Welcome to a new week on the MLB best bets and the 3rd to last week in the MLB regular season. What a ride it has been on the betting front this season as I look back and remember all the big hits but also bad beats we have gone through together. As the postseason approaches though their are still plenty of wagers to make in the mean time and today's article has a trio of bets I am locked in on. In this article you find a team total, strikeout prop and a player prop all of which can be played with confidence! Good luck out there to all and I will see you back here on Wednesday for another day of winners!
- Saturday's Record: 1-1
- Season Record: 112-91-5
- Bankroll: +8.08 units
MLB Best Bets for September 18
Its been a disappointing season for the Padres to this point, no doubt about that but tonight they may get to celebrate as the Rockies come to town for a series. The Rockies are a remarkable 22-53 on the road this season and have shown no signs of improving coming down the stretch here to end the regular season as they've lost 5 of their last 6 and allowed 42 runs in those road games. Enter the first bet for this game here as the Padres are juiced too high on the Money Line side but they are getting fair value on their team total of 4.5 runs. The model projects them right around 4.9 runs tonight going against starter Ty Blach so that's a bet I will be hitting as the Padres should score 5 or more runs. On the other side of the pitching mound tonight is Michael Wacha and he represents the 2nd wager for this game. Wacha's strikeouts for tonight sits at 5.5 and that's just too low considering his recent starts as he's hit the over in 3 of the last 5 outings. He will also be going up against a Rockies team that strikes out 10.11 times per game on the road this season. Love these pair of bets!
Pick: San Diego Padres Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-130 on DraftKings)
Pick: Michael Wacha Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-125 on PointsBet)
What a series this one should be as the two best teams in the NL East square off tonight to start a brand new series! The Braves are obviously much further along in the standings but this Phillies team is still built up very well and they have Bryce Harper hitting 3rd tonight and I am very much eyeballing him for a player prop! Harper has been great this season since returning from injury way back in the early months of the season and he has continued that roll into September especially against right handed pitching. Harper holds a .298 average with an OPS of .894 against righties this season and lucky for him the Braves are starting Kyle Wright and his 7.48 ERA tonight. Granted Wright doesn't have a large sample size with just 6 starts this season but the vast majority of those appearances have been bad and I will bank on Harper exposing him.
Pick: Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits/Runs/RBIs (-155 on DraftKings)
**all bets are one unit unless specifically mentioned.