While our new stolen base player prop article hasn’t been printing money just yet, the research done right now is building towards significant payouts down the road.  Remember, stolen base props are a high-variance market. They can be profitable, but like home run props, they are far from guaranteed. Here in the early stages, it’s about identifying the best matchups that will deliver the edge you need as the season rolls on. We had Eury Perez tabbed as a pitcher who allows a stolen base, and he gave up four. We used Austin Martin that day, and while he didn’t swipe a bag then, the fact that his manager gave him the green light means we can trust him in the future. After all, he swiped a bag the very next day. The education continues, and we are here for it. So, let’s get to the MLB stolen base picks today.

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Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across five dynamic players, including two from the Diamondbacks, similar to what we saw yesterday with the Twins. You can choose from a few superstars or find a few hidden gems that are off the mainstream radar. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Thursday, May 14:

Favorite Bets: 

Bobby Witt, SS Kansas City Royals (+315) – If you caught today’s Betting Playbook show, then you already heard us talking up Witt and all of his possibilities. I bet the over in the game as well as the over for Witt’s total bases. He’s been absolutely on fire lately and faces righty Anthony Kay, who has allowed five stolen bases this season, while catchers Drew Romo and Edgar Quero have combined for barely a 25-percent success rate at throwing out runners.

Austin Martin, Minnesota Twins (+323) – We’re going back to the well in this matchup as Martin not only hits lefties well -- .419 wOBA with just a 11.5% strikeout rate – but he’s also in the leadoff spot today against Marlins southpaw Braxton Garrett. Martin swiped a bag yesterday and is trusted by his manager to take a base when he sees fit. We don’t have data on Garrett just yet, but his backstop, Liam Hicks, ranks near the bottom in caught stealing and has just a six-percent success rate throwing out runners.