Toronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets
Total: 218.5
Spread: DEN -4
The Toronto Raptors will travel into the Mile-High City to take on the Denver Nuggets in a non-conference NBA Showdown!
Player News:
*Michael Porter Jr. – Probable (Ankle)
*Fred VanVleet – OUT (Rest)
*Chris Boucher – OUT (MCL)
*Will Barton – OUT (Hamstring)
*Gary Trent Jr. – OUT (Leg)
*Monte Morris – OUT (Hamstring)
*Jamal Murray – OUT (ACL)
Player Breakdowns:
CPT/MVP
1.) Nikola Jokic C (DEN) $19,200 –
Jokic is expensive tonight as he is roughly 3.3K higher than the next top-priced play in Pascal Siakam . However, we know what Jokic is capable of and the Raptors are going to be short-handed as is. Jokic turned in another 60+ fantasy point performance last night against the Pelicans in 36 minutes of action. He has topped 53 fantasy points in his last three-straight contests played while seeing 29, 30, and 36 minutes. Jokic has pretty much secured a 50-fantasy point floor for his last ten home games.
2.) Michael Porter Jr. SF/PF (DEN) $15,300 –
MPJ has been excellent lately, and has reeled off 59, 47, and 44 fantasy points in his last three games since Will Barton went down. This has catapulted Porter Jr. even further up the pecking order into the one of the main go-to’s on offense with so many injuries for the Nuggets. He has played 36, 36, and 40 minutes over his last three games, so that’s most definitely an encouraging sign. Looking for him to stay hot tonight in a plus match up.
MID-TIER:
1.) Kyle Lowry PG (TOR) $9,000 –
I believe if the Raptors want to hang around in this game then Lowry is going to have to play lights-out. Lowry has slowly come around lately and has topped 31 fantasy points in four of his last five contests played while seeing 34 or more minutes to boot. He has only failed to eclipse the 38+ fantasy point total in just two of his last eight games on the road, as well. Like the spot here for Lowry.
2.) OG Anunoby SF/PF (TOR) $8,600 –
OG has also played well lately, as he has gone for 33 or more fantasy points in his last five-straight games. He has also not played anything lower than 32 minutes in his last eight-straight. He has averaged a shade over 39 fantasy points over his last four road games.
3.) Khem Birch C (TOR) $6,400 –
Birch continues to fill the starting role at Center for the Raptors and he is producing with the extra minutes. Birch has now put up 31 and 36 fantasy points over his last two games against two decent Center-defending teams in the Nets and Cavaliers. As long as he is getting starter minutes and run, he will have value at his cheap price.
VALUE:
1.) Facundo Campazzo PG/SG (DEN) $5,400 –
This is a very fair price on Campazzo, who is getting more and more comfy in the starting PG role now for the Nuggets as they are decimated with injuries in the backcourt. Campazzo torched the Pelicans last night for 49 fantasy points in 36 minutes of action with 19 points, six boards, 10 dimes, two steals and a block. He is absolutely in play tonight here against the Raptors.
2.) Malachi Flynn PG (TOR) $4,600 –
Flynn likely will see a bump in minutes here for tonight with VanVleet and Trent Jr. both on the shelf. Flynn has really played well when given extended run, as we saw many games where he produced 30+ fantasy points when Lowry sat earlier this season. He has played 21 and 24 minutes in his last two games and notched out 36 and 23 fantasy points as a result. He should see extra minutes here, and it wouldn’t shock me if he saw 30+.