Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants

Chicago Cubs -110

Game Total: 8

 

Game Play Predictions

Chicago Cubs

  • The Cubs come into this game in the top six for several offensive categories. They are 4th in runs scored, 2nd in batting average, 1st in on-base percentage, and 6th in slugging percentage.
  • They have five players who have ISOs sitting over .170 vs left-handed pitchers this season. Willson Contreras , Javier Báez , Addison Russell , Ian Happ , and David Bote .
  • The Cubs also have a few hitters who really struggle vs left-handed pitchers, with ISOs under .120. Anthony Rizzo , Kyle Schwarber , Jason Heyward , Ben Zobrist .
  • They have scored five or more runs in eight of their last 10 games while giving up five or more runs, six times.
  • José Quintana is on the mound tonight for the Cubs and he comes in with a 21% strikeout rate, 10% walk rate, and a 43% ground ball rate. He has given up three or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts.
  • Quintana has given up two or more walks in each of his last 10 starts, while only racking up six or more strikeouts five times.
  • The Cubs have a 104 wRC+ as a team vs left-handed pitchers, which is ninth best in the league this season.

San Francisco Giants

  • The Giants have a team wOBA sitting at .296 vs left-handed pitchers this season, which is seventh worst in the league.
  • The Giants have six hitters who have wOBA’s over .300 vs left-handed pitchers this season. Buster Posey , Nick Hundley , Andrew McCutchen , Brandon Belt , Brandon Crawford , Gorkys Hernández .
  • Derek Holland has been strong vs lefties this season, but very weak vs righties. He is giving up a .225 wOBA to lefties and a .358 wOBA to righties.
  • The Giants are below league average in several pitching categories. They are 17th in ERA, 17th in WHIP, 21st in BAA, but 9th in quality starts.
  • They are also below average in a few offensive categories. They are 21st in runs scored, 16th in on-base percentage, 20th in slugging percentage, and 8th in batting average.
  • The Giants come in tonight with an implied run total sitting at 3.73, which is sixth lowest on the slate.
  • They have a 22% strikeout rate vs left-handed pitchers, which isn’t that high, so they should be able to jump on Quintana, who is giving up 1.19 HR/9 to lefties and 1.43 HR/9 to righties.