Yordan Alvarez ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 7/29: Baseball Projections + More

Quick Summary of Today's Top ParlayPlay MLB Picks:

• Yordan Alvarez (HOU): OVER 1.5 Total Bases
• Trevor Rogers (BAL): OVER 4.5 Strikeouts

Looking for the best ParlayPlay MLB picks today? After crunching the numbers and sifting through our MLB DFS projections, I’ve identified my favorite MLB player props today, and we are focusing on two of the best matchups on the board with our top MLB picks for today. With Yordan Alvarez and Trevor Rogers, we are building a high-probability card with our best ParlayPlay MLB picks for Wednesday, July 29. You can also take these picks and add them to an entry with one of the many boost specials ParlayPlay is offering for today.

Yordan Alvarez ParlayPlay MLB Pick: OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Out of the All-Star break, Alvarez has slashed .371/.500/.714 with a .343 ISO and 227 wRC+. This guy just flat out rakes, and the matchup today is just so good. He’s taking on righty Grayson Rodriguez, and on the year against RHP, Alvarez has a .340 AVG, .340 ISO, and 1.143 OPS. Amongst qualified hitters, here are the statistical metrics where Alvarez leads all hitters against RHP: AVG, OBP, SLG, OPS, wOBA, and wRC+.

On the other hand, Rodriguez has struggled mightily this season. You know what’s worse than his 8.54 ERA and 1.62 HR/9 for the year? How about his 9.19 ERA and 1.72 HR/9 over his last four starts! Furthermore, he has a 10.22 ERA and .352 BAA at home, and left-handers have bludgeoned him this year, to the tune of a .656 SLG and .462 wOBA.

In Yordan we trust, yet again!

Trevor Rogers ParlayPlay MLB Pick: OVER 4.5 Strikeouts

While his name is swirling a bit in potential trade discussions, Rogers has been excellent for the Orioles of late. Over his last seven starts, he has a 1.44 ERA, 23.1 K%, and 2.45 FIP. He’s increased the usage on his sweeper of late, and in the month of July, it’s been his primary strikeout pitch, registering a .182 BAA and 28.1% whiff rate.

While Tarik Skubal will be on the other side for Detroit, the Tigers’ lineup has struggled against lefties in the month of July. This month, the Tigers have a .223 AVG, the fourth-lowest wOBA (.274), and the fourth-highest strikeout rate (27.4%). Also, for the entire season at home against southpaws, they have a 23.9 K%, and .295 wOBA. Oh, let me throw this out there. Out of the All-Star break, the Tigers have a 28.1 K%, .138 AVG, and 2 wRC+ against southpaws. TWO!!!