MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best Home Run Predictions for May 19th, 2026
Tuesday's 15-game MLB slate has some genuinely intriguing pitching matchups to build our best MLB home run picks for today around. Dylan Cease vs. Will Warren in New York, Emmet Sheehan vs. Griffin Canning in San Diego, and Kumar Rocker going to Coors Field are three names that jump off the board immediately for anyone hunting plus-money power. The pitching and the parks are doing a lot of work for us today - let's get into it.
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Fifteen games mean plenty of angles to attack for our best MLB HR picks for today, and we've narrowed it down to the three targets we feel most confident about. Of course, this article is all about the plus-money - so check out our MLB expert picks for the rest of the board, and here are the names headlining our top MLB home run picks for today:
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/19: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
Always the first stop before locking in any best MLB HR picks for today - our MLB weather report. Tuesday afternoon starts in Miami, and the 4:10 PM ET Braves vs. Marlins game deserves a close look before first pitch, given the lefty vs. lefty matchup on the mound.
Beyond conditions, the pitching slate is loaded with opportunity. Kumar Rocker heads to Coors Field - one of the friendliest home run environments on the planet - and Reid Detmers draws the Athletics in Los Angeles, a matchup that sets up well for power on both sides. Here's how our best MLB home run predictions break down:
Kyle Schwarber (+227)
Like yesterday, there are several top spots to target for the long ball today, and we’re starting with Philly. Since it feels like this lefty slugger homers on a daily basis, if you’re wondering why you didn’t see his name pop up yesterday, it’s because he had the day off. Alec Bohm’s been coming on strong, but we’ve still got Schwarber as part of our MLB home run picks.
Taking on Chase Burns isn’t the perfect matchup, but at the same time, there is no mystery as to what’s coming. Burns throws a heater of a four-seamer. Yes, that’s virtually the extent of his arsenal. Bryce Harper has a worse chase and whiff rate than Kyle, hence the choice here. When contact is made against Burns, the exit velocity is high, given the velocity coming in.
It’s time to build on his MLB-leading 20 homers and our best MLB home run picks for today with Kyle Schwarber to hit a HR (+227 at Novig).
Mickey Moniak (+305)
So you’re telling us that there were 13 runs scored at Coors Field in Colorado last night, but there was just one home run? We certainly see that changing tonight, so the question becomes: who do we lock in? It’s all about picking the right guy on the right day, and tonight, we’re adding to our top MLB home run picks with Mickey Moniak.
With the Texas Rangers starting a lefty last night (which did NOT work out), the lefty slugger was held out of the lineup. You know that he’s going to be itching for home run #13 as he and teammate Hunter Goodman battle it out for the team lead. Texas starter Kumar Rocker may not throw supreme heat, but Moniak’s barrel rate has us confident.
Along with 10 of his 12 homers coming against righties, we love Mickey Moniak to hit a HR (+305 at BetMGM) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today.
Oneil Cruz (+525)
Before we get into our final top target here, consider the Blue Jays vs. Yankees AL East rivalry as well. Aaron Judge is sure to go yard after not doing so last night in the hitter-friendly park. That said, he’s a series likely not on the radar for many in terms of MLB home run picks, given the location of St. Louis.
Busch Stadium isn’t known to be as HR-friendly as Yankee Stadium, but with Matthew Liberatore on the mound for the Cards, we can’t pass this up. The lefty is throwing absolute meatballs down the middle this season, which is ideal for Oneil Cruz's crazy hard hit rate. Of course, consider Oneil Cruz and his great barrel rate as well.
Both of those guys are lefties, which Liberatore struggles against far more than righties. Pick-your-poison here, but we’ll add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Oneil Cruz to hit a HR (+525 at FanDuel).
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
With Coors Field in play and several hitter-friendly parks on the Tuesday card, the longshot market has real options worth considering. Here's the play we're rolling with for today's big payday:
As you can see, we’re heading out west to a series we have yet to target - Athletics vs. Angels. It may be more under-the-radar than the other California clash of Dodgers vs. Padres and not in Sacramento, but Angel Stadium is prone to homers as well. So, we’ve got an A’s hitter that simply doesn’t swing and miss and has a great sweet spot, & as our best MLB home run longshot for today.
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
Stack our featured targets or mix in a name from the deeper Tuesday card alongside one of our best MLB HR picks for today:
Three featured best MLB home run picks for today, a longshot with real upside, and a parlay built for a 15-game Tuesday slate. Enjoy our MLB home run predictions for May 19th and keep an eye on lineups as they're confirmed throughout the day!
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