After crunching the numbers and perusing the board of MLB player props over at Underdog Fantasy, I have found my three favorite MLB picks for today as we look to 6x our entry amount. We’re going to look to Jameson Taillon’s dearth of strikeouts on the road this year going up against a red hot Toronto offense. Kyle Bradish hasn’t been dominant by any means, but he has shown that he can miss bats, and the Rays’ offense has been sluggish of late. Lastly, C.J. Cron at home is a cheat code, and there’s something about Cron and that Colorado air. 

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MLB Player Props on Underdog Fantasy for June 18th

 

UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts

Can Jameson Taillon get to five strikeouts tonight? That’s the question. He’s not a big strikeout guy, as seen by his 6.92 K/9 thus far, which would actually be the lowest mark of his career. So, beyond that, why the under? Well, the Toronto offense is white hot, hitting .313 over the last two weeks, and only the Cleveland Guardians have struck out less during this stretch. Furthermore, if you thought Taillon’s 6.92 K/9 was bad, you’re going to love this for the under today, as his K/9 on the road this year is just 5.20! In five road starts this year, Taillon has notched five strikeouts just once.

 

 

OVER 4.0 Strikeouts

Over the last two weeks, the Rays have the fifth-highest strikeout rate, coming in at 25.2 percent. Furthermore, they are hitting just .222 with an 86 wRC+ during this span. Kyle Bradish’s 5.90 ERA at home isn’t great, but it’s better than his 9.00 ERA on the road this year, and in six home starts this year, he has 27 strikeouts in 29 innings of work. He has five or more strikeouts in four of six home starts this year, including a five strikeout performance against this Rays team back on May 21st.


 

 

OVER 1.5 Total Bases

C.J. Cron is 7-for-20 with two home runs in his career against Nick Martinez, and we all know how dominant Cron is at home. He’s hitting .303 with a .380 wOBA against righties this year, but you can almost throw everything out the window when the game is at Coors, as he’s hitting .350 with a 1.082 OPS at home this season. He’s sporting a .700 slugging percentage over his last seven games, and he has more than 1.5 total bases in four of his last five home games.

 

 

 

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