And we’re back on track! Nick Kurtz went yard TWICE last night, which is exactly what we needed to start a new week with no NBA or NHL action. When it comes to locking in some MLB home run picks today, there are certainly some starting pitchers that will scare you away, such as Jesus Luzardo and Dylan Cease. Others like Gerrit Cole and Reid Detmers have their great outings and also ones where they can be exploited. Of course, it’s our job to determine if these are the spots to do so. With all 30 teams back on the diamond, let’s enjoy some MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

While we’re going to be focusing on our MLB home run picks, remember that you can always pair them with more markets thanks to our MLB expert picks. Furthermore, our new MLB home run prop tool is always worth your while! For those who just want our top MLB predictions ASAP, we’ve got you covered…

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/16: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

For more tools to take advantage of, our MLB weather report is always here for you. After all, last night’s wind in Wrigley made it a target for some MLB home run picks. Now that we’ve got a full slate to break down, that means even more metrics like HR/FB ratios, lefty/righty splits and even pitch-type performances. With those and many more in mind, let’s fully dive into each of our best MLB home run picks for today!

Michael Busch (+488)

Nick Kurtz is yet again one of the most likely hitters to go yard tonight, and rightfully so. However, we have to go back to windy Wrigley Field, where the gusts are even stronger tonight. It was all about Pete Crow-Armstrong’s cycle last night, but now, we’ve got a different lefty hitting one over the fence to start a new streak of cashing MLB home run picks.

For us, it’s between Michael Busch and Ian Happ, and frankly, they can both capitalize on Colorado Rockies starter Ryan Feltner. He doesn’t particularly have a lefty problem, but when it comes to Chicago bats that hit righties best, it’s Busch and Happ alongside PCA. So, we’ve got the first baseman making it three straight series with a dinger by leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Michael Busch to hit a HR (+488 at Novig).

Juan Soto (+245)

We hadn’t targeted Juan Soto all season until this past weekend, and he hit a bomb for us. We’re back on the New York Mets lefty for what will be our chalk pick of the day, but it’s worth it. That’s because of the trifecta that is ideal for MLB home run picks - the Great American Ball Park, Brady Singer and the Cincinnati Reds bullpen.

The stadium is ideal for homers, Singer has a HR/FB ratio we’ve picked on all season, and the Cinci bullpen is terrible. Also, when it comes to Singer, lefties have been absolutely smashing him to the tune of a .604 slugging percentage. Furthermore, Soto has crushed righty sinkers with a .381 average and exit velocity of over 100 mph.

It all adds up to the perfect recipe for us to add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Juan Soto hitting a HR (+245 at Caesars).

Brandon Lowe (+325)

Ok, NOW we can head back to Sacramento. Kurtz cashed for us last night and proved why Sutter Health Park remains ideal for dingers, and for tonight, we’ll be swapping to the Pittsburgh Pirates lineup. With the A’s starting Jack Perkins, we can’t expect an extremely long outing from the former reliever; the A’s bullpen is great for MLB home run picks.

Before we even get that far, Perkins has allowed at least one homer in each of his two starts this season, and the sheer fact that he’s only had two speaks volumes. For an even juicier payout, consider a different lefty - Spencer Horwitz, as this ballpark can absolutely help him get to homer #10 on the season.

Even still, for our top Pittsburgh target, we’re locking in Brandon Lowe to hit a HR (+325 at FanDuel) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today.

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

When it comes to today’s top MLB home run longshot pick, there are a few options out there. As for the one where we see the most value…

We simply can’t ignore Wrigley today, and with righties having success against Ryan Feltner as well, it’s time for Chicago’s second baseman to get his fifth homer this year. He certainly doesn’t have great raw power, but he’s still our best MLB home run longshot pick for today at this monster price tag!
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

One final way to make it as valuable a slate as possible is with our best MLB home run parlay for today…

Of course, you get to capitalize on our best MLB home run picks for today however you see fit, even though we love this all-Wrigley trio. Whether you take one name from the trio above or go round-robin style with some of the others, it’s all on the table!