NBA Best Bets Today, 3/13: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Thursday

Bam Adebayo recorded more rebounds and assists, seven each, then he did points, six. He played 35 minutes but attempted just seven field goals as the Miami Heat lost to the Los Angeles Clippers 119-104. The Boston Celtics gave great effort, but the Oklahoma City Thunder proved to be the better team with an underdog road victory.
Peyton Watson earned a block early in the first half and Nikola Jokic appeared to earn a block against Anthony Edwards, but it was awarded as a steal. So, it goes sometimes as the sportsbooks have their projections dialed in, which leads up to our NBA best bets today.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 3/13
There are five games today in the Association, and for an in-depth look at the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks match, take a look at my Lakers vs. Bucks Predictions.
The NBA best bets today focus on the statistic that we count on the most, rebounds.
Nets vs. Bulls Prediction: Nikola Vucevic Double-Double (+140 on Bet365) *BET OF THE NIGHT
Well, maybe not exclusively rebounds, as we look at our first bet on The Well in over a month. Nikola Vucevic is back, and we are betting on the big man to do what he does, average a double double. The Chicago Bulls host the Brooklyn Nets at United Center in an Eastern Conference showdown.
Vucevic missed seven consecutive games before returning on March 10th, and he earned a double-double in his return. Prior to that his last match was on February 22nd, and in that match he recorded a double double. Today his rebounding line is set at 8.5 and heavily juiced on the over. Instead of taking a juiced up rebounding line, take the plus odds double double.
Vucevic is averaging 19.0 points and 10.3 rebounds per game, and a double double is always a possibility with the big man from Montenegro. His career rebounding average is 10.5, and he has fresh legs tonight against a team playing for a draft pick.
The Nets allow an average of 52.2 rebounds per game this season, but in their most recent match they allowed 61. Over their last three games they have allowed an average of 59.0 per game, and they are not playing as aggressive as earlier this season. This should benefit Vucevic with more rebounds throughout the game.
The Bulls are in tenth place of the Eastern Conference, are on a three game win streak, and only 2.5 games back from eighth place. As bad as their season has been they have a great opportunity to make the playoffs. They have something meaningful to play for and are slight (-2.5) favorites in this match. Look for Vucevic to play with intensity and cover the double-double line. Put a unit on it to begin our NBA best bets today.
Magic vs. Pelicans Prediction: Yves Missi O7.5 Rebounds (-115 on DraftKings)
Yves Missi of the New Orleans Pelicans was a player our NBA picks targeted against. The data uncovered in the Betting Bungalow suggest it’s time to flip the switch, and count on him to out rebound his opponent. Or if not his opponent at least the sportsbook.
Missi is making a case for the 2024-2025 NBA All-Rookie team, although Kel’el Ware of the Miami Heat has been playing well as a center too. Missi has recorded eight or more rebounds in his last two games despite not playing more than 28 minutes. Missi has been dependable for the Pelicans in a season where their starting roster looks nothing like it did on opening day. He has played 63 of 66 matches this season, and he has improved throughout the year.
Missi averages 8.0 rebounds per game and this prediction requires him to earn his average tonight. He has eight or more rebounds in five of his last ten games, and the Orlando Magic have been one of the worst rebounding teams in the Association lately.
Although they are a top six team in rebounds allowed this season, they gave up 77 in their most recent match. That is almost too many rebounds to imagine, and they have allowed an average of 59.3 over their last three games.
The Pelicans are not worried about tanking because they are already there. Instead they would like to get a look at their roster, evaluate the talent they have, and plan for roster construction next year. Missi is part of the future and will have an impact in this match with Kelly Olynyk listed as out. Put a unit on Missi to cover his rebounding prop at DraftKings and take advantage of Fantasy Alarm’s promotion for new customers.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 3/13
As mentioned, the nationally televised, marquee match of the day is between the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks.
There is a rebounding prop too good to pass by, and worth a mention in our NBA best bets today.
Lakers vs. Bucks Prediction: Dorian Finney-Smith O4.5 Rebounds (+110 on Bet365)
DFS might lead one to think of daily fantasy sports, and for first place winning advice make sure to check out Fantasy Alarm’s NBA DFS picks, projections, lineups and injuries article. However Dorian Finney-Smith is the DFS in the last NBA best bet of today.
Finney-Smith and Luka Doncic are reunited (and it feels so good), and both should be in the starting lineup tonight. Finney-Smith is known as more of a ‘3&D’ guy, but he is a capable rebounder.
He is 6’ 7”, listed as 220 pounds, and has been playing well above his average minutes since joining the Lakers. His season average is currently 28.9 minutes per game, but he has played 36 or more minutes in three of his last four matches, and 30 minutes in the match he did not.
As mentioned, Finney-Smith is a defensive first player, and he has five rebounds in three of his last five games. He has recorded five or more rebounds in five of his last nine games, and he was rested in the Lakers most recent match against his former team, the Brooklyn Nets. Tonight the Lakers will be without LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, and Jaxson Hayes. Those are three great front court rebounders, and Finney-Smith will be asked to pick up the slack.
Put a unit on him to record five or more rebounds against the Bucks today. If you are a new customer, make sure to take advantage of Bet365’s promotional offer below.
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Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy
*All odds accurate at time of writing and NBA best bets today to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise