NFL Super Bowl Picks Straight Up, Odds & Spreads For Super Bowl Sunday

Welcome to our NFL  Super Bowl Picks Straight Up! If you had told me in the preseason that I would be watching Sam Darnold and MVP-candidate Drake Maye facing off in Super Bowl 60, I would have told you that you are crazy, but here we are! This matchup features two elite defenses and two incredibly fun offenses, so I am really looking forward to kickoff. 

So without further ado, it is time to bring you our expert NFL Super Bowl Picks Straight Up. Below, you will find my pick and the odds and spreads for this week's game.

NFL Super Bowl Pick Straight up at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Super Bowl is here, and we have a great matchup on paper between the Seahawks and Patriots! In the following section, you will find my predictions, with the team I anticipate coming away with a victory highlighted in bold. Odds are courtesy of BetMGM:

• Seattle Seahawks -235 vs. New England Patriots +195

NFL Super Bowl Pick Straight Up: Seattle Seahawks ML (-225 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Here we are… It feels like just yesterday I was writing about the NFL kickoff between the Eagles and Cowboys, but now, there is just one game left. Going into the season, I loved the trajectory these two teams were on. They both had coaches I believed in and strong defensive units, but I believed these teams would be contenders in the 2026 season moreso than the 2025 season, after one more year to gel and get some more pieces, especially along the offensive line. Boy, was I wrong. Now these two teams have emerged as powerhouses, a year before my expected timeline, and are facing off in the Super Bowl. That being said, I believe one of these teams is just a little ahead of the curve than the other.

The Seattle Seahawks defense is so fun to watch. Their defensive line can routinely create pressure with just four rushers, thanks in large part to the dynamic interior duo of Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy II, along with the stunts along the front, incorporating the edge rushers. Behind them is one of the more complete back-seven units in the league, with Devon Witherspoon and rookie phenom Nick Emmanwori both able to take on the “star” role, Julian Love's versatility deep, and players like Ernest Jones IV, Josh Jobe, and Coby Bryant having career years. The Patriots' offense has admittedly struggled on their path to the Super Bowl, with just 18.0 PPG this postseason, the fewest by any team to make the Super Bowl since the 1979 Rams (15.0). They have had a tough road to get here, matching up against some of the league's best defenses in the Chargers, Texans, and Broncos, but the Seahawks are in that same caliber, while also boasting an elite offense.

I think the Patriots' defense can do enough to keep it close, but the Seahawks offense has shown that they are a step ahead of the Patriots. Even if the Patriots are able to stop the run with their own dynamic interior on the DLine, the Kubiak system this year has just found ways to get Jaxon Smith-Njigba open, helping lead to his career year. And if JSN is open, Sam Darnold will find him. I can pretty comfortably say that I expect the Seahawks to be hoisting the Lombardi this season, and the Patriots will have to wait at least one more year before they can get their first in the post-Brady/Belichick era.

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NFL Super Bowl Odds & Spread For Sunday's Big Game At BetMGM Sportsbook

We just unveiled our NFL Super Bowl pick, and below are the spread odds for the matchup, provided by BetMGM Sportsbook:

• Seahawks -4.5 (-110) vs. Patriots +4.5 (+100)

Be sure to come back and check out our NFL Super Bowl Pick Against the Spread, or take advantage of our BetMGM bonus code ALARM by signing up now!