Week 9 was a bit of a hit-or-miss slate, especially if you didn’t have Joe Mixon, Davante Adams, or Justin Fields in your builds. But if you paid up for your studs by paying way down to the New York Jets at the ripe price of $2,000 on DraftKings then you enjoyed the spoils of 5X value from a dirt-cheap squad. But let’s focus on Week 10 because we have some key injuries to Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford to be aware of that could push us to some easy value D/ST’s this week. Let’s dig in and see if we can find that slate-breaking D/ST that can pop off for 15+ fantasy points for your NFL DFS cash game and tournament lineups!
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NFL DFS D/ST Top Plays Week 10
Do we need to go in depth here? It feels like whenever Dallas is on the main slate, you get exposure no matter what. They’re fresh off their Bye week and they visit Green Bay who will be without Romeo Doubs and could be without Aaron Jones on Sunday, but we’ll have a better idea heading into the weekend. The Cowboys have one of the best pass rushes in the league with 33 sacks through eight games. They’re the most expensive D/ST on both DraftKings and FanDuel and they’ve posted double-digit fantasy points in five of their last six games. Now as always, only play Dallas if you can afford them. Otherwise, we have some great D/ST’s that you can pay down for in Week 10. The rest of the D/ST’s that are priced up this week aren’t necessarily all that great (in my opinion) and I really like the value options on the slate. So I’m advising you to only pay up for Dallas if you can fit them in. If not, don’t sweat it. Read on for some other great options.
NFL DFS D/ST Mid-Price Plays Week 10
The Titans get a delicious matchup against the Denver Broncos this week, but be a little cautious, Denver is coming off their Bye week and they had a little momentum with a big win over the Jaguars in London a couple weeks back. But the Titans are starting to generate some momentum. In their last five games they have 16 sacks, nine turnovers, and they’ve held each opponent in that span to 20 or fewer points. Tennessee ranks top 12 in terms of pressure rate, sacks, and turnover rate and Denver’s offense has been tough to trust through the first half of the season. The Titans are favored by roughly a field goal and this game only has a projected total of 37.5 points, which isn’t just one of the lowest totals on the slate, but one of the lowest we’ve seen all year.
The Cardinals have the pleasure of visiting the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10 and Matthew Stafford entered concussion protocols on Wednesday. So if he can’t give it a go this week then it looks like John Wolford will be under center, but we’ll have a better idea heading into the weekend. The Rams offense, with Matthew Stafford, has been the most fantasy-friendly offense for D/ST’s. Back in Week 3 the Cardinals didn’t have the greatest performance against Los Angeles, but they’ve been performing better of late but their DFS production is a little fluky with four touchdowns scored in as many games. The Rams don’t have the greatest homefield advantage as I’ve mentioned in previous article when targeting this offense. If Stafford sits, fire up the Cardinals. Even if he somehow plays, the Cardinals are still a good Tournament play especially if ownership flocks to a value D/ST we’ll get to shortly. Update: With Josh Allen trending toward starting for the Buffalo Bills, the Cardinals become my favorite D/ST on the board this week considering the Rams give up the most fantasy points to opposing D/ST's and they're preparing as if John Wolford is going to be their starter on Siunday.
NFL DFS D/ST Value Plays Week 10
I know most people want to flock to the other D/ST in this game. However, I don’t think they’re worth it. Instead I like the Colts, who have a good defense and great personnel on this defense. Despite losing 26-3 last week to New England, the Colts returned seven points in DFS and they’re finally getting healthy on the defensive side. They don’t force a ton of turnovers which is a bummer, but they have 19 sacks in their last six games and I like the price tag for a decent defense going against an inconsistent offense. The road matchup is a little concerning but this will be in the late window on Sunday and I think this game won’t be anything spectacular and hopefully very low scoring.
The Vikings will be a popular D/ST to target across all sites and formats this week. But it’s dependent on Josh Allen missing Sunday’s game for the Bills. It looks like the betting market anticipates the UCL injury to sideline Allen in Week 10 because this game opened with the over/under at 48.5 points and it’s been bet down to 43.5 and the Bills are only favored by roughly a field goal. The Vikings D/ST isn’t without its faults, but they’ve forced ten turnovers and 17 sacks in their last five games. Josh Allen has missed the last two practices this week and it’s likely he’s out Friday as well. Case Keenum is a competent backup quarterback if the Bills have to go that route. I anticipate more involvement in dumping off to Nyheim Hines and Devin Singletary, but he could still make use of weapons like Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Dawson Knox, etc. But Josh Allen’s absence would simply be enough reason to pay way down to the Vikings as the second-cheapest D/ST on DraftKings and FanDuel. Update: The Bills did not upgrade an additional quarterback to the roster, which signals that Josh Allen will start Sunday against Minnesota. This downgrades Minnesota a little bit, but doesn't necessarily eliminate them completely from Tournament consideration. Remember, this is a position of high variance and the Jets put up out ten fantasy points against this offense last week.
NFL DFS D/ST Fades Week 10
Las Vegas Raiders
I understand the Colts offense looked like an absolute mess last week. And since that game they’ve fired Frank Reich and brought in Jeff Saturday to be their interim head coach and he has zero head coaching experience at the NFL or college levels. But the Raiders are the third-most expensive D/ST on DraftKings and second-most expensive unit on FanDuel. The Raiders allow the fifth-most yards per game at 371.3 and they allow 25.6 points per game which is sixth-most in the league. Now will the Colts put up those numbers? Probably not. But given the D/ST landscape this week you can find a similar ceiling at a cheaper price tag. And Jonathan Taylor returned to practice on Wednesday so if he is a go I’m even more inclined to pivot off Vegas. The Raiders have just nine sacks and five turnovers in eight games and they’re fresh off releasing Jonathan Abram earlier this week. The price tag just doesn’t make much sense this week so we can look elsewhere.
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