MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For August 2nd, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Sunday August 1. Yesterday was not our day, as both A.J. Ewing and CJ Abrams failed to swipe a bag. However, it’s a new day and a new slate of matchups, so we’ll look to close the week out on a high note! There’s some very interesting spots on the board to attack today, with quite a few pitchers being popular targets throughout the year in terms of targeting stolen bases. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and nail some stolen base picks for Sunday, August 2nd.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+222)
- David Hamilton, Milwaukee Brewers (+280)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+287)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+288)
- Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres (+289)
- Tyler Tolbert, Kansas City Royals (+291)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+325)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+334)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Chase Burns, Cincinnati Reds – 17 SB allowed
- Gavin Williams, Cleveland Guardians – 11 SB allowed
- Matthew Liberatore, St. Louis Cardinals – 11 SB allowed
- Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins - 11 SB allowed
- George Kirby, Seattle Mariners - 11 SB allowed
- Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh Pirates – 10 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0.05% CS (23 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (32 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 7% CS (27 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (42 att.)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 12% CS (25 att.)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 12% CS (25 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, August 2:
Favorite Bets:
Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+287)
Lefties have a .343 OBP against Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller on the year, while De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile sprint speed and 77.8% success rate on SB attempts versus RHP. Henry Davis has caught back-to-back days, so we could see Endy Rodriguez behind the dish. Rodriguez’s 15-percent caught stealing rate pales in comparison to Henry Davis’ 39-percent, so that would behoove Cruz even further. He’s a perfect 6-for-6 on stolen base attempts out of the All-Star break, and against Keller, I like his outlook to push that to 7-for-7.
Victor Robles, Seattle Mariners (+422)
How about a Sunday longshot here? I’m liking the +422 odds here for Robles, as the Minnesota tandem of Ryan Jeffers and Victor Caratini are amongst the worst in the league at catching opposing base stealers. Jeffers should be behind the dish today, and he’s thrown out just 12% of base stealers on the year. Albeit underwhelming offensive numbers, Robles’ OBP is higher against RHP (.295) than lefties (.286), but against a vulnerable catching duo, Robles’ 86th percentile sprint speed is plenty fine.
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