300-yards in 5-straight games in the division. He hasn’t thrown a score in two games, and over the last five outings he’s tossed seven picks. He’s also failed to reach 200 passing yards in 2/3 games. His o-line played much better the last two weeks, despite Tannehill’s numbers. The Bills have allowed three passing scores this season.
Kenny Stills has one score in four games. The last three games he’s caught three passes for 86 yards on seven targets.
Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets
Kamar Aiken will likely be called on yet again due to the ill health of Mr. Smith. Aiken caught 4-of-6 passes last week for 64 yards. That’s the level of production we saw from him last season (75 receptions, 944 yards). The Jets are allowing the second most points a week to wideouts.
Joe Flacco has a shoulder issue and he wasn’t practicing early in the week. HC John Harbaugh sounds concerned about Flacco. "He has a legitimate shot at playing Sunday. I don't know what the percentage is," Harbaugh said. Ryan Mallet is next in line if Flacco cannot go in what looks like a great matchup on paper (the Jets have allowed the 6th most points a week to QBs).
Terrance West takes on a Jets club that is allowing a mere 3.4 YPC and 86 yards a game on the ground. He scored twice last week but was also stuffed on three goaline runs. The last three games he’s scored three times and is averaging 98 rushing yards a contest. Kenneth Dixon has carried the ball five times for 10 yards the last two games. He’s not startable in any format at the moment.
Breshad Perriman has yet to catch more than three passes this season. He’s yet to score this season and has failed to hit 40-yards in 5/6 games.
Dennis Pitta is on pace for 90 receptions this season. He has 34 grabs, the second most for a tight end in football. He hasn’t scored this season or hit 45 yards in ¾ games. Crockett Gillmore saw just one target last week.
Steve Smith (ankle) is not practicing early in the week and it would appear very likely that he will not play this week.
Justin Tucker has made all 15 field goal attempts this season.
Mike Wallace faces the Jets who have allowed eight scores to wideouts. He hasn’t scored in 4-straight games. He’s failed to record 65 yards in 5/6 games, the 97 he posted last week. He’s caught 15 passes the last three weeks.
New York Jets
Robby Anderson caught four passes last week but still has just nine grabs for 80 yards this season. He saw 54 snaps last week, one more than Marshall.
Bilal Powell still hasn’t carried the ball more than four times this season. He continues to be involved as a pass catcher though with a total of 21 receptions his last four games. The Ravens have allowed the 6th most receptions to runners. Powell has a role, but he also hasn’t scored this season.
Eric Decker had hip surgery and still needs shoulder surgery. He may not be ready to start the season next year.
Quincy Enunwa saw a season low five targets last week, and he’s gone 5-straight games without allowing a score. He’s also seen his yardage marks the last three games go from 60 to 51 to 42.
Ryan Fitzpatrick will not start this week according to Adam Schefter who is reporting the team will indeed go with Geno Smith. Fitzpatrick has stunk with a league worst 11 interceptions, but Smith is really no better. He threw a pick last week on six passes and has attempted just 48 passes since the starts of last season. For his career he has 27 touchdown passed and 36 interceptions. This is bad news for the entire offense.
Matt Forte faces a Ravens team that is allowing a league worst 69.7 yards on the ground. They have also allowed only two rushing scores. Forte carried the ball 52 times his first two games. His last four games he’s carried the ball 50 times. He’s gone four games without a score and he’s run for a mere 99 yards his last three games.
Brandon Marshall takes on the Ravens who rank 3rd in pass coverage according to PFF. However, they also get pounded for scores to wideouts – 12 touchdowns. Marshall has 16 scores in 22 games with the Jets and has 11 scores in 10 home games with the club. He also has 100-yards in 7-of-12.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (ankle) didn’t play last week. The Ravens have allowed no scores to tight ends.
Leonard Williams has 4.5 sacks his last four at home. Muhammad Wilkerson has 7.5 sacks his last six at home. Marcus Williams has six picks his last nine games at home. Lorenzo Mauldin has five sacks his last six at home.
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles
Matt Asiata had three rushing scores in the last meeting. In his last game he produced 101 yards from scrimmage (55 rush, 46 catch). He has failed to run for 20-yards in all but one game this season. He has scored in 2-straight games. The Eagles have allowed just three rushing scores this season.
Sam Bradford has yet to throw a pick. He has posted a QB Rating of 90 or better in 7-straight starts. Bradford has just four passing scores the last three games. The Eagles allow the fewest points a week to quarterbacks.
Stefon Diggs (groin) has returned to practice this week and should play this weekend. Diggs has seen seven targets in all four games he’s played but he caught just nine passes for 87 yards his last two games. He’s a tough start this week if he’s active since the Eagles are allowing the 5th fewest points a week to wide receivers including just two scores.
Charles Johnson hasn’t score this season and has gone for 20-yards once.
Jerick McKinnnon has one rushing scores this season. He’s carried the ball 16, 18 and 20 times the last three weeks, though he failed to reach 50-yards in 2/3 games. The Eagles are allowing a terrible 4.8 YPC, great news for Jerick to improve upon his up and down performance of late.
Cordarrelle Patterson scored in his last game. For the second straight week he saw six targets, and he’s caught nine passes for 77 yards. The Eagles have allowed two scores to wideouts.
Kyle Rudolph has scored three times in four games. The Eagles have allowed a mere two receptions a game to tight ends, best in football, and had allowed just one score to the position.
Adam Thielen went 7-127-1 in the last game. It’s his only score this season and the only time in four outings that he reached 50-yards.
Laquon Treadwell has no catches.
Nelson Agholor has caught just five passes the last two weeks, hasn’t scored in 4-straight and has failed to reach 35-yards in 3-straight.
Zach Ertz takes on the Vikings who have allowed no scores to tight ends. Ertz hasn’t scored this season and has a mere 10 receptions and 117 yards in three disappointing games.
Dorial Green-Beckham has seen four targets in each of his last four games. He’s yet to score of reach 45 yards.
Ryan Mathews has scored three times inside the 5-yard line, third in football, with his seven carries (tied for first). He has two rushing scores in three homer games. The Vikes are ranked 4th in the NFL with 77.8 yards allowed on the ground. They are allowing just 3.7 YPC and three rushing scores.
Jordan Matthews has scored in 4-straight home games. He has produced 100-yards in ¾ games at home. The Vikes allow the 2nd fewest points a week to wideouts and Matthews is dealing with some knee tendinitis.
Darren Sproles appeared on 44 percent of the snaps last week… to lead the backfield last week (23 snaps, 11 for Mathews, 10 for Smallwood, Barner 8). Sproles touched the ball four times on the ground for 20 yards and caught one pass for four yards. He continues to do nothing.
Carson Wentz has two touchdown passes his last two games as he’s been sacked eight times. He’s also failed to throw for 240-yards in ¾ games and he’s thrown just 55 passes the last two games. The Vikes allow the 8th fewest points a week to QBs.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Dwayne Allen has an ankle issue which will thrust Jack Doyle upward. The Colts offense certainly has a spot for a tight end to produce significant numbers and it’s possible that if Allen is out Doyle will be a red zone threat. The Titans have allowed one score to tight ends this season, the same number of scores Doyle produced last week.
Phillip Dorsett has a hamstring issue and is being listed as day-to-day. He’s caught three or fewer passes in each of his last four games.
Josh Ferguson faces the Titans who have allowed the 5th fewest receptions to runners. Ferguson has caught nine passes his last two games but has only one game this season with double-digit touches.
Frank Gore has scored four times in two games at Tennessee. He’s scored in 2/4 games this season and has run for at least 68 yards in 4-straight. The Titans are the 10th best run defense according to PFF and allow just 88.5 yards on the ground and three rushing scores.
T.Y. Hilton went for four grabs and 94 yards in the last meeting. In his last four games this season he has three scores and is averaging seven grabs for 109 yards. He’s seen at least nine targets in every game this season.
Andrew Luck face the Titans who allow the 6th fewest points to QBs each week. That includes allowing just six passing scores. Luck has thrown for two scores in 2/3 games and three times in six games he’s tossed the pigskin for at least 320 yards.
Donte Moncrief is still out with a shoulder issue.
Adam Vinatieri has made 41-straight field goals, the second longest streak ever.
Derrick Henry carried the ball seven times for 54 yards two weeks ago until carrying the ball twice for seven yards last week. He’s averaging 4.4 YPC as a support piece.
Marcus Mariota has scored once with six passing scores and 124 rushing yards his last two games. See this Big-3 Video. He’s played well the last two games, no doubt, but he’s failed to throw for 215 yards in 3/4 games and he’s thrown three scores in each of the last two games. The Colts can be beat through the air allowing 294 yards a game and nine passing scores.
Rishard Matthews leads this team with 19 receptions. He’s fourth though in targets (27). He has hit 45 yards just twice this season. He’s scored twice this season, one each the last two weeks, and the Colts have allowed just three scores to wideouts.
DeMarco Murray has scored four times with 99 rushing yards per game his last four. The Colts are the worst run defense according to PFF. They Colts allow the third most points a week to runners. It’s obviously an excellent matchup.
Tajae Sharpe has caught just 18-of-39 targets. He hasn’t scored and has produced just four receptions for 32 yards the last three games. #Useless
Delanie Walker has caught seven passes in 3-straight games against the Colts. He’s caught just eight passes his last three games and he’s scored once in that time. The Colts allow the 9th most points a week to tight ends.
Kendall Wright caught eight balls for 133 yards and a score last week. He also appeared on only 35 percent of the snaps last week. That was 4th amongst Titans wideouts. Wright has scored twice his last two games against the Colts.
San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons
San Diego Chargers
Travis Benjamin saw a season-high 11 targets in Week 5, he caught seven of them for 117 yards. and then went for 3-17 in Week 6. He has two scores, though they were both in one game, and he’s gone 3-straight without a touchdown. He’s also caught four passes twice in the last three games. Atlanta has allowed seven scores to wideouts. He’s dealing with a knee issue.
Antonio Gates / Hunter Henry takes on the Falcons who have allowed the second most points a week to ends. Gates has scored five times his last five outings against the NFC, but his hamstring is really an issue which he has admitted. In fact, Henry has seen 74 percent of the snaps the last two weeks versus just 42 percent for Gates. Henry has scored in 3-straight as he’s seen 19 targets in three games. He’s the better play than Gates at the moment.
Melvin Gordon has seven carries inside the five-yard line. He’s scored five times inside the five (seven times overall). Both those numbers lead football. Gordon ran for 94 yards last week but 48 of them came on one carry meaning 26 carries produced 46 yards. He doesn’t have a rushing score the last two weeks. The Falcons are allowing the 4th most points a week to backs and the most receptions to runners.
Dontrelle Inman continues to play a ton of snaps, and do nothing with them. He has 14 receptions and 179 yards this season with one score.
Philip Rivers has thrown for at least 320 yards in 3/4 games. Over his last three outings he’s also tossed seven scores. He’s only been picked off three times this season, though they have all occurred the last wo weeks. The Falcons all allow the third most points a game to quarterbacks. The game is in a dome so weather ain’t an issue.
Tyrell Williams has seen nine targets in the red zone, second in football. He’s still looking for that first score. He’s the only one of five wideouts with at least nine red zone looks not to have scored. He has averaged four catches, 87 yards and 0.5 scores his last four on the road.
Coleman has touched the field for 175 snaps, Freeman 218.
Coleman has touched the ball 69 times (51 carries, 18 receptions), Freeman 107 (90 carries, 17 receptions).
Tevin Coleman has scored five times in five games (four rushing). The Chargers have allowed the most grabs to runners in football, good news for Coleman who has caught three passes or more in ¾ games. He has one score his last three weeks, as a receiver. Coleman has carried the ball just 19 times for 60 yards the last three games.
Devonta Freeman has failed to run for 60 yards in 2/3 games. He has two rushing scores the last three weeks and has scored three times his last four games. He is averaging a robust 5.0 YPC. The Chargers are the 7th worst run defense according to PFF and they allow the second most points a week to running backs.
Julio Jones is averaging 173 yards and 0.75 scores per game his last four at home. He’s gone for at least 7-139-1 in two of three contests.
Matt Ryan has posted a QB Rating of 100 in 7/8 games. In his past four starts at home he’s posted a QB Rating of 120.5 with an average of 369 yards and 2.25 scores. He’s tossed at least two scores in all but one game this season. He’s also thrown just two picks in four games and three in six.
Mohamed Sanu actually has one more target the last two weeks than Julio Jones (16 to 15). Sanu scored last week, but even with all the looks the last two weeks Sanu has caught only eight balls for 90 yards.
Jacob Tamme has caught six passes in the red zone, second in football, with four inside the 5-yard line, also second in football. The Chargers have allowed one score to tight ends this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cameron Brate should have a bigger role with the injury to VJax. Brate has a mere six receptions for 105 yards the last two weeks, and four times in five games he’s failed to produce 50-yards. The Niners are allowing the 12th most points a week to tight ends.
Mike Evans has scored in 3-straight on the road. He’s scored in 4-of-5 games this season. He’s seen at least 11 targets in 4-straight. He’s caught at least five passes in every game this season and has gone for at least 70 yards in 4/5. The Niners are allowing the 8th fewest points a week to wideouts. However, they have allowed 10 scores to wideouts.
Vincent Jackson (knee) has been placed on the IR with an injured ACL. His season is likely over. Adam Humphries takes on the Niners who come in ranked 5th in pass coverage. He will also become the #2 wideout in the offense. Cecil Shorts has a hammy issue and Louis Murphy is still a few weeks away from returning from an ACL injury.
Doug Martin (groin) suffered a setback and will not play this week. Jacquizz Rodgers produced 101 yards on the ground in his last outing with five grabs for 28 yards as he touched the ball a whopping 35 times. Rodgers will face an abysmal Niners rush D that is allowing and unconscionable 174 yards a week on the ground. They’ve also allowed nine rushing scores, the second worst mark in football. The Niners have allowed the third fewest receptions to runners this season.
Jameis Winston has thrown one score the last two weeks as he’s failed to throw for 220 yards in either outing. Last week was his first this season without an interception. He has eight picks, and two lost fumbles, in five games. The Niners are allowing just 216 passing yards a game but they have been beaten for an average of two scores a week through the air.
San Francisco 49ers
Shaun Draughn faces the Bucs who have allowed the second fewest receptions in football to backs.
Carlos Hyde has a shoulder injury and is in a sling. He is out this week. He has scored six times in the last five games. He’s scored in 3-straight home games. He has missed 11 games the last two years. Mike Davis is the name to know here and he should be in for a good deal of work against a Bucs team that has allowed six rushing scores in five games, though they have allowed just 3.7 YPC. The Niners will use a committee.
Colin Kaepernick threw for 187 yards and ran for 66 last week. He tossed a score. That’s what you should expect from Kap, i.e., not much. He has tossed seven scores his last 11 games and even in this offense it’s debatable that he has the skills to succeed. The Bucs are allowing the 16th most points to signal callers.
Jeremy Kerley has scored twice in three games. He has caught six passes in 3-straight at home. He cannot be trusted to do that with Colin under center as evidenced by his 2-12 line last week on seven targets.
Vance McDonald caught two passes last week and has four receptions for 29 yards his last two games. Garrett Celek caught six of 11 targets the last two weeks. He has one game over 25 yards and no scores. The Bucs have allowed no scores to tight ends.
Quinton Patton caught four of seven targets last week for 52 yards. His outlook is on the rise with Kaepernick under center, but not to the level of getting excited.
Torrey Smith finally has a QB with an arm to get him the ball deep. Smith caught three balls for 75 yards last week, and that includes a 53 yard score. On that play, note that Kaepernick made a terrible throw that Smith had to cut his speed down by 50 percent to catch the ball. It’s still too early to get excited about Smith.
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots
Danny Amendola has seen exactly two targets in each of his last four games.
Martellus Bennett has three scores in four games, though they all came in one game. In two outings since Brady has returned Bennett has caught 11-of-13 targets for 115 yards. The Steelers who have allowed one score to tight ends this season
Tom Brady threw for 376 and three scores last week, his 47th game with a 3/0 line, second most ever (Peyton Manning did it 51 times). Brady has thrown for 17 touchdowns and no picks his last five outings against the Steelers.
LeGarrette Blount has 100 percent of the Pats carries inside the 5-yard line. The Steelers have allowed six rushing scores this season. Blount has six rushing scores, second in football. With Brady under center Blount has produced 87 yards on 31 carries in two games. Blount went for 70-yards his first three games. He’s failed to run for 55 yards in any of his last three.
Julian Edelman went for 11 catches and 97 yards in the last meeting. He’s caught only nine passes the last two games though he has seen 17 targets. He’s still looking for his first score of the season.
Rob Gronkowski has always lit up the Steelers. The last four meetings he has scored seven times while averaging 101 yards a game. He scored last week and has 12 receptions for 271 yards in two games with Brady.
Chris Hogan hasn’t scored since Week 1. He’s caught a total of six passes his last four games. Take away his 63 yard grab against the Browns and his last four games have resulted in 93 yards. The Steelers have allowed just three scores to wideouts.
James White has caught 12-of-15 targets the last two weeks since Brady returned. The Steelers have allowed the third most receptions to runners each week. White scored twice last week.
Le’Veon Bell has produced 440 yards from scrimmage in his three games (147 a contest). He’s averaging 134 yards from scrimmage per game since the start of the 2014 season, tops in football. The Patriots are the second best run defense according to PFF.
Antonio Brown has scored nine times while averaging 130 yards a game his last seven at home. In the four games last season that Big Ben missed Brown averaged just four receptions for 59 yards. He didn’t score.
Sammie Coates dropped four passes in Week 5 even though he scored twice. In Week 6 he didn’t catch any of his four targets as his hand is simply jacked up. Coates leads the league with 22.2 yards per catch. In his last three at home he’s averaged five catches, 105 yards and 0.67 scores.
Jesse James has scored three times inside the five, and he’s also caught four passes there. Both numbers are second in football. Ladarius Green (ankle) is nearing a return… we think. The Patriots have allowed the fifth most receptions to tight ends this season.
Ben Roethlisberger (knee) will miss this week and it sounds like it could be up to six weeks on the sidelines. The club hopes he can return after the Week 8 bye. Landry Jones has a 57.1 completion rate with three scores, four picks and a fumble over 56 career attempts. The Pats have allowed 255 passing yards a game, and rank 21st according to DVOA meaning that this is a unit that isn’t an insurmountable one if Jones is hoping for success.
Eli Rogers caught four passes for 35 yards in his return from a toe issue.
Markus Wheaton (shoulder) caught three of four targets for 49 yards and a score the last two games. He figures to be out through the Bye week which is Week 8.
DeAngelo Williams has scored nine times his last 11 games.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals *
Doug Baldwin has hit 100-yards in 2/3 games against the Cardinals. He only has one score his last four games. The last two games he’s seen just nine targets leading to 85 yards. In ¾ games he’s failed to reach 55 yards.
Jimmy Graham has produced six catches and 85 yards in 3-straight games. He has only one score this season but is firmly established as an elite tight end yet again. The Cardinals have allowed no scores to tight ends and the third fewest receptions.
Jermaine Kearse scored in the last meeting. He hasn’t scored this season and has just 80 yards the last four games.
Tyler Lockett love is nonsensical.
Christine Michael went for 64 yards and two scores in his last game, the second time in three games he’s scored twice (the other game he only scored once). He has carried the ball 18 times the last three games, even though he’s failed to post 65 yards on the ground in either of the last two games. He’s caught eight balls the last two games. The last time he faced the Cardinals he ran for 102 yards.
Thomas Rawls is still working his way back. A couple of weeks away.
Paul Richardson has one catch in October.
C.J. Spiller caught three of six targets for 38 yards last week.
Russell Wilson has a QB Rating of 120 in three of his last four games against the Cardinals. Wilson has scored four times in three games and hasn’t been picked off in four games. He doesn’t have a rushing score this season and he’s run for just five yards on 12 attempts the las three games.
John Brown has failed to score in four games against the Seahawks. He’s failed to reach 65 yards in any of the matchups either. This season he’s failed to score and he’s reached 65 yards just twice in six games.
Calais Campbell has five sacks his last four against the Seahawks.
David Johnson scored three times in Week 6 and he’s also become the first player in Cardinals history to start a season with 6-straight games of 100-yards from scrimmage. He leads the NFL with 833 yards from scrimmage and he leads the league with eight rushing scores. Seattle is allowing 74.6 yards and three scores on the ground.
Larry Fitzgerald has scored five times in six games. He’s caught at least five passes in every game and six in each of the last two. He caught 16 balls last season for 185 yards and a score in two matchups with the Seahawks.
Michael Floyd appeared to be benched in Week 6 but he returned to the game to score, his second score in three games. Unfortunately, he’s caught just five passes for 58 yards the last three games and has seen only five targets in two games.
Carson Palmer strained his hamstring in his last outing, or was cramping. Whatever it is, he should play through it. He has posted a QB Rating of 100 in 8/12 games at home. He threw for 363/3 in the matchup almost exactly a year ago (11/15/15). The Seahawks are allowing just 209 passing yards a game and just four passing scores this season.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos
C.J. Fiedorowicz caught six balls for 85 yards and a score last week. Denver has allowed one score to tight ends and they allow the 18th most points a week to the position.
Will Fuller was active in Week 6 but he didn’t play a single snap due to his hamstring issue. He’s back at practice this week and is expected to play. Still, the Broncos are 4th in pass coverage according to PFF and with speed being his main weapon, Fuller is an extremely risky start this week.
DeAndre Hopkins has one score in four games. He’s caught 14 passes the last two games on 24 targets. He’s still failed to reach 75 yards in 4-straight games. He averaged 95.1 yards a game last season. How some others faired against Denver: Julio Jones (2-29), Mike Evans (5-59), A.J. Green (8-77), T.Y. Hilton (4-41) and Kelvin Benjamin (6-91-1). The Broncos are allowing the fewest points a week to wideouts including just one score.
Lamar Miller has had 87.5 percent of the Texans carries in the red zone this season. He has carried the ball 19 times in 5/6 games. Last week he went off for two scores (rush, receive) and 178 yards from scrimmage (149 rush, 29 receive). He’s caught at least three passes in ¾ games and has run for 80-yards in 5/6.
Brock Osweiler has thrown eight picks and at least one in each game. He’s failed to throw for 200 yards in 2-of-4 games and in three of five outings he’s tossed one or zero scores. Denver is allowing a league best 182 yards a game through the air and have permitted a mere four scores. They also lead the league with 21 sacks and will pose all kinds of issues for Brock.
Jaelen Strong followed up back-to-back games of five receptions with a one catch effort in the last outing.
C.J. Anderson / Devontae Booker take on the Texans who have allowed eight rushing scores and the 4th worst total of 126.2 yards a game on the ground. Anderson has 16 scores in his last 16 games at home (playoffs included). He has scored eight times his last 11 games (playoffs included). CJA has 94 snaps the last two weeks, Booker just 44. Booker has touched the ball 17 times the last two games (six catches), Anderson 28 (seven catches). Neither guy has a touchdown the last two games. The Texans have allowed the fewest receptions to runners in football.
Von Miller has 12.5 sacks, three forced fumbles and an interception his last eight games (playoffs included).
Emmanuel Sanders (hip) last four games have included an average of 81 yards and 0.75 touchdowns. He has scored three times his last two games on MNF. The last two games he’s caught 11 passes for 120 yards and no scores. He’s also seen 15 targets.
Trevor Siemian threw for 230 yards and a score over 50 inefficient passes in his return from shoulder woes. Trevor has thrown 0/1 score in 4-of-5 games though he hasn’t tossed a pick his last three outings. The Texans are allowing the second fewest passing yards a season at 189.3 and they have also allowed only four passing scores, the second best mark in football.
Aqib Talib has three interceptions in his five games.
Demaryius Thomas has 24 receptions his last three MNF games. He saw 10 targets last week, his first over seven targets this season. He’s scored in ¾ games. He’s failed to reach 50 yards the last two games. The Texans are allowing the third fewest points a week to wideouts.