Dylan Cease Underdog MLB Picks Today, 8/28: Baseball Projections + More

Friday's top two Underdog plays feature a Cy Young frontrunner in Toronto and a two-time Cy Young winner making an emotional first start against the team that traded him away, for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Dylan Cease MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Cease has pitched to a sub-2.00 ERA since the start of June, backing an 8-5 record and 2.37 ERA on the season with 209 strikeouts across 144.1 innings. His 13.0 K/9 and 36.1 percent strikeout rate both rank at the very top of the league, and he already carries a career 2.76 ERA in three prior starts against Seattle. Toronto is fighting for a wild-card spot, adding real stakes to tonight's series opener. Seattle's offense has been one of the league's worst all season, conditions that favor a pitcher already missing bats at an elite level.

Tarik Skubal MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts

Skubal makes his first career start against Detroit tonight, the team that traded him to Los Angeles roughly three weeks ago, and he has been sharp in his brief Dodgers tenure with a 3.38 ERA and 30 strikeouts across 24 innings. His last outing was dominant, allowing three runs in the first inning against Pittsburgh before retiring the rest of the lineup over seven innings with 11 strikeouts on just one walk. He owns a career 2.67 ERA in 77 games at Comerica Park, tonight's venue, giving him a strong track record here even amid the emotional weight of the matchup. That combination of dominant recent stuff and home-park success gives him a clear path to clearing this number.

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