After the second Monday Night Football doubleheader, we’re back to the single matchup to close out NFL Week 5. It’s a prime time game that features Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (again), this time in Jacksonville, taking on Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars. For the slate finale, we’ve got our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football for you.

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NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday Night Football, 10/6

Multiple times already this season, the Jags' pass defense has come through for our best bets, most recently by allowing Brock Purdy to throw for 309 yards. However, they certainly don’t care, as Jacksonville got the win and is now sitting at 3-1!

That’s right - the Jags currently have a better record than the Chiefs, but you’ll see that with KC favored, they’re sure to be a part of some fan’s NFL best bets for Monday Night Football. After all, they have won eight straight games against Jacksonville, and not only that, but they’re also 6-2 against the spread in that span.

We’ve got a few different ways to consider playing this game when it comes to locking in your NFL picks for MNF, so let’s get into some overall NFL predictions for Chiefs vs. Jaguars.

 

 

 

Monday Night Football Prediction for Chiefs vs. Jaguars

Jacksonville has been able to have success this season for a few reasons, and not playing the best teams (1-3 Panthers and Texans) and teams that have been banged up (Bengals and 49ers). Beyond that, they’ve had some fantastic offensive line play.

The Jags rank fourth in both pass block and run block win rate, whereas the Chiefs have been awful at stopping the run defensively. So, look for yet another big game from Travis Etienne (124 yards and a TD last week) and perhaps even the breakout game for rookie RB Bhayshul Tuten.

After hitting on a Danielle Hunter sack prop pick last weekend, this is also a spot where we’d consider the same play for Jags’ Josh Hines-Allen, but the Travon Walker injury is a concern. Interestingly enough, with all of that focus on Jacksonville, we still expect KC to come away with the victory. So, let’s get into the top pick from our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football.

 

 

 

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Best Bet for NFL Week 5: Patrick Mahomes Over 22.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at Rebet)

Since we’re already going to be focusing on the three-time Super Bowl MVP, we’d also like to share with you that Chalkboard Fantasy will have a FREE Patrick Mahomes pick for MNF (0.5 passing yards) to enjoy!

While you’re taking advantage of that sweat-free pick, our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football are focused on Mahomes using his legs, which he’s been doing all season. He remains the Chiefs’ leading rusher, and while that’s not great news for long-term success, we’re just worried about hitting this prop on MNF.

The pressure created by the aforementioned Josh Hines-Allen should force Mahomes to scramble, which he’s done quite often this year AND against Jacksonville specifically. Although these teams didn’t play last season, in their last two meetings, Mahomes has rushed seven times in each for 30 and 39 yards.

Since we expect KC to come away with the win, you could also consider rush attempts to capitalize on kneel downs counting towards that. We still like the yardage even with that factor, making the top pick from our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football on Patrick Mahomes over 22.5 rushing yards (-120 at Rebet).

 

 

 

Top NFL Player Props & Picks for Monday Night Football, 10/6

We’ve also got those covered, looking to go beyond our NFL picks with some popular Chiefs vs. Jaguars player props for MNF at Rebet Social Sportsbook:

Passing Yards:

Rushing Yards:

Receiving Yards:

Anytime TD Scorer: 

 

 

 

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