Looking for the best NFL TNF player prop picks for Week 7? The 4-2 Patriots visit the 4-2 Bears at Soldier Field on Thursday night, with Chicago favored by about three points and the total set near 50.5. Below, we break down our top Patriots vs. Bears player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.
Best NFL Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks
Both teams come in on short rest, and both are dealing with injuries. New England has placed Romeo Doubs on injured reserve and is thin on the offensive line, while Chicago has Caleb Williams in just his second start back from a hamstring injury and a running game that has led the league in rushing over the past two seasons. Here are the props we like best for Thursday night.
Patriots vs. Bears Player Props: Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Maye has been the league's hottest quarterback over the past three weeks, throwing 10 touchdown passes in that span, including three against the Jets last week and seven touchdowns with no interceptions over his last two games, plus a rushing score. He has at least 24 rushing yards in three straight games, and New England's receiver room is getting healthier, with A.J. Brown back from a four-game absence and DeMario Douglas stepping into a bigger role with Romeo Doubs on injured reserve. The matchup is tougher than the ones he has faced recently, as Chicago ranks 14th against the pass and sixth in scoring defense and plays man coverage on 31.9% of snaps, second-highest in the league, a coverage Maye has struggled against. The Patriots are also short several offensive linemen on a short week, so this is not a lock, but a quarterback who has thrown three or more touchdown passes in each of his last three games looks like a reasonable bet to reach two.
Patriots vs. Bears Player Prop Bets: D'Andre Swift Anytime TD
Swift has been Chicago's lead red-zone back all season, with 22 total red-zone looks through five games, and he has six rushing touchdowns through six games after scoring twice from inside the 10-yard line against Atlanta last week. With Kyle Monangai sidelined by toe and hand injuries and expected to miss another game on a short week, Swift took 58% of the snaps and 16 carries against the Falcons, three of them inside the five, and he should again handle at least 15 touches. The Bears are home favorites of about three points and have led the league in rushing across 2025 and 2026. New England's run defense has been solid in yardage terms at 90.8 yards allowed per game, sixth in the league, but it has still given up five rushing touchdowns in five games, and Swift's goal-line role makes him a strong anytime touchdown candidate. Roschon Johnson also scored last week, so the goal-line work is not exclusive, but Swift's usage near the end zone is hard to beat.
Thursday Night Football Player Props: Colston Loveland Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
Loveland has been a slow starter in 2026, catching 13 passes for 110 yards and no touchdowns on 23 targets over the first five games before a season-high 65 yards and his first score against Atlanta last week, which puts him at 175 yards through six games, or 29.2 per game. The Bears' offense has leaned on its running game and on Luther Burden, who caught all eight of his targets for 95 yards last week, and Chicago has been content to run it in the red zone. New England ranks among the top five in scoring defense at 18.8 points per game, with a veteran safety in Kevin Byard who practiced in full on Friday after a chest injury, and the Patriots play man coverage on about 32% of their snaps, among the most in the league. Loveland did see seven targets and two end-zone looks last week, so his role may be growing, but with his average sitting under 30 yards, staying under 39.5 receiving yards looks like the better side.
Patriots vs. Bears Player Prop Bets: DeMario Douglas Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
Douglas caught seven of eight targets for 86 yards and a touchdown against the Jets, his second straight game in the end zone and his third touchdown of the season, in a game Romeo Doubs left with a shoulder injury that has since landed him on injured reserve. With Doubs off the field, Douglas ran the second-most routes on the team (a 72.7% route rate) and led New England with a 28.6% target share per route and 2.31 yards per route. A.J. Brown is back from a four-game absence but is questionable with an ankle injury and was limited all week, and Mack Hollins is on injured reserve as well, which makes Douglas one of Maye's most trusted underneath options. Clearing 39.5 yards is not automatic, but a receiver in this role on a pass-heavy offense looks like a fair bet.
How to bet on NFL Week 7 Thursday Night Football Player Props at Novig Sportsbook & Claim Your Spend $10, Get $25 Bonus with promo code ALARM
New users can back any of these Patriots vs. Bears player prop picks at Novig Sportsbook and unlock a Spend $10, Get $25 Bonus offer using promo code ALARM. Sign up, make a qualifying $10 deposit and wager, and the bonus lands in the account automatically, no waiting on rollover requirements before getting started. It's a straightforward way to add extra plays around a Thursday night matchup already loaded with value on both sides.