Friday's NBA Cup slate includes Cavaliers vs. Heat and Hawks vs. Bulls at 8 p.m. ET, and we've got a side in both games plus four player props.
Injuries drive tonight's best spots. Cleveland is without Evan Mobley, which leaves the Cavaliers short on answers for Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Chicago has lost eight straight with rookie Caleb Wilson dealing with a fractured hand. Milwaukee's eight-game skid and Sacramento's 0-6 home record open up a few more targets on the prop side. Atlanta also comes in rested after three days off. New users can get $100 instantly in bonus bets at Rebet Sportsbook when they sign up.
NBA Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 11/13
Our NBA best bets for Friday are Heat -2.5 against the Cavaliers and Hawks -6.5 at the Bulls. On the prop side, we're featuring Dyson Daniels Over 13.5 rebounds + assists and Wendell Carter Over 8.5 rebounds, with Jaime Jaquez. Over 13.5 points and Toumani Camara Over 2.5 three-pointers made, rounding out our NBA player props today. Shop around before you bet.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction: Friday, 11/13
Pick: Heat -2.5
Both teams are 1-0 in NBA Cup East Group B, and Miami has the cleaner injury report. Cleveland is without Evan Mobley (toe), Sam Merrill (elbow), and Nae'Qwan Tomlin (back), and losing Mobley takes away the Cavaliers' best answer for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Giannis is probable with a wrist issue and is averaging 27.7 points and 12.6 rebounds on 56.7% shooting. The Heat have won two straight, including a 115-109 win at Utah on Tuesday, and they push the tempo, ranking third in pace according to ESPN's Hollinger team stats. Without Mobley, Cleveland is short on size to keep him out of the paint.
The numbers aren't all on Miami's side. Cleveland ranks 10th in offensive efficiency to the Heat's 19th, James Harden just dropped 32 at Madison Square Garden, and the Cavaliers make 15.3 threes per game. Klay Thompson and Pelle Larsson are also questionable for Miami. At only 2.5 points, though, we'll back the home team with the best player on the floor. Heat -2.5 is our first of Friday's NBA best bets.
Hawks vs. Bulls Prediction: Friday, 11/13
Pick: Hawks -6.5
Chicago is 1-9, has lost eight straight and is 0-4 at home. Rookie Caleb Wilson, who was averaging 18.9 points, is dealing with a fractured hand, and Norman Powell is day-to-day with a shoulder issue.
Atlanta is 7-5, 4-2 on the road and has won four of its last five. Chicago ranks last in defensive efficiency and first in pace, and the Bulls are shooting just 28.9% from three. Against a Hawks defense led by Dyson Daniels and his three steals per game, Chicago's 19-turnover night against San Antonio on Wednesday is a bad sign.
The risk is the margin. Atlanta committed 20 turnovers in Monday's loss to the Lakers, and Chicago swept last season's series 3-0. We'll still lay the points against a short-handed Bulls team in this kind of slide. Hawks -6.5 rounds out our game picks among today's NBA best bets.
Best NBA Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 11/13
Dyson Daniels Over 13.5 Rebounds + Assists
Daniels is averaging 10.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists across five November games, and he's gone over this number in four straight. His best line came at Washington on Nov. 4, when he grabbed 16 boards and handed out eight assists, and he followed it with nine rebounds and 12 assists against the Wizards two nights later.
The risk is his full-season average of 12.8, which is dragged down by a slow October. The role has changed, though. He's played at least 31 minutes in every November game after averaging 28.9 in October.
Chicago is the ideal opponent. The Bulls play the fastest pace in the league, rank 30th in defensive efficiency and are tied for 27th in rebound rate, so the extra possessions should mean extra chances on the glass and in transition. We're backing the November version of Daniels.
Wendell Carter Over 8.5 Rebounds
Carter has cleared 8.5 rebounds in 8 of 11 games and is averaging 10.2 in November. He had a five-game run of nine or more boards before Wednesday's seven-rebound game at Utah.
Milwaukee ranks 26th in offensive efficiency and 23rd in rebound rate, and the Bucks' opponents have averaged 49.7 rebounds over their last 10 games. Myles Turner is questionable, which could thin out Milwaukee's frontcourt even more.
Minutes are the risk with Orlando a 9-point favorite, and Carter played just 28 in Wednesday's 15-point win. With Paolo Banchero still out, though, Carter is Orlando's starting center, and this is the best rebounding matchup he's had all week.
More player props we like on Friday's slate:
- Jaime Jaquez. Over 13.5 Points: Jaquez has topped 13.5 in 9 of 12 games and just scored 25 against the Lakers, and Orlando ranks 21st in defensive efficiency.
- Toumani Camara Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made: Camara is making 2.9 threes per game at 43.2% and draws a Sacramento team that ranks 28th in defensive efficiency and is 0-6 at home.
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