Underdog PGA Pick’em: Open Championship Picks at Royal Portrush
Published: Jul 16, 2025
The world gets ready for the second-last major of the year at Royal Portrush, where the Open Championship is sure to present an exciting challenge of links golf. Fantasy Alarm returns with his Underdog Pick'em selection, exploring the specific challenges of this traditional layout. If you’re not yet on Underdog, head to FantasyAlarm.com/underdog and use code ALARM at signup for a 50% deposit match up to $1,000 and a 99% discounted pick. Let’s break down this week’s bold picks for Round 1.
Underdog Fantasy Golf Picks: 2025 The Open Championship Picks & Projections
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Now, let’s dive into our best Underdog Fantasy golf picks for the The Open Championship happening this week!
Bryson DeChambeau Underdog PGA Pick: Higher than 70.5 Strokes in Round 1
Kicking things off with a spicy take, we’re fading Bryson DeChambeau. His Open record is suspect, with just one top-10 in seven tries and three missed cuts, including at Royal Portrush in 2019. Bryson's high-flying ball and spin-based game are not a good match for the low, piercing shots needed on links courses. His recent performance is not confidence-inspiring either—fairway woes, dubious iron play, and a cold putter for his last four events. He’s lost strokes putting consistently, and his 74-73 start at Portrush in 2019 suggests he could easily exceed 70.5 strokes in Round 1.
Brooks Koepka Underdog PGA Pick: Higher than 3.5 Birdies in Round 1
Next, we’re banking on Brooks Koepka to shine. Despite a mixed season, Koepka has a knack for stepping up on big stages, especially in majors. He has an excellent Open Championship record, with four top-10s in five years, including a T4 at 2019 Royal Portrush. His game—isolated driving accuracy, world-class approach play, and good short game—is ideally suited to links golf when he's on. With Round 1 weather more inviting than the weekend forecast, Koepka can take advantage early, with 4+ birdies a safe bet as he chases a major he has yet to win.
Tony Finau Underdog PGA Bet: Over 3.5 Birdies in Round 1
Rounding out the selections is Tony Finau, a links-course horse who possesses some secret potential. Finau boasts one of the strongest Open Championship reputations on the board, with a third at Portrush in 2019 when he opened with a 68. Sure, he missed cuts in his previous two Opens, but he had five years of top-20s. His tee play's been good, and his irons still are, although his putter's been his achilles heel this season. But Finau has demonstrated he can get hot with the putter on links-style courses, even picking up strokes on the greens last season despite overall dismal play. At plus money, that makes this a value bet with great upside.
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