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Back to a full slate of games tonight, but the match-ups are again, not looking as pretty as I would like. Yesterday we got by with a few, but again, the usual bottom-feeders like the Braves and the Twins are absolutely raking right now and some of the usual names we like to use just don’t have great match-ups here. We’ll give it the old college try though.
| vs L | vs R | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Tm | Hand | H/A | Opp | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BAA | SwStr% | ERA | xFIP | WHIP | GB% | FB% | GB/FB | wOBA | wOBA | $FD | $DK | $Aces |
| Max Scherzer | WSH | R | H | CLE | 156.2 | 11.38 | 2.13 | 1.38 | .190 | 16.8% | 2.87 | 2.93 | 0.93 | 36.6% | 44.5% | 0.82 | 0.317 | 0.208 | $11800 | $12900 | $8400 |
| Chris Sale | CWS | L | A | KC | 147.0 | 8.76 | 1.90 | 1.10 | .218 | 11.5% | 3.12 | 3.62 | 1.02 | 42.1% | 34.9% | 1.21 | 0.266 | 0.280 | $10600 | $12200 | $8150 |
| Zack Greinke | ARI | R | A | NYM | 109.1 | 7.49 | 1.73 | 0.99 | .252 | 11.8% | 3.62 | 3.61 | 1.16 | 49.4% | 29.7% | 1.66 | 0.314 | 0.288 | $10200 | $11100 | $7550 |
| Steven Matz | NYM | L | H | ARI | 119.0 | 8.47 | 1.97 | 0.91 | .269 | 10.5% | 3.63 | 3.49 | 1.27 | 53.4% | 25.0% | 2.14 | 0.338 | 0.303 | $9300 | $8800 | $7100 |
| Rick Porcello | BOS | R | H | NYY | 143.0 | 7.49 | 1.57 | 1.07 | .240 | 8.1% | 3.46 | 3.85 | 1.08 | 46.7% | 33.4% | 1.40 | 0.277 | 0.323 | $9100 | $9900 | $6500 |
| Matt Moore | SF | L | A | MIA | 136.0 | 7.54 | 3.04 | 1.32 | .251 | 10.7% | 4.09 | 4.40 | 2.77 | 39.4% | 42.6% | 0.92 | 0.284 | 0.320 | $8800 | $7900 | $6650 |
| Kenta Maeda | LA | R | H | PHI | 125.2 | 8.96 | 2.08 | 0.93 | .220 | 12.4% | 3.22 | 3.49 | 1.07 | 47.0% | 31.4% | 1.50 | 0.292 | 0.259 | $8800 | $9700 | $8100 |
| John Lackey | CHI | R | H | LAA | 143.2 | 9.08 | 2.51 | 1.13 | .224 | 12.6% | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.09 | 41.8% | 33.5% | 1.25 | 0.306 | 0.279 | $8700 | $9400 | $7400 |
| Marco Estrada | TOR | R | H | TB | 123.1 | 8.39 | 3.06 | 1.02 | .180 | 12.0% | 2.92 | 4.10 | 0.99 | 35.9% | 44.4% | 0.81 | 0.279 | 0.241 | $8700 | $11500 | $7450 |
| Vince Velasquez | PHI | R | A | LA | 102.2 | 9.99 | 3.33 | 0.96 | .249 | 12.6% | 3.33 | 3.69 | 1.30 | 39.2% | 39.2% | 1.00 | 0.340 | 0.283 | $8600 | $8900 | $6500 |
| Drew Smyly | TB | L | A | TOR | 124.1 | 9.26 | 2.24 | 1.66 | .269 | 12.5% | 5.14 | 3.81 | 1.30 | 34.4% | 44.0% | 0.78 | 0.345 | 0.333 | $8100 | $9300 | $6850 |
| Hector Santiago | MIN | L | H | HOU | 125.2 | 7.20 | 4.23 | 1.58 | .250 | 9.7% | 7.20 | 4.58 | 2.73 | 41.0% | 45.2% | 0.91 | 0.323 | 0.326 | $8100 | $8000 | $6200 |
| Mike Fiers | HOU | R | A | MIN | 116.0 | 6.52 | 2.02 | 1.32 | .279 | 9.7% | 4.35 | 4.38 | 1.33 | 43.2% | 30.5% | 1.42 | 0.325 | 0.351 | $7700 | $6900 | $6900 |
| Trevor Bauer | CLE | R | A | WSH | 119.0 | 8.09 | 3.63 | 0.91 | .244 | 10.3% | 4.08 | 4.19 | 1.35 | 49.1% | 29.2% | 1.68 | 0.308 | 0.308 | $7500 | $6200 | $6500 |
| Mike Leake | STL | R | H | CIN | 133.0 | 6.50 | 1.15 | 1.22 | .283 | 7.7% | 4.81 | 3.73 | 1.26 | 54.9% | 24.0% | 2.29 | 0.328 | 0.326 | $7400 | $4500 | $5900 |
| Edinson Volquez | KC | R | H | CWS | 135.1 | 6.79 | 3.39 | 1.06 | .275 | 9.3% | 4.99 | 4.32 | 1.46 | 55.7% | 24.4% | 2.29 | 0.338 | 0.328 | $7300 | $5200 | $6200 |
| Tom Koehler | MIA | R | H | SF | 120.0 | 7.20 | 3.83 | 0.75 | .259 | 10.3% | 4.05 | 4.74 | 1.44 | 44.4% | 30.6% | 1.45 | 0.332 | 0.313 | $7200 | $8100 | $6750 |
| Wade Miley | BAL | L | A | OAK | 117.0 | 9.00 | 2.54 | 1.46 | .348 | 9.3% | 7.20 | 4.18 | 2.95 | 49.3% | 30.8% | 1.60 | 0.299 | 0.357 | $7100 | $7800 | $6250 |
| Daniel Norris | DET | L | A | SEA | 13.0 | 11.08 | 2.08 | 2.08 | .304 | 8.2% | 4.85 | 3.52 | 1.54 | 30.8% | 38.5% | 0.80 | 0.417 | 0.377 | $7000 | $6600 | $6350 |
| A.J. Griffin | TEX | R | A | COL | 73.1 | 7.36 | 3.44 | 1.60 | .229 | 9.1% | 4.05 | 4.71 | 1.23 | 34.5% | 44.2% | 0.78 | 0.381 | 0.259 | $6800 | $5000 | $5900 |
| Tyler Chatwood | COL | R | H | TEX | 116.2 | 5.86 | 4.01 | 0.69 | .249 | 8.3% | 3.63 | 4.56 | 1.38 | 58.2% | 23.2% | 2.51 | 0.307 | 0.326 | $6700 | $6400 | $6450 |
| Luis Severino | NYY | R | A | BOS | 43.1 | 7.69 | 2.49 | 1.66 | .284 | 9.5% | 6.02 | 3.91 | 1.45 | 52.9% | 24.3% | 2.18 | 0.315 | 0.388 | $6600 | $5600 | $5950 |
| Jered Weaver | LAA | R | A | CHI | 123.1 | 4.67 | 2.26 | 1.68 | .299 | 8.2% | 5.11 | 5.48 | 1.45 | 30.4% | 44.8% | 0.68 | 0.353 | 0.371 | $6400 | $5500 | $5600 |
| Brandon Finnegan | CIN | L | A | STL | 123.1 | 6.57 | 4.31 | 1.61 | .241 | 9.4% | 4.45 | 5.06 | 1.37 | 40.8% | 35.7% | 1.14 | 0.303 | 0.342 | $6300 | $6700 | $6550 |
| Chad Kuhl | PIT | R | H | SD | 19.1 | 6.05 | 2.33 | 0.93 | .260 | 9.9% | 4.19 | 4.97 | 1.24 | 32.3% | 46.8% | 0.69 | 0.357 | 0.280 | $6300 | $6800 | $6250 |
| Luis Perdomo | SD | R | A | PIT | 89.0 | 7.18 | 2.83 | 1.31 | .333 | 10.3% | 6.67 | 4.29 | 1.83 | 59.2% | 19.4% | 3.05 | 0.368 | 0.397 | $6300 | $5400 | $5900 |
| Tyrell Jenkins | ATL | R | A | MIL | 35.1 | 4.33 | 5.86 | 1.53 | .261 | 6.5% | 4.33 | 5.98 | 1.67 | 51.7% | 28.3% | 1.82 | 0.364 | 0.369 | $6200 | $4200 | $6150 |
| Wade LeBlanc | SEA | L | H | DET | 31.1 | 6.61 | 1.44 | 2.01 | .244 | 8.6% | 4.31 | 4.16 | 1.12 | 37.8% | 44.9% | 0.84 | 0.323 | 0.338 | $6000 | $6100 | $5800 |
| Wily Peralta | MIL | R | H | ATL | 66.0 | 5.72 | 3.55 | 1.64 | .358 | 7.7% | 6.68 | 4.94 | 1.88 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 2.24 | 0.405 | 0.443 | $6000 | $4000 | $6000 |
| Zach Neal | OAK | R | H | BAL | 24.0 | 3.75 | 0.38 | 1.50 | .302 | 10.6% | 5.25 | 4.05 | 1.25 | 54.8% | 28.6% | 1.92 | 0.415 | 0.271 | $5500 | $4000 | $5700 |
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Chris Sale, CHW – His numbers against the Royals haven’t exactly been great, but the Royals have been awful at the plate in recent weeks. We’re talking a dismal .277 wOBA with a 25.2-percent strikeout rate and just a .118 ISO. Hard to go against a guy like Sale, even with diminishing strikeout numbers, against a team this cold.
Zack Greinke, ARI – He’s just off the DL and maybe that’s not the best time to use him, but this match-up with the Mets is pretty solid. The Mets rank 23rd in the league with a .305 wOBA and 22.5-percent strikeout rate against righties this season and their recent numbers over the past week are just about identical to that.
Rick Porcello, BOS – I hate using Porcello. Just hate it. But with Luis Severino on the mound, the Sox should take a strong, early lead which could hopefully bring him the win. The Yankees continue to struggle with a .303 wOBA against righties and their strikeout rate has popped up to almost 22-peercent over this past week. Not to mention he’s allowed just three runs over 14 innings against these Yankees with 11 strikeouts to his credit.
Kenta Maeda, LAD – He’s been having trouble going deep into games recently but he continues to limit the runs against him. The Phillies still have just a .297 wOBA against righties this season and their usual 21.4-percent strikeout rate against them has been up close to 23-percent over the past week.
Vince Velasquez, PHI – He’s going to battle Maeda for the W here, but Velasquez has five quality starts in his last six outings and has 21 strikeouts over his last 24 innings. The Dodgers are sitting right around league average with a .319 wOBA over the past week and have a 22.1-percent strikeout rate over that span.
Hector Santiago, MIN – The price is definitely right and the match-up actually looks pretty darn good here. The Astros rank just 23rd with a .310 wOBA against southpaws this season and have a 23.4-percent strikeout rate against them. Even better is that they have posted just a .239 wOBA over the past seven days and have a 25-percent strikeout rate as well.
Wade Miley, BAL – I hate this dart. Absolutely hate it. But considering the A’s have just a .311 wOBA against lefties this season and a .292 wOBA over the past week, why the heck not? Their numbers at home are pretty weak as well --.288 wOBA with just a .140 ISO.
Brandon Finnegan, CIN – With the way Mike Leake pitches against the Reds, the hope for a win here for Finnegan seems a little more plausible. Not to mention the Cardinals struggle against lefties with a .307 wOBA and 20.5-percent strikeout rate.
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