Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Saturday, July 18th, spotlights two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The lines for Shane Bieber’s walks allowed and Riley Greene’s hits + runs + RBI both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections set up the way they do.

 

 

 

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Shane Bieber over 1.5 walks allowed and Riley Greene over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

Shane Bieber HIGHER THAN 1.5 Walks Allowed

It’s been a rough return for Bieber, seeing as he’s posted a 7.64 ERA and 5.09 BB/9 in four starts. He’s walked three or more batters in three straight starts, and he has an absurd 17.5% walk rate against left-handed hitters. Well, that’s not necessarily the best thing when going against the White Sox, as they will likely run at least six, if not seven left-handed hitters in this one. For the entire season, the White Sox have a slightly above-average walk rate against RHP, and they have four hitters (Munetaka Murakami, Miguel Vargas, Chase Meidroth, Colson Montgomery) with a walk rate of at least nine percent against RHP this season (at least 180 PA).

Riley Greene HIGHER THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Simply put, we have a lefty who has been excellent on the road and punishes RHP, taking on a righty who has struggled all year, even more so at home, and can’t get lefties out. Sounds like a perfect storm if you ask me! Greene has an .885 OPS on the road, and an .879 OPS against right-handed pitching. Pretty good! On the other hand, Grayson Rodriguez has an ERA near 10 at home this year, 9.58 to be exact, and left-handed hitters have a .629 SLG and .449 wOBA against him!

Rodriguez throws his four-seamer over half the time against left-handed hitters, and against righty four-seamers this season, Greene has a .304 AVG, .511 SLG, and .380 wOBA.

 

Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus

If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.