MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For June 22nd, 2026
Ready to attack the best stolen base picks for today? At Fantasy Alarm, we continue to provide you with the best in both game and prop bet picks, from home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. The Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you, including the stolen base props here. We missed yesterday’s picks, though; we got rained out in the Toronto Blue Jays/Chicago Cubs game, which felt like our best chance to cash. It happens. We were still riding high from successful picks on Friday and Saturday. Let’s get back on that horse for Monday. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report (new one dropped yesterday), as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+227)
- Jasson Dominguez, New York Yankees (+239)
- Jakob Marsee, Miami Marlins (+252)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+269)
- Jazz Chisholm, New York Yankees (+270)
- Anthony Volpe, New York Yankees (+282)
- Brice Turang, Milwaukee Brewers (+284)
- Jake McCarthy, Colorado Rockies (+293)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays – 14 SB allowed
- Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers – 12 SB allowed
- Kumar Rocker, Texas Rangers – 10 SB allowed
- Tyler Phillips, Miami Marlins – 8 SB allowed
- Andre Pallante, St. Louis Cardinals – 8 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (11 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (15 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 6% CS (17 att.)
- Jonah Heim, Athletics – 7% CS (15 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 9% CS (11 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 9% CS (22 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (31 att.)
- Sebastian Rivero, Los Angeles Angels – 10% CS (10 att.)
- Alejandro Kirk, Toronto Blue Jays – 11% CS (19 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (26 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Monday, June 22:
Favorite Bets:
Jasson Dominguez, New York Yankees (+239)
Dominguez cashed for us on Saturday, and we’re going right back to the well as he faces another southpaw in Framber Valdez, who has allowed the second-most stolen bases (12) on today’s slate. Not to mention, his primary catcher, Dillon Dingler, is posting just a 16-percent caught-stealing rate on 27 attempts. Dominguez hits lefties to the tune of a .411 wOBA and has an average north of .300 against curveballs, which is a trademark pitch for Valdez.
Longshot:
Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres (+422)
While I find it hard to believe that Braves right-hander Grant Holmes has yet to allow a stolen base, I can definitely understand why, since he pitches to so much contact, teams don’t want to run themselves out of an opportunity. But the Padres need to scratch and claw for every run they score, so I expect them to really test catcher Drake Baldwin and his dismal six-percent caught-stealing rate. You could look at Samad Taylor, who has better odds (+324), but I’ll lean on Tatis, who has hit in nine of his last 11 games and got a day off to rest on Sunday.
