Week 10 is a quiet weather slate, and the news that matters most comes from the trade deadline and the injury report. Kirk Cousins is back in Minnesota, Puka Nacua is officially on injured reserve, and the Jaguars, Bills, and Lions all loaded up on defense. On the weather side, the latest forecasts show Bills-Jets with the strongest wind (12 mph with gusts to 22 mph) and Texans-Browns with the only real rain chance. A national outlook also flags a possible rain-snow mix near Cleveland and New York, so it is worth checking radar Sunday morning. Six of the 13 games are played indoors or under a roof. Here is every game and what it means for your DFS builds.

NFL Week 10 Weather Forecast

Sunday, November 15 (Munich)

  • Patriots at Lions, 9:30 AM ET (3:30 PM local), Allianz Arena, Munich: 45 degrees, rain at 18 percent, 5 mph wind.

Sunday, November 15 (1:00 PM ET)

  • Bills at Jets, MetLife Stadium: 49 degrees, dry on the hourly forecast, wind 12 mph easing to 10 mph out of the NW with gusts of 21 to 22 mph early, easing to 18 mph by 4 PM. A national outlook notes a rain-snow mix is possible in the New York area, so check radar before kickoff.
  • Texans at Browns, Huntington Bank Field: 46 to 47 degrees, rain at 44 percent at noon and 23 percent from 1 PM on, wind 12 mph easing to 9 mph out of the NW with gusts of 16 mph easing to 14 mph. Expect light showers along Lake Erie, with a wintry mix possible nearby.
  • Jaguars at Titans, Nissan Stadium: 52 degrees, dry, 5 mph wind.
  • Vikings at Packers, Lambeau Field: 45 degrees, dry, 2 mph wind.
  • No weather impact (closed roof or dome): Chiefs at Falcons, Panthers at Saints, Dolphins at Colts.

Sunday, November 15 (afternoon and night)

  • No weather impact (closed roof or dome): Rams at Cardinals and Seahawks at Raiders (4:05 PM ET).
  • 49ers at Cowboys, 4:25 PM ET, AT&T Stadium: retractable roof. The outdoor numbers (52 degrees, rain at 62 percent, 15 mph wind with gusts to 26 mph) matter only if the roof is open, and rain is expected to soak the Dallas area.
  • Steelers at Bengals, 8:20 PM ET, Paycor Stadium: 43 degrees, dry, calm wind.

Monday, November 16

  • Chargers at Ravens, 8:15 PM ET, M&T Bank Stadium: 44 degrees, dry, 2 mph wind.

 

 

 

Worst Weather Games in Week 10

Nothing on this slate is a serious weather threat, but a few games are worth a look.

The Wind Game

Bills at Jets has the strongest wind of the week, with 12 mph sustained and gusts of 21 to 22 mph early in the game. It matters because Buffalo owns the league's top-scoring offense at 32.0 points per game. Josh Allen has 2,027 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions, and James Cook has 814 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, so a steady wind leans the game toward Cook and the run. The Bills are 7-1, unbeaten on the road, and coming off a 23-6 Monday night win over Minnesota. They also made a deadline move to shore up the secondary, sending a second-round pick to Tennessee for safety Amani Hooker, who leads the league with five interceptions, including three off Joe Burrow in one game. The Jets are 2-7 and traded safety Andre Cisco to Detroit. Geno Smith was sacked five times in last week's loss to Kansas City, Breece Hall (quad) is working back after returning for 87 scrimmage yards, and Braelon Allen has 598 rushing yards. Garrett Wilson (concussion) was back at practice on a limited basis and is expected to return. The Bills are roughly 8-point favorites.

The Rain Game

Texans at Browns starts with a 44 percent rain chance at noon that settles at 23 percent, with 12 mph wind easing to 9 mph and gusts to 16 mph, so expect light showers rather than steady rain. The bigger question is Cleveland's quarterback. Deshaun Watson cleared the concussion protocol and will start after missing last week's overtime loss to New Orleans, when Shedeur Sanders played. The Browns are 5-4, and Elgton Jenkins (knee) and Denzel Boston (toe) did not practice Wednesday. Houston is 3-5 but coming off a 44-22 win at the Chargers, where C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns and the defense had eight sacks. Running back David Montgomery (groin) is questionable and has not played since Week 5, and Marvin Harrison (hamstring) and Tank Dell (hand and shoulder) were limited. The Texans are 4.5-point favorites.

Also Worth Monitoring

Patriots at Lions in Munich have rain at 18 percent and light wind, so the weather is a minor note. The injury and trade news is the bigger story. New England is 5-4 after a 45-27 home loss to Green Bay and will be without running back TreVeyon Henderson (illness) and center Ben Brown. A.J. Brown (ankle and knee) returned to practice Friday, and coach Mike Vrabel said both he and Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) looked good. Detroit is 6-2 with four straight wins and added safety Andre Cisco from the Jets at the deadline to help a secondary without Kerby Joseph (knee) and D.J. Reed, though Brian Branch is back from his Achilles injury and the Lions have allowed 20 points or fewer in three straight games since. Linebacker Jack Campbell is sidelined with a serious neck injury. The Lions are 2.5-point favorites.

Best Weather Games in Week 10

Vikings at Packers is dry with 2 mph wind, and the quarterback change is the story. Minnesota traded a third-round pick to Las Vegas for Kirk Cousins, who has 2,340 yards, 20 touchdowns, and eight interceptions this season, and he is on track to start after Kyler Murray (Grade 2 hamstring strain, doubtful) and Carson Wentz struggled in a pair of losses that dropped the Vikings to 6-2. Green Bay is without running back Josh Jacobs (finger surgery), and linebacker Micah Parsons (knee), and guards Aaron Banks and Travis Glover and center Sean Rhyan are questionable.

Steelers at Bengals is cold at 43 degrees but dry and calm, and its total has risen two points to 49.5. Cincinnati stood pat at the deadline after nearly acquiring Eagles edge rusher Arnold Ebiketie, a deal the Bengals called off when they realized it would cost them a compensatory third-round pick. Jaguars at Titans is a mild 52 degrees, and Jacksonville is a 10.5-point favorite after an aggressive deadline in which it added safety Jessie Bates from Atlanta and defensive tackles Jordan Davis from Philadelphia and Davon Godchaux from New Orleans. Tennessee's Carnell Tate (shoulder) is questionable. Chargers at Ravens is dry and calm on Monday night. Justin Herbert's finger imaging was negative, and he was not on the Chargers' Thursday injury report, but Ladd McConkey (back) did not practice, and Los Angeles made no moves at the deadline. Baltimore added Jacoby Brissett after Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley were hurt and picked up center Ryan Neuzil from Atlanta on deadline day.

Five games are untouched by weather. Chiefs-Falcons, Panthers-Saints, Dolphins-Colts, Rams-Cardinals, and Seahawks-Raiders are indoors or under a closed roof. Kansas City added receiver Josh Downs from Indianapolis, and Patrick Mahomes (elbow) practiced fully, though Xavier Worthy (hamstring) is questionable. Indianapolis sent Downs and Keenan Allen away but kept Jonathan Taylor, and Miami's total is down 5 points after quarterback Malik Willis went on injured reserve with a groin injury. Rams-Cardinals has the biggest line move of the week, with the total down 8 points to 39.5. Nacua was officially placed on injured reserve with MCL and PCL sprains and turf toe and is expected to miss at least four games; Davante Adams remains on injured reserve, and the Rams added no receiver at the deadline. Arizona starts rookie Carson Beck in his first NFL game with Gardner Minshew on injured reserve and Michael Wilson out for the season. In Seattle's game at Las Vegas, Sam Darnold remains out, so Drew Lock starts, and the Raiders are expected to turn to rookie Fernando Mendoza after trading Cousins.

San Francisco at Dallas, the sixth roofed game, has the highest total of the week at 55.5, with the 49ers (7-1) roughly 3.5 to 4.5-point road favorites. San Francisco added receiver Keenan Allen from the Colts at the deadline, which helps with Mike Evans (Achilles) unlikely to play this week even though he is getting close. Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is questionable. Brock Purdy has a 109.8 passer rating with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions, and Dak Prescott threw for 335 yards in last week's win at Indianapolis. Dallas tight end Jake Ferguson and running back Tyler Goodson are expected to miss extended time, and George Pickens (shoulder and hamstring) is questionable. The retractable roof is closed by default, but check the roof decision on game day, because the outdoor forecast would matter if it opens.

 

 

 

Rain and Snow Impact on Fantasy Football

Rain is a minor factor this week, but this is the first slate where a wintry mix is on the radar. A national outlook flags light showers along Lake Erie for Texans-Browns, with snow or a mix nearby, and a possible rain-snow mix around New York for Bills-Jets, even though the hourly forecast shows no precipitation at MetLife. If either game does see a mix, expect a slick ball, a slightly more run-heavy script, and more risk of fumbles and missed kicks, which would help Cleveland's ground game and Buffalo's James Cook. Cooler temperatures in the 40s elsewhere are worth noting but should not move projections on their own.

Wind Impact on Fantasy Football

Wind is the bigger story this week, but only in a couple of games. Bills-Jets has gusts of 21 to 22 mph early, and Texans-Browns has gusts of 16 mph, which is enough to hurt deep passing accuracy and longer field goals. Every other outdoor game is at 5 mph or less, so wind should not factor into lineup decisions there. The 26 mph gusts in Dallas's outdoor forecast are moot with the roof closed.

 

 

 

NFL Games to Avoid in DFS Because of Weather

No game is a true weather fade this week. The closest calls are below.

  • Bills at Jets: gusts of 21 to 22 mph, plus the chance of a wintry mix, can blunt deep passing and kicking even for the league's top-scoring offense, and a Jets passing game that is already struggling gets little help.
  • Texans at Browns: a light downgrade for early showers and gusts to 16 mph, with Watson returning from a concussion.
  • 49ers at Cowboys: not a weather fade as long as the roof stays closed, but if it opens, rain and 26 mph gusts would make it the worst weather game on the slate.

Everything else, including the six indoor or roofed games and the dry, calm forecasts in Cincinnati, Green Bay, Nashville, and Baltimore, should play out without weather being a factor in how you build your lineups.