MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Sunday Playbook

We're deep in the stretch run and Sunday's 15-game slate has all the volatility you want for DFS. Jacob Misiorowski is running away with the ERA and strikeout crown across all of baseball, and he gets a Twins lineup that's ice cold right now. Meanwhile Schwarber and the Phillies draw a Toronto club that still can't find its pitching. Here's the full Fantasy Alarm DFS lineup picks for Sunday, built off real matchup data and the weather. Swing by the Fantasy Alarm DFS tools hub once you've built out your pool and want help optimizing.

MLB Weather Today, August 9, 2026

Two spots to watch today. Milwaukee and Chicago's South Side both have real rain risk at first pitch. The Twins-Brewers game is under the American Family Field roof anyway, but the Guardians-White Sox game at Rate Field has a 50-60% shot at a delay from a storm line pushing through. Everywhere else it's hot and dry, and Yankee Stadium, Fenway, and Kauffman Stadium are all sitting in the 90s with wind blowing out, which should help the ball carry for anyone stacking those parks.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

Top Pitchers

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) vs. MIN 

Misiorowski's numbers are almost unfair right now. A 1.62 ERA and 184 strikeouts through 20 starts, both tops in baseball, plus a 0.72 WHIP and a 40% strikeout rate nobody else is close to. And it doesn't matter which side of the plate the hitter stands on, he's been death to lefties (1.04 ERA) and righties (2.39 ERA) alike. The Twins have been brutal lately too, hitting just .229 over their last 25 games and sitting near the bottom of the league against right-handed pitching over the last month. This is about as close to a lock as you'll find at the position.

Cam Schlittler (NYY) vs. ATL 

Schlittler's been outstanding all year, a 2.34 ERA and 163 strikeouts through 23 starts, with a 0.98 WHIP and 2.74 FIP that both rank near the top of the league. He's tough on both sides of the plate too, a 1.87 ERA against righties and 2.66 against lefties, so Atlanta's lineup doesn't have an easy way to attack him. The one thing worth flagging: the Braves have actually hit right-handed pitching well over the last month (110.6 wRC+), so it's not a total mismatch. Still, the swing-and-miss upside is real, and Grant Holmes on the other side sets up a genuinely fun, competitive game.

Jesus Luzardo (PHI) vs. TOR 

Luzardo comes in at a 3.10 ERA with 157 strikeouts over 22 starts, and he's drawing about as friendly a matchup as you can ask for. Toronto has been one of the worst offenses in baseball against lefties both this season (77.4 wRC+) and over the last month (62.5 wRC+), and Luzardo himself has been nasty against lefty bats specifically, a 1.67 ERA and a .154 average against. Shane Bieber goes for the Jays and he's been rough too (5.11 ERA), so this profiles as a game the Phillies control on both sides of the ball. Easy SP2 on either site.

Value Pitchers

Sean Manaea (NYM) vs. PIT 

Manaea's sitting at a 4.39 ERA with 93 strikeouts over 23 starts, nothing flashy, but the matchup helps. Pittsburgh's been below average against lefties all year (88.5 wRC+), though they've crept back closer to league average lately (92.7 wRC+ over the last month). At this price, Manaea's one of the cleaner ways to save salary if you're loading up on hitters elsewhere.

Grant Holmes (ATL) vs. NYY 

Holmes has a 3.58 ERA and 88 strikeouts over 21 starts, but he's given up a lot of homers this year, 17 of them, and Yankee Stadium isn't the place to fix that. The good news: New York's actually cooled off against right-handed pitching over the last month, down to an 85.3 wRC+ after sitting at 103.0 for the season. It's still a road start against a good lineup, so treat him as a GPP dart rather than a cash-game lock, but the price is fair for the innings.

Kumar Rocker (TEX) vs. BAL 

Rocker's at a 4.08 ERA with 98 strikeouts through 21 starts, and he's getting a soft landing spot. Baltimore has hit just .221 over its last 24 games and has been one of the weaker offenses in baseball against right-handers over the last month (78.6 wRC+). He also strikes out more batters than Baltimore's starter, Cade Povich (21.2% to 18.1%), and he's been noticeably tougher on right-handed bats (3.42 ERA) than lefties (4.72 ERA) this year. At $6,500, that's a fair price for a pitcher with the wind at his back.

Top Options For Strikeouts

• Jacob Misiorowski — 184 strikeouts in 20 starts with a 40% strikeout rate, both tops in MLB, and Minnesota's bats have gone quiet over the last month.
• Cam Schlittler — 163 strikeouts to go with elite command, a 0.98 WHIP and 2.74 FIP that both rank near the top of the league.
• Jesus Luzardo — Toronto ranks near the bottom of the league against lefty pitching, which sets up nicely for his 10.81 K/9 on the season.
• Kumar Rocker — out-strikes Baltimore's own starter, Cade Povich (21.2% to 18.1%), against a lineup that's been cold for weeks.

Best Odds For A Win

• Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — the Brewers have one of the best records in the sport, and Misiorowski gives them a clear mound edge against a Twins club that's scuffling.
• Jesus Luzardo (PHI) — Philadelphia gets a soft landing spot against a Toronto club that still hasn't figured out its pitching.
• Cam Schlittler (NYY) — New York's deep lineup should give Schlittler plenty of cushion in a competitive game.
• Kumar Rocker (TEX) — Texas is riding a three-game winning streak into a matchup with a Baltimore club that's been ice cold.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Stacks & Hitters

Top Hitters

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. TOR 

Schwarber's sitting on 31 homers, an .889 OPS, and a 140 wRC+, all near the top of the National League. That said, he's actually cooled off in a real way lately, just one homer and a .197 average over his last 22 games. Worth knowing too: he hits lefties a lot better than righties (1.017 OPS and 175.8 wRC+ vs. lefties, compared to .815 and 119.7 vs. righties like Bieber). None of that erases the fact he can still put one in the seats off anything left over the plate, but between the slump and the platoon split, weigh that against the price tonight.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) vs. KC 

PCA's been a monster all year, 26 homers, 28 steals, a .952 OPS, and a 160 wRC+, and he hasn't slowed down, with 5 homers and 7 steals over his last 25 games. He also crushes right-handers specifically (.941 OPS, 153.5 wRC+), which lines up well against Randy Dobnak, a pitcher who's been fine in a small sample but hasn't faced a lineup with this kind of top-of-the-order pop. Power and speed both in play here, he's a premium building block wherever you slot him.

Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) vs. ATL 

Garcia's quietly been a real power threat this year, 24 homers, 75 RBI, an .889 OPS, and a 139 wRC+ across two organizations before he landed in New York, and he's kept producing since the move (4 homers, 111.8 wRC+ over his last 21 games). He's especially dangerous against right-handers, a .945 OPS and 154.3 wRC+ with a strikeout rate under 16%, which fits perfectly against Grant Holmes today. His salary hasn't caught up to what he's doing on the field, so he's a clean way to get a middle-of-the-order bat without spending up.

Value Hitters

Andruw Monasterio (BOS) vs. ATH 

Monasterio's hitting .275 with a 117 wRC+ on the year, and he's been on an absolute heater lately, .397 with a 1.137 OPS and a 210 wRC+ over his last 20 games. One thing to know before you get too excited: he mashes lefties (.945 OPS, 156.3 wRC+) but he's pretty pedestrian against righties (.699 OPS, 91.3 wRC+), and Ginn throws right-handed. He's still one of the cheapest ways into a Red Sox lineup at $3,700, just don't expect the full hot streak to carry over against this handedness.

Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) vs. CWS 

Lowe's put together a nice, quiet season, 13 homers, an .837 OPS, and a 125 wRC+ across two stops, and he's been especially good lately, .348 with 4 homers and a 166 wRC+ over his last 17 games. He's also a big platoon guy who does almost all his damage against righties (.901 OPS, 141.6 wRC+), and that's exactly what he's getting today from Davis Martin. Bottom of the first base salary pool, and a hitter who should be an everyday threat in this exact spot.

George Lombard (NYY) vs. ATL 

The Yankees' top prospect has taken over at shortstop since his early-August call-up, and he's off to a hot start, .385 with 2 homers and a 1.346 OPS through his first four games. Most of his early at-bats, 12 of 16 plate appearances, have come against right-handed pitching, which is exactly what he'll see again from Grant Holmes. It's a tiny sample, sure, but he's still barely owned at this price, and rostering him for pennies while everyone else ignores him is the kind of cheap, contrarian swing that funds the rest of a stack-heavy build.

Top Stacks

Cubs vs. Randy Dobnak (KC)

Why: Dobnak's been fine in a tiny 15-strikeout sample, but his 11.8% strikeout rate and 10.2% walk rate both scream a pitcher living on the edges of the zone. The Cubs, meanwhile, have been a genuinely good offense against righties all year (106.2 wRC+, .325 wOBA), even if they've cooled a touch lately (99.5 wRC+ with a bit more swing-and-miss). Still, this is exactly the kind of spot a Dobnak start invites.

Targets: Pete Crow-Armstrong, Michael Busch, Seiya Suzuki, Ian Happ, Alex Bregman

Red Sox vs. J.T. Ginn (ATH)

Why: Boston's at home against one of the league's weaker clubs, an Athletics team that's been on a long losing streak. Ginn's ERA (3.63) looks fine on the surface, but he's given up homers at a 1.05 HR/9 clip and walks too many guys for a strikeout arm (10.7%). And the Red Sox have flat out caught fire against right-handed pitching lately, a 123.5 wRC+ over the last month compared to a much more ordinary 94.6 for the season. Add in Fenway's short porch and this stack has real juice.

Targets: Wilyer Abreu, Ceddanne Rafaela, Nick Sogard, Willson Contreras, Andruw Monasterio

Phillies vs. Shane Bieber (TOR)

Why: Bieber's ERA sits at 5.11, and he's both homer-prone (1.7 HR/9) and walk-prone (11.8%), which is a rough combination against a lineup like Philadelphia's. To be fair, the Phillies themselves haven't been anything special against righties this year (93.0 wRC+, and down to 85.1 over the last month), so this isn't a slam dunk on paper. But Toronto's sitting well under .500, and Bieber putting extra guys on base against a deep lineup is enough to make this a full-lineup pile-on spot regardless.

Targets: Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, Luis Arraez, Alec Bohm

Contrarian Stacks

Cardinals vs. Michael Lorenzen (COL)

Why: Lorenzen's been rough all year, a 6.97 ERA with a modest 15.3% strikeout rate and a 1.39 HR/9 that all say he's beatable. St. Louis has a much better record than Colorado this year, and while the Cardinals' own numbers against right-handed pitching are nothing flashy (95.5 wRC+), they've actually held up a lot better than the Rockies have on the other side (Colorado's down to a 76.8 wRC+ vs. righties over the last month). Ownership will probably chase the Rockies here just because of Colorado's offensive reputation, which leaves the Cardinals underpriced for how well they should hit a struggling righty.

Targets: Alec Burleson, JJ Wetherholt, Jordan Walker, Ivan Herrera, Masyn Winn

Rockies vs. Michael McGreevy (STL)

Why: McGreevy's been solid, a 3.78 ERA and a stingy 6.0% walk rate, so he's not the type to beat himself. But Colorado's offense still hits for power at altitude even in a down year, a .180 ISO against righties that's well ahead of St. Louis's .138 mark in the same split. The Rockies have cooled off some over the last month (81.0 wRC+ vs. righties), but the power's still there, and Busch Stadium in the summer heat, mid-90s with wind blowing out to left, gives anyone paying down for contrarian exposure an extra push.

Targets: Cole Carrigg, Jake McCarthy, Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, TJ Rumfield

Marlins vs. Grayson Rodriguez (LAA)

Why: Rodriguez has had a rough first year in Anaheim, a 7.24 ERA to go with a 9.4% walk rate and a 1.59 HR/9. Miami's offense against righties is nothing special this year either (101.2 wRC+, and cooler still at 86.3 over the last month), but they're at home in the series finale against an Angels team that's on the road behind a shaky starter. Quietly, that combination makes this a sneaky full-lineup source of value.

Targets: Kyle Stowers, Otto Lopez, Xavier Edwards, Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters & Pitchers

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