The NFL season has reached a fever pitch as we enter the Wild Card Round on Saturday. Fantasy managers and Underdog users are looking for every advantage to secure a win as the playoffs kickoff. This week features teams fighting for survival and players chasing legacy moments, creating massive value for player projections. We have identified specific plays that stand out based on recent volume, DVOA metrics, and favorable game scripts.

Elevate your football strategy with our Expert Picks and algorithmic Data Edge Picks designed to crush the spread. Scan the market for player prop value using our Prop Finder and real-time Odds Finder. Finally, validate every angle of your wager with our deep historical Betting Trends.

 

Underdog NFL Picks For Wild Card Weekend Saturday, 1/10

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Matthew Stafford Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 260.5 Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford has been nothing short of sensational down the stretch for the Los Angeles Rams. Coming off a vintage regular season where he led the NFL with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdowns, Stafford enters the Wild Card round with full momentum. The Rams are heavy favorites against the Panthers, but the matchup screams efficiency.

Carolina finished the season ranked 23rd in Pass Defense DVOA (12.6%), struggling to generate pressure without blitzing, a scenario Stafford typically exploits with surgical precision. With Puka Nacua fully healthy and the offense averaging 276.8 passing yards per game, expect Stafford to be aggressive early. The Rams' passing attack ranks top-5 in success rate, and 260 yards is often a baseline for this unit rather than a ceiling. Look for him to clear this yardage floor comfortably.

 

Bryce Young Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 30.5 Pass Attempts

The game script here is screaming volume for the Panthers' young quarterback. Bryce Young enters Saturday as a double-digit underdog against a Los Angeles team boasting the #4 ranked Defense in DVOA (-12.4%). The Rams' elite front is likely to stifle Carolina's ground game early, forcing the Panthers into a negative game script where they must abandon the run.

When trailing by multiple scores this season, Young’s volume has consistently spiked into the mid-30s to keep pace. Facing a top-tier Rams unit that allows very little on the ground, Young will be forced to drop back often simply to move the chains. Expect 35-40 drop backs as he attempts to chase points, making "Higher" on 30.5 attempts one of the strongest volume plays of the slate.

 

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