Good news for anyone who hates weather chaos: Week 6 is about as calm as it gets. There's no snow, almost no rain, and three retractable roofs, plus a dome, taking the elements out of four games. The one game with a real wind forecast is Steelers at Buccaneers, and a handful of others carry gusts worth a quick look before you lock lineups. Here's the full game-by-game breakdown, plus how the weather ties into the injuries and season trends that matter for your fantasy football and DFS builds.

 

 

 

Weather Forecast

Thursday, October 15

  • Seahawks at Broncos (8:15 PM ET): 52° at kickoff with 7 mph wind and 0% rain, though the 7 PM hour shows gusts to 18 mph out of the north. Temperatures slide to 44° by 11 PM. The total has dropped two points to 40.5, which fits two offenses that haven't been consistent. Denver ranks 26th in scoring at 19.4 points per game, and Seattle comes in with seven interceptions and 14 sacks.

Sunday, October 18, 9:30 AM ET

  • Texans at Jaguars (Wembley, London): Retractable roof, so weather only matters if it's open. The outdoor forecast is 53° with 13 mph wind and a 16% chance of rain. The total is down a point to 42.5. C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins are the engine for Houston, but David Montgomery is week-to-week with a groin injury, while Jacksonville has allowed just 70 points all season.

Sunday, October 18, 1:00 PM ET

  • Bears at Falcons: Retractable roof, so the outdoor numbers (57°, 15 mph with gusts to 24, 0% rain) only count if it's open. The total has jumped four points to 51.5, the biggest move on the board. Caleb Williams looks on track to return, and Michael Penix is optimistic about playing through a rib injury. Bijan Robinson leads the league with 580 rushing yards.
  • Ravens at Browns: 58° with 9 mph wind, gusts of 14 to 15 mph out of the southwest, and 1% rain. The total is up a point to 42.5. Lamar Jackson has some hope of returning from an ankle injury, with Tyler Huntley the fallback after a 24-of-32 outing against Atlanta.
  • Panthers at Eagles: 54° with 5 mph wind and 5% rain. Easy conditions, but the total has fallen three points to 40.5. Bryce Young leads the NFL in passing yards at 1,268, while Philadelphia has lost three straight and has Saquon Barkley (hamstring) questionable.
  • Titans at Colts: Retractable roof, 57° and 6 mph outdoors if open. The total is unchanged at 44.5. Jonathan Taylor has 398 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns as the Colts face the NFL's lowest-scoring offense.
  • Jets at Patriots: 51° with 7 mph wind, gusts to 15 mph, and 2% rain. The total is unchanged at 43.5. Drake Maye is coming off a five-touchdown game, and Breece Hall (quad) is questionable at best for New York.
  • Saints at Giants: 54° with 7 mph wind, gusts of 12 to 14 mph, and 2% rain. The total is unchanged at 45.5. Chris Olave has 537 receiving yards, second in the NFL, and Jameis Winston threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns in last week's tie.
  • Steelers at Buccaneers: 76° with 17 mph wind, gusts of 28 to 31 mph from the northeast and east-northeast, and a 9% chance of rain. This is the one game where wind could matter. The total has slipped a point to 39.5, the lowest on the slate.

Sunday, October 18, Late Window

  • Cardinals at Rams (4:05 PM ET): A fixed canopy with open-air sides, so weather applies. It's 84° with 2 mph wind and 0% rain, the warmest and calmest outdoor game of the week. The total holds at 51.5. The Rams lead the NFL in passing yards at 1,538, with Davante Adams at 441 and Puka Nacua at 337.
  • Bills at Raiders (4:25 PM ET): Indoor venue, no weather impact. The total has climbed two points to 53.5.
  • Chargers at Chiefs (4:25 PM ET): 66° with 10 mph wind, gusts to 17 mph, and 0% rain. The total has dropped three points to 42.5. Justin Herbert has 937 passing yards, five touchdowns, and seven interceptions, and Kenneth Walker has 537 rushing yards.
  • Cowboys at Packers (8:20 PM ET): 57° at kickoff, falling to 51° by 11 PM, with 10 mph wind and gusts of 22 to 24 mph out of the south-southwest. No rain. The total has risen three points to 53.5. Christian Watson has 474 receiving yards, fifth in the league.

Monday, October 19

  • Commanders at 49ers (8:15 PM ET): 65° with 12 mph wind, gusts of 21 to 23 mph out of the west-northwest, and 1% rain. The total holds at 50.5. Jayden Daniels is back from his elbow injury, and the 49ers are 5-0.

 

Worst Weather Games

Calling these the worst is relative, because nothing here looks like a true storm. Still, these are the five games where the elements carry at least some weight.

  • Steelers at Buccaneers: Sustained wind around 17 mph with gusts above 28 mph is the one forecast that could change how a game is played. Wind that strong tends to bother deep passing and long kicks.
  • Cowboys at Packers: Gusts of 22 to 24 mph at Lambeau on Sunday night, along with a cool evening, make downfield throws and long field goals less reliable.
  • Commanders at 49ers: Gusts above 20 mph on Monday night are enough to nudge the deep passing game, though the sustained wind is only 10 to 12 mph.
  • Chargers at Chiefs: Steady 10 mph wind with gusts to 17 mph. This is a mild flag, but it lines up with a game where the Chiefs are heavy favorites and can lean on Walker.
  • Seahawks at Broncos: The temperature falls from 52° to 44° during the game, and early gusts reach 18 mph. The weather is a minor factor, but the offenses already have enough problems.

 

 

 

Best Weather Games

These are the games where you can set your lineups without worrying about the elements.

  • Bills at Raiders: Indoors, with a 53.5 total, the highest on the board. Josh Allen leads the league's top-scoring offense, and Kirk Cousins has 12 touchdown passes, with Brock Bowers at 312 receiving yards.
  • Bears at Falcons: Roof games remove the wind entirely, and with the total up four points, Robinson and the returning quarterbacks are in a clean environment.
  • Cardinals at Rams: 84° and nearly calm is ideal for a Rams passing attack that leads the league. Nacua saw 24 targets in a game last week.
  • Panthers at Eagles: 54°, light wind, and almost no rain. Conditions are fine for Young's volume, even though the total has fallen.
  • Titans at Colts and Texans at Jaguars: Both roofs are weather-proof if closed, and neither game is likely to be affected.
  • Honorable mentions go to Saints at Giants, Jets at Patriots, and Ravens at Browns, all in the 50s with wind below 10 mph and almost no rain.

 

Rain and Snow Impact

There is no snow anywhere on the slate, with temperatures ranging from 44° in Denver late Thursday night to 84° in Los Angeles. Rain isn't a factor either. The highest chances are 16% at Wembley (only if the roof is open), 9% in Tampa, and 5% in Philadelphia, and every other outdoor game is at 2% or less. That means no slippery-ball concerns and no reason to shift your fantasy plans toward the run game because of precipitation. If you see a pop-up shower in Tampa, treat it as a footnote.

 

Wind Impact

Wind is the only weather story this week, and it's concentrated in a few places. Steelers at Buccaneers is the headliner, with sustained wind around 17 mph and gusts of 28 to 31 mph blowing from the northeast through the afternoon. Forecast commentary points to long field goals and maybe a deep throw or two as the likely casualties, while most of the game should play without wind deciding the outcome.

That wind should matter most for how the Steelers and Buccaneers get their yards. Pittsburgh leads the league in yards after catch with 714, and Aaron Rodgers threw three touchdowns on 22-of-31 passing last week, so short and intermediate throws still work. Jaylen Warren is a clear fit for a short-passing game after producing 101 rushing yards and a touchdown plus six catches for 87 yards and another score against the Colts. On the Tampa side, Bucky Irving has 406 rushing yards, and the Buccaneers have been dangerous in the red zone on the ground. Rookie Jalon Daniels has been the starter, with Baker Mayfield (thumb) potentially closing in on a return, so the Bucs have a natural reason to lean on the run in these conditions.

Behind that, the next tier of wind games includes Cowboys at Packers (gusts 22 to 24 mph), Commanders at 49ers (gusts 21 to 23 mph), and Chargers at Chiefs (gusts to 17 mph). None of those is a wind game in the traditional sense, but gusts above 20 mph can affect kickers and deep shots. In the Cowboys-Packers game, that's worth remembering with a 53.5 total and a Green Bay offense that can't run the ball, since Jordan Love has to do the work through the air.

 

Games to Avoid in DFS Because of Weather

The honest answer is that there's only one game that deserves a real warning, and a few that deserve a footnote.

  • Steelers at Buccaneers (avoid): The 39.5 total is the lowest on the slate, and the wind makes a low-scoring game even more likely. Skip downfield stacks built around deep shots, and be careful with kickers attempting long field goals. If you want exposure, stick to volume-based pieces like Warren and Irving.
  • Cowboys at Packers (proceed with caution): Gusts above 22 mph at Lambeau won't stop a game with a 53.5 total, but they argue against paying up for deep-ball specialists. Target usage and short-area production are safer bets than big plays.
  • Commanders at 49ers (proceed with caution): A Monday night with 23 mph gusts is a minor concern, especially with Daniels still dealing with elbow risk. The 50.5 total says the market isn't worried, so this is more about kickers than skill players.
  • Chargers at Chiefs (minor flag): With a 42.5 total and gusts to 17 mph, it's one of the lower-scoring games on the slate. Herbert's struggles are a bigger problem than the weather.

Everywhere else, build your lineups the way you normally would. The weather won't be the reason a stack falls apart this week.