Looking for the best NFL TNF player prop picks for Week 3? The Falcons make the first-ever Thursday trip to Lambeau Field with their season on the line at 0-2, while the Packers look to build on a shaky 1-1 start of their own. Below, we break down our top Falcons vs. Packers player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.

Best NFL Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks

This is a huge game for both offenses trying to find their footing. Michael Penix makes his first start of the season for Atlanta after recovering from a torn ACL, taking over a Falcons offense that hasn't run a single play in the red zone through two games. Green Bay, meanwhile, has been without Josh Jacobs all year and has leaned heavily on Jordan Love's arm as a result. Here are the props we like best for this one.

 

 

 

Falcons vs. Packers Player Props: Bijan Robinson Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts

Robinson has carried the ball 21 and 16 times over the first two weeks, a workload that's stayed remarkably stable even as the Falcons have burned through three different starting quarterbacks under center. Atlanta remains the only offense in the league that hasn't run a play in the red zone through two games, and head coach Kevin Stefanski has made clear that establishing the run is central to fixing that. With Michael Penix finally back under center for his first start since tearing his ACL last November, the offense should function more efficiently overall, but there's no indication the Falcons plan to lighten Robinson's workload as the engine of this attack. If anything, protecting a quarterback making his first start off a serious knee injury argues for leaning on the ground game even more. Clearing 18.5 carries looks very much in line with his role.

Falcons vs. Packers Player Prop Bets: Drake London Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

London has combined for just six catches and 80 yards on 10 targets through two games, numbers that say far more about Cooper Rush's struggles under center than they do about London's talent. He signed a four-year, $141 million extension this offseason and has averaged 9.3 targets per game over the past two seasons whenever he's had competent quarterback play behind him. Michael Penix takes over at quarterback this week in his first start since tearing his ACL last November, and every indication points to London being the biggest beneficiary of the upgrade at the position. A true No. 1 receiver getting a real quarterback back after two lost weeks clearing 67.5 yards is a very reasonable expectation.

 

 

 

Thursday Night Football Player Props: Matthew Golden Over 53.5 Receiving Yards

Golden has been one of the lone bright spots in an otherwise underwhelming Green Bay offense, posting 95 yards on a team-high 12 targets in Week 1 and following that up with 58 yards on six targets in Week 2, clearing this number in both games. Jordan Love has already named him the offense's X receiver for 2026 after Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks both departed in the offseason, and Golden has delivered on that opportunity early. He's also shown the ability to draw penalties downfield, picking up a crucial 38-yard pass interference flag against the Jets that flipped field position. With a green-light role locked in and a track record of production through two weeks, clearing 53.5 receiving yards again looks very achievable.

Falcons vs. Packers Player Prop Bets: Jordan Love Over 30.5 Pass Attempts

Love has thrown the ball 42 and 29 times over the first two weeks, a heavy workload that's been forced by a running game that has completely stalled out without Josh Jacobs, who remains on the Commissioner's Exempt List and isn't expected back before Week 7 at the earliest. Green Bay managed just 66 rushing yards in Week 1 and 63 yards on 18 carries in Week 2, and the offensive line got even thinner when right tackle Zach Bako-Bewele went down with a season-ending injury. With the ground game unlikely to fix itself by Thursday and a Falcons defense that's been vulnerable, Green Bay's path to moving the ball still runs through Love's arm. Clearing 30.5 attempts looks very likely given how this offense has been forced to operate.

 

 

 

Thursday Night Football Player Props: Trey Smack Over 1.5 Field Goals Made

Smack has been about as good as a rookie kicker can be through two games, connecting on all five of his field goal attempts, including a 59-yarder in Week 1 that stands as the second-longest field goal in franchise history, and the game-winner against the Jets in Week 2. Atlanta has had far and away the bigger issue finishing drives, becoming just the fourth team since 1978 to open a season without a single red zone play through two games. That kind of offensive dysfunction on the other sideline points toward more scoring chances landing on Smack's foot rather than in the end zone if Atlanta's issues carry over even in part. With a red zone-starved opponent on the other side and Smack proving perfect and reliable from anywhere on the field, clearing 1.5 field goals made looks like a strong bet.

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