While we don’t have a full MLB slate on Monday, we still have tremendous opportunities to build those Underdog bankrolls with some Underdog MLB DFS picks for today.

You know it’s going to be an exciting day in baseball when you have the two best starting pitchers in the game – Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal – taking the mound in what should be some favorable matchups. In fact, tonight’s pitching is loaded with talented options, so we’ll have to see where the best value is for strikeouts, outs and earned runs. 

Of course, there are also a few punching bags on the bump tonight as well, so be on the lookout for some strong hitting potential. Let’s dive in.

 

 

 

Underdog Fantasy Picks for Monday, April 14: MLB DFS Projections

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Tarik Skubal MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 6.5 Strikeouts

After immediately turning to strikeout totals for Skenes and Skubal and noticing rain potential in Pittsburgh, I landed on Skubal who was dominant in his last start against the Yankees where he went six innings with six strikeouts. The Brewers have a very similar strikeout rate (23-percent) against left-handed pitching, but they’ve also been less patient at the plate and haven’t really worked the count as they should. 

Not to mention, the guys you normally worry about in this Milwaukee lineup, like Jackson Chourio, William Contreras and Christian Yelich are also three of the biggest strikeout offenders. Vegas has seven or more strikeouts sitting at -175, so we’ll take a shorter multiplier to grab the win.

 

 

 

Framber Valdez MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 5.5 Strikeouts

After watching Valdez fan 17 batters over his last two starts, you always have to question why his strikeout number is only at 5.5, but it doesn’t mean we run away from it. Yes, the Cardinals have played some decent ball this season, particularly at home, but they’re still posting a 23.4-percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching. 

And this lineup, outside of Nolan Arenado, has been victimized at a rapid rate. Vegas has Valdez’ outs prop pretty juiced up to go at least six innings tonight and if he can maintain at least a strikeout per inning (he has a 10.50 K/9 this season), he’ll get us to where we need to be.   

 

 

 

Manny Machado MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Right-handed hitters are absolutely destroying Jameson Taillon right now, posting a .393/.414/.893 slash line with a .557 wOBA. He’s managed to post back-to-back quality starts, but he’s taken some significant lumps while doing so, allowing 11 earned runs (four home runs) on 18 hits and four walks (1.35 WHIP). 

The Padres are going to give him some trouble tonight. Machado is seeing the ball very well right now with hits in all but two games this season and has gone over 1.5 HRR in five of his last six games.    

 

 

 

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