Jump to a topic
  1. 🎯 New to PrizePicks? Grab Your Bonus First
  2. Yordan Alvarez PrizePicks MLB Pick — More 1.5 Total Bases
  3. Chase Burns PrizePicks MLB Pick — More 6.5 Strikeouts
  4. Stack These Picks Today

Looking for the best PrizePicks MLB picks today? Fantasy Alarm breaks down every angle of Thursday's slate so you can build your best Power Play or Flex entry with confidence. From pitcher strikeout props to hitter total bases selections, our daily PrizePicks MLB analysis covers the matchups, the underlying numbers, and the trends that matter most. Whether you are a daily player or just getting started on PrizePicks, check out Fantasy Alarm's PrizePicks MLB picks page for projections and expert breakdowns all season long. Here are the top PrizePicks MLB picks for Thursday, April 16, 2026.

🎯 New to PrizePicks? Grab Your Bonus First

Sign up with promo code ALARM and get a guaranteed $50 bonus after placing your first entry, win or lose. That is an instant 10x boost with zero risk attached. Click here to sign up for PrizePicks with promo code ALARM.

 

 

 

Yordan Alvarez PrizePicks MLB Pick — More 1.5 Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez is the best hitter in the American League right now and the Rockies are making this easy by going opener-plus-bulk at Daikin Park today.

Juan Mejia gets the ball first before Colorado hands things to Chase Dollander for the bulk innings. Dollander went 2-12 with a 6.52 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP in his rookie season, has persistent command issues, and is now being asked to soak up innings against the highest-scoring offense in the AL. That is a rough assignment.

Alvarez is slashing .333/.488/.762 with seven home runs, 17 RBI, a wOBA of .515, and an xwOBA of .529 through 84 plate appearances. His 20.2 percent walk rate against a 10.7 percent strikeout rate puts pitchers in losing counts from the first pitch. He had a home run against these same Rockies yesterday, and an ISO of .429 that tells you extra-base damage is not a question of if but when. More 1.5 Total Bases can be cashed in a single swing. Against Dollander in the middle innings, that swing is coming.

Chase Burns PrizePicks MLB Pick — More 6.5 Strikeouts

Burns had a tough outing last time out against the Angels, and I expect him to come out with a point to prove today. He shut down Pittsburgh for seven in his debut and punched out nine in six innings against Texas in start number two. The stuff is very real.

He has 18 strikeouts in 16.1 innings this season with a 9.92 K/9 and an average exit velocity against of just 87.4 mph. The 98.5 mph fastball paired with a slider carrying a 56.3 percent whiff rate is a combination that gives any lineup fits, and today he gets a Giants offense sitting 29th in wOBA against right-handed pitching with a 21 percent strikeout rate on the season. No Giants batter has seen Burns yet in 2026, so the first-time-through advantage only adds to an already favorable setup.

His xFIP of 4.04 tells me the underlying profile is sound despite last week's results, and a lineup this weak against righties is exactly where bounce-backs happen for a pitcher with his arsenal. More 6.5 Strikeouts is the play.

 

 

 

Stack These Picks Today

Alvarez is facing Dollander in the middle innings, and Burns is getting a Giants lineup that is 29th in wOBA against righties, giving you two well-constructed legs for your Thursday entry. Sign up with promo code ALARM and claim your guaranteed $50 bonus before first pitch.