Need the best Splash Picks NFL picks today? The 3-2 Seahawks and Broncos meet on Thursday Night Football with Seattle favored by about three and a low total of roughly 41. Below, we cover our favorite Splash Picks NFL picks for this Week 6 matchup, backed by player projections and the key matchups shaping each pick.
Seahawks vs. Broncos: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Both running backs we like are in line for heavy workloads, with J.K. Dobbins the clear early-down back in Denver and Emanuel Wilson leading Seattle's backfield with Jadarian Price on injured reserve. A low total and a forecast with a chance of rain and wind in Denver point toward a game where the ground games matter. Let's break down the Splash Picks plays we like most for this matchup.
Best Splash Picks NFL Picks for TNF, Week 6
J.K. Dobbins NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 13.5 Rushing Attempts
Denver's offense is among the league's weakest, but it has made Dobbins its engine, with 64 carries through five games, including 18 for 68 yards and a score against the Chargers in Payton's first game calling plays. Harvey carried only three times that day, and Coleman is on injured reserve, which leaves Dobbins with nearly all of the early-down work. A low total of about 41 and a Mile High forecast with a chance of rain and wind should favor the ground game, and even as home underdogs, the Broncos have few better ways to move the ball. Clearing 13.5 carries looks like a reasonable ask.
Emanuel Wilson NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 59.5 Rushing Yards
Wilson has cleared 59.5 rushing yards in each of the three games in which he has handled 20-plus carries, running for 92, 81, and 61 yards, and he is the lead back again with Price on injured reserve and Charbonnet unlikely to be activated. He ran 20 times for 61 yards and a touchdown against San Francisco last week, adding two catches for 11 yards, and Holani has just 77 yards on 26 carries on the season. The efficiency has been modest, but Seattle is a three-point favorite, and a lead should mean more clock-killing carries for Wilson. Another 20-carry day makes 59.5 yards a very reasonable number.
Splash Picks NFL Player Projections for Seahawks vs. Broncos
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Dobbins and Wilson as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Splash Picks pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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