NFL Week 17 Best Player Prop Picks - Sunday, 12/28
The final weeks of the 2025 NFL season are here, and Week 17 offers a slate of games with massive playoff implications and exploitable matchups. With defenses worn down and offenses finding their rhythm, bettors can find significant value in player props this Sunday. We have analyzed the latest data and trends to identify five standout picks that are poised to hit. From rookie sensations continuing their hot streaks to veteran quarterbacks facing porous secondaries, here are the best player prop picks for Sunday, December 28.
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Best NFL Week 17 Player Prop Picks: Jacoby Brissett over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jacoby Brissett has been a steadying force for the Arizona Cardinals offense, and he finds himself in an ideal spot this week against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals' defense has struggled mightily down the stretch, currently ranking 30th in EPA per play and giving up substantial production through the air. Brissett has shown he can capitalize on weak matchups, recently throwing two touchdown passes against a much tougher San Francisco 49ers defense. With weapon Trey McBride dominating in the red zone, Brissett should have multiple opportunities to find pay dirt against a Cincinnati unit that allows over 240 passing yards per game.
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NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bets: Cam Ward Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Tennessee Titans rookie quarterback Cam Ward is playing the best football of his young career, hitting a rhythm that makes this prop a standout value. Ward has thrown at least two touchdown passes in three consecutive games, including impressive performances against the Chiefs and 49ers. He recently broke the Titans' rookie passing yardage record and has looked comfortable operating the offense efficiently in the red zone. Facing a Kellen Moore-led Saints team that has struggled defensively against dynamic passers, Ward is well-positioned to extend his multi-touchdown streak to four games.
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NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bets: Drake Maye Over 252.5 Passing Yards
Drake Maye is in a smash spot to eclipse 252.5 passing yards against a New York Jets defense that has completely collapsed over the last month. Although the Patriots are navigating injuries to depth pieces like Kayshon Boutte and Mack Hollins, the offense remains potent with a consolidated target hierarchy. Maye will lean heavily on veteran superstar Stefon Diggs and reliable tight end Hunter Henry to move the chains, while rookie Kyle Williams provides the explosive speed needed for chunk plays. The Jets' secondary has shown no ability to stop competent passing attacks recently, leaving passing lanes wide open for Maye to exploit. With the passing volume condensed to these elite options, Maye is well-equipped to shred this struggling defense.
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NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bets: Tony Pollard Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts
Tony Pollard has re-established himself as the bell cow of the Titans' backfield, seeing a heavy workload as Tennessee looks to control the clock. Pollard carried the ball 21 times in last week’s win over the Chiefs and had 25 attempts against Cleveland earlier in the month, averaging well over 20 carries in his last three outings. The Saints' run defense can be attacked, and with Cam Ward playing efficiently, the Titans should be able to sustain drives that keep Pollard on the field. Given his recent usage rate, 15 carries feels like a floor for Pollard in this contest.
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NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bets: Trey McBride Anytime TD
Cardinals tight end Trey McBride is having a historic season, already racking up 10 touchdowns and over 1,000 receiving yards. Despite a quieter outing last week against Atlanta, McBride remains the focal point of Arizona's passing attack, especially near the goal line. He faces a Bengals defense that has had no answer for elite tight ends all season, struggling to cover the middle of the field. With Brissett looking his way often and the Bengals ranking near the bottom of the league in red-zone defense, McBride is a prime candidate to find the end zone on Sunday.
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If you are looking to get in on the action for Week 16, Novig offers a unique betting experience with competitive market odds. To claim your bonus, simply download the Novig app and sign up for a new account. During the registration process, enter the promo code ALARM to unlock a $25bonus. Once your account is funded, navigate to the NFL section, select the player props market, and place your wagers on Henry, Maye, Diggs, or Lawrence to get started.
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