The first Sunday of MLB home run picks alongside the NFL slate is here! Even if it means that you’re going to be locked into NFL Redzone and only scoreboard-watching the MLB action, you can get some immense value seeing those dingers come through. It’s the ideal pairing with your fantasy teams and more, so there is truly no going wrong. So, you just focus on tinkering with lineups and we’ll take care of breaking down the top MLB home run predictions today for you!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

If you can handle more than just MLB home run picks alongside your NFL plays and fantasy teams, then just check out our MLB expert picks. You can also swap to our NFL picks there, and believe it or not, NHL picks will be in there before you know it! That said, before you get over-stimulated, if you just want more MLB home run predictions, simply check out our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 9/13: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Those top MLB home run picks made the cut by having the best recipe of factors, which start with our MLB weather report. Once we’ve checked out wind, humidity, chance of rain and more, we can break down the starting pitchers on the mound. That means righty/lefty splits, hard-hit rates, slugging/ISO allowed and more.

The hitters actually crushing the MLB home run picks have many of the same metrics, including barrel rates and average exit velocities, but also have others to consider like launch angles. Speaking of more to consider, we also have to recognize that bullpens are a factor. So, let us fully break down each of today’s best MLB home run picks!

James Wood (+320)

An Angels vs. Nationals matchup is already awesome for dingers given their terrible bullpens, but when it’s also Grayson Rodriguez vs. Jake Irvin, it’s about as perfect as it gets. With the Washington bullpen having allowed OVER 100 homers, we wish the LA lineup was more reliable, but we still love making MLB home run picks on the Nats lineup.

The options for them are quite obvious ones, but that doesn’t make them any worse. There is also no reason to shy away from them since G-Rod gives up more powers to lefties to the tune of a .235 ISO. The righty has also allowed multiple homers in back-to-back starts, so this is a prime spot for both James Wood and CJ Abrams to go yard.

We had to lock one in, so we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with James Wood CJ Abrams hitting a HR (+320 at bet365). 

Munetaka Murakami (+438)

Next up is a cross-Central clash with White Sox vs. Cardinals. We won’t try to act like St. Louis is an amazing home run spot like Coors Field, but when we see Michael McGreevy toeing the rubber, we don’t mind. With this .224 expected ISO allowed to lefties, that sets up well for MLB home run picks to cash from Chicago.

Colson Montgomery is a more-than-reasonable pivot, but we like the rookie slugger here. His issue is swings-and-misses, but that is just not something McGreevy does - he pitches to contact. Well, when Murakami makes contact, it’s electric; he has a 100th percentile barrel rate, leading to a 99th percentile hard-hit rate and 98th percentile average exit velocity.

That’s more than enough big numbers for us to add to our top MLB home run picks today with Munetaka Murakami hitting a HR (+438 at DraftKings). 

Julio Rodriguez (+400)

Naturally, Randy Arozarena went yard the night AFTER we had him as one of our top three targets. The Seattle Mariners ended up pouring it on the A’s at Sutter Health Park in a 19-1 win, so why not go back to the Triple-A ballpark? Seattle’s got a lefty to take on tonight, and our target can cash some MLB home run picks against southpaws.

That’s because Julio has a .230 expected ISO to left-handed pitchers, and as we told you when we broke down Arozarena the other night, Julio is the Mariners righty that has come through for us in the past. A’s lefty Jacob Lopez can be very polarizing not allowing hard contact or allowing homers (19), and the home side of his splits are key in that regard.

Speaking of splits, we also see that 17 of those 19 homers allowed have been to righties. So, let’s round out our best MLB home run picks for today with Julio Rodriguez hitting a HR (+400 at bet365)

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Ready to add to the MLB home run picks above and your NFL Sunday? Well, look no further than our favorite longshot option for today…

We’re staying in that Mariners vs. A’s game because again, why not? The home team needs to answer that beatdown from last night, and a guy that we’ve seen hit our longshot before is the A’s second baseman. So, let’s do it again and lock in Jeff McNeil as our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Still  looking to add to your already loaded Sunday? No problem - we’ve pieced together multiple MLB home run picks for our favorite for-fun parlay today…

Abrams is the clear pivot from Wood, the same goes for Vargas, and you guessed - Raleigh is the Julio pivot. Everything correlates, so now all that’s left to do is to lock in the MLB home run picks that sound best to you!